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It’s Wild Card week, and with that comes our breakdown of said week in terms of football. Probably because there is no fantasy football, or at least their shouldn’t be. And if there is… why? What are we doing with our lives? Loosely labeled a “non-political” episode, we hold true this time, as Zach, Matt, and returning guest Alex (to fill in for Jen) banter about the weekend’s upcoming games, betting lines, and that’s. About. It. A football only episode? I… I just don’t even know anymore… Enjoy!

  1. goodfold2 says:
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    what youse think of this playoff bet. i bet that floyd NE has 4th or worse targets among all NE WR’s (WR as determined by yahoo right now) over entire playoffs. at first i thought we were doing snap counts, but opp meant targets. so i would need at least 3 of dola/edelman/mitchell/hogan to beat floyd in targets across entire playoffs (actually dj foster would work too). for $50 bucks.

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: i’d think it’s a near lock for edelman and mitchell to beat him, and hogan has pretty much the whole time he’s been there too. it could come down to whether or not dola steals targets more from hogan or him.

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @goodfold2: Wait, you taking this bet with me? Haha, I think I might agree with you.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Jay: i just remembered, the best part of this is that with mitchell and probably dola back floyd might not play AT ALL. i had that laying around in the back of my head while making it but forgot.

  2. goodfold2 says:
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    8 team playoff PPR roster. just drafted it. winner take all. random snake draft, with the last flex slot being ANY position, BUT you have to have had a full roster BEFORE the 11th round (the 2nd flex round). so nobody could draft 2 QB’s before a kicker. drafted out of the 7th slot, but then the 2nd slot in the 11th 2nd flex round. the issue with players of course is that you are looking for guys to play the most games. i did extensive number crunching (by hand i’m not good with spreadsheets) to figure out the permutations and probabilities of teams playing a specific number of games. the highest was NE with 2.38 or so (their max was of course 3). 2nd was SEA with 2.26 games (out of 4 possible)
    QB RW3 (3rd round).
    -RB (2) ware (4th)
    zenner (5th, he’ll be out after one game, but he might have a good game before he goes, and everybody else left here was a complete backup)
    -WR (3)edelman (2nd)
    jordy (1st)
    kearse (7th)
    -TE fiedor (6th, i think he’ll play in 2 games and get targets)
    flex 1 crabtree (9th, NOBODY wanted OAK players)
    -K crosby (10th)
    D PIT (8th, think they will play at least 2 games and @ KC probably isn’t as bad as @ ATL, and GB was other best option for week 2 matchups)
    flex 2 (11th round any position) osweiler (i think HOU plays 2 games and hopefully savage doesn’t play week 2 of playoffs, missed stafford by one pick here, which was obviously best pick for the 8th team at 11.1)

    • goodfold2 says:
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      @goodfold2: obviously if SEA loses to DET or ware doesn’t play in week 2 i’m pretty F’d. could’ve went mitchell over ware (and no kearse that way at WR #3) but had i done that my best RB #2 would’ve been like perkins (which could work out well if NYG wins of course).

    • Jay

      Jay says:
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      @goodfold2: Love the WRs here. Osweiler at Flex 2 is okay, you just need any extra numbers there. I think Crabtree can surprise this weekend.

      • goodfold2 says:
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        @Jay: cooper went at start of 9th round, lat murray was a desparation throw (can’t guarantee carries, probably out in 1 week) in about round 7 or 8.

        • goodfold2 says:
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          @goodfold2: only other arguable flex 2’s would’ve been m.moore/cook (QB) or a crappy team D (DET/ATL/OAK)

          • Jay

            Jay says:
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            @goodfold2: Yeah, I mean at that point, it probably doesn’t matter.

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