The start of this week had no RB value and it just looked like a stuff Gurley, Zeek and McCaffrey into lineups week, but that’s the fun of the NFL. We saw the Browns make a good trade and get rid of Hyde to let Chubb and Duke run wild (though i’m still skeptical that coaching staff can figure out how to use those two). Theo Riddick is out, opening up Kerryon Johnson as a 3-down back and I became way more OK with Peyton Barber value as the week progressed. All this value opening up combined with a lot of the elite RBs not being on the main slate means that we might, for the first time, all season, have a WR in the flex and win the million dollars. So while normally I’d say if you’re rolling a WR in flex in FanDuel GPPs, it’s 100% wrong, the lack of stone cold locks at RB this week means you can probably get away with a WR and in fact you could conceivably place high and maybe even win. But if one or two of the value RBs go off, you’re going to need them and odds are your WR-as-flex GPP is in a boatload of trouble.

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If you saw the arguments this week on twitter, then you know there’s a question. Does defense matter for overall fantasy production? Most of the reason why people say defense doesn’t matter is because the way we measure defense is pretty terrible, and until we can measure true talent defense much better, the appearance of being a good or bad defense is super noisy and the amount of signal there is very very low. And in terms of how to predict the production for fantasy, teams vary what they do (and some teams do this randomly and are bad at it), and you would need to know what their scheme is and what player(s) they plan to exploit, and then the adjustments on the initial game plan come into play. If you have that information, first, please share it with me, and second, you’d probably be able to obliterate DFS (and Vegas, for that matter). But if you have that information, you’re not reading this article right now. So for those of you without it – let’s attack this slate with what we do know – namely, #NeverRun, offenses score points when they throw a lot, and one of the only ways we legitimately do see defenses mattering is in pass rush versus protection – it’s hard to score points when you’re being thrown down to the ground before you can throw a pass. 

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Some of the players on this list are overstaying their welcome. I’m looking at you Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins. I wish they’d bring back the probable injury status. It would make my job a lot easier. Because 75% of the guys on this list are probable — just resting. Sterling […]

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Well, the first 3 weeks have just flown by and we’re almost done with Alvin Kamara as the solo RB on a team that throws 44 times a game, along with Michael Thomas ridiculous more TDs than incompletions. And even though you may think you know exactly what’s going to happen, projections like the ones here at Razzball will do a few things. First, they give you that base you need to make sure you’re not doing anything wildly stupid. Secondly, they give you options and other play ideas. You’ll notice that a sometimes I say that Rudy’s projections love a guy, and i’m not sure why but we go with it anyway. It’s because the projections take into account way more variables than our human brains can. The other thing that we’ve seen from the first 3 weeks, and it meshes with my philosophy – #NeverRun #AirRaid.

On to the picks…

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Another slow evolution of this column — now I’m listing every player who is questionable or doubtful and I’ll be filing them under “Would Start” or “Wouldn’t Start.” Many of these “questionable” designations are just formalities, but they should be ready to go. However, some of them, like Kelvin Benjamin should be ready to go — but I don’t know if you should be starting him even if he was 3,000% healthy. They’re also all sorted alphabetically so just slowly scan through each section with your fingers crossed that your player is filed under the “Would Start” heading.

If you’ve got specific questions about any of your players feel free to drop a comment or follow me on Twitter to throw a question my way: @KerryKlug

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The Juice is loose in this week’s Ditka pod as the guys profile new Cleveland Browns stud Jarvis Landry during the wide receivers preview episode. B_Don and Donkey Teeth also take a close look at evil Packer Randall Cobb and wide-awake sleeper Keelan Cole.

In addition, the sausageers dig deep into their respective 2018 wide receiver rankings which can be viewed below. Find out which receivers to draft and which to avoid here:

The 2 mustache aficionados also make a couple stogie bets with Michael Crabtree over/under 7.5 TDs and Jarvis Landry a top 20 WR in standard.

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Week 1 of the preseason is just two games away from being in the books. What a ride it has been! That felt real right? Don’t worry, we are less than a month from meaningful win loss records. The football being played now IS meaningful. I wouldn’t be posting this if it wasn’t. There are always Easter eggs hidden in preseason games when it comes to position battles, snap shares, and performance. We also have to address a devastating injury so I’ll start there…

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Zach and I’s great pal Josh Sperry joined us to talk about the AFC North. Who better to talk to about Le’veon Bell than a Steeler’s fan?! We also talk about Joe Mixon, Lamar Jackson, Alex Collins, Joe Flacco, Tyrod Taylor, Nick Chubb, Josh Gordon, Jarvis Landry, Carlos Hyde, and Michael Crabtree, Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, A.J. Green, and Ju-Ju Smith-Schuster.

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In the golden age of rookie production in the NFL, it’s only right that I give them their own article. We had two rookies finish in the top 10 in the 2017 season and neither of them were Christian McCaffery or Leonard Fournette. Kareem Hunt, who finished #9, made a late push in the 2017 fantasy draft season at the expense of Spencer Ware’s season ending injury. When it was all said and done, Hunt was going in the third and fourth round in a lot of leagues.

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