2023 Available Targets Analysis | Fantasy Football
June 12, 2023 | Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
| Team | 2022 Drop-backs Per Game |
2023 Projected Drop-Backs Per Game |
Projected +/- Drop-Backs |
2023 Available Targets |
New
Available Targets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Panthers | 30.7 | 37.8 | 121 | 212 | 333 |
| Houston Texans | 37.6 | 36.1 | -25 | 357 | 332 |
| Tennessee Titans | 31.3 | 37.9 | 112 | 199 | 311 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 33.4 | 41.4 | 136 | 163 | 299 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 35.4 | 41 | 95 | 197 | 292 |
| Green Bay Packers | 35.8 | 37.7 | 31 | 258 | 289 |
| New England Patriots | 35.4 | 39.3 | 67 | 214 | 281 |
| Detroit Lions | 36.9 | 37.5 | 11 | 227 | 238 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 28.8 | 34.2 | 92 | 143 | 235 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 38 | 39.3 | 22 | 191 | 213 |
| New Orleans Saints | 33.2 | 36.5 | 56 | 127 | 183 |
| Chicago Bears | 30 | 35.9 | 100 | 81 | 181 |
| Denver Broncos | 39.2 | 40.1 | 16 | 160 | 176 |
| Buffalo Bills | 39.2 | 40.1 | 17 | 157 | 174 |
| New York Giants | 36.9 | 39.1 | 37 | 127 | 164 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 38.2 | 41.2 | 51 | 113 | 164 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 36.2 | 38.9 | 47 | 114 | 161 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 40.1 | 40.4 | 5 | 148 | 153 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 43.1 | 40.4 | -47 | 199 | 152 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 42.6 | 42.5 | -2 | 152 | 150 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 37.6 | 39.7 | 35 | 80 | 115 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 32.8 | 34.9 | 37 | 77 | 114 |
| Miami Dolphins | 37.5 | 36.9 | -11 | 120 | 109 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 40.3 | 37.9 | -41 | 142 | 101 |
| New York Jets | 40.6 | 38.2 | -41 | 136 | 95 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 44.4 | 36.2 | -139 | 217 | 78 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 45.8 | 36.3 | -161 | 238 | 77 |
| Cleveland Browns | 36.5 | 37.6 | 18 | 58 | 76 |
| Washington Redskins | 37.1 | 37.7 | 9 | 65 | 74 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 38.4 | 37.9 | -8 | 75 | 67 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 36.8 | 37.2 | 6 | 45 | 51 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 45.8 | 40.4 | -92 | 105 | 13 |
Overview
[Column 1] 2022 Drop-backs – This represents how many times a team dropped back to pass the ball in 2022
[Column 2] 2023 Projected Drop-backs – This represents the average number of drop-backs the current offensive coordinator or play-caller’s teams have averaged over his career when he was calling plays and/or when he was on the coaching staff
[Column 3] Projected +/- Drop-backs – This column reflects how many more or fewer drop-backs a team will see from 2023 based on their offensive coordinator or play-caller’s tendencies from prior years
[Column 4] 2023 Available Targets – This represents how many targets from players who are no longer on the team from 2022 are available in 2023
[Column 5] New Available Targets – This metric combines columns 3 and 4 to give a new projection of how many new opportunities or potential targets are available in 2023
Introduction
Let’s quickly touch on the analysis behind 2023 projected drop-backs. Please, blog, may I have some more?
