The sun rises over the majestic mountain range, illuminating the frost into countless diamonds. The air is crisp and clean and there is motion all around your tent. The energy is palpable and you take a deep breath, stepping into the cold morning. The warm scent of freshly brewed coffee drifts into your nostrils as I jam a loaded backpack in your gut and tell you you’re the last one up. “Breakfast is over, make sure you wear double socks” I say, strapping a ladder to a sleeping bag.

Don’t worry, this is how week 1 feels for most of us. All the anticipation, planning, and training doesn’t mean a thing once you head out on the trail. Week 1 was full of rookie WRs making a statement despite limited preseason buzz. Conversely, exciting rookie running backs flopped and split time, leaving managers rattled as we look forward to week 2. There was expected carnage, although congrats to the half of you that walked away 1-0.

The journey has just begun and the name of the game is adjustments. Each week, I will list intriguing players owned in no more than 30% of leagues per ESPN. For a primer on additional roster management and waiver wire principals read this. At the end I will also point out some players that can be safely dropped for a better option.

Priority will be classified in 4 ways:

HIGH – immediate starter on most teams and trade bait at worst; be aggressive!

MEDIUM – probable FLEX-level starter right now; add if you have need at the position.

LOW – still a lottery ticket, but showing signs of growth; add if you have bench room.

FREE – likely can add post-waivers without using FAAB or priority if your league allows.

Players with “PPR+” designation mean they will be extra useful in formats that reward receptions.

Snap rates courtesy of Jared Smola (@SmolaDS) who was tweeting them out all Monday morning!

First Aid Kit

Players set to inherit a bigger role due to injury

Gardner Minshew II, JAX (priority LOW) – Despite not having a remarkable preseason, Minshew earned the backup job this summer. With Foles suffering a broken collarbone,  Minshew is worth adding in formats where you will start 2QBs. Thrust into action, he looked very comfortable off the bench going 22-25 for 275 yards and 2 scores with a pick. The Jags will continue to throw under DeFilippo making him a QB3 type add where appropriate.


Gio Bernard, CIN (priority HIGH pending Joe Mixon news) – We know what Gio can do when given an opportunity. Over the past 2 seasons, in the 7 games he’s been given at least 10 carries, Bernard has finished no lower than RB25 with 3 top 10 finishes. Early reports say Mixon has an ankle injury, and is “day to day” as of Monday afternoon. Gio is an easy high end RB2 if Mixon is out. This is a fluid situation, so follow the news and make your bid accordingly at your waiver deadline.

Raheem Mostert, SF (priority MEDIUM) – With Tevin Coleman quickly ruled out after sustaining an ankle injury, Mostert messed around and led the team in rushing. When called upon he was very good last year averaging 7.7 yards per carry. He’s a tremendous athlete with a 4.4 forty and a 96th percentile burst score, making him an interesting prospect. Coleman was in a walking boot post-game and will probably miss time. Expect the 49ers to continue with a 50/50 timeshare at RB and Mostert slides into whatever RB2/3 expectations you had for the departed Coleman.

Adrian Peterson, WAS (priority LOW) – With Derrius Guice’s non-ACL knee barking, Peterson slides into the role he had for the 2018 ‘Skins. We’ve seen this before, as last year AP was an RB3 in a bad offense. Add if you have a need.

Mecole Hardman, KC (priority LOW) – The box score won’t show it but Hardman logged the second most WR snaps for the Chiefs at 78%. With Tyreek Hill out multiple weeks, Hardman has a chance to fill the role left behind.  This would be an add on faith that matching skillsets will lead to production in the Chiefs’ elite offense. Hardman still won’t be higher than 3rd in the pecking order, but 4-5 targets in that offense is worth an upside WR3/4 on your roster.

Parris Campbell and Deon Cain, IND (priority FREE)  – Devin Funchess will be out indefinitely with a broken collarbone which means there are WR snaps to be had in Indy. Both Campbell (29% of snaps) and Cain (17%) played sparingly in week 1, however Campbell is a 2nd round rookie and Cain has flashed in both his professional preseasons. It is possible Eric Ebron fills whatever role Funchess was playing but if you have bench room, add one of these exciting WRs while no one’s looking. 

Vernon Davis, WAS (priority FREE) – Sherpa just doing due diligence here, as the Frank Gore of TEs saw 7 targets ending with a 4-59-1 line. He still has the juice and is a fine streamer as long as Jordan Reed remains out.


High calorie options to grab for a boost

Andy Dalton, CIN (priority LOW/FREE) – The Red Rifle had himself a day in a difficult matchup on the road against Seattle. He threw for a whopping 418 yards and 2 scores as the Bengals nearly pulled off a shocking upset. There is reason to hope for a new dawn with Dalton, as a coaching and scheme change may unlock some fireworks for Cincinnati. The next few matchups are not too imposing either: SF, @BUF, @PIT, and ARI. He should already be rostered in 2QB leagues but he’s even worth a peek as a single QB streamer.

Chris Thompson, WAS (priority MEDIUM, PPR+) – Thompson was basically forgotten coming off another injury plagued season in 2018, but showed why he should be considered on Sunday. CT led his team with 10 targets for 68 scoreless yards and this Washington team will be trailing frequently. He’s a PPR FLEX play until the inevitable injury befalls him.

Malcolm Brown, LAR (priority MEDIUM/LOW) – If you had listened to the Sherpa before this week you’d already have Brown on your bench. He split time with Gurley, but got used near the goal-line and managed 11 carries for 53 yards and 2 scores. He was leading the backfield until Gurley entered as the closer in the 4th quarter. TG3 did play 70% of the snaps but finished with 14 carries for 97 yards and one target.

Here’s the deal: we are probably not going to know what the Rams will do in a given week, but I don’t think Gurley will play all 16 games. As it stands, he’s worth rostering as a FLEX-worthy matchup play, like home games where Rams are large favorites. You also want to have Brown for when Gurley inevitably gets a rest week. That being said, I wouldn’t break the bank for a 30% timeshare RB and after 2 TDs people will overpay.

Ronald Jones, TB (priority LOW) – Any running back making week 1 noise is worth a mention, although RoJo is still part of an ugly committee and won’t see much pass game work. On the bright side, the former 2nd round pick looked like he has adjusted to NFL speed, going 13-75 and he even caught a pass for 18 yards! If he can leave Peyton Barber in his dust, Jones is a RB2/3 with season long upside.  

John Ross III, CIN (priority HIGH/MEDIUM) – Could we finally be witnessing Ross’ breakout in his 3rd season? The former 9th overall pick torched the Seattle secondary for 7-158-2 on a team leading 12 targets. He looked as fast as his 4.22 combine forty would imply, and scored both on a deep bomb and a manufactured sideline catch-and-run. Like with Dalton, there is a narrative supporting a new role with rookie coach Zac Taylor calling 51 passes in a game they led most of the way. As crazy as it sounds, Ross is absolutely fantasy relevant until AJ Green returns. Treat him as a WR3 with obvious weekly WR1 upside for now.

Terry McLaurin, WAS (priority MEDIUM) – This is why we need to pay attention to drumbeats. From his first day on the practice field, he’s been described as electric and someone Washington wanted to build around. He has game breaking 4.3 speed and showed it turning 7 targets into a 5-125-1 performance while playing 93% of the snaps. The offense is likely going to be uninspiring but McLaurin should be considered a WR3 now with season long upside.  

Marquise Brown, BAL (priority: MEDIUM/LOW) – It doesn’t matter if you weigh 176 lbs. if they can’t get a finger on you. Despite missing almost all camp, the first round pick wasted no time in exploding on to the scene for 4-147-2. The matchups will get tougher than the zombies Miami sent out there but Hollywood stepped out on to the red carpet today. I advise treading lightly here as Brown only played 18% of snaps despite his huge production. If the Ravens want to run the ball, Brown probably doesn’t offer much in the way of outside blocking. A lower volume version of Ross and McLaurin, Marquise is a WR3/4 with exciting upside any given week.

Chris Conley, JAX (priority LOW/FREE) – With a wide open receiver depth chart, I was excited to see how the targets would shake out. The KC matchup is an ideal one, but the new Jaguar still did work leading the team with 7 targets for 6-97-1. He is a WR4/5 for now, but could work his way into a WR3 type guy.

A.J. Brown, TEN (priority LOW/FREE) – The Titans certainly kept this one under wraps all preseason. AJB made the most of his opportunities checking in with a 3-100-0 line. He’s a low priority WR5 simply because the volume won’t carry him but he could grow into a more featured role.

Deebo Samuel, SF (priority FREE) – The rookie with one of the best names in football worked as a bona-fide starter Sunday, on the field for 88% of the snaps. His stat line was an uninspiring 3-17-0 and he lost a fumble, but we can’t ignore the usage. Slip him onto your roster now, as there is potential here.

T.J. Hockenson, DET (priority MEDIUM) – Another guy I was eyeing prior to week 1, Hock had a spectacular debut leading the Lions in receiving with a 6-131-1 line. The Cardinals defense is a bit of a pushover, but this was THE best performance by a tight end in their first game since the 1950 AFL-NFL merger. I still don’t love the offense in general, but Hock’s day can’t be ignored. He’s definitely a top 12 TE until further notice.


Leave these guys behind, it’s time to move on

Peyton Barber, TB – He was an uninspiring choice even when the projections saw 250 touches. Now with a full blown committee and already being outplayed I’d lump Barber in with CJ Anderson as a low volume, low upside RB4.

Darwin Thompson, KC – Maybe a hold in deep leagues and dynasty, he’s certainly droppable in any typical redraft format. The preseason dandy saw 1 touch and is only relevant if an injury occurs to backs ahead of him.

Ty Montgomery, NYJ – Well, the flop on Montgomery was just that. After some hype that he would have a significant role, he got 2 carries and 0 targets. Next.

Anthony Miller, CHI – Miller was a little exciting after a strong rookie season but he finished week 1 with 0 yards on 1 target. Tarik Cohen took most of the slot snaps and was a feature in the passing game. Miller was coming off a summer injury so his role could grow as he gets healthier but I would rather own any of the WRs mentioned above over Miller right now.  

Geronimo Allison, GB – Zero targets. I don’t know what else to say.

Jordan Reed, WAS  – Sadly, I would drop Reed for someone who is playing and doesn’t have all his health concerns. I was interested all summer but now I’d drop him for T. J. Hockenson or Darren Waller who we’ll see Monday Night.

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  1. Jonathan Walker says:

    Would you prioritize John Ross or Michael Gallup in PPR?

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:


      Didn’t include him because he was 78% owned in ESPN already

  2. wacha wacha says:

    Is G Minshew your 32nd ranked QB ROS as of right now or are there any starting QBs you would drop for him in deep 2 qb league?


    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Good question. Really hard to say what a 6th round rookie QB will do ROS

      I’d say right now I’d prefer him over Flacco and Fitzpatrick at least. He’s in there around Carr/Brissett level

  3. toolshed says:

    Is it too early to cut Corey davis and pettis in
    a 12 team .5 ppr league. Davis had 3 targets, no catches. Pettis played 2 snaps; he was listed as #1 wr on the depth chart (was he hurt). He seems like he has been in the coach’s doghouse all preseason. Thanks

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Man I almost put both them in the Stragglers but decided to hold out one more week

      Pettis like you said listed as a starter and might still be rehabbing his groin? at least you can tell yourself that

      Davis goose egg was ugly but the game flow was weird.

      I am not advocating to for sure keep them if you like one of these week 1 blowups.

      If I had to cut one it would actually be Davis (low vol offense, market share going to crumble) and keep Pettis hoping health was the reason

  4. Fizz says:

    How would you prioritize Marquise Brown?

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      I think he’s a low volume version of Desean Jackson or John Brown. And he’s a rookie.

      His week 1 outburst helps the Ravens offense as a whole because they can’t stack the box against the run anymore. His role will grow some but probably doesn’t mean he’s going to be a target monster. Think 4-6 targets a week and 2-32-0 just as likely as 4-150-2…

  5. Nick says:

    Morning bud, wondering if you would hold Dallas D against Redskins (away) this week or start weekly steaming with Houston against Jax? Only reason I’m contemplating holding Dallas is for week 3 against Miami, standard 12 team league

    Also, I have Mark Andrews as starting TE & T Burton on my bench…would you swap out Burton for someone like Waller or Terry M. / M. Brown to fill out my bench? Or hold on Burton?

    • Nick says:

      Mostert & Hockenson also available….

      • al_FF_red

        What a BOOF says:

        I’d hold Dallas. This week not that much different than Hou v. Jax and the Miami matchup is the stone lock

        I’d drop Burton for any of those without hesitation.

        In order for me is

        I wouldn’t roster 2 TE so Andrews vs. TJHock is the question. Tough to say. While I like Andrews I do think TJH may be more consistent week to week with similar upside. I’d probably lean TJH

        • Nick says:

          Thanks! Considering I have Kamara/L Murray plus D Montgomery, Sanders & R Jones on my bench at RB and A Brown/Thielan/Godwin at WR (Fuller as flex and Scantling on bench) I think I should target a bench WR…

          So Terry is a good option but I noticed AJ Brown also still like Terry over AJ? What kind of faab bid would you place, $100 budget…

          • Nick says:

            Also forgot to mention D Parker, Amendola & Hardman are available but I take it you like Terry better? Rank those WRs (with Terry/AJ) above for me when ya have a minute, thanks again!

            • al_FF_red

              What a BOOF says:

              Depends on your leagues aggressiveness but Id say

              McL (season long WR3 level value)

              Hardman (unknown but massive upside while Hill out)

              Amendola (personally I just have no interest in Dola but i guess in PPR could be solid floor)

  6. Batman says:

    Would you use the #1 waiver on Lamar Jackson? 10 team league, Aaron Rodgers is my current QB.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Probably not given you have a fine option already

      Would hold it for a clear need at RB/WR/TE or a league winning workhorse RB through injury

      • Batman says:

        Non-PPR, scoring is heavily weighted towards TDs. Would you hold on to the #1 waiver this week? Or use it on John Ross, Marquise Brown, John Brown, Terry McLaurin?

        QB – Rodgers
        WR – Julio Jones
        WR – Odell Beckham
        RB – Derrick Henry
        RB – Philip Lindsay
        TE – George Kittle
        W/R/T – Tarik Cohen

        BN – Kenyan Drake
        BN – Christian Kirk
        BN – Dante Pettis
        BN – CJ Anderson
        BN – Rashaad Penny
        BN – AJ Green
        BN – Peyton Barber

        • al_FF_red

          What a BOOF says:

          If you dont feel you have a huge need, hold your position and wait for an injury to like Dalvin, Fournette, DJ or Carson would leave a true beast RB to pickup.

          Type of scenario is what you want to use #1 for, as long you don’t have a pressing need. Once byes hit and stuff your hand may be forced

          You look like you need RB most, and this week about WRs which you have on lock

          You can probably still gab a Colts WR after waivers for free just to get something fresh if you want

  7. Itsnottooesrlytotrade says:

    Thanks for the write up, good stuff. I know it’s week 1, but I’m a trade happy owner.

    Would you give up: Davante Adams/Miles Sanders/ Malcom Brown For Deandre Hopkins/ Darrius Guice (I own AP) and Royce Freeman?

    My “starting” rb’s are: Marlon mack/Sanders/latavius Murray/AP/Malcom brown and some others..

    Essentially I’m trying to upgrade my RB and WR (packers looked awful, Davante Adams included… Hopkins and the Texans looked great)


    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      I dont think so

      Guice is injured now and will miss some week so AP slides right in for you for a little bit

      Sanders will get going, he led the backfield in snaps in his first game as a rookie, hvae to think that keep increasing

      Adams is equivalent to DHop, dont overreact just yet

      I dont think that trade you listed is really an upgrade. Man the fort, hold tight

  8. TroyKlauder says:

    Great stuff!

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:


    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      tell your friends! hah

  9. Chet says:

    Your thoughts on Waller after last night?

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      everything you could have wanted to be honest…

      Played every snap, 30% target share, lined up out wide and used as a WR in spots, moved like a WR

      Total stud… put up 7-70 and the Raiders never even trailed once.

  10. BAC says:

    12 team. PPR. QB, QBFlex, 2RB, 2WR, 1TE
    QB: Murray, Wentz, Garappolo
    RB: Chubb, Carson, M. Sanders, Ekeler, L McCoy
    WR: Julio Jones, Golladay, Lockett, Corey Davis
    TE: Kelce

    Trade offer proposed to me. Give Ekeler, Get Watkins.
    It’s a fair trade but given RB is so weak on waivers, I am considering rejecting and making a big bid for one of the below…Thoughts?

    Waivers (normal bidding $100)
    Dion Lewis
    Jamison Crowder
    DeSean Jackson
    Larry Fitzgerald
    John Ross
    Marquise Brown

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      So I’m seeing you only start 2RB and 2WR? No non-QB flex?

      If that’s the case (despite incredible week 1) is always your 3rd RB and Watkins would be your 2nd WR (ahead of Golladay/Lockett) probably at least until Hill returns which is roughly 6 weeks from what Im seeing. And Ekeler does have a timer on him too, as MGIII probably back in the second half.

      That might not be a bad deal for you. RBs will be available on waivers with injuries and such… the WR1 for the most explosive offense in the NFL probably won’t be.

      Also you have Sanders who I am still believing will come on

      If you go for a waiver pickup in full PPR have to go Crowder after a 17 target, 14 catch game. Then Fitz/DJax/Gallup in that order. Ross/Marquise after that.

      Dion a fine depth move if you decide to move Ekeler.

      • BAC says:

        2RB 2WR, no non QB flex. and its 5 point touchdown so it ends up becoming a 2QB outside of bye weeks.

        Its a tough one given its pretty even. He also proposed Carson or Chubb but those seem like too much.

        • al_FF_red

          What a BOOF says:


          I really like Ekeler but given that context Watkins seems like a weekly starter upgrade for you while Ekeler just doesn’t seem like hes going to realistically crack the top 2 despite his goodness

  11. Wish I had Drafted Lamar says:

    Moncrief, Miles Boykin, Jameis, Corey Davis
    J. Crowder, T.j. Hockenson, Tom Brady, John Ross III

    Thoughts? Too early to bail on Davis is my main concern.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      haha nice handle

      I would drop Jameis for Brady easily

      Id drop Boykin (didnt get the use I hoped, low volume attack) and/or Moncrief (I didnt list him as a drop initially because JuJu was gimpy but looks like hes fine and Moncrief looked awful) for Ross, Crowder or TJH

  12. Crime dog says:

    Good stuff Boof. Lost tyreek hill in a 14 team 2 flex league. How much Faab are you dropping on John Ross and TJ hockenson? Those are probably best available.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Ross in the 10-15% range

      TJH probably going to require the same 10-15%

  13. Nightpandas says:


    14 team league standard

    Qb. Cam
    2 rb. Bell, A Jones
    2 wr Theilen Godwin
    Te Henry
    Flex Breida
    D Browns
    Bench Sutton AMiller Jones III, Hyde, Goodwin, Henderson

    Any of the these guys below worth burning my #4 ww spot for:
    Hollywood, Chark, Ross, McLaurin, Mostert

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      I see a lot of nice FLEX/depth out there this week (Ross, McLaurin, etc) but not a league winner

      I think if you dont feel you have a huge need, hold your position and hopefully bump up a few spots or ever rise to #1 for next week… an injury to like Dalvin, Fournette, DJ or Carson would leave a true beast RB to pickup. Wait for that type of scenario for a few weeks as long as you don’t have a pressing need. Once byes hit and stuff your hand may be forced.

  14. Kelce's Chubbie says:


    10 TEAM PPR
    QB: Goff
    2 RB: McCaffrey/Chubb
    2 WR: Cooks/Jeffery
    FLEX: Phillip Lindsay
    Bench: Mike Williams, MVS, Westbrook, C. Samuel, Winston

    Do you like the upside of McLaurin or any of your top waiver WR/RB over MVS/Samuel? I have waiver 6 and hoping someone falls through the cracks. I obviously need another RB (Melvin Gordon in my IR slot) but its hard to ignore some of the numbers put up this week. Thanks for your help.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Id kick the tires on McLaurin drop Winston… no need for 2QBs to be rostered in a 10 teamer

  15. eballs says:

    Are you dropping Harris or Howard for Mostert? I’m a Michel owner btw

    • eballs says:

      Also, how do you prioritize adding Ross, Hardman, Smoke Brown, and McLaurin?

      • al_FF_red

        What a BOOF says:

        I think Mostert > Howard and Harris, so yes

        Smoke (safest, most consistent role with a YOLO QB)
        Ross (12 targets hard to ignore)
        McLaurin (ROS value)
        Hardman (highest upside in theory but completely unknown role)

  16. Matt says:

    ESPN Standard Scoring H2H 10-teams

    Waiver Sherpa,

    Qustion 1:Is Tevin Coleman droppable? Currently he is sitting on my bench. Giovani Bernard/Adrian Peterson/John Ross III/Raheem Mostert are available

    QB: Kyler Murray
    RB1: Christian McCaffrey
    RB2: Nick Chubb
    WR1: Brandin Cooks
    WR2: Chris Godwin
    TE: Mark Andrews
    Flex: Chris Carson
    D/ST: Ravens D/ST
    K: Jake Elliott

    Bench: Miles Sanders, Damien Williams, Tevin Coleman, Latavius Murray, Rashaad Penny, Curtis Samuel, DeSean Jackson

    Question 2: Is Darrell Henderson droppable fore Malcolm Brown or should I wait? Henderson is sitting on my bench and probably will not be taking a starting spot.

    Thanks Waiver Sherpa. Make sure you are getting plenty of Oxygen up there.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Question 1: absolutely yes, I dropped him myself today. Mediocre role and missing 4 weeks.

      Question 2: Probably. I continue to be intrigued by Henderson but rile is zero right now. You don’t seem to have a huge need so you can wait it out and see if he becomes something. Looking at your roster I don’t see you needing Malcolm Brown really. Both he and Henderson become interesting for you if Gurley misses games… in standard Id lean Brown so a lot of words to say yeah, maybe Brown for you

  17. Drdroo says:

    16 team league, 3 flex, 2 superflex, 1 megaloflex. 6 pts for passing TDs. Would you give up Kyler and Kirk for LJax? Also own Mahomes, Deshaun, and Dak. I’ll hang up and listen.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Wow that’s quite a league… so you start 3 QBs?

      I still like Kirk ROS, he got 12 targets. Don’t think you need LJax that bad I’d keep your 4 QBs

  18. Connor Fowler says:

    Got #1 waiver, Should I get McLaurin or Hock.

    My TE is Vance McDonald, I’d drop a nobody on my bench. at WR I already got Davante, Thielen and Shepherd.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      I’d prefer TJH over McD

      May prefer McLaurin over Shepard as well

      TJH the priority add tho

  19. Mike in the Desert says:

    Drop Penny for Mostert or is that too much of an overreaction?
    It’s a PPR starting 2 RB, 3 WR and no FLEX, and my other RBs are Barkley, Cohen, and Hyde (I know, right?)

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:


      I think Mostert would be your RB3 behind Bark/Cohen. Maybe tied with Hyde but despite one good game I think he’s just washed. I expect 10-12 touches for Mostert but some will be receptions which Hyde doesn’t get.

      Personally I have given up on Penny. He’s completely unusable unless Carson goes down. What are we waiting for anymore?

      I would add Mostert over Penny

      • Mike in the Desert says:

        Thanks, that’s what I was feeling.
        Thanks for the write-up and the reply!

  20. Kyle Eberth says:

    Deal LeSean McCoy for Sammy Watkins? Or Hold?

  21. Kyle Eberth says:

    I’ve got LeSean McCoy. Deal for Sammy Watkins? Or Hold? I also have Damien Williams.

    • al_FF_red

      What a BOOF says:

      Since owning both Damine/Lesean is unhelpful because you wont start both I think I would make that move.

      You get a slam dunk top 10 WR for at least 6 weeks instead of a maybe RB2 and having to hope McCoy takes the lion share of the backfield which is possible but also not guaranteed.

      I will usually side with the sure thing and in this case that’s Watkins

Comments are closed.