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We are already a quarter of the way through the NFL season and I still find myself thinking how much I missed football on Sundays. It felt great to go through the football routine last week after missing weeks 2 & 3. Ironically, I had my worst week of the season at the sportsbook. Too much research can be a bad thing. Let’s take a quick look at some buy and sells without overthinking things.

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It’s good to be back! I have got to stop planning vacations during the football season. I’m returning from a two-week trip to Iceland, where not only was it difficult to get cell service to watch games, and barely manage my teams, but also where kick-off was at 5 p.m. It was not ideal staying up until 3 a.m. to watch the night games. I would highly recommend traveling to Iceland and spending a couple of weeks driving around the country. It was 2 weeks of great food, great people, hiking, and site seeing. Plus, you get to drive some bad ass routes, fording rivers, and drive along volcanic ash roads, all while getting pelted with hail/rain/wind in “super jeeps”. Just be sure to check the news every morning to be sure your route doesn’t have any landslides or extreme flooding! Now as that post-vacation relaxation tends to fade away, let’s dive back in and examine some surprising dynasty situations.

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In leagues where rosters are 30 players deep and waivers are plucked clean, it’s important not to overreact after week 1. This is especially true for players on the back-end of your roster that won’t see much of the field this year. The hyped rookie that you drafted isn’t burning you by sitting in your 27th roster spot. It’s important to temper your expectations on these rookies and not fall victim to week 1.

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It’s finally here, we are less than a week away from my Packers kicking off 2019. I’m convinced that I enjoy the ritual of football Sunday’s more than the games themselves. Waking up to place your bets, set your lineups, and trash talk your league mates is its own event in itself. I’ll be kicking off week 1 with some homemade jalapeño poppers, chicken wings, maybe a cheese board to keep in line with my Wisconsin fandom, and of course plenty of beer. Although some of us have the same game day rituals from year to year, we can’t expect similar results from team to team or player to player from 2018 to 2019. In a league that is built on parity, identifying when a player’s situation has changed drastically can make us better fantasy gamers. Let’s take a look at some of these situations that should make us pause and take a closer look.

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Pre-season is wrapping up soon and most of us have completed our rookie drafts. As we sit around and rosterba—- err, “admiring” what we have built, it’s easy to get carried away by pre-season hype. This is a volatile time of year to swap assets with other teams. We have seen countless rookies flash in pre-season only to bust when facing the 1st string, while others have zero preseason impact and break out all over the place.  Here are a handful of rookies that are worth the hype. 

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Welcome back to another Dynasty Deep Dive. Hopefully you read Rudy’s post last week regarding Vacated Targets, and how they are a big misconception among fantasy gamers. Rudy‘s math proved that there is no correlation in vacated targets and an increase in targets. This week, I’d like to apply Rudy’s theory that Vacated Targets by themselves are generally useless, and instead identify some players worth targeting based on increased Snap Share. We’re going to take that step further and see if an increased Snap Share resulted in a larger Target Share. I want to use Target Share for this because I believe it is a better indicator of how important a player is to their offense. We all know volume is king in fantasy, but Target Share will put these players within context compared to their teammates.  

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Hello and welcome back to another year of Dynasty Deep Dives! With it being mid-August I’m sure the majority of fantasy gamers have already completed their drafts, but all of us will be wrapping up our draft season in the next couple of weeks. Let’s’ dive in like Antonio Brown dove into his cryogenic therapy. Here are a few rookie running backs that you should not have cold feet about drafting this year.

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Sorry about missing last week! I highly doubt anyone was refreshing their browsers to see the week’s fantasy deep dive, but, nonetheless I am back. As we move toward fantasy playoffs and the seeding starts to shake out, this is a critical point for your fantasy teams. Fantasy Trade deadlines are fast approaching, while some may have already passed. Let’s take a look at some studs and duds you can take advantage of in your trade negotiations.

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I don’t actually have anything to say about Derek Carr, I just wanted to use that title. Hopefully you didn’t roll Carr out there this week. Mullins has solidified the idea that streaming any QB against Oakland is a pro-play. Let’s try to forget about the abysmal game from Thursday Night and take a look at a few new situations heading into Week 9. It was a pretty interesting trade deadline, and there are a handful of players who have seen their dynasty value affected.

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There are some very exciting rookies who are going to have an opportunity to make an impact in week 7. Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you have already heard the name Nick Chubb uttered in the last 24 hours. I saw a tweet yesterday asking “Chubb or Gore ROS?”, some of your league mates may still be sleeping on Chubb so check your waivers. I posted about Chubb in week 3, hopefully anybody that was reeling for a RB stashed him. Let’s take a look at some other running back situations heading into this week, and be sure to check out our tools to see where Chubb falls for the ROS.

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We are already one-third of the way through the NFL season. Hopefully your fantasy season is off to a good start. I’m sure that most of the readers here manage multiple teams, so most likely owners have fallen into a range of outcomes. Some teams will find themselves off to the dreaded 0-5 or 1-4 start and might find it difficult to retain interest. But don’t throw in the towel! Moving assets for dynasty teams in this position can be more important than next year’s rookie draft. This is a great time to evaluate the rest of season outlook for your squad. Should you sell off pieces for draft picks? Should you send draft picks away and acquire pieces for your championship run? Some owners may be on the bubble, in this case you need to be aware of the age of your team. Is it Larry Fitzgerald old? Let’s take a closer look at the dynasty value of a few players you can move now and land a nice haul for the future.

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Is there anything more frustrating in sports, than when management doesn’t put the best players on the field? As a Packer fan, why Green Bay is still using a RB by committee is infuriating. Aaron Jones is in an entirely different class than Jamaal Williams, yet Mike McCarthy continues to use them in rotation. As a Dynasty player you can try to take advantage of this situation and add some depth to your team. Owners may be frustrated with Jones usage, and if he doesn’t get the workload this week they may try to cut bait. Aaron Jones is an explosive back with hands. He averaged 5.5 yards a carry last year, and is over 6 in 2018’s small sample size. The reason I’ve heard for him not being in on every down is his lack of pass blocking. I just don’t see it. Go acquire Aaron Jones everywhere and hope that McCarthy sees the light. He is putting up starting back statistics without a starting back’s workload.

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