It’s the final match-up, that is, unless you play into week 17 — in which case next week should be a wild one for you with benchings galore! But if you’re still here and you’re still reading — good luck my friends! Also, if you’re still here and you’re still reading you probably won’t be needing too much waiver help. Your team is one of the two best in your league (or one of the two luckiest — fantasy football is weird sometimes!) 

As always, if you’ve got a league specific question — drop it down below in the comments!

 

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield, 47.9%, vs CIN: Mayfield has completely changed the hopes and dreams of the city of Cleveland. Much like another Cleveland legend before him, Drew Carey. Mayfield has been a frequent flier in this Waiver Wired column, but over the last three weeks he hasn’t really earned those miles averaging less than 13 fantasy points per game. Week 16 sees Mayfield facing a Bengals defense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to QBs. Get him back in there if you’re desperate.

Josh Allen, 31.4%, @ NE: What in the world is going on here? Over his last 4 weeks Allen is averaging 22.5 fantasy points per game. Most of that damage has been done with his legs — he’s rushed for 351 yards and 3 TDs in those games. The Patriots have allowed the 8th most rushing yards to QBs and are allowing the third most rushing yards per attempt with 5.28. Why not give him a shot if you’re feeling lucky?

 

Running Backs

Mike Davis, 18.3%, vs KC: I’m not recommending Davis as the lead rusher in Seattle because that ain’t him. That’s that other dude. However, in week 15 Davis went 8 for 8 in catches with 63 yards. If he’s officially the lead pass catching back for the Seahawks then he is in for a treat in week 16. The Chiefs have allowed the most receiving yards to RBs this season and the most receiving TDs.

Jamaal Williams, 11.8%, @ NYJ: Consider this a preemptive move if Aaron Jones can’t make it to the field in week 16 (spoiler: it’s looking like he won’t.) Williams picked up the ball and had the the best fantasy game of his year dropping 19 fantasy points on the tough Bears defense. The Jets have been pretty strong against the run, but when you’ve got a new RB1 emerging — you take what you can get.

Kalen Ballage, 0.5%, vs JAX: Frank Gore? Donezo for the yearzo. Kenyan Drake? Lord knows. Looks like he’s lost the lead back role. Kalen Ballage? Drafted 131 overall in the 2018 draft out of Arizona State. He had a solid 4 year career as a Sun Devil rushing for an average of 4.4 yards per attempt and 2,668 all purpose yards. Just like with Jamaal Williams, Ballage has a tough week 16 match-up against the Jaguars, but also like Williams: you take the good, you take the Ballage, you take them both and there you have: starting running backs.

 

Wide Receivers

Josh Reynolds, 40.1%, @ ARI: Week 15 Reynolds was actually Jared Goff’s most targeted WR over Brandin Cooks and Robert Woods. I can’t guarantee that trend will continue in week 16 (especially since Reynolds only hauled in 5 of those targets,) but he’s at least on the radar.

Robby Anderson, 18%, vs GB: With Sam Darnold back under center, Anderson had the second-best fantasy game of his season. The first of course, coming back in week 5 with Sam Darnold as QB again. The Jets will be playing against the Packers in week 16 and they’ve allowed the most fantasy points to WRs this season. Another big game could be in store for Darnold and Anderson.

Taywan Taylor, 1.3%, vs WSH: Week 15 was a disaster for anyone on the Titans not named Derrick Henry. Henry had 30 fantasy points, all other Titans offensive players had 25 fantasy points total. So let’s look back at week 14! Taylor had the most targets on the team catching 6 of 7 of them for 59 yards. If the Titans can get their lives together in week 16, they’ll get the Redskins who’ve allowed 10 receiving TDs in their last 6 games.

 

Tight Ends

Matt LaCosse, 4.7%, @ OAK: Hey, in this tight end climate, 8 fantasy points is a top 10 performance. And against the Raiders who’ve allowed the most TDs and 3rd most yards to TEs? You gotta take what you can get.

Blake Jarwin, 0.6%, vs TB: Jarwin has 20 total fantasy points over his last two weeks which practically makes him a top-5 TE somehow. The Bucs have allowed the 5th most receiving yards to TEs this season. I repeat, you take what you can get.

 

Defense/Special Teams

Tennessee Titans, 57.1%, vs WSH: 57.1% is over the threshold for what I usually allow in my articles, but the pickins are slim at the D/ST buffet.The Titans have only allowed 7 points in their last two games and now get a Redskins team on their 4th QB of the year. It should be a good week to be a mighty, mighty Titan.

 

Kicker

Aldrick Rosas, 27.4%, @ IND: For the sixth highest scoring kicker in the league, Rosas is surprisingly underowned. Rosas has only missed 1 FG this season back in week 6. Yes, he put up 0 points in week 15, but so did the Giants so you can’t blame him. The 5 weeks prior to he averaged 11.75 fantasy points. Lucas Oil stadium in Indianapolis has a retractable roof so weather won’t be an issue and the Colts have allowed the 7th most FG attempts this year.

 

  1. Jim Holmes says:
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    Okay I have Drew Brees as my #1 and has been subpar lately and he is getting ready to face Pittsburg this week. My #2 is Baker Mayfield who faces Cinnci. and has been putting up better numbers as of late. I’m torn on who to start going into the finals. Toughest choice all season. I’ve rode with Bree’s all year, but is it time to switch to ensure victory?

    • RyGuy says:
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      There is no way you can justify starting Baker over Brees at this point. Its the finals! If you start Baker and he is sub-par or Brees has a big day you’ll kick yourself forever. However, if you start Brees and the opposite happens, you can’t be that hard on yourself. Don’t overthink it.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      @Jim Holmes: Love it or hate it — you have to stick with the horse that got you here (Brees.)

    • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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      @Jim Holmes: he’s been quite worse than sub par for last 3 games, in fact you should consider yourself quite lucky to be in finals owning to him due to those 3 weeks, no matter which week your playoffs started and/or had a bye he was straight up bad for you in at least one of those weeks. this being the case all 3 were road games and brees for years has been quite a bit worse in general on road (he’s now been bad road breeszus in 5/8 of this year’s road games) than at home, and he’s back at home now.

  2. Drekkan says:
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    I’m in an ESPN standard scoring 12 team league keeper league. 2RB, 2WR, and a flex. This past year I got to keep Thielen in the 7th and Drake in the 8th (we have a weird formula system that caps out a minimum draft round for late keepers). Having reached the final game last year I picked 11th, and got the immortal Davonte Freeman who promptly did nothing. In the third I picked up Doug Baldwin, who also largely did nothing all year.

    Despite that, I’ve managed to creep along through some strategic waiver wire watching and, thanks to certain players crapping the bed and a strategic decision to start whatever defense is facing the Cardinals this week I made it to the ‘ship once again (and against the same opponent).

    This leaves me in a quandary, as I’m at a loss on who to start/sit this week.

    Current options:

    QB: Russel Wilson
    RB: Sony Michel/Jeff Wilson Jr./Kenyan Drake/Mike Davis
    WR: Mike Evans/Amari Cooper/Adam Thielen/Doug Baldwin/Corey Davis/Josh Reynolds
    TE: George Kittle

    I’m 100% adding Jamaal Williams (if I get him through waives) and am somewhat torn on Kalen Ballage or sticking out through Gase’s criminal under use of Kenyan Drake.

    I’m fairly sure at receiver I’m set with Evans/Thielen/Cooper, but manipulating that running back dog’s breakfast is something else entirely.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      @Drekkan: You’re right at WR I’d rank your RBs: Jamaal, Michel, Drake, Wilson, Davis.

      • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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        @Kerry Klug: wow that’s the worst RB crew for a 12 teamer to make the finals i’ve ever seen. if you can get j-will should be ok though (clearly elite WR/TE has helped and your league let you get whoever played ARI too, a LOT). it’s of course possible you had better RB group but some were dropped due to injuries by now and was better before.

        • Drekkan says:
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          @And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers!: Oh no – this was a team where I read too much into the preseason usage of Drake and convinced myself he’d be an RB2 and then grabbed Freeman at the end of round 1.

          Part way through the year I just started adopting David strategies on my matchups and going for the most extreme variance I could and creeped into the playoffs as the 6 seed (of 6).

          Good news is that I got J-Will. Now the only question is which D/ST – Dolphins against Jax or Pats against Bills?

  3. Nightpandas says:
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    Hi Kerry, morning bitterness here…

    Wondering if I should grab one of the qbs or rbs on your list. Only got one move left for the season

    Going for third after the sh*t show last night in which I had Cam, MThomas, Kamara and DJ Moore going and ended up losing my week by 15 pts

    Qb Crappy Cam
    Rb Gurley Kamara
    Wr Suddenly terrible Thomas and Theilen
    Te Rudolph
    Flex Ware McCoy
    Def Dallas

    Bench: DJ Moore CDavis JWilson CThompson

    Ww : Baker JAllen MDavis Ballage JWilliams

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      @Nightpandas: Honestly, I’d make a play for Baker at this point…some reports are saying that Cam might not even play and if you watched his post game press conference it doesn’t even seem like his head/heart/shoulder are in it anymore.
      Baker had his best game of the year against the Bengals a few weeks ago.

      • And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
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        @Kerry Klug: i’d play baker or allen over camtown right now. or carr, or foles too.

  4. Steve Harris says:
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    I’m in the finals, and got Tyler Boyd as one of my wide receivers. Just want to add a player or two in case he’s shut down, which it’s looking like at this point.
    Mike Williams, Fitz, Robby Anderson, Robert Foster, Jordy Nelson, and Deshaun Hamilton are some free agents available. Go after Williams first? Hopkins and Samuel are my other WR.

    I’ve also got a RB quandary on my hands; Can only start two out of Mixon, Coleman, James White, and Derrick Henry.
    I’m leaning Henry and Mixon, but not 100%.
    Gronk at tight end leaves me feeling uneasy, got Ian Thomas as a backup, but Evan Engram is on the waiver wire, thinking of scooping him up.

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      @Steve Harris: Yea, if Keenan Allen’s hip is still bothering him then I’d go after Williams. Fitz, Robby and Hamilton are my next 3.
      You’ve got it right with Henry and Mixon. No doubt.
      The Bills held Gronk to 43 yards in week 8 and have been great against TEs– i’d grab Engram.

      • Steve says:
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        @Kerry Klug: Thank you kindly! :)

  5. Nick says:
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    Stick with Brate at TE or consider one of the 2 guys you mentioned or Hooper/Everett/Herndon also available as it’s a 10teamer…championship here I come – team name ‘Rollin with Mahomies’, anchored by yours truely & the all purpose RB – McCaffrey

    • Kerry Klug

      Kerry Klug says:
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      @Nick: I like Hooper of those options.

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