I have been doing a lot of thinking about week 1 and what we can trust and what we should throw away. It’s a tough thing to not trust your eyes for future projections. I guess that’s what makes sports gambling so difficult. New casinos don’t pop up from everybody winning. How does one pick who to double down on off of a blah performance? The same goes for breakout performances. How do we know it wasn’t a one-off occurrence? Instincts plays a big role. When you’ve been playing fantasy football for over a decade you pick up on trends and apply it to new situations. Another thing, I’m really excited to be writing the start/sit column every week. Yes, the title alone brings a lot of eyes, but also I want to challenge myself to put personal biases aside to try and help build lineups for you, the reader. I had a BIG whiff last week on Ben Roethlisberger. That was a failure on my part to not weigh the matchup heavier than the overall narrative that I have for him in 2020.

The results from last week weren’t bad at all outside of that misstep. Shout out to Will Fuller! Nobody outside of him really popped. Taylor, Garappolo, and Ronald Jones were fine, I suppose. Desean Jackson didn’t do diddly squat, but that’s on his QB. Everyone outside of Roethlisberger that I suggested sitting did absolutely nothing. We’re on to week 2. 

Start

Aaron Rodgers

Two years ago I would have been laughed out of the industry for writing the words, “start Aaron Rodgers.” Aaron Rodgers knows that he was doubted by the general public and the Packers’ organization and went out and had a hell of a week 1 against the Vikings. The Vikings might have a very questionable and inexperienced defense but Detroit just allowed Mitch Trubisky to throw 3 second half touchdowns against them. From what I saw, ol’ Mitchy still misses a ton of throws. Last season, Rodgers averaged 303 YPG and 2 TDs/game against the Lions. The Lions also don’t have Darius Slay anymore. Rodgers should have his 2nd straight field day and Davante Adams is unquestionably the WR1 in week 2 according to my expectations.

Nyheim Hines

Speaking of the Vikings, that’s who the Colts will be hosting in week 2. Jonathan Taylor is confirmed to be starting in week 2. If the Vikings stack the box to take away Taylor, like they did effectively against Aaron Jones, that’s Taylor’s problem and not necessarily Hines’. Hines is the change of pace guy who will see a lot of opportunities in the passing game and maybe some bonus goal line work like last week. Hines caught all 8 of his targets in week 1. Phil loves him.

Devin Singletary 

It was tough sledding in week 1 against the Jets in week 1, but look for Singletary to get things going against the Dolphins. In 2019 the Dolphins gave up 135 rushing yards per game which is not great. In week 1 against the Pats, they gave up 37 more yards on the ground than any other team. A lot of that was Cam, sure, but it’s clear on a larger sample size that you can run on the Dolphins

Terry McLaurin

Get back on that horse! We didn’t draft him in 584 leagues to sit him after week 1. Terry has a juicy matchup in week 2 against Arizona. Arizona was 31st in the league in 2019 in yards given up through the air. I’m not sure how much credit to give to Arizona for beating the 49ers last week. Outside of a decent fantasy day, Jimmy G was terrible. Washington is going to have to air it out to keep up with Kyler in this one. I don’t care how improved Washington’s defense is. 

Michael Gallup

I mean, you could go Michael Gallup or Ceedee Lamb here and probably be fine either way. The reasons that I’m rolling with Gallup here are A. larger NFL sample size and B. I think Gallup has the better chance to burn the secondary for a 60 yard touchdown. Atlanta’s defense looked God awful against Russ & co., and I doubt Dak is going to be any easier on them. Look for a pissed off Gallup after a touchy game-shifting offensive pass interference call last week to make big things happen against ATL

Jared Cook

Losing MT for the time being should be huge for Jared Cook, and he should especially clean up in the red zone. With George Kittle dealing with a sprained knee, I moved Cook up to TE4 this week as the “best of the rest” guy behind Ertz, Andrews, and Kelce. Losing Thomas isn’t going to stop New Orleans from being the same type of offense and Las Vegas has a secondary that can get exposed on any given week. 

Sit

Carson Wentz

I wouldn’t expect much more this week out of Wentz than he gave you in week 1. It could have been home cooking but Los Angeles held Dak to 1 touchdown and Dallas has a much more potent offense. The Rams also got to Dak 3 times for sacks which can be drive killers. Los Angeles should dominate time of possession in this one.

Melvin Gordon III

Pittsburgh’s vicious defensive line held Saquon Barkley to 6 yards on 15 carries in week 1. This is going to be a defense that you’re going to want to avoid starting your RBs against. Drew Lock doesn’t instill much fear so Pittsburgh should be able to sell out to stop the run. Gordon got off to a slow start in week 1 outside of a nice drive in the 4th quarter, this is an easy pass, even without Phillip Lindsay

Odell Beckham Jr.

If it ain’t broke don’t fix it. I’m going back to the well and yelling, “AVOID!” down into it. Beckham saw 10 targets in week 1 and caught *checks notes* 3 of them for 22 yards. Beckham also looked visibly irritated at times. It might get to the point where he’s yelling “come get me” to the Bengals’ sideline. 

Evan Engram

I wouldn’t be fooled by TJ Hockenson’s production against the Bears and think that the Chicago defense is a tight end production hub. Detroit didn’t have much of a choice but to make him a primary target that week. Engram only caught 2 of his 7 targets for 9 yards in week 1. I expect the Giants to feed Saquon heavily in this one and I wouldn’t be surprised if neither team gets out of the teens on the scoreboard. 

 

 

  1. MJ says:
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    12-team half-PPR. I’m wavering between Ronald Woods and Brandon Aiyuk in my FLEX slot. What do you think? Thanks as always!

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Woods!

    • What's a Drexl? says:
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      when checking rankings by probably anybody this won’t be close. nice to have 2 or 3 BETTER WR’s than woods though, but having asked this question maybe you don’t. about 120 point spots for half PPR flex rankings differences apart or so.

  2. scoboticus says:
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    half-PPR. Who are you FLEXing? Hines or Fuller?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Fuller

  3. Mak says:
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    half PPR: who should i start in flex: mark ingram, will fuller or kareem hunt?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Fuller

  4. 976 says:
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    PPR: Sit OBJ for any of the following… Landry, Preston Williams, Gage, MVS, Tre’Quan, or L-Fitz?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Landry

      • 976 says:
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        Thanks!!!

        • MB

          MB says:
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          My pleasure

  5. howie2978 says:
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    Who would you put in Flex this week?

    Moss, Lamb, Boyd, Malcolm Brown.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Malcolm Brown

    • Matt says:
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      Who’s the odd man out in PPR?

      Boyd, Edelman, Hunt

  6. Matt says:
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    Who’s the odd man out in PPR?

    Boyd, Edelman, Hunt

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Edelman

  7. Matt says:
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    Who’s the odd man out in PPR?

    Boyd, Edelman, Hunt

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Triple post, inpressive

  8. Luke says:
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    As a Conner owner would you move Cam Akers for Snell if possible?

    Thanks.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Yeah, only because you have Conner

  9. William Hung says:
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    OBJ coming through tonight

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Eh, kinda

      • The Harrow says:
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        pretty sure the main reason we didn’t hear or see “come get me i can still score TD’s” is since it was the CIN sideline, not most other teams.

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Hahaha right

  10. William Hung says:
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    OBJ coming through tonight

  11. shouldIdoit? says:
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    what would you do?

    2 qb league and my qb ‘s are Watson/ mayfield.
    RB: sanders/ tarik cohen/ jordan howard/ pollard/ scott/ swift
    WR: hopkins/ Chark/ Allen Robinson/ parris campbell
    TE: mark andrews
    d- 49ers

    would you trade deshaun watson and allen robinson for: alvin kamara/ daniel jones/ aj green?

    tua is on waivers and so is ryan fitzpatrick, darnold.. technically its a superflex but I always start a qb.

    thanks

    thanks.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Yeah, I’m making the play for Kamara.

      • Shouldidoit says:
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        Got a counter offer:

        I give mayfield/Allen Robinson/Jordan Howard and Carlos Hyde

        I get

        The buffalo rbs(Singletary/Moss), Teddy bridgewater, aj green.

        Thoughts? I want to pull off one of Howard and Hyde and try to slip in either pollard or a D and I’m thinking of taking it.

        Thanks.

  12. For An Armenianless Vacation Come to Akron says:
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    “Washington is going to have to air it out to keep up with Kyler in this one. I don’t care how improved Washington’s defense is. ”

    if this ends up being false (not saying that’s likely) those football outsiders team D metrics won’t be questioned anymore (re: WAS’s d-line actually IS that sick) and WAS will skyrocket across the industry into top 7 land if not higher for ROS (currently if indexing by top 3 team D’s projectors for ROS they are already 13th)

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Not doubting Was D, just think Ari has a powerhouse passing attack

      • For An Armenianless Vacation Come to Akron says:
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        right, i don’t really think it’s likely WAS does to ARI what they did to PHI (super injured o-line on PHI); but if they do the upward movement in ROS team D rankings will be severe. nobody really seems to believe that level of performance from WAS for fantasy D scoring, yet. i str up dumped MIN (awful secondary, without hunter (back in probably not long) and griffen (left town) and they never really had great LB’s either (e.kendricks ain’t much) for LAR and WAS in one 16 team dynasty (MIN got a -18 last week, almost lost ONLY from that; not a super huge scoring on the positive side usually there, but when you allow 500+ yards and that many points and no sacks and no TO’s, -18) and WAS in other dynasties where i owned MIN for years as solid option. it’s gonna be funny far more often having to watch cousins look flustered as he’ll have to try to win many more games now. he looked like a guy who just arrived his first day in prison in that game (he didn’t throw badly, but he looked like it in face and mannerisms)

        • For An Armenianless Vacation Come to Akron says:
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          it was odd that LAR weren’t already owned in that one spot. and they get the PHI o-line this week (and injured pass catchers)

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Minnesota is in big trouble if they are going to require cousins to earn his contract and go out and win them games without a defense. I’m stacking against Minnesota any time I get the chance to

  13. Marti Harris says:
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    Mike Williams or anthony miller

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Miller

  14. Chucky says:
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    PPR….Shepherd, Bourne or AJ Brown? And thanks

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Bourne

  15. RicoSuave says:
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    Good work MB!

    12 team PPR…

    Now that Kittle is OUT for week 2. I have M Andrews as my Flex (I’ll move him to the TE slot)

    Who should I start in my FLEX spot?

    B. Snell – RB – PIT
    B Aiyuk – WR – SF
    J Brown – WR – BUF
    Lazard – WR – GB

    thanks,

    • MB

      MB says:
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      John Brown for me

  16. Ed says:
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    Very torn about my decision this week. Need 2 wr and a flex out of Thielen, Hilton, Ridley, McLaurin, and marquis brown.

    Also have Melvin Gordon and Marvin Jones but don’t think they’re as viable of options.

    • Ed says:
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      Forgot… ppr

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Thielen and Hilton for sure. And I have to go Ridley >McLaurin based on what Ridley did last week

  17. The sportsguy says:
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    Engram or Graham. Standard

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Engram

  18. JC says:
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    Anthony or Scotty Miller for use during bye weeks later in the year?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Anthony Miller all day

  19. Nick says:
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    Hey man – I’m in a pickle here in week 2 with AJ brown out alongside Crowder & Deebo in my IR slot. I’m starting Julio at wr1 & Metcalf wr2 but that is concerning considering the recent razzball post on shadow coverage & Metcalf v Gilmore was highlighted as a sit but I don’t have that luxury in a 12 team standard league to bench him, so I need my WR3 to put up respectable numbers (7+pts)

    I scooped C Davis to plug in at WR3 but I’m getting cold feet thinking Tenn will just run with Henry all day vs. Jags & leave Tannehill with barely any passes required (can only hope that doesn’t happen & Jags keep it close)…problem is other options not much better, but would you prefer Shenault @ Tenn or K Kirk v Wash? If Jags behind, they will have to throw which is customary for them & would think Shenault could be an option but he is further down the pecking order then Davis…then there is Kirk who had an abysmal week 1 which is either a blimp in the season or a sign of what’s to come?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I’d roll the dice with Shenault personally.

      • Nick says:
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        What about Scotty Miller, do you prefer him over Shenault or C Davis? I’ll probably drop my extra QB for Shenault or Scotty but still unsure if I’m gonna pull the trigger over Davis….

  20. Saint says:
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    Lots of people high on Parris Campbell this week as well. He or Hines in my flex spot this week?

    Thanks in advance for your thoughts

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Love them both, Stacking them in DK. I’d feel safer with Hines in the flex

  21. bastiat says:
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    Zack Moss is the rb with more value in Buffalo i’m guessing & should have a good game in Miami. Do i keep DK Metcalf as my Flex play in full PPR vs the NE defense with Gilmore covering him part of the time, or do i roll with Moss? Also wondering how many touches do you think Miles Sanders gets this week. Thanks!

    • MB

      MB says:
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      If I had a guess, Miles is a full go so 18+. I like Moss for more upside, I suppose.

  22. JC says:
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    Would you trade for Ekeler and Waller giving up Montgomery, Cohen and Higbee? My backfill for the open spot would be Gaskin or stream.

    My team in standard scoring league:
    Dak
    Cook, Taylor, Montgomery
    Julio, Golladay
    Higbee
    Bench: Mattison, Kelley, Cohen
    AJ Green, Lazard, Ant Miller, Lazard

    Part 2: Ant Miller v Giants , Lazard v Lions or Slayton at Bears this week to replace my injured Golladay?

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Big time yes to getting Ekeler and Ant Miller vs. the Giants

  23. Wide Right says:
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    With Godwin out- do I start Preston and Mike Williams in my flex? Either one is probably better than Kelley, who is also on my bench.
    12 team ppr

    • MB

      MB says:
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      Preston

      • Wide Right says:
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        Thanks . Tre’Q Smith and Gage are also on the waiver wire.

        • Wide Right says:
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          So is McKinnon

        • MB

          MB says:
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          Nah.

  24. Mongoose says:
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    Having some trouble deciding who to start but I think you might have some opinions based on this. League is only 8 team, QB, 2 Wr, 2 RB, 1TE, 1 flex, k and d/st, non-PPR.

    I have definite question marks at wr and flex

    Current is:
    Qb: Murray
    Rb: Barkley and Jones
    Wr: McLaurin, kupp
    Te: Andrews
    Flex: j Taylor

    Bench possibilities
    Qb: Rodgers
    Rb: dobbins, Robinson, Hines
    Wr: Diggs, Gallup

    Would you swap any of my starters for bench players here? I’ve been waffling back and forth.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I would keep it as is. Only hesitation is Murray over Rodgers. I think I’d keep Murray in there though

  25. shouldIdoit? says:
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    Hey there,

    a continued comment from above that maybe you didn’t get notified about.

    I initially asked:
    “what would you do?

    2 qb league and my qb ‘s are Watson/ mayfield.
    RB: sanders/ tarik cohen/ jordan howard/ pollard/ scott/ swift
    WR: hopkins/ Chark/ Allen Robinson/ parris campbell
    TE: mark andrews
    d- 49ers

    would you trade deshaun watson and allen robinson for: alvin kamara/ daniel jones/ aj green?

    tua is on waivers and so is ryan fitzpatrick, darnold.. technically its a superflex but I always start a qb.”

    and the person counter offered the following:

    I give: mayfield/ allen robinson/ jordan howard/ carlos hyde
    I get: Bridgewater/ AJ green/ Buffalo backs (singletary/moss)

    I think its fair but giving the best player in the deal away never feels good. I do need RB but what do you think? I was thinking of cutting howard or hyde out of the deal and throwing in a defense instead (49ers). not sure if that moves the needle.

    thanks for your 0.02

    • shouldIdoit? says:
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      i should mention I own JK Dobbins too. still my RB situation is bleak after miles sanders.

      thanks again.

    • MB

      MB says:
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      I thought I had answered this. I would love to trade for Kamara so yes I would do that trade

      I would also take the Bridgewater/Buffalo backs side. I love Robinson but you’re getting the 2nd and 3rd best situations out of the deal. If you were going to swap in the niners, I’d take Howard out of the deal

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