How does the squad look this morning?  Are you sitting atop your league at 3-0 with a big smile?  Are you lingering in the middle of the pack at 2-1 or 1-2?  Or are you languishing at the bottom of the standings at 0-3?  No matter the scenario, stay the course and do not panic.  OK, maybe a little panic if you are 0-3, but only a little.  Trust me, it is better to take a deep breath and realize there is at least one other owner that is truly in panic mode.  Do not let it be you this early in the season.

What you need to determine is why you are where you are after three games.  Is your record, good or bad, based on a little fantasy luck?  If so, take stock of your roster and determine where you are solid and where you have struggled to find points.  Now is the time to tweak versus a complete overhaul.  Make smaller moves to improve your team but do not drop names you absolutely know are able to perform. 

Have injuries derailed your early season?  If so, then you probably need to look hard at the waiver wire.  As an example, if you drafted Justin Herbert early, his struggles, based on the rib injury, are concerning and you may want to look for a short-term safety net.  If you roster Mac Jones and know he is going to be out with the high ankle sprain for a few weeks, then throw him back and grab some depth at a skill position that will help your team in Week 4.

Another important aspect of the wire to consider is watching for dropped players that should not have been dropped (by the owner hitting the panic button too early).  Also, heading into Week 4 may be a good time to start looking at the early bye weeks to ensure you have depth, especially at QB if you were smart and only drafted one while loading up on skill positions.

NOTE: Rostered percentages and scoring system are based on Yahoo! PPR league scoring.

Waiver Add of the Week: RB – Khalil Herbert (CHI, 50% rostered).  Normally, I am not one to recommend a player that is already owned in half of the leagues, but the RB situation in Chicago just got very interesting.  With David Montgomery (knee/ankle) missing the majority of Week 3’s game, Herbert exploded for 157 yards and 2 TD.  It is important to note that scoring was done against the Texans, so temper your season-long expectations.  Also, keep an eye on the Montgomery injury situation early this week.  Based on early waivers for most leagues, you probably will not have a ton of info, so place Herbert at the top of your wish list and hope you land him.

 

QB:  Daniel Jones (NYG, 23% rostered) – I know, I know, I know!  Do not yell at me!  Daniel Jones is not good at football nor are his NYG teammates.  Hear me out here, please.  Jones can and will run.  His WR corps, all 15 of them are serviceable and will catch the ball if/when Jones is afforded time to throw.  He was not given much time against the Cowboys on MNF, so his stock will continue to be low which means you can probably land him without a waiver claim.  That means you can save FAAB and/or waiver priority if you need a fill-in at QB.  Take note of Jones’ Week 4 opponent…the Chicago Bears and then tell me the addition of Jones is crazy.  The Bears are awful and cannot sustain drives, so if the NYG play defense as they did in the first half of MNF, Jones should have the ability to handle the rock a lot on Sunday.  He brings solid rushing upside and should outperform his projections.

 

QB: Marcus Mariota (ATL, 22% rostered) – The former first-round pick looks good so far.  Certainly, he is not a world-beater, but he looks like an NFL QB for maybe the first time in his career.  Couple that with the weak division and the emergence of Drake London and you have a dual-threat QB that should see a path to positive points.  Mariota faces a decent Browns defense in Week 4, but we should keep an eye on the Myles Garrett injury (one-car crash) and the status of Jadeveon Clowney.  Another QB you likely do not have to use a waiver claim or FAAB to acquire, I think it is best to wait on news out of Cleveland then decide if Mariota is a solid one-week play for you.

 

RB: Alexander Mattison (MIN; 55% rostered) – Well, it happened.  The every-season Dalvin Cook injury is already here.  Savvy Cook owners probably already roster Mattison and, if they do not, they are clamoring to find a way to land him this week.  Though we do not know the extent of Cook’s shoulder injury, we do know he has a history of missing games and we know the Vikings have a quick turn to play the early game in London Sunday morning (930am EST).  Add the travel time and wear and tear that can put on a body with the time difference and long flight, and we have the makings of a Mattison week.

 

RB: Gus Edwards (BAL; 12% rostered) – This is a reach and a move you can make if you have an open IR slot.  Edwards is out for the first four weeks of the season on PUP and can return for Week 5.  He should be considered a stash only at this point, but the idea is to get him for free a week prior to others in your league recognizing that he is back and that Dobbins will most certainly get dinged again at some point.

RB Honorable Mentions – Jaylen Warren (PIT, 9%), Samaje Perine (CIN, 6%), Craig Reynolds (DET, 0%)

 

WR: Noah Brown (DAL; 20% owned) – Three straight double-digit weeks, two with Cooper Rush under center.  Michael Gallup did not appear, and Jaylen Tolbert is not the guy (I will own being wrong on this guy heading into the season).  What more do you need to know?  Add him until Gallup shows he is fully back.  Also consider the Dalton Schultz injury which should provide more WR targets, too.

 

WR: Greg Dortch (ARI; 18% rostered) – OK, OK, OK, it is time we (I) pay attention to Greg Dortch.  Similar to Noah Brown above, Dortch has three double-digit games to start the season (13, 15, 17) and should continue to see targets with more attention being given to Hollywood Brown after his massive Week 3 performance.  Kyler will continue to get better and Dortch could be the recipient of that improvement.  It is important to note RonDale Moore was out and Nuk Hopkins is still suspended, so the time to grab Dortch is now and then you can dump him when the other WRs are back in the fold.

WR Honorable Mentions – Isaiah McKenzie (BUF, 42%), Josh Palmer (LAC, 27%), Romeo Doubs (GB, 27%), Zay Jones (JAX, 11%), Mac Hollins (LVR, 3%)

TE: Tyler Conklin (NYJ; 23% rostered) – In my Week 2 Waiver Wire article, I mentioned adding Conklin.  The guy is making me look and feel informed as he is riding a three-game, double-digit point streak (11, 10, 16).  I am of the opinion if you do not have Andrews, Kelce, Pitts, Waller, or Kittle, then you need to find a steady if unspectacular TE option like Conklin.  He plays in a pass-happy NYJ offense and double-digit point totals are exactly what you are looking for from a TE waiver addition/stream.

TE Honorable Mentions – Robert Tonyan (GB, 29%), Daniel Bellinger (NYG, 1%), Jelani Woods (IND, 0%)

I stress this point again…waiver wire is your friend.  Watch for teams that drop players that should never be dropped then swoop in and grab those guys.  Ex: Did someone panic over the Dak injury that was followed by the Schultz injury?  Did they drop either/both?  If so, now is the time to grab them and stash for later.

Best of luck heading into Week 4 and may the wire be with you!

 

 

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Cluster
Cluster
3 months ago

I drafted gainwell thinking he’d me more involved. I also thought Sanders would get dinged by now based on his recent history. Would you hold him or would you rather stash Warren. .5 ppr. Thanks

Gregarious
Gregarious
3 months ago

Trade question for you in a .5ppr league: my Kelce, James Robinson, and Brandin Cooks for his Ekeler, Kittle, and Lamar.

Current QB is Cousins…other WRs are Pittman, MT, Curtis Samuel, Bobby Woods….other RBs are Cook, Dillon, Penny

Thanks!

Crusso
Crusso
3 months ago

Thanks for the waiver advice, good stuff! Got a question for you. Would you start Dortch (@CAR) and Khalil Herbert (@NYG) over AJ Dillon (NE) and DJ Moore (ARI) for Flex this week?

sport
sport
3 months ago

Hey Mitch, thank you for all the write ups! My time back into FFB after 10 years absence has been a learning experience! So thankful for all the content on Razzball.

So this team is sitting 0-3 in a yahoo public 1/2 ppr.
QB-Stafford, Tua
RB-J.Taylor, Fournette, Hunt, Pierce, (Robinson-IR)
WR-M.Williams, Pittman, C.Kirk, McLaurin, Marquise Brown, G.Wilson.
TE-Kittle.

Why am I oh and three? My guess.
-Partly because I missed the QB run picking at the turn. (Of course I sat Tua the one good week he had and Stafford has had two duds.)
-Reaching for Kittle instead and getting zero production from him.
-Under-perfomances from Taylor/Fournette.

Would that be your guess as to why it’s 0-3? And other than QB, there’s really no area that I could ‘up-grade’ is there?

Steve
Steve
3 months ago

I was offered Dalvin and Singletary for Jrob and Miles Sanders or JK Dobbins
Ten team PPR keeper league, I have Jacobs, Hunt, Montgomery, Sanders, and Dobbins. Two flex positions.
Also have Metcalf, Chase, Adams, Eli Moore, Dortch, as my wideouts.

Last edited 3 months ago by syndrax
Mr. Hooper
Mr. Hooper
3 months ago

I’m one of those fortunate 3-0 folks, so my main goal here is not to mess with a winning streak and dump someone I later regret. Kahlil Herbert is your add of the week, but would you drop him for any of the following:

Damien Harris
Dameon Pierce
Alan Lazard (the rest of WR group is solid. Waddle, Hollywood Brown, Dionte Johnson, Metcalf, Bateman)
Brian Robinson, who is stashed as I’m also a Gibson stockholder.

Happy enough to sit tight too, but I didn’t want to miss an opportunity to get ahead either.

Thanks!

Last edited 3 months ago by Mr. Hooper
i don't want to brag but i have IBS
i don't want to brag but i have IBS
3 months ago

this line:
“all 15 of them are serviceable and will catch the ball if/when Jones is afforded time to throw”

so it’s clear, you didn’t watch that DAL @ NYG game right.

William Trill Cauley-Stein
William Trill Cauley-Stein
3 months ago

Mitch! I hope you are doing well, staying healthy and winning in your league(s). I am in a ten team 0.5 ppr league with big play bonuses. Could you please help me the waiver wire for week 4? Thank you!

QB: R. Wilson OR J. Hurts?

WR1: AJ Brown

WR2: C. Kirk OR B. Aiyuk OR J. Waddle

RB1: J. Taylor

RB2: Javonte Williams

TE: Z. Ertz OR G. Everett?

F: B. Aiyuk OR C. Kirk OR J. Waddle OR. B. Hall OR J. Robinson OR D. Henderson?

D: Baltimore

K: D. Hopkins

Players that are on the waiver wire: A. Mattison, K. Herbert, C. Akers, M. Gallup, N. Hines, R. Doubs, and D. Njoku. (I’m playing a Montgomery owner this week)

Thank you!

Last edited 3 months ago by William Trill Cauley-Stein
William Trill Cauley-Stein
William Trill Cauley-Stein
3 months ago
Reply to  Mitch Staniger

Thank you! You are the man!

William Trill Cauley-Stein
William Trill Cauley-Stein
3 months ago
Reply to  Mitch Staniger

No panic! I am fortunate to say I’m 3-0. I want to keep stacking wins and play the waiver wire well. Thank you for your help! Can you do a bold prediction thread from week to week? I love those! Keep up all the great work.

William Trill Cauley-Stein
William Trill Cauley-Stein
3 months ago
Reply to  Mitch Staniger

Quick question!

Ertz or Everett?

HollywoodJoe
HollywoodJoe
3 months ago

Hi Mitch,

I’m finally motivated to back Conklin and move on from Hockensen, but should I be? Zach Wilson coming back muddys the water…

That said, I still grabbed Conklin and thank you for being nudge I needed. It does have me thinking of unloading Hockensen to another team who I know likes him…

In a 1pt ppr superflex league- would you:
Give: Carson Wentz, Hockensen, Noah Brown to get: Daniel Jones, Kareem Hunt?
Team:
Qb- Herbert/Wentz/geno
Rb- cmc, swift, jamaal Williams
Wr- AJ brown,Godwin, garret wilson, aiyuk, Elijah Moore, Noah brown
Te- Hockensen, Conklin

Appreciate the write up- placing a claim for Gus Edwards as we speak!

HollywoodJoe
HollywoodJoe
3 months ago
Reply to  Mitch Staniger

Hi Mitch,

Thanks for the response. Collectively razzball-in my opinion-is the best resource for fantasy for the interaction as you’ve mentioned above. Truly a one of kind site. Baseball of course brought me here but I stay for the great football advice as well!

Unfortunately no, I dont think they would ever do that deal. Their love for kareem hunt is equal to hockensen and they already have dallas goedert… Their QB’s are Stafford, Cousins and Jones so with Carson’s hot start I thought a perceived upgrade in QB depth for them would move the needle enough to get a deal done.

I like Hunt- and my RB depth is thin (CMC, Swift, Jamaal Williams, and now GUS!). Fortunately I handcuffed Swift but as you see I have no real 3rd RB…

anyway, I appreciate your response. I can always try a 1-1 but not interested-in “offending” the other party either.

Thanks!

TE4TDs
TE4TDs
3 months ago

Conklin, Hockensen, Everett- who are you trusting ROS?

DeeCee
DeeCee
3 months ago

Thoughts on a trade offered to me.

Was offered Henderson and Dobbins for my Breece Hall

Thanks,

HarperBetterThanTrout
HarperBetterThanTrout
3 months ago

Few questions for this week:

Brady has been ok at best. Would you start any of Tua, Goff or Daniel Jones over him this week?

Would you sit any of Javonte Williams or James Robinson for Devonta Smith?

Would you sit any of Javonte Williams, James Robinson, Davante Adams or Deebo for Marquise this week?

triggamike
triggamike
3 months ago

Hey Mitch

Trade question. 12 team full PPR league.
My Pollard for DJ Moore and Kenneth Walker? Thoughts?
Thank you!

triggamike
triggamike
3 months ago
Reply to  Mitch Staniger

Thank you boss!
I’ll be accepting it, let’s ride!