So, they think they found the Zodiac Killer huh? I had this case solved in 2007 after seven marathon viewings of David Fincher’s Zodiac. The eighteen-hour film festival of sorts guided me to another cinematic treasure and the true greatest San Francisco based film of all-time, Homeward Bound II: Lost In San Francisco. Every clue to every cipher can be found there. All those exhausted detectives. All those man hours. One viewing of HB: Dos with Sassy, Chance, and Shadow would’ve solved all your problems. You know what else is exhausting? Trying to find the right person on your waiver wire. Lucky for you, I patterned my work ethic this week after Robert Downey Jr. and Jake Gyllenhaal in Zodiac (Seriously the best San Francisco based film or maybe it is Vertigo. Yeah, it’s Vertigo), pounded the coffee to find some of this week’s best options on the waiver wire.

My goal is to keep it simple with the waiver wire recommendations in terms of layout. I will include player, team, roster percentage, free agent acquisition budget (FAAB) dollar amount (in percentage) I would use on the player, and of course a little background on why the player is being suggested. The players will be listed by position in order of priority. The threshold I work with is generally less than 50% rostered in leagues. I also want to provide you something quick and easy to pull up while making your waiver claims on Tuesday or Wednesday evenings. At the bottom of every article, you will find the “waiver cheat sheet.”

 

QUARTERBACK –

Jameis Winston | New Orleans Saints

34% Rostered | 10% of FAAB

I usually would not recommend carrying a quarterback over his bye week, but Jameis Winston returns from his Week Six bye with a four-week run against four of the ten worst teams against fantasy quarterbacks. The Seahawks, Buccaneers, Falcons, and Titans give up an average of 26.2 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. Last Sunday marked the first time this season Winston’s passing yardage approached his usual Tampa Bay 300 yard passing floor. His touchdown to interception ratio is currently 4/1 which is beyond the best mark of his career. Also, Taysom Hill was carted off the field with a rough looking concussion which means the worry of him cutting into Winston’s playing time will be nil if he were to miss time.

 

Tua Tagovailoa | Miami Dolphins

3% Rostered | 10% of FAAB (if we hear he’s starting)

Jacoby Brissett 3% | Miami Dolphins

3% Rostered | 8% of FAAB

 The Dolphins quarterbacks are my favorite widely available one week bye or injury related replacements for Week Six. The Dolphins will have to travel further than up interstate 95 for their meeting with the Jaguars this week as their game will be played in London. The Jaguars have allowed over two hundred and eighty yards passing yards four out of the last five weeks. There is talk of Tua Tagovailoa returning this week, but he has not practiced as of yet. We should get more info by late Tuesday afternoon and if Tagovailoa looks on track to play, he is only 15% rostered. We don’t have many high-profile quarterbacks on bye this week, but if you are looking to get yourself down the road if you are the Russell Wilson manager, a Dolphins quarterback should be a good plug and play.

 

Davis Mills | Houston Texans

1% Rostered | 7% of FAAB

Davis Mills turned in the fifth best quarterback performance of the week as of Monday afternoon with 312 yards passing and three passing touchdowns. It is the first multiple touchdown game of the year for the rookie. Most impressive is he did it against a team who didn’t allow Tom Brady a single touchdown the week before. Then again, it could have been the rain and emotions limiting Brady, but facts are facts. Mills and the Texans will travel to Indianapolis to face a Colts team who has been middle of the road against the pass this season. There is hope Sunday was the coming out party for Mills and the Texans may be able to redirect a lot of their city’s quarterback chatter in a more positive direction.

 

Geno Smith | Seattle Seahawks

1% Rostered | 5% of FAAB

Russell Wilson is expected to miss at least the next four weeks of the season with a fractured finger on his throwing hand leaving many fantasy managers scrambling for a replacement. The Seahawks solution for their next few weeks is Geno Smith. The initial response may be negative for a quarterback who has not started a game since 2017, but he did look remarkably electric last Thursday night. Smith threw for 131 yards and a touchdown in a quarter and a half of play. The Seahawks next three matchups are against the Steelers, Saints, and Jaguars. While on paper the Steelers are a tough matchup, they’ve actually given up a decent number of points to quarterback ranking in the bottom twelve against the position. The Saints are tough still and you’ll definitely want to avoid Smith in Week Seven. Week Eight against the Jaguars at home is the matchup to circle. You should be able to find better options, but in two quarterback and Superflex leagues he is an option.

 

RUNNING BACK

 Darrel Williams

27% Rostered | 25% of FAAB

Of the two high-profile running back injuries from Week Five, Darrel Williams is my favorite replacement. It is an unfortunate MCL injury for Clyde Edwards-Helaire who in the last two weeks was finally looking like the running back people were spending a third-round pick to acquire. Still Williams has averaged 4.4 yards per attempt over the last three weeks with a touchdown. The next five weeks for the Chiefs don’t look too difficult in terms of teams against the run. The teams give up an average of 22.9 fantasy points to running backs per game. I am happy spending upwards of 25% of FAAB on Williams as MCL injuries are known to linger and take up to eight weeks to return from even in minor cases.

 

Devontae Booker | New York Giants

 6% Rostered | 20% of FAAB

Saquon Barkley had a nasty ankle injury on Sunday requiring the services of backup running back Devontae Booker for the rest of the game and it appears the next couple weeks. Booker had fifty-eight total yards and two touchdowns last Sunday against the Cowboys. Next Sunday will his first start since December of last year where he struggled against the Jets to the tune of only fifty total yards. The Rams are the next team up for the Giants who may be without Daniel Jones as well assuring Booker should see a decent workload. 

 

Alex Collins | Seattle Seahawks

37% Rostered | 15% of FAAB

Even though Alex Collins didn’t have the best fantasy day last Thursday night against the Rams, his workload was very encouraging looking forward. The Seahawks had twenty-five total carries in the game with Collins accounting for fifteen of those carries. He was also on the field for seventy-one percent of the Seahawks snaps. For as long as Chris Carson is sidelined with his neck injury, the job seems to be in Collins’ hands. Seattle has tough matchups against the Steelers and Saints the next two weeks, but the workload should be there to give Collins low-end RB2 or flex appeal.

 

Khalil Herbert | Chicago Bears

19% Rostered | 8% of FAAB

So, it turned out to be a timeshare for Chicago last week as Khalil Herbert and Damien Williams split carries almost 50-50. Herbert led the team with eighteen carries to Williams sixteen, although Williams hauled in two receptions for twenty yards and the one touchdown between the two. I expect both men to have a role going forth until David Montgomery can return. Although after their week six meeting with the Packers, the Bears face two of the stoutest teams against running backs and then their bye in their next four weeks. By Week Eleven, Montgomery might be back. If you didn’t get Williams last week and Herbert is available, he’s worth an add but I would not be spending too much.

 

Samaje Perine | Cincinnati Bengals

17% Rostered | Do Not Add

I usually don’t include “do not add” players in a piece about players you need to put waiver claims in on, however I wanted to address the Samaje Perine situation. Perine had an extremely efficient game on Sunday working in tandem with Joe Mixon with eleven carries for fifty-nine yards, four receptions for twenty-four yards and a touchdown. He followed this performance up with a trip to the COVID-19 list. Now I am not shaming him rather saying his season high in carries and receptions felt much more like an easing Mixon back in scenario rather than this becoming a split backfield. I expect Mixon to take back his usual role with or without Perine joining him in the backfield.

 

WIDE RECEIVER

Kadarius Toney | New York Giants

17% Rostered | 35% of FAAB

Who am I most excited to add onto my fantasy teams this week? The same player I said last week I was intrigued to start as long as Shepard was out. Well now I am happy to start Kadarius Toney with or without Shepard on the field. Toney erupted Sunday for 189 yards on ten receptions. It felt like a star making performance and it marks the most exciting wide receiver waiver addition of 2021. Toney also benefitted from a knee injury to Kenny Golladay who will now miss at least this upcoming week’s matchup against the Rams. Tony is worth using 35% of your FAAB budget and even I’m willing to punch up to spend a little more.

 

Rondale Moore | Arizona Cardinals

40% Rostered | 10% FAAB

Rondale Moore had two incredibly disappointing outings in as many weeks before his ninety-seven total yard performance Sunday against the 49ers. He remains my favorite to finish the season as the Cardinals number two receiving option. An interesting note is thirty-eight of those yards came from rushes with the Cardinals lead back Chase Edmonds dealing with a shoulder injury. As long as Edmonds is dealing with his shoulder injury, it appears some running game work may go Moore’s way. The Cardinals are looking for ways to get Moore involved and he seems to be doing great with every target and carry.

 

Mecole Hardman | Kansas City Chiefs

43% Rostered | 10% of FAAB

I feel like I’ve spent about as much time down the Mecole Hardman rabbit hole the past few seasons as detectives spent investigating Arthur Leigh Allen. It’s a lot. Hardman led the Chiefs in receptions Sunday as the Bills honed in on Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, the latter who suffered a knee injury. If you’ve picked up Hardman before you might feel a little too burned to try again. However, a matchup with the Washington Football Team’s mediocre secondary may be too good to pass up, especially if Hardman walks into the game as the Chiefs number one wide receiver.

 

Amon-Ra St. Brown | Detroit Lions

3% Rostered | 7% of FAAB

Rookie Amon-ra St. Brown led the Lions in targets and receiving yards in Sunday’s divisional loss to the Minnesota Vikings. St. Brown is averaging just over five targets per game which could go up with Quintez Cephus missing the remainder of the 2021 season with a broken collarbone. St. Brown was a popular late round flyer in August drafts, and it appears with opportunity his time may have arrived. He has yet to catch a touchdown this season, but all that could change as the Lions face the Bengals this Sunday.

 

Marquez Callaway | New Orleans Saints

30% Rostered | 5% of FAAB

The Saints are on bye this upcoming week so you shouldn’t need to spend too much or even use a high priority to get their number one wide receiver. Callaway benefitted from Jameis Winston’s best game of 2021, especially on a first half ending forty-nine-yard hail mary touchdown. There has not been any news of Michael Thomas returning so Callaway should continue to lead the Saints receivers in targets.

 

Receiver is always deep, so here are a few more players rostered in less than 25% I would recommend rostering on your bench:

Tim Patrick

Chris Conley

Donavon Peoples-Jones

Adam Humphries

Jamal Agnew 

TIGHT END

Hunter Henry | New England Patriots

47% Rostered | 10% of FAAB

The tight end battle in New England is starting to lean in Hunter Henry’s favor. Henry was a popular pick for best ball drafters in the summer, but his average draft position plummeted when he ran into a shoulder injury in early August. The first two weeks of the season it seems like Jonnu Smith might win the job out, but a combination of Smith dropping passes and Henry getting acclimated with the offense has vaulted Henry ahead of Smith in the eyes of Mac Jones. Henry has fifteen receptions for 143 yards and 2 touchdowns over the past three weeks. The Patriots play the Cowboys, Jets, and Chargers over the next three weeks and Henry should continue to see looks in the passing game.

 

David Njoku | Cleveland Browns

3% Rostered | 10% of FAAB

I am a little hesitant to trust David Njoku after Sunday’s impressive performance. Njoku has spent a lot of time on the injured reserve the last two seasons and in the games he played, he never topped fifty yards more than once. Sunday’s 149-yard one touchdown performance was easily the best of his four year career and is more than an outlier. However, the Browns are desperate for receiving options and Njoku is third on the team in targets and first in receiving yardage. Any tight end who is being utilized in such a way is worth a spot on your roster and if you are streaming tight end, you could do much worse.

 

Zach Ertz | Philadelphia Eagles

37% Rostered | 5% of FAAB

Zach Ertz had an absolutely awful game against the Panthers on Sunday; however I am firing him up with what looks to be a shoot-out Thursday night against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs have allowed the 8th most fantasy points to tight ends in 2021 and now Lavonte David will be missing Week Six adding to their defensive woes. Ertz has averaged seven targets per game the last three weeks, and I look for the looks to continue at least into the next week. Those without Kyle Pitts and George Kittle this week should take a long look at Ertz.

 

DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

Green Bay Packers

24% Rostered | 3% of FAAB

Justin Fields has yet to have a breakout game in 2021 and until then I am starting the defenses against him. It is not just Fields though as the Bears are down to their backup running back. Green Bay should have decent numbers in your DST slot this Sunday against the Bears and are available in three-quarters of all leagues.

 

Indianapolis Colts

47% Rostered | 2% of FAAB

Davis Mills had a great game against the New England Patriots last Sunday, but a trip away from Houston may prove different for him. The Colts had also forced a fumble heading into Monday night in every game this season. Look for this trend to continue with a rookie quarterback and positional players who outside of Brandin Cooks, haven’t been taken in a fantasy draft in four seasons.

 

 

  1. Bobby’s world says:
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    Great stuff as always man! Chase claypool was just dropped , would you rather add Toney or Claypool? Thinking ROS? Also does it help that juju is out?

    Thanks!

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I have no idea how I missed this! I’d roster Claypool. Sorry and have a great day!

  2. Chris says:
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    Trade help.

    I am in a ten-team, standard scoring, short bench, and need a QB. A 1-4 league mate has Brady and Allen and I want to get Brady (who rides his bench).

    I have:

    Carr
    A. Jones
    D. Cook
    T. McLaurin
    Mike WIlliams
    N Fant
    D. WIlliams
    dst
    k

    A. Mattison
    Chris Carson
    R. Woods
    DJ Moore
    Chris Godwin

    What’s a fair offer ?
    This guy is starting B. Cooks, M . Sanders, T. Lockett, Mixon, and Zeke and not doing well.

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I think Woods or Moore would be fair value in a ten team league to try and land Brady especially if he already has Josh Allen. Good luck and have a great season!

  3. Steve Stevenson says:
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    What to do w/ Trey Sermon in a dynasty? This has been pretty much a worst case scenario, with him presumably having the opportunity drafters had hoped for and then getting Shanahan’d while also being outplayed by a different rookie.

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I’m not dropping him in dynasty or starting him any time soon. I had really hoped for a better workload for Sermon, but the 49ers just seem to have problems everywhere currently. Hold for now and reassess in a couple weeks. THanks for reading and have a great day!

    • The Harrow says:
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      this is just a very similar to moneyball situation (i.e. owner and/GM drafts players, coach either doesn’t want to use them and/or doesn’t want to/know how to use them to their strengths), that or they just constantly keep drafting players the coach benches (pettis, aiyuk (even AFTER how awesome he was last year), sermon etc). i’m sure there are some really angry backroom arguments over this stuff between GM and shanahan (or owner and shanahan). wouldn’t be surprised if he’s just fired over this shit. what’s the use in continuously using high picks to draft players that don’t get used, i got no idea.

  4. G says:
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    you liking Ertz or Henry this week? I know you covered both and they are my two TE options after I lost Logan Thomas. Thanks

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      Both matchups are outstanding! I’d lean Henry just due to workload. Good luck and have a great season!

      • G says:
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        Thanks!

      • Russowl says:
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        Goedert was put on the reserve/covid list today

        • thejoeywright

          thejoeywright says:
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          How how the turntables turn. Yep. Definitely prefer Ertz now. Could be a week winner!

  5. Burrito Bandito says:
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    Hey man, anything you think I should be doing with this squad? 9 team PPR, no kicker.

    QB: Dak
    RB: Nick Chubb, Devontae Booker
    WR: AJ Brown, Devonta Smith
    TE: Tyler Higbee
    Flex: AB
    DEF: Bucs

    Bench
    Saquon
    Gronk
    Chris Carson
    Julio Jones

    IR
    Russell Wilson
    Michael Thomas

    Waivers have Michael Pittman Jr., Marvin Jones Jr., Zack Moss, Dalton Schultz, Miles Sanders, Alex Collins, Darrel Williams – any swaps worth making while I wait on better health?

    Appreciate it 🙂

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I would hold where you are at. Maybe look to trade Gronk and a WR to upgrade at receiver and then go and grab Schultz off the waiver wire. Good luck!

  6. William Hung says:
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    Current roster for W6 (12tm .5 PPR)

    QB – Stafford
    RB – CMC, J-Robinson
    WR – Jefferson, Antonio Brown
    TE – Knox
    FLEX – Damien Williams
    K – Prater
    DEF – NE
    Bench:
    WR – Thielen, Deebo, Waddle
    RB – Hubbard, Javonte
    TE – Goedert
    IR – Jeff Wilson Jr., Michael Thomas

    I’m going to try to drop Waddle for Darrel Williams, and going forward I’m probably going to constantly think about Thielen v. Antonio Brown – Thielen for whatever reason is just not getting the ball… did he do something to Cousins we don’t know about?

    If I don’t end up with Williams, should I try to drop Waddle for Moore?

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      Hey Mr. Hung!

      Your team looks really balanced at the moment. If you want to drop Waddle for Williams, feel free but I wouldn’t give up my waiver priority or use much FAAB to do so in your scenario. I would rather have Rondale Moore over Waddle until Tua returns. I think you are best to hold tight for now. As always, thanks for reading!

      • William Hung says:
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        would you try to do a waiver swap for Kadarius Toney?

        • thejoeywright

          thejoeywright says:
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          If you’re not giving up too much, I would prefer Toney to Waddle for your team.

  7. Beware the Shit Rope says:
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    20 teamer PPR redraft:

    QB (1): murray, d.jones
    RB (2): moss, ekeler, booker (yep these are the kinds of leagues where he was best option BEFORE week 5, and sometimes you get lucky), roundtree, ty -will (dropped and i obtained when i saw he was active, dropping a.wilson), felton (WR, some return points here, he’s scored like 6 before from that)
    WR (3): aj brown, van jeff, q.watkins, c.samuel (he’ll be replaced when he gets tagged), j.reynolds
    TE (1): fant
    1 flex
    IR (10): penny, mostert, hasty, irish JAX TE, fuller, d.evans

    so i got felton and j.reynolds to drop, but for which order of these: g.everett (need a backup TE, been owning/dropping variety of guys), agnew, c.moore (practive squader goes nuts, might still be on practice squad week 6 though), c.conley, d.carter (WAS), parham

    • Beware the Shit Rope says:
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      through p-will in there, i just noticed how many targets he had. meanwhile a.wilson had the same almost none he usually gets.

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I’m so curious what a shit rope is and why i should beware of it…

      Anyways! So I would drop Felton and JRey for Everett and Conley of the options youve given. Thanks for reading and have a great day!

        • thejoeywright

          thejoeywright says:
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          thank you!

          • Beware the Shit Rope says:
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            don’t know if that qualifies as should be aware of it though, is if an early trailer park boys fan (all of those clips are from when it was good/early)

  8. Bobby’s world says:
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    Hey man! Full ppr . 10 team claypool was dropped. Do I add Toney or Claypool? Thinking ROS thanks!

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      With Juju being gone for the season, I’d have to lean Claypool.

  9. Chunk says:
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    I have number 1 waiver in a 10 team .5 PPR league, with a solid starting lineup but very thin bench, and I’m struggling to fill my flex spot (had to choose between Waddle, Galloday, and miles sanders last week.) Would you recommend burning the waiver on either D Williams or Toney?

    Thanks!

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I would use the number one priority on Kadarius Toney if I had a thin bench. Good luck and have a great season!

      • Chunk says:
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        wow that was quick, thanks and same to you!

    • Chunk says:
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      Starters:

      j Hurts

      Mike williams
      Ceedee Lamb

      Ekeler
      Gibson

      Andrews

      Waddle/Galloday/M Sanders (Julio Jones once healthy, or maybe TY Hilton)

      • thejoeywright

        thejoeywright says:
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        this roster looks good for sure. Be looking ahead to Week 8 for the Andrews bye. Maybe next week go and grab Hunter Henry or Gerald Everett who all have good matchups then!

  10. Beware the Shit Rope says:
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    12 teamer league where i have RW3 and burrow. burrow clearly starting a lot of the time now. how you ordering these: m.ryan (burrow’s off week @ DAL), d.jones (same bye week, but just in case as i don’t have to start burrow every week obv), wentz (vs JAX on burrow’s bye week), bridgewater (vs PHI), ( does g.smith enter this convo (i’m guessing not yet).

    • Beware the Shit Rope says:
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      ben (vs DET that week) also

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      I’m playing everyone against Dallas right now. I’d play my mother should she get a starting QB job in the league against Dallas. Matt Ryan looked very good against the Jets in London. Hopefully he brings that game back with him.

      • Beware the Shit Rope says:
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        plus with that shitball ATL D they’ll be having to throw all the time (could be said for d.jones too of course).

  11. Eric says:
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    Hey,

    14-team superflex PPR. Do I stick with Heinicke vs. KC in the superflex or do I go with Zack Moss @ TEN?

    Thanks!

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      The Chiefs are giving up the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. Heinicke should be great this week.

  12. Menace To Sobriety says:
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    Should I trade my Najee Harris & JaMarr Chase for his Dalvin Cook & CeeDee Lamb? .5 PPR 12 team. I’m currently in 1st place.

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      You are getting the better player in both cases, so I’d say yes. Cook has a bit on injury risk right now but I’d do it. Good luck and have a great season.

  13. Beastman says:
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    The Joey!

    PPR keeper league, you taking $10 Michael Carter or $29 DaVonta Smith?

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      $10 Carter. Have a great season and good luck!

  14. Mike says:
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    What’s up man? Questions are all same PPR team.
    WR-Kupp McLaurin Chase Waddle Bateman
    RB- Taylor, Najee Harris Gainwell Eli Mitchell

    I have the #1 waiver. Would you add Williams or Booker? Are they worth the first claim for a possible short time?
    Who would you rather have ROS Waddle Toney or Rondale Moore ROS?
    Thanks for the time

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
      (link)

      1. I would rather have Williams ROS and would drop Mitchell to do so. Now I am probably in the minority on this, but I have no trust week to week for SF. I wouldn’t use the priority on Williams though.

      2. Toney > Moore > Waddle

      Appreciate you reading and have a great day!

  15. thejoeywright

    thejoeywright says:
    (link)

    1. I would rather have Williams ROS and would drop Mitchell to do so. Now I am probably in the minority on this, but I have no trust week to week for SF. I wouldn’t use the priority on Williams though.

    2. Toney > Moore > Waddle

    Appreciate you reading and have a great day!

    • The Harrow says:
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      anybody that thinks they trust the week to week SF RB’s trusts way too many things in their thinking (likely across many other things if that). also anybody that keeps mentioning “draft cost” as that having anything to do with SF’s player usage also might want to just stop that.

  16. Steve Stevenson says:
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    Dynasty std scoring–Rondale Moore or Ruggs?

    • thejoeywright

      thejoeywright says:
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      Rondale Moore

  17. thejoeywright

    thejoeywright says:
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    Rondale Moore.

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