Welcome to Razzball’s dedicated gambling column-Teasers and Pleasers! Each Thursday during the NFL season, at 11:00 am EST, TnP will post our top bets for the upcoming week. Just sit back and win some money with us in 2020.

We received some great feedback in the comments section last regarding updating the picks on Saturday or Sunday when injuries are clearer. I will be doing that via Twitter and commenting below this article with any injury-related adjustments to the Best Bets. Thank you all for following along all season, you are one of the MANY resources used to make these selections, but most of the key ones can be found here at Razzball.

Whether you play fantasy football or are in the business of making player prop bets, Rudy Gamble’s Razzball Membership Tools are a must-have. He is giving away a FREE 7-day trial of all the tools you need to cash this week!

Now let’s get to it! Week 15 picks for your betting pleasure.

Buffalo Bills @ Denver Broncos 12/19/2020 4:30 pm EST. BUF -6.5

The Broncos secondary has taken its lumps in 2020. A once vaunted unit, is now a target to attack. That is exactly what Josh Allen and the Bills receivers are going to do on Saturday. Buffalo’s stellar offensive line play will once again give their QB time to throw; that is more bad news for Denver. Drew Lock has been Jeckyl and Hyde for the mile-high footballers. I have no idea what to expect from him in this contest. Public bettors are still not on this Bills team, which has turned into a winning culture. Hovering under that magic number 7 at 6.5 is just right for Buffalo on national TV.

Seattle SeahawksWashington Football Team 12/20/2020 1:00 pm EST. SEA -6

Washington has outplayed its expected progress under Ron Rivera this season. They come into this contest with their star running back, Antonio Gibson questionable. Their quarterback, Alex Smith is also not a lock to start. Those are too many questions for the Football Team who faces a Seattle squad getting healthy to make another playoff run. Russell Wilson will. not take Washington lightly, after already being picked off by the Giants earlier this season. The advanced line was far better, but I still like it at 6.

New York Jets @ Los Angeles Rams 12/20/2020 4:05 pm EST. LAR -17

Seventeen is an enormous line for an NFL game, but is this really a game between two professional teams? Los Angeles has a devastating defensive front and New York will be without key pieces of their offensive line. The coaching edge is clear, McVay in a landslide, plus he had the extra time to prepare. Besides the Jets getting some wideouts healthy, there isn’t much in their favor right now. They have their eyes on the number one pick and this is just another step in that process. This is the largest NFL spread I have bet, ever. However, I am surprisingly confident it will be in the clear for most of the contest.

Happy tailing and HAPPY HOLIDAYS, TnPers!

Follow along on Twitter @Razzball and @FantasyTriage for the latest NFL gambling advice. 

  1. Mantis Tobaggan MD says:
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    i’m gonna go ahead and bet you aren’t a pro in this stuff, almost none of those guys take large road favs, and super huge favs too. they’d just sit out a week if those were the best options which they might be here, not arguing that). i also am NOT claiming to be a pro, however, when i DID bet a LOT of games (i mean like i’d bet sometimes literally every game) and i lost just plain tons on such thoughts as “of course team x is just far better than team y, they can cover that much (even though i fully knew it’s hard to lay that much on road), how unlucky can i possibly be to lose like 3+ of those type bets in a row in same day? “(answer: its very easy to lose 3+ road favs of 6+ pts in same day, very very)

    • Mantis Tobaggan MD says:
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      that’s the thing though, while sure NYJ don’t want to WIN that game, losing by say 16 is easily acceptable to them (assuming they can do that). i would agree that the LAR -17 is the best of the 3 shown above though, then BUF, then SEA. if LAR don’t cover it’ll be from something like they only scored like 23 themselves and had TO’s (and anybody that’s owned goff in the last 3 years can tell you how often he just shows up in a game and completely, utterly sucks for reasons you couldn’t imagine happening before you watched it happen (the reverse too, him doing well in spots where it’s easy to assume he wouldn’t))

      • Aaron Pags

        Aaron Pags says:
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        Hi Mantis, thanks for following along. While I agree with you on road dogs of 6 or more points being a nice target, this week those home teams are dealing with significant injuries. While the whales may miss the injury reports regarding lineman, that’s something I weigh heavily in my evaluations each week. Likewise, a superior passing game vs a devastated secondary is usually a good recipe. I appreciate your candor on how difficult it is to beat the spread. If you’ve been following for the last 14 weeks, wagering equally on all of my Best Bets, you have profited. I hope that’s the case. Either way, let’s hope this “non pro” approach keeps making profits. Best of luck!

        • Mantis Tobaggan MD says:
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          i wasn’t suggesting the column has no positive worth, by no means, it’s a good column. what it seems here is an early line situation, or somehow that those who make the lines weren’t aware of these secondary members being out or likely out. or they did and still knew the public wouldn’t value that much. having not followed the line movements in these can’t say for sure.

          – not 100% sure on this either, but i’m guessing most of your BB weren’t large road favs. the whales certainly miss the secondary injuries likely, those who make the lines don’t. likely they can inflate lines or start them large in the first place fully knowing the biggest whale and public weakness is overvaluing favorites, that and popular teams will be bet almost without caring about how big a spread is (you mentioning LAR -17 being the biggest fav you’ve ever bet got me thinking about that NYG/NE super bowl and it’s what 12 spread or was it bigger; pretty sure anybody at that time that knew football pretty well knew NYG with their very good D/running game/momentum (they had to win like 7 in a row and a ton of road games to even make playoffs) at the time shouldn’t be that big a dog, yet the public didn’t mind paying it since NE was so well known great team at the time)

          • Aaron Pags

            Aaron Pags says:
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            You are spot on with your analysis of fewer 6+ point home favorites being in the BB articles in the previous 14 weeks. My system relies heavily on the injuries. When considering the books, I don’t. Their job is not to get the game right. They need equal action. So, I create my own lines and typically suggest the ones with the greatest discrepancies. I did mention that extreme number because, as human, my subconscious has power. It keeps me away from large spreads. I truly appreciate your feedback and interest. Let’s beat the books again this week.

            • Mantis Tobaggan MD says:
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              – here, i didn’t actually go look them up (but do read everything here so memory probably helped a bit) “You are spot on with your analysis of fewer 6+ point home favorites being in the BB articles in the previous 14 weeks. ” it’s just hard to find a likely situation where the 2-3 best bets out of any week are those with large favs.

              – here: “When considering the books, I don’t. Their job is not to get the game right. They need equal action.” this is usually exactly right (esp a super large handle game, say super bowl or playoff games). but they do cheat a bit to exploit the market sometimes too, knowing what the real line should be objectively.

              – here: “So, I create my own lines and typically suggest the ones with the greatest discrepancies.” yep, best idea on what to do, and exactly what the pros do do.

              – yeah a lot of the time the only real values are either on earliest lines or latest lines.

              • Mantis Tobaggan MD says:
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                yikes, i’m guessing in last longer leagues at least 70% of remaining owners went out with both LAR and PIT losing to 2/3 of the worst teams in the league, with most of the survivors going against JAX.

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