Welcome back, my Lovelies, to another e-rousing week of Hit it or Quit it, with Yours Truly, your Goddess of innuendo. Although I want to say that I took a pounding this week, I am happy to say that it was not in Fantasy Football. Hey, you have your hobbies, and I have mine. Your Goddess went a respectable 4-1 this week, with that one loss being the sacrificial Razzball Contributor's Black Widow League in which I opted to play the submissive, rather than the Dominatrix (I save that for my other leagues). Sometimes we all have to make sacrifices and this time I opted to throw my body upon the pyre and only pick up those I write about in that league, so I can give you firsthand experience. Alas, that league is a pathetic 0-for and it really sticks in my throat since those of you who know me know that I hate to lose. So, I opt to drown out the memory with whiskey...lots and lots of whiskey.
The curse spared me this week. How did you fare? That being said, Leonard Fournette has been sitting deep in the closet in one of my leagues and I am dying to whip him out and have some fun. Only the Black Widow knows when and if that will happen. In the meantime, I am making due with the lovely specimens which are coming my way via my other leagues. Guys, look, I honestly take no pleasure in whipping the Holy sh** out of you in your leagues week after week, but it is what you pay for, and I am a woman of the people, so...Oh, who am I kidding, I absolutely LOVE beating the Holy sh** out of you week after glorious week. It does more for me than the array of toys in that special box under my bed, and that is really saying something.
Ok, I know, I seem to be rambling while I bask in the Week 6 slain carcasses which lay before me and you didn’t pay extra for the emasculation this week, so I will move on and get to what brought you here. Ladies and Gentlemen, Convicts and Perverts, your wait is over. I give you Week 7, Hit it or Quit it.
Chris Godwin (vs CLE): All Chris Godwin has done is catch a TD in 4 of his 5 games this season and netted 13 points or more in all 4 of those games. There are a lot of hungry mouths in the Bucs receiving game, but with Jameis Winston back in the fold I can see all those baby birds getting fed by mama Winston especially against a Browns team that has surrendered the 5th most receiving yards.
O.J. Howard (vs CLE): Another mouth to feed in Tampa Bay? Yea, but Howard was well fed even before Winston’s return. In his last three games played he’s had 18 fantasy points, 13 fantasy points and 16 fantasy points respectively. Howard will continue to gobble up a decent amount of targets even against a Browns secondary that has been a little stingy to opposing TEs. Should I end this eating analogy now? OM NOM NOM!
We have a London game! It should mean earlier football but instead it is the same time as the other early games but unfortunately the NFL is putting this game at noon as well. We all will have to wait another week to get a bonus 3 and a half hours of football. Speaking of London, apparently the Jaguars becoming London's official team is closer to becoming a reality according to their ownership. That seems like nothing but a sh*tshow. Jacksonville finally has a competitor to root for and NOW it's time for this. Khan wants to keep the team based in Jacksonville while playing some or most of their home games at Wembley stadium. Who would want to sign there? That's taking away a lot of what home field advantage has to offer. Does Blake Bortles really play that much better overseas? But, if we can get more 8:30 games I might not complain that much.
What's going on everyone?! Welcome back to another edition of my "Start 'Em, Sit 'Em" series, where today I'll be diving into some very good, and very bad fantasy matchups for Week 6. Can you believe it's already the 6th week of the NFL season?! Time flies when you're having fun!
Let's get to it!
*Note* – My Week 6 Rankings can be found here, and be sure to check out Rudy’s projections for this week here!
If you saw the arguments this week on twitter, then you know there’s a question. Does defense matter for overall fantasy production? Most of the reason why people say defense doesn’t matter is because the way we measure defense is pretty terrible, and until we can measure true talent defense much better, the appearance of being a good or bad defense is super noisy and the amount of signal there is very very low. And in terms of how to predict the production for fantasy, teams vary what they do (and some teams do this randomly and are bad at it), and you would need to know what their scheme is and what player(s) they plan to exploit, and then the adjustments on the initial game plan come into play. If you have that information, first, please share it with me, and second, you’d probably be able to obliterate DFS (and Vegas, for that matter). But if you have that information, you’re not reading this article right now. So for those of you without it - let’s attack this slate with what we do know - namely, #NeverRun, offenses score points when they throw a lot, and one of the only ways we legitimately do see defenses mattering is in pass rush versus protection - it’s hard to score points when you’re being thrown down to the ground before you can throw a pass.
We are already one-third of the way through the NFL season. Hopefully your fantasy season is off to a good start. I’m sure that most of the readers here manage multiple teams, so most likely owners have fallen into a range of outcomes. Some teams will find themselves off to the dreaded 0-5 or 1-4 start and might find it difficult to retain interest. But don’t throw in the towel! Moving assets for dynasty teams in this position can be more important than next year’s rookie draft. This is a great time to evaluate the rest of season outlook for your squad. Should you sell off pieces for draft picks? Should you send draft picks away and acquire pieces for your championship run? Some owners may be on the bubble, in this case you need to be aware of the age of your team. Is it Larry Fitzgerald old? Let’s take a closer look at the dynasty value of a few players you can move now and land a nice haul for the future.
This is part 2 of our week 6 preview. My apologies for making this week difficult. This is the wide receiver, tight end, and half of the awesome dad jokes portion. Enjoy!
Rudy and myself talk about the week 6 slate. Rudy has had a fantastic couple of weeks and if you sign up for a 7-day free trial you can see his rankings. We talk about Saquon Barkley and all of his excellence as well as Marcus Mariota and all of the confusion. We had some connection issues so we had to break this puppy down into a two-parter. So that's twice the information, ya dig?
Unfortunately, I can't fit two podcast links into one single post so you can find part two in whatever podcast platflorm you use. I just don't want to bog up page 1 with a bunch of podcast posts when we have so many other great things to offer on this Saturday morning.
My weekly goal is not only to inform you on critical RB pickups and injuries but to help equip you to win your league with my weekly strategy soap box. We are nearing the half way point of the fantasy football regular season and I have another nugget for you.
Stop gloating about your undefeated or one loss team, no one cares and it does not matter. Regular season win/loss records do not mean anything if you are chasing a championship. If your team is great now it does not gaurantee your team to be great come playoffs. Exhibit A: a league-mate of mine last season went 11-2 and did not win the championship. Mid-season, I suggested he should make a trade to help improve his team for the post season. He felt his team was too good and he did not need to make any changes. He exited the playoffs first round and we all got the last laugh.
I’m mixing things up this week and borrowing the format from SAGNOF posts. Here are my DFS thoughts, broken down by tiers. Shout out to Smokey, the creator of the tiers. Todd Gurley is worth buying a salad of any price. Please, blog, may I have some more?