FINALLY!!! The defense has come to The Stats Machine! For the past many weeks I have been promising an updated algorithm in which opposing the defense is accounted for. Today I deliver on that promise. The premise is simple. All offensive performances will be weighted based on the ranking of the defense against which they posted said performance. Defenses have been ranked by the following four categories. Passing yards allowed vs QB. Rushing yards allowed vs RB. Receiving yards allowed vs WR. And receiving yards allowed vs TE. If one team allowed jus a few yards less than the next, but has given up several more touchdowns to a give position, I have swapped them in the rankings. With that preamble out of the way, let’s get to it.

dfence

Note. Scores cannot be compared across positions as each position has a different formula. Also, this week’s scores cannot be compared to past week’s scores as they did not include defensive adjustments.

Quarterback

Josh McCown (Score: 80.34) – Josh McCown? Really? You know it. With 356 passing yards, only Alex Smith (386), Drew Brees (359) and Philip Rivers (358) threw for more yards. Top it off with 2 passing touchdowns and he finds himself as the top QB in week 4 according to TSM.

Philip Rivers (Score: 76.06) – Anyone know which quarterback went up against Josh McCown last week? That would be Philip Rivers. Rivers threw for 358 yards and 3 touchdowns. Wait a minute! So you’re telling me that Rivers threw for more yards (2) and more touchdowns (1), yet McCown has scored higher? Is the math broken? Nope. This is the effect of defense. The Chargers are stronger against opposing quarterbacks than the Browns. San Diego is ranked 10th, while Cleveland is ranked 21st. This difference is the reason TSM has declared McCown the winner.

Honorable Mention: Sam Bradford (75.95) and Drew Brees (75.87).

Running Back (PPR)

Devonta Freeman (Score: 43.83) – I feel like it was only a week ago that I was pumping up this guy. Wait, it was. Last week he rushed for 3 touchdowns. This week he rushed for 3 more. Any chance he does it again next week? Doubtful. While Freeman only mustered 68 yards, he also caught 5 passes for 81 more. And if I have my intel correct, Terron Ward actually carried the ball 19 times for 72 yards. The majority of his carries, however, came once the game was already out of hand and Freeman could relax.

Le’Veon Bell (Score: 43.74) – Bell surely is the real deal. Well I guess that is actually Evander Holyfield, but you get the point. Le’Veon has quickly reminded us why he is such a coveted RB1 in which many were willing to draft in the first round despite being suspended for two games. On 22 carries he managed 129 yards and a score. He also contributed in the passing game by reeling in 7 catches for another 21 yards. That equates to a lot of small receptions, and in PPR-formats that’s a good thing.

Honorable Mention: Doug Martin (39.11), Jamaal Charles (35.37) and Mark Ingram (34.93).

Running Back

Devonta Freeman (Score:43.58) – See above.

Le’Veon Bell (Score: 35.48) – See above.

Honorable Mention: Doug Martin (33.75).

In standard formats Chris Ivory (29.12) had the second best score before defense was factored in. While he rushed for 166 yards, he did so against the Miami Dolphins who are giving up 133.5 rushing yards per game. This is the second worst in the league.

Wide Receiver (PPR)

Jeremy Maclin (Score: 53.40) – Considering Alex Smith threw for 386 yards, it’s not a surprise to see his favorite target here. Maclin caught 11 of 13 targets for 148 yards, with 102 yards after the catch, and was his second 140+ yard game in a row. Over the first four games he is averaging 10 targets, 7 catches and 99.5 yards. It looks like he will be just fine in Kansas City.

Vincent Jackson (Score: 52.81) – My cousin Vinny led all receivers in targets last week with 15. He caught two thirds of them. For those that need help with the math, he had 10 receptions. He also had 147 yards and a touchdown. It was Jackson’s first solid game of the season. You obviously have to own him, but I don’t know if you have to start him.

Honorable Mention: DeAndre Hopkins (49.90), Tavon Austin (48.27) and Allen Hurns (46.78).

Wide Receiver

Tavon Austin (Score: 33.55) – Unlike Maclin and Jackson, Austin had only 96 yards receiving on just 6 catches and 7 targets. Austin, however, managed to convert 2 of those receptions into touchdowns. Considering his first three games were crap, I’m not very excited about this guy. And while he is tied for the lead in receptions (14) on the season for the Rams, Benny Cunningham is second with 12. No thanks.

Vincent Jackson (Score: 28.84) – See above.

Honorable Mention: Jeremy Maclin (27.69), Allen Hurns (25.46), DeAndre Hopkins (24.35) and Leonard Hankerson (23.18).

Tight End (PPR)

Coby Fleener (Score: 43.25) – Last week Fleener caught 9 of 12 targets for 83 yards and a score. As I mentioned on Wednesday, Fleener is only useful when Dwyane Allen is out. Otherwise you just don’t know what you are going to get. Last night he had just 2 catches for 9 yards. And with Andrew Luck out, you can forget about Fleener.

Charles Clay (Score: 42.36) – Clay had 9 receptions on 13 targets for 111 yards. So far CC, not the overweight drunk one, has put up decent fantasy numbers in his last three games. I tried to grab him this week as a bye week fill in for Greg Olsen, but I didn’t win the waiver claim. Looks like it will be Larry Donnell for me.

Honorable Mention: Martellus Bennett (40.20).

Tight End

Coby Fleener (Score: 31.65) – See above.

Charles Clay (Score: 29.00) – See above.

Honorable Mention: Martellus Bennett (28.43).

Well there you have it. The first edition of The Stats Machine as influenced by the defense. (Excel Download) TSM weekly rankings are still being calculated as I have to go back and factor in the defensive adjustments for the first three weeks. If you smell what The Stats Machine is cooking!

 

 

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  1. Vinny the Gooch says:
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    10 no ppr

    Start 2 rb, 1 flex

    Options are

    C Hyde
    L Murray
    CJ2K
    Boobie
    T Benjamin
    Stevie Johnson

    Thanks in advance

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Vinny the Gooch: Murray, Bobbie and Benjamin. If Ellington wasn’t back I’d say CJ2K over Boobie. But as long as McCoy and Williams are out, I’m going with Boobie against TEN…

  2. Rags says:
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    Standard scoring. Give up my Hill and a lotto ticket for Calvin Johnson and CJ Anderson?

    I feel Hill has to improve and I’m not as sure about Megatron (the O-line’s fault more than his) or CJ.

    My team is full of RB3/WR3 (Stewart, Miller, Andrews, Cooks, Robinson) types but somehow I’ve started 3-1 and am projected to win this week. I feel like I have to upgrade my team somehow to compete with the big boys, but not sure how to do it.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Rags: What does your full roster look like?

  3. omar says:
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    Who to plug in at flex this week. Standard scoring:

    Blount vs. Cowboys
    Hillman vs. Raiders
    Abdullah vs. Cardinals

    Thanks!

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @omar: I think Blount has the best chance of scoring a touchdown…

  4. Nick says:
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    Hey bud, with both K Williams & McCoy out, would you grab Boobie to plug in over DeMarco/J Randle or Hankerson? I’m liking Hank with Julio questionable & DeMarco is cleared from injury report so I’m hesitant to pull either, but Randle v. Pats is interesting….Here is my roster for week 5;

    QB-Peyton
    WR-Ty/Amari/Garcon
    RB-DeMarco/J Randle
    TE- M Bennett
    Flex-Hankerson
    Bench-AP(bye), T Taylor, Gates, Marvin Jones, Joique Bell, Duke Johnson
    K-Tucker
    D-Ravens

    Who would you drop if you think Boobie worth a plug-in for 1 week? 10 team-standard scoring

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Nick: I’m not starting Boobie over any of those players…

      • Nick says:
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        @malamoney: Hes dealing with a calf injury but not serious…who do you drop, Joique? & than Ill leave a claim in for D Adams over Tate, right?

        THen, start DeMarco/Boobie & flex Hankerson? Leaving Gates,, Duke Johnson on bench

        • Nick says:
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          @Nick: sorry read that wrong, thought you would start him. never mind lol

          • malamoney

            malamoney says:
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            @Nick: No worries…

  5. Velocity_X says:
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    With Luck out, I can either play Cutler or drop Cutler to pick up McCown – I’m worried about Cutler with the Chiefs D at home and all the injuries to the Bears.

    Also, in a PPR I need 3 WRs: Kamar Aiken, Travis Benjamin, Golden Tate, Cole Beasley, and Marvin Jones.

    Thanks.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Velocity_X: KC has given up 311 yards passing per game this season. Only two teams have been worse (Oakland and NYG). They are giving up 2.8 passing TD’s per game. That is the most of any team. As much as I dislike Cutler, I am going with Cutler over McCown.

      Benjamin, Beasley and Tate. I want to say Aiken over Tate, but I am going to stick with Tate…

      • Velocity_X says:
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        @malamoney: Appreciate the insight. Your WR analysis is my struggle. I like Beasley a lot this week in PPR. Really want to leave Aiken in and hope he sees a lot of targets as WR1, especially over Tate’s recent track record.

        • malamoney

          malamoney says:
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          @Velocity_X: If you want to take a shot on Aiken, that wouldn’t be a horrible idea. I’d probably go with Tate, but I can see the reasoning for Aiken…

  6. Dom B says:
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    Would you trade Leveon Bell for Jamal Charles stright up.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Dom B: Is it a PPR league?

    • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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      @Dom B: don’t in either, charles numerous times last year only got 14 or less carries, that coach isn’t bright. those were mostly close games too.

  7. Butterfield says:
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    1) Cooper for Woodhead and Moncrief?
    2) Cooper for Woodhead and Cooks?

    • Butterfield says:
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      @Butterfield: 0.25 ppr.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Butterfield: Depends. Preseason I would have jumped at the deal with Cooks. I still expect him to turn things around. But it also depends on the rest of your team. Would you start both Woodhead and Cooks? Who are your other wide receivers and running backs?

  8. Sean Don says:
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    I have 2 questions
    Pick 2 players to start in a 1.5 ppr rawls duke and snead
    My other question is if i should drop any of julius ryan matthews sproles rawls or snead to stash dorial green-beckham i have eifert at te n gurley karlos shady n duke at rb

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Sean Don: Duke and Snead. I wouldn’t be against dropping Julius Thomas for him. DGB usage has been pretty minimal, but he does have 2 touchdowns. When Thomas returns he will still have Clay Harbor to share with. Besides, I really like Eifert and would be starting him every week except his bye week…

  9. Dom B says:
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    Standard league would you trade My Leveon Bell for his Jamal Charles

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Dom B: It’s almost six of one, half dozen of another. If I had to pick one I’d go with Charles in a standard league…

    • FrankGrimes says:
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      @Dom B:
      No way dude
      Bell is the number fantasy player
      Charles with andy Reid and Alex smith yikes!!!

      • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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        @FrankGrimes: grimey is right here too. 6 or 7 games last year reid gave charles 14 or less carries. yikes.

  10. Champ says:
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    .5 PPR – Who you got?

    Garcon @ ATL or Rawls @ CIN? Lynch is out Week 5

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Champ: Probably Garcon….

  11. Jerry says:
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    Hey, Malamoney! Ty Montgomery or Green Beckham for ros? Thanks and enjoy the weekend!

    • FrankGrimes says:
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      @Jerry:
      Beckham could eat Ty for lunch.

    • malamoney

      malamoney says:
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      @Jerry: Beckham…

  12. Jerry says:
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    Lol! Well, I guess I know who you like ros.

  13. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    not just first round, in PPR’s Bell went in top 4 picks. i saw some standards with him in top 5 as well, but not always.

Comments are closed.