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Hola gang.  Here are some quick target hits from week eleven.

Eleventh Heaven

Joe McKnight-McKnight earned himself a seat at the roundtable Thursday night with his 121 total yard performance (59 on ground, 62 through the air on six receptions).  His role certainly increased with Tomlinson sidelined but when he got his opportunity,McKnight ran with it, singlehandedly sidelining teammate and perennial feature back Shonn Greene.  Though it seems unlikely that Ryan will pencil him in as the starter, McKnight has certainly earned a heavier workload, and his production in the passing game should be particularly appealing to PPR owners.  If Tomlinson is out again this weekend—which is likely—McKnight deserves serious flex consideration.

Kevin Smith-while we’re on the topic of running backs, we clearly need to make some sense of Smith’s 201 yard (140 ground, 61 air) three touchdown performance.  Smith was mildly serviceable at the beginning of the 2009 season before again succumbing to the injuries that have plagued him throughout his career.  The Pats were the only other team to even work him out this season as far as I know, and though he did have a strong workout it was hard to see this coming.  I must admit that I’m a bit bitter because my opponent in my most competitive league had Foster on bye and numerous injuries and ended up playing Smith to the tune of 40 points.  Needless to say, I lost that matchup and may even be out of the playoffs.  Those looking to make a run in the playoffs may want to take a look at Smith too as Jahvid Best will most certainly be sidelined for weeks to come.  P.S. starter Maurice Moore managed only 29 yards on seven carries and one reception for eight yards on one target.  It is also fair to note that the Panthers have the worst run defense in the league.  To say that his performance will not be typical is obvious, but as long as he gets the touches he’ll be fake football relevant.  Ride him till he breaks down.

Kellen Winslow-Tampa Bay at least put up a fight against the undefeated champs and Winslow was a big part of it.  His nine catches for 132 yards were best on the team, as were his 11 targets.  The targets have not been an issue all year, as Winslow is second among tight ends for the season with 81, but his production in the fantasy world certainly has.  He is top ten among tight ends in receptions and receiving yards but his two touchdowns have really held him out of the limelight.  I have actually seen him dropped in a lot of leagues and given his numbers, he certainly has no shortage of upside.

Jordy Nelson-he’s no secret but the press he got this week reminded me of an SI article written in the early 90’s entitled, “When Men Can’t Run”, which lamented the downfall of the white receiver.  The article chronicled the demise of guys like Dwight Clark and Steve Largeant and commented on how Tom Waddle was all the white guys had.  I used to use the article in my Sports Rhetoric class as an example of clear rhetorical racism and now it’s come full circle.  Interesting stuff.  Anyway, what does make Nelson stand out from say, Wes Welker, is that he is a legitimate deep threat and overwhelming redzone target.  Over his last three games, Nelson has 16 receptions for 291 yards and five touchdowns.  He is also a bastion of efficiency as his 16 receptions came on only 18 targets.  Teammate Greg Jennings has only managed 11 receptions for 84 yards and two touches in that same span.  This homeboy’s on fire!

Raider receivers-I really need to stop pontificating about this mess, this disgrace, this true blackhole.  DHB came out of the woodwork after a two game benching to lead the team with four receptions for 43 yards on five targets.  Meanwhile, Darius seemed precarious, catching only one pass for 14 yards on two targets.  Much like my proclamation with Bronco receivers a few weeks ago, I am officially abstaining from Raider receiver analysis until further notice.

Donte Stallworth-the recently re-signed receiver looked stalwart once again, catching four passes for 51 yards and one touchdown on six targets.  His performance was second to Gaffney and Davis’ as I imagine it will be going forward, but with the promising young upstart Hankerson on I.R., Stallworth wants to party like it’s 2008.  The biggest issue with playing a guy like Stallworth is undoubtedly the fact that Rex Grossman is his quarterback.  However, Sexy Rexy has managed to pass for nearly 500 yards in his last two games, going for 289 and two scores last week against a pretty good defense.  He’s certainly a desperation add but worth keeping an eye on.

Torrey Smith-Torrey stepped up yet again with a huge six catch, 165 yard and one td performance against a decent Bengal D.  Boldin, on the other hand, was held to one reception and 35 yards, though he too managed to score.  The most significant stat was the target differential, with Smith garnering seven and Boldin limping in with only two.  Smith looks like the hot hand and with that tough Niners run D on the docket for Thursday, the Ravens will surely need to take it to the air.  That being said, he is still a feast or famine kind of guy.  I own him and I’m playing him, so I’m certainly counting on a Thanksgiving feast.

Jerome Simpson-with Green out, Simpson stepped up in a big way, catching eight of his 13 targets (third in the NFL) for 152 yards.  If Green is out again (he is day to day) Simpson looks like a great plug and play against the Bengals in what is kind of a must win game for the big cats.

Riley Cooper-someone needed to step up with Maclin on the sidelines and this week and it was Cooper.  Five catches for 75 yards and a game-winning td isn’t a bad stat line but I wouldn’t count on Riley ruffling any feathers in the future.  However, if Maclin is out again, Cooper is another decent desperation play.

I Can Explain…

Damian Williams-I endorsed him fully last week, encouraging many of you to buy into the young playmaker and all I left you with was one catch for 16 yards.  However, if you’ll recall, I liked Williams a lot for the fact that he should see a lot of targets and that did not change at all on Sunday as Williams commanded a team high 11 of them.  If he’s dropped due to his performance I’m going to be bold and tell you to pick him up and play him against TB.  In related news, Nate Washington had a monster day, catching all nine of his targets for 115 yards and two touchdowns.  I know I’m not helping my argument but I still do like Williams going forward.

Laurent Robinson-the fact that he got in the endzone makes his paltry performance (four catches, 34 yards) somewhat acceptable, but many of you are left asking, “where’s the beef?”  Once again I will point to the fact that he too had 11 targets, three more than second best Bryant.  I still like him a lot going forward.

Vincent Brown-ok.  I got nothing…sorry about that.

53 Responses

  1. samohtm says:
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    Great stuff as always…I have ADP and worry when he will return, would it be foolish to consider trying to trade him away, knowing I will more than likely lose value?

    Also, what is your opinion of giving Fizgerald and Tate for Turner?

    thanks

  2. Anthony says:
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    Hey Man,
    I been having a hard time choosing a flex lately, I have beanie Desean Percy to choose from.
    This week I’m leaning towards beanie, but he has been so inconsistent lately.
    What do u think?
    Thanks man!

  3. Samohtm says:
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    Great stuff as always….need some advice, I have ADP and I worry he will not return, would it be foolish to consider trading him, even though I will more than likely lose value?

    Also, what do you think of giving Fitzgerald and Tate for Turner?

    thanks

  4. m says:
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    Miles Austin or Chris Johnson?
    a. for next 2 weeks?
    b. for rest of season?

  5. timmy riggins says:
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    playoffs??? not even gonna make the playoffs of your league and youre doling out fantasy advice? pfffft

  6. zandercage says:
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    Hey Matt –

    1) Need to pick a RB between Blount and J. Stewart this week. Standard scoring.

    2) Then need to pick a Flex starter between the RB not chosen above, Harvin or Antonio Brown.

    Thanks!

  7. SmokeTNT says:
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    @timmy- Just because someone may not make the playoffs in a certain league doesn’t mean they can’t give sound advice. What if you drafted Jamaal Charles, Miles Austin, Andre Johnson, etc. and you catch some bad beats on top of that and finish in last place? That doesn’t mean you’re an idiot, luck has as much to do with fake football as anything.

  8. Fernando says:
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    What’s up Matt? How’s your fantasy week? Mine would be better if I didn’t loose A.P. I have Gerhart, but it doesn’t fill me with too much comfort. ‘Cause I may really have to start him. However, I switched my line up around for all sure players and leaving me what would be a flex position (w/r). I own Gerhart and D. Thomas. I can drop a def (Ne or Phi) and pick up one of these guys on waiver and start at flex: Grant, Brown or Addai (ind), Barber, N. Washington, J. Simpson, S. Rice.

    > Of the those names who would you flex?
    Thanks

  9. Singapore Dave says:
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    Need 3: Breaston, Bennett, Cooper, Caldwell, Jenkins, or Douglas. 18-team league, I’m currently in 3rd place. I dropped Stevie on Monday.

  10. Randy04 says:
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    I know you don’t want to think about the Raiders receiving corps any longer, but who do you think has greater ROS value in a standard league when healthy….Jacoby Ford or Santana Moss? Thanks!

  11. Salty Balty says:
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    Pick 2 to start this week at WR: Harvin, D. Bryant, or B. Lloyd.

  12. Kevin K says:
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    Would you trade Denarius Moore for Boldin? Moore can be kept next year, Boldin can not..I am making a run at this year and need to know if this is enough of an upgrade for the remainder of the year.

  13. Jeff says:
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    Who should i start in my flex in a half point ppr? Earl Bennett or Ben Tate?

  14. anon says:
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    Maurice Moore? Jerome Simpson against the Bengals? WTF? Do you proofread before you post? Poor journalism.

  15. KeeblerMN says:
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    Who do you like for Flex play, non PPR
    L. Robinson vs Mia or C. Benson vs Cle

  16. Nick says:
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    Would u drop or start Sanchez over Tebow this week?… If drop, Which QB do you pickup to either start next week over Tebow (my current QB) or pickup as backup…Flacco, Alex Smith, Ponder, Moore or Dalton? 10 team- non-ppr.

  17. David says:
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    Come on man! Who is Maurice Moore? Try Maurice Morris!
    Joe McNight did not singlehandedly sideline Shonn Greene. The Broncos D knocked Greene out of the ballgame for McNight. McNot had at best, decent stats, but was not very effective during the game when the Jets needed him to be.
    It’s no big secret why you’re missing the playoffs!

  18. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @samohtm-thanks man. It really depends on your team when you’re considering trading AP. I’m assuming you are poised to make a playoff run. It may not be a bad idea to package him with Fitz and Tate and get say a Turner and possibly a great receiver depending on your team needs. I’m not sure what the official diagnosis is on the ankle. As far as Fitz and Tate for Turner I like that trade for you. It’s tough to depend on either of the two week in and week out and Turner has been extremely consistent. If you can’t get decent value for AP I’d hold him.

  19. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Anthony-it’s hard to trust Beanie and I’ve read several reports and seen with my own eyes that he is simply not as explosive. I like Harvin a lot this week with AP out. Roto world reports claim that the Vikes plan on using him out of the backfield. He should get plenty of touches.

  20. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @M-I’d have to go with Johnson given his cupcake schedule down the stretch. I honestly believe that even if Austin comes back healthy they will continue to incorporate L. Robinson.

  21. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Timmy-four teams make the playoffs in a 12 team league or expert owners. On my team at the beginning of the year: Jamaal Charles, Peyton Hillis, Reggie Wayne, Santonio Holmes, Rivers, Moreno. I’d say I’ve done a pretty good job just staying in contention but I appreciate the judgement buddy.

  22. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Zandercage-I’d go with Blount and Harvin in the flex if no AP. They plan on giving him carries.

  23. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @SmokeTNT-that’s the truth brother.

  24. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Fernando-what’s up man? I’d probably roll with D. Thomas over Gerhart but I’d seriously consider playing Jerome Simpson if A.J. Green is out, though it looks like Green is on track to play. Addai is supposedly close to returning and the matchup against Carolina is very appealing. It’s tough to trust really any of those guys you just listed. I would not play Gerhart either way. Simpson if Green is out, then I’m going with Thomas followed by Grant is Starks is out. Nate Wash if all else fails. I would check out rotoworld.com though and if it’s confirmed that Addai will start I would bump him up to the top.

  25. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Singapore-I don’t like the dropping of Stevie given the dudes you just named off but I’d go with Bennett, Douglas (if Jones is out), Breaston in that order.

  26. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Randy-Moss…get it? Randy Moss? seriously though I like Moss.

  27. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @salty-I like all those guys this week. I guess I would lean toward Bryant and Lloyd given their matchups and potential to see more targets, however I wouldn’t be suprised to see Harvin get a heavy workload with AP likely out. The matchup is bad, however.

  28. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Kevin-I would probably make that trade, especially if you’re going to make a run. Moore may have a better game here or there but Boldin will provide consistency and at least as many opportunities to score.

  29. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Jeff-boy that’s tough. Jax has a decent run game but they gave up over 100 to Ogbo last week and you know the Texans are going to rely on the ground game with Schaub out. Bennett will probably guarantee you nine points but I see his ceiling at 15, whereas Tate’s ceiling is in the 20′s at least. Those are things I consider when trying to make decisions like that. If I think I need a lot of points to win, I’d play Tate. It’s also tough to know what the chemistry will be like with Hanie. I’m leaning Tate.

  30. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Anon-fair enough. I rushed this one last night.

  31. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Keebler-Benson for sure.

  32. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Nick-I’d keep playing Tebow but Matt Moore has been better fantasy wise than Sanchez. I’d consider dropping Sanchez for Moore.

  33. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @David-why do you have to be such a prick? Greene was not knocked out of the game. Do some research. He was benched for the hot hand of McKnight. Those are words out of his own mouth. Get some perspective about the playoff thing. Happy Thanksgiving.

  34. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @David-p.s. It’s not McNight it’s McKnight…I can’t believe you could make such a rediculous mistake.

  35. herschel says:
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    @Jones: better ppr flex play this week:

    finley @ det
    tate @ jac
    bjge @ phi

    also, who do you like between tebow and rothlisberger this week?

    thanks

  36. Willy D says:
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    Flex Question…

    PPR league

    do i start…

    greg little, antonio brown, ogbonnaya or spiller??

  37. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @herschel-I like Tebow a bit better. I think the Steelers will look to run the ball and take it easy on Roethlisberger’s thumb. I’m leaning toward Tate as a better PPR play actually. It’s hard to sit Finley but he is so feast or famine. BJGE has been equally inconsistent.

  38. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Willy-If Hardesty is out I’d start Ogbo. I’m leaning toward Greg Little next.

  39. scout says:
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    Do I start Tom Brady or Stafford?
    Any thoughts
    Thanks

  40. SmokeTNT says:
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    In my 8 team league I’m thinking of sitting Ray Rice for Murray and Bush. Am I dumb for that? The 9ers are beast against RBs.

  41. SmokeTNT says:
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    Michael Bush I mean btw, not Reggie or George.

  42. fred haase says:
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    Yeah Damian Williams screwed me last week, but at least HassLocker was throwing him the ball. Too bad coverage on DW was like a vice grip and seemingly every throw to him was off target.
    But this is a new week and the penultimate one in my league as I need a win to get in the playoffs and unfortunately I face the best player in my league who has dominated with LMcCoy, Forte, Gore, and Graham all season. Please advise on how to beat this dude:

    PPR league
    QB: Tebow or Big Ben
    RB 1: Reggie Bush
    RB 2: JStewart or Blount + Waivers out there for Kevin Smith and Spiller but doubt I land either.
    WR1: Fitzy
    WR2: Colston
    Flex: Maclin(if he plays) or Stevie Johnson + Waivers out for Torrey Smith and Santana Moss. Could also plug in a RB here…

    In your opinion, when facing a more dominate opponent, should you play high risk players or go with the safer bet? ie Big Ben, Blount, Santana seem like safer options to me, but Torrey, Tebow, Maclin(vs NE), Stewart(vs Indy) have better chance for huge numbers. I saw above where you are playing Torrey maybe for this very reason. Appreciate all of your help this year.

  43. Frank Rizzo says:
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    Hey Jones,

    Thanks for your help last week. I was wondering if you had to pick four starters out of this group whom would you pick?

    McGhaee plax harvin Cruz matthews and Andre Johnson?

    Can be 2 rb and 2 wr or 1 rb and 3 wr…..

  44. Lily says:
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    Hey need a little advice here pls: sit one 0.5 ppr – colston, Brandon Marshall, Antonio brown. Thanks!

  45. Nick says:
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    @Jones: Who do you like at WR2&3 this week in my 10 team non-ppr? Antonio Brown, Santonio Holmes, Torrey Smith, Laurent Robinson?

    Also at flex would you play one of the receivers above (not used at WR) or who I currently have in — Kevin Smith. Other RB on bench include Starks and Helu…

  46. BOZZ says:
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    Whatsup Jones! Got a big matchup this week versus number one team who I trail by one game for first seed and division title. Unfortunately I have both Peterson and McFadden on the shelf. I’ve been starting Marshawn Lynch the past couple weeks, so I figure he’ll start this week. I need to pick one from the following: Helu, Gerhart, Hardesty, Spiller and Donald Brown is out there on waivers. Happy Thanksgiving to you and the fam!

  47. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Fred-you gotta go big. I like Tebow, Maclin, Stewart.

  48. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Frank-I’d go with AJ, Cruz, Mathews, McGahee

  49. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Lily-sorry I’m a bit late for the Marshall call but I would sit Antonio Brown of that group anyway.

  50. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Nick-a bit late for Robinson advice…sorry about that. He would have been my first choice. I like Brown next.

  51. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Bozztime-what’s up man? Happy Thanksgiving! Say hello to the fam. Stay away from Gerhart, I’m reading that Harvin will vulture backfield carries. Helu’s matchup is brutal. Spiller is the guy who will likely see the most touches and receiving targets out of that group so I would go with Spiller in the pinch you’re in. Not a great matchup with the Jets, but he should catch some passes. Are you in a PPR league? Donald Brown is sketchy as Carter will be there too and Addai is supposedly back to full practices and on target to start. If Addai starts, that juicy matchup against the panthers looks a lot less appealing for him. Good luck man; I was wondering when you were going to post something!

  52. BOZZ says:
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    No its not a PPR league…I was thinking Spiller too, but didn’t know if my hopeless optimism as a Bills fan was impairing my judgement. One other thing I won a waiver claim on Mark Ingram – what do you think about him vs. Spiller? Not sure how to read that situation with Sproles, Thomas, and Ingram in that backfield.

  53. Jones

    Jones says:
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    @Bozz-stay away from Ingram

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