Prediction for this week’s Bears game, 352 to t’ree. I know, I know, but I think Miami keeps it close and gets the late field goal. It’s time to appoint a new master of ceremony for Da Bears though, and I think it may be Da Mitch! Da Mitch actually did throw that ball over them mountains. He hangs out with Chuck Norris’s beard on the weekend. He beat Al Bundy’s record and threw for 5 TDs for Polk High School.

I hope Da Mitch isn’t taking time off though and neither should you with management of your fantasy team. Da great Ditka once said, “Success isn’t permanent and failure isn’t fatal.” Wise words from a wise man. Whether you’re 4-0 or 0-4, trust the process and continue doing your good work. Streaming the right player can make all the difference in your match-up, and you have to continue working to improve your roster every week. “You’re never a loser until you quit trying.” Remember Ditka knows all, don’t doubt DA Ditka.

Quarterback

Blake Bortles – 67%

I know… I know… it’s Blake Bortles. Guy can miss his target worse than a stormtrooper in a Star Wars movie. However, for the season, he has more fantasy points than Rodgers, Brady, Cam, Russell, and Stafford. Bortles has the 13th most completions, the 16th most yards, and 17th most TDs. The stats are pretty mediocre, but he is putting up numbers week to week.

He’s also going up against a vulnerable defense in the Kansas City Chiefs. The defense as a unit has allowed the 8th most points and the most yardage in the league. They have allowed the 2nd most passing yards, 9th most passing TDs, and 5th most fantasy points allowed to QBs. If that wasn’t enough, the opponents have the most passing attempts and the 4th most completions.

Part of that is likely the high power KC offense putting the other team in the position that they have to throw, but the defense also hasn’t shown the ability to stop anyone through the air, or really, on the ground either. They’ve also given up the 5th most rushing yards and 3rd most rushing TDs. Basically, the defense is closer to swiss cheese than a swiss army knife, more holes than utility.

Ryan Tannehill – 57%

The dolphins are certainly not one of the premier scoring teams in the league and I’m not here to convince you otherwise. To that point, he’s 23rd in QB yardage and tied for 15th in TD, not overly impressive. However, he has been efficient with the work throws he is making. While he only has the 15th most TDs, he has the 5th best TD%.  23rd in yardage, but he has the 7th in adjusted yards per attempt, 5th in yards gained per pass attempt, 8th in yards per pass completion, and the 7th best QB rating.

The other part of recommending Tannehill is the juicy match-up with the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are miraculously tied for the division lead, but the passing defense has been more like the Ben-Gals than a formidable defense.


The pass defense has allowed the 6th most fantasy points to QB, which includes the 5th most yards, 7th most TD allowed, 3rd most completions on the 2nd most attempts. The defense as a whole hasn’t been impressive giving up the 10th most points in the league overall. Good match-up with an efficient QB, seems like a solid streaming option if you’re looking around in this area.

Tight End

Austin Sefarian-Jenkins – 62%

ASJ has not taken the next step this season like some were hoping. The Jaguars are spreading the ball around and there’s 5 players on the team with at least 19 targets. ASJ is the one with 19 and the leading receiver has 28 targets. Among TEs though, he has the 11th most targets, 16th in receptions, but down at 27th for yardage. He isn’t getting a bunch of yardage and only has 1 TD on the year, but a decent target share is as much as you can ask of your streaming TE option sometimes.

Along with all the stats I gave for Bortles about the Chiefs deficiency against the pass, they likewise struggle with tight ends. They have allowed the 4th most fantasy points to the TE position, which included the 3rd most yards and 6th most receptions. The Jags defense may keep this game closer than others have so far, but I think the middle of the field is somewhere that the Jags will look to attack in this game.

Ricky Seals-Jones – 43%

Earlier this year, my co-host Donkey Teeth and I profiled RSJ on our podcast. He doesn’t have a great push off the line, but has a good feel for the open areas vs the zone and knows how to use his body (and maybe get away with the illegal push off occasionally, or all the time) to block out the defenders. My concern was the target share.

He’s getting almost all of the TE work with 135 snaps compared to a combined 44 for Gabe Holmes and Jermaine Gresham. He has the 3rd most on the team and is tied with David Johnson at 19. 19 targets is good enough for 13th among tight ends, but is down at 18th in yards and 20th in receptions. The quarterback play is partly to blame for the disparity, but it’s a good match-up for him vs the 49ers.

They are in the middle of the pack for receptions and yardage against TEs. However, the Niners are giving up the 5th most points to tight ends on the season as they’ve been susceptible to TDs giving up the most to the position with 4. It’s a pretty hit and miss linebacking and safety group, which should allow for some opportunities from RSJ.

Defense/Special Teams

Titans – 45%

The Titans defense has been pretty decent this season especially given the train wreck of an offense that they’ve been rolling out there. They’ve allowed the 7th fewest points this season and are mid pack in terms of yardage. The offense started looking better last week as Mariota gets healthier and they are going against one of the 2 worst offenses in football.

The Bills are the 2nd lowest scoring team at 50 points on the season. 2nd lowest yardage and only the Cardinals and Bills are under 1000 yards for the season. The Bills have the fewest passing yards and the 9th fewest rushing yards, albeit without Lesean McCoy for most of the season. We’ve seen some flashes of the potential that Josh Allen has to offer, but I’m guessing there is more growing pains this season than top performances.

Arizona – 22%

Another decent defense making up for a struggling (and that’s putting it lightly) offense. Well, this week may be the Cardinals chance to get the first W of the season. The Niners look okay statistically on the offensive side, but that was before they had C.J. Beathard leading the charge.

The Cardinals defense is 15th in points allowed, 18th in yardage allowed, and 12th fewest pass yards. They have been terrible against the run as they are the 2nd worst in the league in yards and have given up the most TDs in the league. However, I don’t believe that the dynamic duo of Alfred Morris and Matt Breida are that terrifying of a challenge. There’s even a chance the Cardinals offense could involved as the Niners are giving up the 6th most points and 20th in yards allowed. If you’re scraping the bottom of the barrel for a defense this week, the Cardinals might just be your pick-up.

Follow B_Don on Twitter @DitkaSausagePod and subscribe to his podcast, Ditka, Sausage, and Fantasy Sports. 

  1. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    what’s best use of this roster spot (mack or hilton can be put into one IR slot)
    12 team half PPR.
    QB (1) RW3
    RB (2) mixon (yeah back again, this team actually did ok without him, only team i can say that about, and i own mixon in MANY leagues this year), gurley, michel, barber, RJ2
    WR (2) jeffery, landry, kupp, hilton, allison
    TE (1) rudolph
    1 flex
    IR (1) mack
    K bailey
    D (streamer) CAR (might keep them for a bit actually)
    options: RB: go back to mal brown (gurley HC), j.allen, morris (both these 2’s value would shoot up if injuries happen), penny
    WR: crowder, cole, kirk, TT (TEN),
    TE (backup): doyle, hurst, brate, watson, RSJ
    QB (backup): winston, mariota, bortles (actually bortles or mariota could be used over RW3 against LAR this week maybe)

    • jason batteiger says:
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      @Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo: seeing bortles is ranked 5 spots ahead of RW3 at FP top 30 QB guys (i.e. he always does well when fournette’s out and KC will probably put up a decent amount of points)

      • B_Don

        B_Don says:
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        @jason batteiger: i’d probably go ahead and add Penny. The other option for me would be keelan cole.

  2. Kevin says:
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    In a 0.5 Ppr would you trade your Larry Fitz+tarik Cohen for Jordan Howard?

    I think Chicago bears will eventually go back to using Jordan Howard but I’m afraid Nagy would use Tarik Cohen in the role of tyreke hill. I guess a better question is if you would own both Tarik Cohen and Jordan Howard.

    Thanks for your help!

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      @Kevin: I think Fitz+Cohen is probably a little more than I’d want to move in a trade, but if you can get a useful piece back for Howard I can see making the move.

      I am with you that Howard will ultimately be the back you want to own but any kind of PPR looks like it will make Cohen a solid flex option each week with his big play potential. So, I guess I’m saying I’m okay running both out there, but ideally I try to avoid that from RBs when possible. The Freeman/Coleman or Ingram/Kamara is more of the exception than the rule.

  3. clokwerc says:
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    i HAVE 3 SLOTS, wr,rb,flex and 4 players to choose from. S. Michel,D. Thomas,D. Baldwin,J. Conner… Who do i sit?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      @clokwerc: I’d sit Baldwin. I think Conner and Sony are locked in. Baldwin isn’t going to be healthy all season and whether Marcus Peters plays or not, I think that the matchup is tougher than Thomas vs the Jets. And Thomas still leads the Broncos in targets.

  4. clokwerc says:
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    Who should start J. Allen or A. Callaway in the flex?

    • B_Don

      B_Don says:
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      @clokwerc: I’m not sure if that’s Josh or Buck Allen. Josh gets the start if it’s him. Otherwise, I prefer Callaway.

  5. B Don,

    Had a question in a dynasty league: would you trade James Conner for Jerick McKinnon straight up? I’ve got the running back depth to get through this year (Gordon, Devonta Freeman, Cohen, Breida) and the uncertainty about (i) Conner when/if Bell returns this year and (ii) whether Conner is long term answer for Steelers next year and beyond scares me and tells me to get the best deal I can for him while his value is the highest.

    What do you think?

  6. JohnsonKupp says:
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    You list Arizona as a streamer but do you rank them ahead of JAX, SF, and CINN?

    Thanks

  7. Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo says:
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    a super injured mess of a money league PPR team (12 team). just had to spend up on a reliable TE (only time this year) in walker. return yards worth same as scrimmage here. 6 PT passing TD’s as well. weekly reset waivers, but even with that most of the possibly useful RB’s are gone before it’s my turn somewhere in the 6-9 waiver spot most weeks. here i’m actually 3-2 somehow, so not good waiver. need to add at least 2 RB to this, ajayi and somebody else the drops (mariota probably i’ve now owned him at start of year to start over wentz, and just after week 4 when he was awesome, so he’s only complete garbage when he’s on my roster thus far)
    QB wentz, mariota (winston and some others out there)
    RB (2) barkley, ajayi, royce, chubb (i dropped clement for him last week, that’s nota looking so hotta right now), coleman (maybe i get lucky and freeman gets hurt again)
    WR (2) k.allen, fitz (good lord he’s a waste), callaway, shepard,
    TE (1) doyle, watson
    IR (1) cobb

    what’s best order of: clement, smallwood (i’ll be lucky to get one of them though now, just HAD to get cute with popping a chubb), foreman (could use the IR slot), rid dick, richard (3 weeks of over 11.6 points here), austin (2 weeks of over 12.99 points from returns), gore

    2. drop fitz for any of these (fitz since week 1 has scores from 2.9-5.8, the floor and ceiling are busted): sanu, TT (TEN), mart bry (OAK), r.anderson, richardson

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