Guys Worth a Look

1. Mike “who the @#$%” Thomas-which Jaguars receiver has the most targets over the last three weeks? Holt? Wrong. Sims-Walker? Wrong. Mike Thomas lead all Jags receivers in week 8 with seven targets, comprising 14% of all offensive looks. Holt weighed in with six targets and Sims-Walker a measly three. For the year, Holt leads the Jags receivers with 55 targets, Sims-Walker is second with 45, and Thomas is third with 30. However, over the past three games, Thomas has been consistent, yielding around 8.5 fantasy points in standard formats and leading the Jags with 17 targets. Thomas is one you want to grab as Holt is old and Sims-Walker has head case written all over him. He should be available in most leagues.

2. Johnny Knox-at this point in the year, the electrifying return man is not much of a secret, but the good news about Knox is he is developing some consistency in the offense. Over the last four games, Knox has two receiving touchdowns and is averaging about four receptions and 44 receiving yards per game over that span. He received 5 targets last week, second behind Hester, and looks to get more and more involved as the year goes on.

3. Sammie Stroughter-The only problem Sammie has (aside from being the only person in the country with the last name Stroughter) is that he plays for the Bucs. Out of the spotlight all year, Stroughter has emerged as a solid number two receiver for the hapless Bucs. My bold prediction is if the Bucs would simply choose which third rate quarterback to start, they could have a halfway decent offense. Williams runs hard, Ward is versatile, and Bryant is serviceable. Stroughter has actually been competitive with Bryant in terms of targets (eight to Bryant’s nine last game) and has averaged three receptions for 64 yards over the last two games. I wouldn’t tell you to waste a waiver claim lower than 10 on him, but he is one to keep an eye on.

4. Malcom Floyd-with Chambers out of dodge it is a safe bet to lock Floyd in as the number two receiver on a pass happy Chargers offense. While Jackson is clearly the one and only “stud” in the receiving core, Floyd has shown promise as a big play guy. Last week, Floyd had five targets (second behind Jackson) hauling in two passes for 64 yards. It should also be encouraging to know that Floyd was on the receiving end of a 53 yard reception and you know Rivers throws the deep ball like poor people buy lottery tickets.

5. Hakeem Nicks-over the last four games Nicks has put a chink in Manningham’s armor. Over that span, Nicks averaged four receptions for 74 yards and hauled in three touchdowns. In that same stretch, Manningham hauled in two touchdowns and had an average of three receptions for 44 yards. Also, it seems like Manningham leaves a big play on the field every week which I’m sure does not bode well with Giants coaches. Nicks had five targets last week and he looks like a safe bet as Eli’s #2 man, which arguably makes him a must play WR3 or flex option.

6. Percy Harvin-Harvin played Atari (Bigby) like he was a game of “Frogger.” In fact, Bigby looked like he was on the receiving end of a 2D Mac Truck as Harvin (the frog) escaped safely to the other side. For those of you too young to appreciate Atari, what I’m trying to say is Harvin is a stud. Therefore, he will not be available in most leagues. However, with The Vikes on a bye, look to trade with a desperate owner who needs to fill a slot in order to maintain a shot at the playoffs. The Vikings have been amorphous this year when it comes to figuring out who the number one receiver is. Up to this point in the season, Harvin has 54 targets, Rice has 56, and Berrian 49. However, over the last two games, Harvin has led all Viking receivers with 19 targets (Rice had 18, Berrian 9). The biggest difference between Harvin and the other receivers is clearly Harvin’s explosiveness. Harvin also has value as a runner in their wildcat formation and over the past four weeks, Harvin is averaging four receptions for 50 yards a game. In my opinion, of the three receivers, Harvin is the safest one to start week to week.

7. Jerricho Cotchery– Jerricho’s injury was certainly a kick to the Crotchery but those of you who were smart enough to hold on to him will now start to reap the benefits. Last week he was tied for targets with Braylon Edwards with nine, including a look in the red zone. Cotchery also reminded us of his big play capability as he hauled in a 53 yard reception and finished the game with three catches for 70 yards. In my opinion, Edwards increases Cotchery’s value because teams will no longer be able to stick their best corner on Cotchery and come over the top with a safety. Look for Cotchery’s role to increase and I would bet that if he stays healthy, he will be the most productive Jets receiver the rest of the year.

F.Y.I. Target Comparisons

Arizona-Boldin 6, Breaston 9

Seattle-Houshmandzadeh 6, Burleson 12

San Francisco-Morgan 2, Crabtree 9, Bruce 8

New Orleans-Colston 6, Henderson 6

Green Bay-Jennings 12, Driver 11, Jones 5

Detroit-Northcutt 5 (0 catches with 2nd most receiver targets)

Buffalo-Evans 2, Reed 4

  1. Frank Rizzo says:
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    I just traded P Harvin away for Jeremy Maclin straight up. With my league scoring (TD heavy with bonus for td’s over 50 yds) Harvin currently has 1 more point on the year than Maclin. Most say Harvin’s more explosive and that’s fine, but to say he’s the WR to own in Minny is a stretch imo. Favre and Rice have bonded and Berrian will get some love too because he’s the deep threat. When Berrian’s healthy, Harvin is not on the field in 2 receiver sets. This past weekend was different because Berrian had hammy issues and saw the field less than usual.

    I made the trade also because McNabb is my QB so Maclin has more value to me than the other I traded with. Also, Andy Reid loves the kid because he’s mentioned on more than one occasion how Maclin does a great job blocking downfield. I know how much coaches value that stuff so I believe Maclin is now solidified as a starter there. Plus he’s been getting more love from McNabb now recently as well, and other teams will start to become more concerned with D Jackson so Maclin could have some big games in the future, similar to what he had in the Tampa Bay game.

  2. Plainview says:
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    Need to replace Owen Daniels – here is what is available:

    Kellen Winslow
    John Carlson
    Dustin Keller
    Fred Davis
    Ben Watson
    Jermichael Finley
    Kevin Boss

    I’m considering Carlson for this week (v. Det) and Winslow or
    Watson going forward. Thoughts?

  3. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Plainview: I think you are on the right track. As long as you have starters in the pool you should be able to play matchups and carlson is a good one for this week.

  4. Sos says:
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    His nyg smith for my hines ward in a ppr? Thoughts?

  5. Fresh says:
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    Drop Hester or MS-W for Cotchery? TDs and 100+yds score

  6. Steve says:
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    Would you drop Holt to take a shot at getting Mike Thomas?

  7. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Sos: I’d make that trade in a ppr

    @Fresh: They are pretty close. Seems like a oranges for oranges move.

    @Steve: Yeah, try to catch the wave!

  8. david says:
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    Breaston, Maclin, or TJ Houz. For Week 9, who do you start?
    Boldin looks like he’s going to be out, Breaston lines up across from Fitz.
    Dallas’s defense look better lately. TJ should see more action.

  9. Howie says:
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    Nice breakdown of those WRs… I’m torn on Harvin. In a non-PPR I have Megatron, Panther Smith, Driver, and Bowe. Am i correct in that Harvin doesn’t supplant any of them? I didn’t grab a stud QB early in the draft and have Big Ben, Cutler, and Palmer. Would I drop one of them (not Big Ben) to have Harvin around?

    Thanks.

  10. Asdrubal Bastardo says:
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    Bradshaw v. SD or JStew v. NO?

  11. MarkM says:
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    Trade question: My Matt Forte for his DeSean Jackson and Kevin Smith.

    It’s a 2RB 2Flex 2WR league. 14 team with deep benches. I have CJ (Tenn), AP, and Julius Jones at RB as well but my best WRs are Cotchery and Eddie Royal.

    Do I do it? I’m leaning toward yes.

  12. Randy says:
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    Which 2 RB’s out of these 3 should I have on my team?
    Mike Bell, Shonn Greene, Justin Fargas

  13. Asdrubal Bastardo says:
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    @MarkM: I would if I were you

  14. Drew

    Drew says:
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    @david: TJ

    @Howie: is your deadline passed? I’m assuming it’s a 1 QB league- why do you own three decent ones rather than one really good one? It’s tough to drop any of those guys.

    @Asdrubal Bastardo: Bradshaw

    @MarkM: the trade is a no-brainer but I’m not sure you can get away with that.

    @Randy: Greene & Fargas

  15. MarkM says:
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    @Drew: I’ve talked some people into some redic trades so far this year (Thus CJ, Forte and AP on the same team in a 14 team) but I get the feeling the guy may counter with CJ for DeSean Jackson and Kevin Smith. This can’t still be a no-brainer then right? CJ looks like he’ll be a beast again with Vince Young in. It’s non-PPR by the way.

  16. Drew

    Drew says:
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    @MarkM: That’s a little trickier. DeSean has a lot more value in non-PPR relative to other receivers but you can’t give up CJ under most any circumstance. Talk him in to something ridiculous.

  17. MarkM says:
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    @Drew: That’s what I was thinking as well.

    Honestly, I have a hard time moving Forte too just because I think Cutler is going to get a lot more erratic once winter really hits and Forte’s value will skyrocket in a month when they actually try and get him going. But like you said, DeSean and K Smith seem like a good haul to get in return if I can pull it off.

  18. Howie says:
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    @Drew:

    Yes… 1 QB league. Trade deadline has not passed and you raise a good point regarding going after a premier QB.

  19. chisox says:
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    Drop Julius Jones and pick up Forsett? standard scoring

  20. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @chisox: I just don’t see Forsett passing Jones completely. I’d stick with Jones unless something happens.

  21. hideousmutants says:
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    M. Floyd and Cotchery are both available in my league. Got a preference? (non-ppr).

  22. stumanji says:
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    Is it time to cut Anthony Gonzo loose for one of these guys? Recent news is that he’s had a setback with the knee…

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