Hope that everyone had a great Thanksgiving! Then, each of us suffered through the post Thanksgiving work week. This might be the worst week of the year. Coming off of a short work week after traveling, cooking, cleaning, spending money on ‘deals’ that only make us realize how big of a markup we usually pay, traveling again… But we’ve almost made it everyone! Thursday night football feels like the first sign that the end of this miserable week is almost here.

If football wasn’t enough, hopefully by this time the leftovers are FINALLY gone, or frozen to be ignored until there’s nothing left in the house. No more casseroles and you can get back to your diet other than at the holiday parties, and when eating office baked goods, and the inevitable Christmas meals. If only rosters expanded like waistlines this time of year, but since they don’t, here are some options for you and best of luck in your last week before the playoffs!

Quarterback

Case Keenum – 52%

They don’t sell craft beer in cases, but you can get some “for everyone” Bud Light in a case and that’s what this recommendation feels like to me. Nothing exotic here, but safe and fairly predictable range of outcomes. Keenum only has 1 single digit game on the season, but also hasn’t scored over 26 points in any game this season. Case has gone 3 weeks without tossing an interception and is facing the Hue Jackson cursed Bengals.

The Bungals have fallen apart recently with injuries and also a general lack of execution. They have fallen to the bottom of the league in total points and yards allowed on the season. In the last 3 weeks, the lowest completion percentage they’ve given up is 68% to Lamar Jackson with both Brees and Baker throwing for a higher completion percentage and a few touchdowns each.

Cinci is also allowing the most fantasy points to QBs with the 5th most completions allowed, 2nd most passing yards, 2nd most passing touchdowns, and 4th worst in net yards per attempt. They also haven’t gotten after the quarterback often as they are bottom 10 in sacks. Keenum is no Creature Comforts Athena Paradiso, but in this kind of match-up, maybe he’s a bit more enticing than just a BL.

Derek Carr – 60%

This recommendation is another one that is much more of a safe start than an exciting one. Derek Carr hasn’t quite become the QB that some of us expected by this point in his career, but you certainly can’t lay all the blame at his feet for the Raiders failures either. After losing his #1 WR, Carr and daaaaaaaa Raaaaaiiiiidddders, have been struggling to get much going on either side of the ball losing 3 straight to the Saints, Ravens, and Browns.

I expect another lose to be forthcoming for Oakland, but it’s a good match-up for Derek as the Kansas City secondary has been weak on the season and he should have plenty of attempts in this game given the blow-out potential of this game with the Chiefs. If you doubled the Raiders points on the season, they’d still be short of the Chiefs points total. So, I expect the Raiders to be behind early with Carr throwing plenty.

The Raiders have struggled with passing touchdowns, but do have the 18th most passing yards on the season. Carr shouldn’t be a threat for negative points either as he’s controlled the ball well this season and hasn’t thrown a pick in the last 6 games.

The Chiefs defense has certainly been the weak link of this team. As the offense sits among the best, the defense has allowed the 5th most points and the 3rd most yards. For the sake of the match-up for Carr, the Chiefs have allowed the most completions and the most passing yards. I like Carr as a safer play with upside over many of the other lesser owner streaming options at QB.

Honorable Mentions: Chase Daniel, Jameis Winston

Tight End

Cameron Brate – 75%

Jameis has utilized the tight end going back to his days at Florida St. and with the injury to O.J. Howard, Cameron Brate becomes a tight end that is not only worth streaming, but potentially owning the rest of the season. Outside of the top tier of the position, Brate offers you about as much consistency as you can expect at this point with at least 3 targets in 4 straight weeks, and 7 of the last 9 weeks even with Howard present and all the changes at QB there in Florida.

In addition to the consistent, and potentially climbing, targets, Brate gets a great match-up this week for the tight end position as they face the Panthers who have given up 2nd most fantasy points to tight ends. They are tied for the most TDs allowed to the position, and the 6th most receptions.

The schedule isn’t quite as friendly going forward, but defensive stats versus the tight end are a bit hit and miss. He’s in a tight end friendly offense with 2 tight end leaning QBs with no more real competitors for targets at the position.

Matt LaCosse – 1%

If you’re completely at the end of the waiver wire and looking for a flyer, or if you’re in a deep league with nobody else available to add to your roster, Matt LaCosse has moved to the top of the tight end depth chart in Denver. Jeff Heuerman was the primary tight end, but has gone to the IR. Brian Parker is the other option in Denver, but LaCosse has seen the most time with the team.

While there isn’t much tape on LaCosse, he has flashed some ability to get down the field. In the last 6 games, even with Heuerman getting most of the tight end targets, LaCosse has 17 targets. Over that time, Heuerman had 30, which means that there is potential for a meaningful role in the offense.

The opportunity is there and he faces the same terrible Bengals defense that I opened the article discussing. The defense and passing stats are above so I won’t regurgitate them again, but in addition, Cincinnati is also allowing the most fantasy points to the tight end position. They are tied for the most TDs allowed with the aforementioned Panthers and the Dolphins. Hard to put much confidence in LaCosse, but based on the potential for targets in a plus match-up, it could be worth a shot if you’re desperate.

Honorable Mentions: Chris Herndon, Benjamin Watson

Defense/Special Teams

Tennessee – 51%

A good defense in a good match-up. Sounds like a streaming option to me. The Titans are still under owned as we get ready for week 13, but that’s good news for us D/ST streamers. The Titans have allowed the 6th fewest points and the 10th fewest yards. They haven’t been an amazing fantasy defense due to a mediocre amount of turnovers and sacks, but after a couple of tough match-ups, they get a nice one here against the Jets.

In the last 5 games, the Jets have failed to score more than 17 points in any single game and it’s not just recently, the Jets have been a lackluster offense all season. They have the 7th fewest points (6th worst scoring percentage) and the 4th fewest yards. They are also prone to turnovers with the second most interceptions thrown as a team and the 6th worst turnover percentage. I’m starting the Titans with confidence this week.

Green Bay – 45%

The Packers defense has been mediocre at best on the season coming in as the 17th most points allowed and are 12th in fewest yards allowed. This streaming option is not about a strong defensive unit or changes that they’ve made as the season has gone on, but facing the worst offense in football can cover up a lot of holes.

Here is a quick list of stats that the Cardinals offense is the worst in the league: points scored, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards, yards per play, scoring percentage, net yards per pass attempt, yards per rushing attempt, plays runs. If that’s not enough, they are bottom 5 in turnovers, interceptions, turnover percentage, rushing TDs, and passing TDs. They have 2 weeks with over 20 points scored and that was against the 49ers and the Raiders.

Honorable Mentions: Seattle, Miami

 

 

Follow B_Don on Twitter @DitkaSausagePod. Check out his podcast, Ditka, Sausage, and Fantasy Sports, for more football talk with @DonkeyTeeth87.

  1. What's A Drexl? says:
    (link)

    worst 2 out of these in dynasty standard: howard, drake, AAron jones, mack, breida, michel, gus the bus, j.adams?

  2. Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
    (link)

    if more alley cocks IND (got usage when he plays even WHEN doyle was healthy) plays him or ellison (assuming engram doesn’t play)? engram isn’t looking likely. IND has by far the best TE available this week matchup. this is for 20 team redraft PPR. lost doyle.
    matchups/options:

    -ellison (if engram out) vs CHI (6th vs TE’s, but CHI doesn’t have tons of pass catchers and it’s c.daniels safety blanket time)
    -more alley cocks (himself maybe still injured and they added another TE just today) @ JAX (17th vs TE). IND of course has more TE usage to this point than any team i’ve ever seen
    – VD @ PHI (5th vs TE’s)
    – j.thomas HOU vs CLE (3rd vs TE’s)
    – goedert vs WAS (10th vs TE’s)

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @Stupid Sexy Glanders: A lot of Ifs here, but if they play, I’d rank them Mo Allie-Cox, VD, Ellison, Goedert, Thomas. Not overly optimistic about the Giants offense and a lot of competition for targets even without Engram. With Reed a little banged up, VD seems safe to get a few targets.

      • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
        (link)

        @B_Don: yeah, i had added more alley earlier, then just last night nabbed ellison, can go back in if he’s ruled in. figured i had more floor picking up ellison now (news is filled with reports of engram likely not playing) as he was more likely to be added (my first attempt WW claim was for the DEN guy lacrosse, but the heuerman owner had a higher waiver)

        • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
          (link)

          @Stupid Sexy Glanders: people know ellison has done good work in a few instances when engram is out (i think in this very league last year i twice or once used him in playoff weeks and i THINK WON one of them ONLY from having him rather than somebody else that week)

          • B_Don

            B_Don says:
            (link)

            @Stupid Sexy Glanders: I think it was probably smart to go ahead and grab yourself some options. I don’t think the problem lies in Ellison, but that I don’t expect the Giants as a whole to do much against the Bears. Engram is a talented TE and it’s not like he was doing a lot either.

            • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
              (link)

              @B_Don: agreed on engram, but probably due to playing through his previous (or also new one) injury (or just eli) compared to last year not doing well nearly all year. could drop ivory or RJ2 to grab a 2nd TE here, have this:
              QB: (1) luck /rosen
              RB (2) drake, mixon, ekeler (thank god for melgor here), ty-mont, ivory, RJ2
              WR (3) cobb, nuke, ateman, sharpe, r.anderson (yeah i know TONS of underperformers compared to last year here in anderson/cobb)
              TE ellison
              flex (1)
              also kicker, D (CHI yay me they were cheap), and shallow IDP slots (2 CB for some reason but shallow elsewhere for a 20)

  3. chilli says:
    (link)

    Matchup questions for this weekend. would love some input. thanks!

    Boyd or Green?

    Jonnu or Herndon?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @chilli: I’m going with AJ. It’s a tough match-up for both Boyd and Green regardless of where they line up, so give me the elite WR.

      Neither in a good match-up for the TE. I’ll take Herndon though. Better target share and better receiving TE.

      • Stupid Sexy Glanders says:
        (link)

        @B_Don: yeah herndon’s floor at least seems solid, i’m thinking he’s better than his common FP rankings. i get that NYJ offense sucks, but unlike in say ARI’s or MIA’s suck offenses herndon has had LOTS of targets and/or TD’s. or NYG’s most of the time (comparing ellison/engram to herndon)

  4. clokwerc says:
    (link)

    Who do i pick up?

    Vannett
    Seals-Jones
    V. Davis
    A. Gates
    Higbee
    J. James
    M. Andrews
    LaCosse
    Ellison
    Samuels
    Engram is available but hurt and i have no room for him in IR

    • Beware the Shit Rope says:
      (link)

      @clokwerc: lacosse (unless vance is out, then the PIT robber)

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @clokwerc: It’s a toss up between Vannett and LaCosse for me on this list. VD and RSJ are interesting as well, but ultimately, I’d choose Vannett of this group. FWIW, the pigskinonator agrees.

  5. Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
    (link)

    12 team dynasty standard. have very good WR (start 3 no flex). AB, both thomas’, coutee, hilton. drop anybody for kirk (just dropped)

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey: I would drop Coutee for Kirk. I think Kirk is the better, more well rounded receiver. For dynasty purposes, his path to becoming the #1 target in the offense is much clearer than Coutee as well.

  6. What's A Drexl? says:
    (link)

    worst 2 out of these in dynasty standard: howard, drake, AAron jones, mack, breida, michel, gus the bus, j.adams? this isn’t a this week question of course.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @What’s A Drexl?: I’d say Breida and Gus are the bottom 2 for me. Howard splitting work is also a possibility. Breida has McKinnon coming back and I’m not overly excited by Breida’s talent anyway. Gus doesn’t wow me on tape either and I don’t believe the Ravens have necessarily found their RB of the future in him.

  7. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
    (link)

    12 team half PPR 2 QB dynasty. have:
    QB (2) rodgers (oh baby it’s about to get real now no more mccarthy, even with the mostly shouldn’t be starting yet WR’s gotta think rodgers improves now, for longer term even more), mahomes, rosen, driskel (dropped mullens for him this week, figure he’s got more of a long term shot than mullens anyway, and mullens had been horrible for 2/3 of his weeks, and all of the non OAK weeks)
    RB (2) both NO guys, michel, burkhead, ekeler, gus the bus
    WR (3) k.allen, thielen, boyd, edelman, d-jax, j.brown (these latter 2 got a LOT worse as the year went on, early in year i was FAR better at WR depth than RB)
    TE (1) ertz
    2 flexes (R/W/T)
    IR (2) m.lee, doyle
    team D TEN (had held JAX for nearly whole year, finally gave up hoping they’d move back to a top 8 fantasy D, now streaming)
    K: bryant (had dropped butker when bye, probably shouldn’t have)
    IDP (4 flexes): t.smith, d.jones (ATL, back and immediately kicking ass), j.adams, b.martinez

    drop j.brown and/or d-jax for any of pettis (or do we think he gets downgraded when goodwin/garcon back), MVS, ateman, z.jones (appears to have far more long term upside now than anybody has thought in a LONG time)

    • Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
      (link)

      @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: pettis added (or is soon) by somebody, what about MVS or zay jones? also i’m betting i either don’t have enough FAAB left for whoever bid/won on pettis just coming up here anyway.

      • B_Don

        B_Don says:
        (link)

        @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: I would drop D Jax for MVS. I’m excited to see what the Mccarthy-less Packers do and I think MVS is a WR for the future there in GB. I like Pettis to an extent, but believe he is going to be pretty boom or bust, and you already mentioned there are other weapons there that will take targets away.

  8. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
    (link)

    holy crap, in RCL’s the playoffs aren’t till week 15. but does that mean 6 teams make playoffs (1-2 seeds with byes) or 8? i figured it was the standard 13 week season, 6 make playoffs, 2 byes, week 17 not used.

    • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
      (link)

      @Eli Man Penguin Boy: sorry, put this in wrong place (maybe, i’m not sure if you guys have your own, if so you’d know this too)

      • B_Don

        B_Don says:
        (link)

        @Eli Man Penguin Boy: Yes, I am in RCL 8. Playoffs don’t start will week 15 and 4 teams make the playoffs.

        • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
          (link)

          @B_Don: oh neat (not for me, but i mean that week 17 isn’t used). in future though i’d kind of hope more than 1/3 of league makes playoffs (plus that way the 1-2 seeds could get byes).

          we could have a mass vote on it, but my idea was the somewhat standardish (i’ve literally never heard of a 4 team playoff for a 12 or bigger league, i’d get it if it was a 10 teamer though) 6 teams, 1-2 seeds with byes, weeks 14-16 playoffs.

          • B_Don

            B_Don says:
            (link)

            @Eli Man Penguin Boy: While I did not set up the leagues, I actually like the 4 team playoff in a 12 team league. I don’t like half the league making the playoffs like the NBA. With 4 playoff teams, you have to be on it from the start and typically the 4 teams that get in are well deserving rather than a 6th seed getting in under .500 or something.

            • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
              (link)

              @B_Don: the part of the playoff teams actually being good teams is nice, but a team can just as easily get 4th but actually is the 8th scoring team, it happens all the time. only true cure is the “h2h everybody plays everybody every week” idea, but due to inertia i have trouble filling a league that does that, which makes me sad as clearly this is the best idea at scheduling luck removal. effectively it’s 13 roto seasons with the scores for all of them mashed together (i do have a baseball league in fantrax exactly like this, has been around 2 years now)

              • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
                (link)

                @Eli Man Penguin Boy: actually in MB’s RCL i’m in EVERY team in the top 7 or so’s record actually matches their scoring, which is awesome and rare.

  9. And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
    (link)

    very oddly we have a LOT of good RB adds this week from injuries. even yesterday when PIT “announced” that conner was “fine” i would’ve laid 6-1 that he isn’t for this week for sure, i saw that PIT game; however i do find it lucky we aren’t getting jerked around till at least friday on the truth of the matter coming out (and PIT straight up pulled a LAA lie on this, less than 24 hours after saying somebody is fine he’s the exact opposite).
    this being the case for PPR redrafts how do these rank as adds:
    1. RB: samuels, jackson, wilson, burkhead (clearly burk is last here)

    2. what about these for PPR dynasty (where i lost kirk for year, and now it’s either start doctson all the time, or t.williams or j.brown (already having to start m.will) or one of: ellington, conley (somebody will waiver him before waiting on the watkins news if i don’t), T2 (TEN), ateman. this is a 16 teamer. i don’t need to drop any of j.brown/t.will/doctson to add one here.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers!: 1. Jackson (assuming melvin sits this week), Wilson, Samuels, Burkhead. Samuels moves to 2 if you can slot him in at TE and can move to 1 if you don’t need an RB for this week.

      2. Hard to trust any of these guys. I guess if I have to start one this week, it’s Tyrell with a plus match-up and the chance to break a big one. That’s pretty much all I’d expect from any of these options. Tyrell still 2nd in snaps and targets among LAC WRs last week.

  10. And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers! says:
    (link)

    deep ass dynasty 20 teamer. QB rule is you can have as many from one real life team and up to 1 from a 2nd (IR guys don’t count against this). i recently traded cousins + lat murray for DJ + bortles (only since opp would’ve had to drop bortles anyway, we knew he’d lose his job soon likely after this, meanwhile i couldn’t drop bortles for somebody else as the week goff had a bye i had to start bortles (his last start), thus i got beat to 2 or 3 other new starters). have goff/bortles. should i drop bortles for butt fumble (sanchez) or j.johnson or just hold bortles?

    beep boop.

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
      (link)

      @And Now the Jon Lovitz Dancers!: At this point in the season, I’d probably just hold Bortles. I don’t expect much from Sanchize or Johnson, and while he’s a horrendous real life QB, Bortles has been fantasy friendly at times. Is Kessler not available as you would be able to pick him up for free if it’s just a backup play?

Comments are closed.