A bad beat on Zay Flowers missing his line by a yard led to another 3-for-5 week. There are five props I absolutely adore this week. There are a ton of mismatches for good players in Week 4, so let’s take advantage of those lines. Check out my Week 4 player prop best bets below.
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Tutu Atwell over 51.5 receiving yards (-115)
Puka Nacua has been the number one guy in Los Angeles, but don’t forget about Tutu Atwell. He’s seen at least eight targets in every game this season and hit this line in all but one game (he had 50 yards that game). Against a Colts’ secondary that’s giving up the second most yards to wide receivers, Atwell has a chance to eat. Cooper Kupp is still out for at least another week, so I love Tutu Atwell to hit his over receiving yards against Indianapolis.
Matthew Stafford over 1.5 passing TDs (-115)
Believe it or not, Matthew Stafford hasn’t thrown more than one touchdown yet this season. However, two of the three teams he’s faced are top-ten against the pass. As mentioned before, the Colts have one of the worst secondaries in the league, so this should be the first time Stafford gets his two-touchdown game. The Rams are going to attack Indianapolis through the air, which is absolutely going to benefit Stafford. Take his over passing touchdowns this week.
Courtland Sutton over 54.5 receiving yards (-110)
The Broncos got completely dismantled in Week Three against Miami, but there’s no better chance to get it together than against, arguably, the worst team in the NFL. Denver is going to attack Chicago on all fronts. Courtland Sutton is seeing the most targets on the Broncos offense, and he’s hit this line in the last two games. If Russell Wilson is throwing, there’s a good chance it’s going to Sutton, so take his over in Week Four.
Adam Thielen over 4.5 receptions (+110)
One of the most valuable things a team can give a rookie QB is a reliable slot receiver. Granted, Andy Dalton was the one who targeted Adam Thielen 14 times last week, but it’s clear Thielen is a vital part of this offense. At plus money, Thielen’s over receptions is one of my favorite plays this week. The value is incredible, and I love this line. He saw seven targets in the last game Bryce Young played, and his volume will only increase by the week. Minnesota’s defense has holes all over, giving up the fourth most yards to receivers. Adam Thielen should see enough volume to hit the over on this line in a revenge game against his former team.
Kenneth Walker III over 65.5 rushing yards (-120)
The Seahawks have a favorable matchup against the Giants’ run defense. New York is giving up the fourth most rushing yards this season, and Seattle is going to establish the ground game early. The Seahawks’ key to victory will be attacking the interior defensive line of the Giants, and Kenneth Walker is the perfect guy to do that. I love Walker’s over rushing yards on Monday night.
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