Week 4 Pass Defense Strategery
We now have three weeks of football action to analyze. Hopefully we can put the additional data to good use and make some good lineup recommendations this week. Last week the data was able to be sorted by the column of your choice. This additional option can be very helpful as you use the data to decide which TE to start or which of your QBs has a tougher matchup.
Please let us know what lineup questions you may have, good luck this week, and below are a couple specific names I like and don’t like.
- Romo validated his toughness by leading the Cowboys to victory on Monday night, but had only an average fantasy football night. With the state of his o-line, young WRs, and a tough Detroit defense, I expect another average fantasy day for Tony.
- Brady is always a must start, but coming off a 4 INT loss and playing a bad Oakland pass defense, I have sky high expectations for Tom this week.
- Flacco, Schaub, and Matt Ryan are all right on the edge of being called every week starters. They fall below the start boarder this week. If you have another option, possibly named Eli Manning, Newton or Grossman, I would strongly consider it.
- Denarius Moore and Jacoby Ford, if he can get healthy, are good starts against New England.
- Mike Thomas, Santana Moss, Brandon Lloyd, and possibly Eric Decker need to find their way into your starting lineup in week 4.
- Jermichael Finley versus a Denver defense who has been tough on TEs will be a great matchup to watch this weekend.
- If Gates is ruled out, Randy McMicheal is not only worth a pick up, but potential a start this week.
- Jimmy Graham will continue his quest to be a top 5 fantasy TE this week against Jacksonville.
| Ra nk | TE AM | OP P | Yds/ Gm | QB FPA | Co mp% | WR FPA | TE FPA | DV OA | TD | yds /c | AV G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | @CLE | 2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3.8 |
| 2 | PIT | @HOU | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4.3 |
| 3 | DET | @DAL | 6 | 3 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6.1 |
| 4 | NYJ | @BAL | 5 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6.5 |
| 5 | CIN | BUF | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8.8 |
| 6 | CLE | TEN | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 9.0 |
| 7 | BAL | NYJ | 20 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 11.1 |
| 8 | SEA | ATL | 10 | 8 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 11.5 |
| 9 | WAS | @STL | 15 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 29 | 11.9 |
| 10 | JAC | NO | 3 | 12 | 16 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 12.8 |
| 11 | SF | @PHI | 16 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 14.8 |
| 12 | IND | @TB | 17 | 10 | 27 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 20 | 15.0 |
| 12 | NYG | @ARI | 23 | 13 | 8 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 27 | 15.0 |
| 14 | HOU | PIT | 11 | 17 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 21 | 15.3 |
| 15 | ATL | @SEA | 21 | 19 | 28 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 15.6 |
| 16 | DAL | DET | 14 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 27 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 16.1 |
| 17 | DEN | @GB | 12 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 9 | 17.0 |
| 18 | PHI | SF | 9 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 | 23 | 17.9 |
| 19 | OAK | NE | 28 | 29 | 10 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 22 | 16 | 18.9 |
| 20 | MIN | @KC | 29 | 21 | 29 | 14 | 22 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 19.0 |
| 21 | SD | MIA | 8 | 15 | 30 | 11 | 31 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 19.5 |
| 22 | CAR | @CHI | 13 | 16 | 22 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 15 | 32 | 19.9 |
| 23 | STL | WAS | 19 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 20.3 |
| 24 | TB | IND | 24 | 18 | 19 | 22 | 18 | 31 | 10 | 22 | 20.5 |
| 25 | ARI | NYG | 25 | 26 | 15 | 24 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 24 | 20.5 |
| 26 | BUF | @CIN | 22 | 22 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 21 | 27 | 8 | 21.0 |
| 27 | CHI | CAR | 26 | 23 | 31 | 12 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 21.8 |
| 28 | NO | @JAC | 27 | 27 | 6 | 27 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 22.8 |
| 29 | KC | MIN | 18 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 18 | 23.9 |
| 30 | NE | @OAK | 32 | 32 | 25 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 25.4 |
| 31 | GB | DEN | 31 | 31 | 18 | 31 | 25 | 22 | 22 | 31 | 26.4 |
| 32 | MIA | @SD | 30 | 28 | 20 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 25 | 28.3 |
Key:
Team: The team that is being evaluated for their defensive strength
Opp: The team with your fantasy players
Yds/gm: Total passing yards given up per game
QB FPA: Fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks
Comp%: Completion Percentage against
WR FPA: Fantasy points allowed to wide receivers
TE FPA: Fantasy points allowed to tight ends
DVOA: Defense-adjusted Value Over Average
Yds/c: Yards Per Catch
TDs: Passing touchdowns allowed
Average: The average of each each individual ranking
Tags: 2011 Fantasy Football, fantasy football






September 28th, 2011 at 10:21 am
1. Romo or Schaub this week then if you don’t really like either?
2. Best WR that’s probably available to replace Britt?
September 28th, 2011 at 10:22 am
WR dilemma.
Pick 2: Santonio Holmes, Lance Moore, Denarius Moore, Miike Thomas
September 28th, 2011 at 10:23 am
Given what you have said about JFinley above, is Petigrew a better start?
12 team, 1pt PPR league.
September 28th, 2011 at 11:29 am
OK to cut bait on the NE Defense and start streaming the rest of the way? (i.e. WAS or HOU this week)
September 28th, 2011 at 12:32 pm
QB Situation: Cutler vs Schaub
WR Situation: Malcolm Floyd vs Harvin
TE Situation: Keller vs Pettigrew
Similar projections for each, but I can’t seem to decide one way or the other.
September 28th, 2011 at 1:23 pm
Eli or Ben?
@saftynet: Eli
@BonerJams03: Schaub, Harvin, Keller
@Commish Cauda: Yep
@CL: Nope
@flyinhawiianpizza: Tough. I like Holmes and D. Moore
@CK: Romo, Washington, Moore, depends on who’s out there
September 28th, 2011 at 9:43 pm
Hey doc.
questions on the phillys def. Keep or start steaming . Thinking vikings this week?
@saftynet: I like Philly enough that I’d hate to drop them.
September 29th, 2011 at 2:55 am
Rolling with this projected 195 points
eli
mathews
fjax
L. Mccoy
R white
B Marshall
M Wallace
Finley
n. Rackers
philly def
3 -0
September 29th, 2011 at 1:07 pm
@Doc: 12 team PPR league. Matt Ryan or Ryan Fitzpatrick? Mike Thomas (Jac) or Denarius Moore for WR3? Thanks in advance!