Just one more week until the defense makes an impact on The Stats Machine. With four weeks in the books, I believe that will be enough statistics to make sense of the defensive landscape. In the mean time, let’s power up the old version of The Stats Machine one last time as see what that soon to be deprecated software has got to say about last week. Will it recognize Aaron Rodgers’ five touchdown effort? How about Devonta Freeman’s huge game against the Cowboys? Who does TSM think had a better week, A.J. Green or Julio Jones? Those of you that have noticed that the title was not “Jones Means Go” are one step ahead of the game. And sometimes that’s all that matters. One step.

Note. Scores cannot be compared across positions as each position has a different formula.

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers (Score: 77.8) – Booker T used to shout “I’m the five time, five time, five time, five time WCW Champion” during nearly every interview. I’m thinking Rodgers was declaring something very similar after last week’s game in which he threw for 333 yards and FIVE touchdowns. Now that’s the Aaron Rodgers that everyone drafted. Jordy Nelson who? Rodgers is a stud, and we all know it. Now can you dig it sucka!

Andy Dalton (Score: 71) – The Red Rifle hasn’t been shooting blanks and last week was another example. Dalton threw for 383 yards (more than Rodgers) and 3 touchdowns (less than Rodgers). On the season he has thrown for 866 yards (more than Rodgers) and 8 TDs. Only Rodgers, Tom Brady and Carson Palmer have more. I had a bit more to say about Dalton on Wednesday. You can read that here. I tried to pick him up this week to fill in for Brady, but I was outbid and got stuck with Michael Vick. Yuck!

Running Back (PPR)

Devonta Freeman (Score: 44.75) – Freeman made the most of his opportunity last week with Coleman out. With 141 yards and 3 touchdowns it’s no surprise to find him here. This is one of those examples where TSM is masquerading as Captain Obvious. I’m interested to see what he follows up with this week. In the meantime, he’s another obvious statement, Freeman is a must own. Honorable Mention: Jamaal Charles (Score: 32.36)

Chris Johnson (Score: 29.58) – Here’s what I said the other day. “Six years ago Johnson rushed for 2006 yards, earning the nickname CJ2K. It’s been downhill since then. After last season he should have been renamed CJ600. On 22 attempts he rushed for 110 yards and found the end zone twice. He also had a catch for 40 yards. I don’t trust him, and his opportunities should be short lived with Andre Ellington set to return soon. And let’s not forget about David Johnson. If you have free space on your roster it might not hurt to stash him with Ellington’s injury history, but otherwise I’m don’t expect him to be reliable enough to start unless you absolutely have to.” -me

Running Back

Results are the same as PPR.

Wide Receiver (PPR)

A.J. Green (Score: 55.7) – It’s about time the Green showed up to the party. One more mediocre week and I was about to make a big push to buy low. So much for that opportunity. Ten catches for 227 yards and 2 receiving touchdowns is pretty awesome. Green means go! Honorable Mention: Julio Jones (Score: 51.15)

Rishard Matthews (Score: 36) – Keep an eye on Rishard. He might not know how to spell his first name, but I think he’s going to start making fantasy owners take notice. He could end the season with double digit touchdowns. I’d grab him before it’s too late, which might have happened already.

Wide Receiver

Results are the same as PPR.

Tight End (PPR)

Greg Olsen (Score: 40.4) – Olsen was targeted 11 times last week. That was more than any other tight end. He caught 8 of those passes for 134 yards and 2 touchdowns. He was targeted 14 times the week before. Everything starts with a target. I think we can ignore his week one stats and expect Olsen to be the top three tight end he was drafted as.

Gary Barnidge (Score: 28.65) – Even though he had 10 receptions for 105 yards and a touchdown, I want nothing to do with Gary.

Tight End

Results are the same as PPR.
Here are the top tens based solely on the performances as analyzed by The Stats Machine…

Top 10 QBs

Tom Brady
Aaron Rodgers
Andy Dalton
Cam Newton
Tyrod Taylor
Matt Ryan
Carson Palmer
Marcus Mariota
Russell Wilson
Ryan Tannehill

Top 10 RBs

Le’Veon Bell
Jamaal Charles
Devonta Freeman
Mark Ingram
Latavius Murray
Matt Forte
Dion Lewis
Adrian Peterson
Carlos Hyde
Joseph Randle
Giovani Bernard

Top 10 WRs

Julio Jones
Antonio Brown
Larry Fitzgerald
Keenan Allen
Julian Edelman
Randall Cobb
A.J. Green
Brandon Marshall
DeAndre Hopkins
Steve Smith Sr.

Top 10 TEs

Rob Gronkowski
Travis Kelce
Jordan Reed
Jason Witten
Greg Olsen
Tyler Eifert
Jimmy Graham
Charles Clay
Eric Ebron
Crockett Gillmore

The complete stats (Excel spreadsheet).

 

 

You can follow malamoney on Twitter.

  1. fabuloso10 says:
    (link)

    What are your thoughts on this trade? 12 Team 0.5 PPR

    I get Andrew Luck & Donte Moncrief for Karlos Williams, Brandon Marshall & Eli Manning.

    Currently have Eli, Taylor and Bradford at QB
    RB’s are Williams, J Stewart, Ivory, D Martin, R Hillman, and Melvin Gordon
    WR’s are Antonio Brown, AJ Green, Fitz and Marshall

    Thanks in advance.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @fabuloso10: I think your running back situation stinks. As long as McCoy is out, Williams might be your best RB after Ivory. It’s a fair trade though…

    • STL says:
      (link)

      @fabuloso10: I would have stayed to course as well. Your QB situation wasn’t bad with Eli and Tyrod.

  2. Duck butta says:
    (link)

    12 team 1 pt ppr

    My: Melvin Gordon, Marvin Jones, Eric Ebron
    For
    Their: Jimmy Graham and Hankerson(throw in)

    Left with Forte, Woodhead, JStew, Spiller, A. Andrews, Rawls. Last two are bums, I know.

    Thoughts, Thanks!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Duck butta: Seems fair. I’m just not as high on Graham this year in Seattle as others. I’m not sure I’d give up my #2 RB, but it wouldn’t be the worst deal…

  3. Zandy says:
    (link)

    Std league
    QB: Rivers
    WR: Demaryius Julio
    RB: Foster Gore
    Flex: Jstew
    Te: Delanie
    bench: ARob, Jbrown, Dion Lewis, Matt jones, bilal, taliaferro, Dunbar, cook (te bye fill in)

    Would you rather send Foster or Gore for Hilton and Ivory?
    OR
    Send Foster, Jstew, Demaryius for JCharles, Hilton?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Zandy: Foster OR Gore or Foster AND Gore? If “or”, then I would send either of them for Hilton and Ivory. I would make the second trade too. Leaning to the second one. Can you do:

      Foster, Gore, JStew and Demaryius for Charles, Ivory, Hilton and small piece? Combine the trades…

      • Zandy says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: it is “or” so ill go for trade 2 first. thanks!

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Zandy: Ok. Let me know how it goes…

          • Zandy says:
            (link)

            @malamoney: whats your rank order foster, gore, ivory, jstew? or you like ivory more than gore?

            • Zandy says:
              (link)

              @Zandy: ahhh ended up just sending foster for ivory, hilton and rudolph… now working on gore, arob, delanie for lacy…. will keep you updated

              • malamoney

                malamoney says:
                (link)

                @Zandy: Good stuff…

  4. Zandy says:
    (link)

    i mean if you simplify – assuming you do trade 1, it’s basically Demaryius, JStew, Ivory for Charles which I think is good?

  5. Pete says:
    (link)

    Does anyone else think Devon Smith is a bold and steal for 2nd half of the season?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Pete: I don’t know about a steal, but if you have room to stash him and still navigate bye weeks, it couldn’t hurt…

  6. Pete says:
    (link)

    Ivory, Duke Johnson or Sproles this week. PPR

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Pete: Ivory if he is playing…

  7. G-man says:
    (link)

    Is luck and foster too much for AJ green? My best recievers are K. Allen, B. Marshall, and J. Landry. My RBs are Lacy, Peterson, Ivory, K. Williams, and M Jones. I could pick up Taylor tannehill or Dalton to replace luck… Maybe even trade for Matt Ryan. Am I better off holding? It’s kinda a shallow league

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @G-man: It’s a bit much…

  8. Pete says:
    (link)

    If you can get someone in addition to Green I’d do that deal and pick up Taylor AND Dalton and stream the qb position

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Pete: That’s good advice…

  9. Jerry says:
    (link)

    Hey, Malamoney! Chris Sims, Antonio Andrews, or Rawls for ros? Also, Kap, Bortles or Alex Smith for ros? Thanks and enjoy the weekend!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Jerry: Andrews…

  10. Jerry says:
    (link)

    Ok, thanks! Would you take Andrews over David Johnson for ros?
    Also, what Bortles or Alex ros?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Jerry: Andrews

  11. BillieBeeen says:
    (link)

    14team-2QB-4keeperLg. I have MtRyan and Bradford. Should I add Sanchez or Manziel to bench?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @BillieBeeen: Not really…

  12. Ken dean says:
    (link)

    Trade forsett for green? Lacy for green? Or lacy for green n let’s say Reuben randle?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Ken dean: Forsett yes. Lacy probably not. Unless you are very deep at RB and weak at WR…

  13. Mike says:
    (link)

    Would u trade Chris Ivory for John Brown?
    Standard league
    I have Dez..so been guessing

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Mike: Depends on the rest of your RB and WR…

  14. Killer Joe says:
    (link)

    It is so awesome that you included Booker T in this article. I love Booker T forever!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Killer Joe: BOOKER T!!!!!

  15. Jerry says:
    (link)

    Thanks! One more question. Theo Riddick, Ruben Randle or David Johnson for ros?

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Jerry: Probably Randle. I’m not sure what Victor Cruz is going to be able to do whenever he gets out there…

  16. Jerry says:
    (link)

    Forgot to mention, that it’s a full point ppr league.

  17. Nick says:
    (link)

    Hey Malamoney, in a 10-team standard scoring league, would you continue to stash J Thomas as backup to my M Bennett or grab A Gates (back week 5, J Thomas likely out week 5), Rudolph, D Allen, Fleener, R Rodgers, Ebron, V Davis or O Daniels?

    Than for week 4 would you go DeMarco at flex if he starts, or throw in Marvin Jones? I have AP/J Randle at RB1/2 & Ty/Amari/Garcon at WR1/2/3 with M Jones, Hankerson, Tre Mason, J Thomas, J Bell & T Taylor riding the bench..

    Also, drop & upgrade any of my bench (specifically J Bell or Tre Mason) for A Andrews, D Johnson Jr, C Michael or Dunbar? I have Peyton at QB, STL D & Tucker as K, that should be my whole roster mentioned above for reference…

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Nick: What up. I’d take Rudolph. I’d start Murray if he plays. I’d probably drop Bell for Andrews.

      • Nick says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: You think Rudolph would be more enticing week in week out to play over Martellus Bennett, as opposed to Gates or J Thomas who could realistically be a top 8 TE…potentially? I suppose Rudolph has had a good amount of targets but Bridgewater has not been very solid for any of his receiving core…

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Nick: I’m going with Bennett out of all of them. Rudolph second…

  18. Rainy says:
    (link)

    How bad did I screw up? 14-teamer, .5 PPR, traded my Ameer Abdullah AND Pierre Garcon for Jarvis Landry.

    Garcon was kinda a throw-in, but regretting the trade given Ameer’s upside and the low ceiling on Landry. My initial logic was I liked my team and I wanted a high-floor, stable WR2, but thinking I overpaid. Thoughts?

    Team here:

    QB- Dalton, Taylor, Mariota
    RB- Charles, Foster, Gore, Rawls
    WR- Green, Landry, Allen Robinson
    TE – Eifert

    • Nick says:
      (link)

      @Rainy: ouch, I do not like that…Landry is definitely an upgrade over Garcon when D Jax gets back but Ameer looks to have stolen that RB1 spot in Detroit (unless he loses a few fumbles, then the Lions will be forced to use Bell or someone else occasionally)

      • Nick says:
        (link)

        @Nick: Would have preferred to have Ameer to flex if Foster goes down this season after he returns…not to mention Gore is old….hopefully you can scour the waiver wire to stash an RB for the future

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Rainy: I’m not a fan of that trade…

      • Rainy says:
        (link)

        @malamoney:

        Well thank you both for confirming my regret. Oh well. Kind of bummed. I honestly forgot I even proposed it a couple days ago when it was accepted today.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Rainy: Sorry man. Feel free to run trade offers by me here ahead of time…

  19. friar says:
    (link)

    Hey Malamoney, in my 14-team non-ppr league, I ended up drafting two top QBs (Luck and Brady) and, with the rash of QB injuries, this seems like as good a chance as any to cash in on one of those guys in a trade. My plan was to use Luck this week with Brady on bye, and then trade Luck and roll with Brady for the rest of the season.

    I offered another owner Luck and Carlos Hyde in exchange for Megatron and Dion Lewis. I figured Lewis and Hyde have roughly even trade values (although I prefer Lewis ROS since I’m worried Hyde will put up duds whenever the 49ers lose) and was hoping Luck and Calvin would be roughly comparable as early-rounders who have been disappointing. The other owner countered with the same deal, subbing Brady in for Luck.

    My first impulse is to not do the trade, since I think Brady will be the better QB (and will be past his bye!) and I’d rather trade Luck, but am I getting greedy here? There are limited opportunities to get top RB/WR talent back in exchange for a QB, so maybe I should just be happy with this offer and do the deal. What do you think?

    Roster (start 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 flex)
    QB: Brady, Luck
    RB: Anderson, Hyde, Ellington, Sproles, Rawls
    WR: Steve Smith, James Jones, Moncrief, Wallace, Hankerson
    TE: Bennett

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @friar: I don’t like it. Luck and Hyde should be able to get you a top tier RB.

      • friar says:
        (link)

        @malamoney: Would you recommend I target a top tier RB as my top priority? My thinking was that my WRs are actually weaker at the top, so getting Calvin Johnson (plus a slight RB upgrade) felt like a good use of my extra QB, but I may be irrationally optimistic to think I’m going to get anything decent out of Anderson and I might really need to focus on getting a true RB1.

        Do you think the current offer (Brady + Hyde = Calvin + Lewis) is bad value for me, or just not the right kind of move I should be pursuing?

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @friar: I’m not feeling Calvin Johnson. And Lewis loses a fair amount of value in a non-PPR league. I’d move Ellington before Hyde. In a non-PPR league, a top RB is more valuable than a top WR…

          • friar says:
            (link)

            @malamoney: This same owner also has Latavius Murray and Randall Cobb. Does introducing either/both of those players into the equation help come up with a counter-offer that you’d recommend?

            I’ll confess to having two distinct fears that are biasing me toward a trade:
            1) Even in a 14-team league where decent QBs are harder to find on waivers, people are reluctant to give up top RBs (of which there are precious few this year) or top WRs in exchange for a QB, so I’m worried passing on this potential trade partner might leave me stuck with a valuable asset I can’t get into my lineup.
            2) It’s hard to know at this point, but I’m starting to think there’s a very real chance the 49ers are TERRIBLE and will spend most weeks playing catch-up, while Hyde does nothing.
            If you think those fears are misplaced, I can be convinced to be a bit more patient and wait for a better offer. Thanks so much for all your analysis and advice!

            • malamoney

              malamoney says:
              (link)

              @friar: I’d rather have Hyde than Lewis in a non-PPR league. Your concerns about the 49ers is valid, but I don’t think it will destroy Hyde’s value. Perhaps Luck, Ellington and Jones for Latavius and Cobb?

              • friar says:
                (link)

                @malamoney: Thanks for the suggestion (and semi-reassurance about Hyde)! I’ll feel him out on that possibility.

                Also, looking for other potential trade partners, I found someone with a weak QB situation and, while I kind of doubt he’d go for it, I’m contemplating offering Luck and Hyde for Bell. Is that the kind of deal you’d suggest I look for? Would it just be insulting to offer Ellington and Luck instead there?

                • malamoney

                  malamoney says:
                  (link)

                  @friar: Yes, that is the kind of deal I am looking for. Start with Ellington and allow him to work up to Hyde. But be sure to make him think you feel you are giving up too much by including Hyde…

                  • friar says:
                    (link)

                    @malamoney: Alternately, I could start with Hyde and also ask him include another piece (I have my eye on John Brown, his third receiver behind Jeffery and Cooper). Thoughts on which is the better strategy?

                    (also, thanks so much for all your help with this! it’s truly invaluable to be able to bounce trade ideas off someone else)

                    • malamoney

                      malamoney says:
                      (link)

                      @friar: While I’d prefer to start with Ellington, the problem is that he’s been out due to injury and his value has taken a hit. Had he been playing, it would be a different story. I’m pretty sure he won’t do Luck and Ellington for Bell, but I’d still start there. Then move to Hyde. If he bites, I’d take it, but if you think you can get more then go for it. I own Brown in my main league…

  20. Dom B says:
    (link)

    Hey would you trade Keenan Allen for CJ Anderson.

    My Roster
    QB Phillip Rivers
    RB Leveon Bell
    RB Latavius Murray
    WR Julio Jones
    WR AJ Green
    TE Jason Witten
    Flex Steve Smith
    Bench
    QB Eli Manning
    RB Jonathan Stewart
    RB Gio Bernard
    WR Keenan Allen
    WR John Brown
    TE Crockett Gilmore

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
      (link)

      @Dom B: Not in your situation…

      • Dom B says:
        (link)

        Hey what is my “situation” like what do you mean

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
          (link)

          @Dom B: Allen helps you more than Anderson would. You are not in dire need of a running back. Especially one that has bust written all over him…

Comments are closed.