Tight ends went NUCLEAR in Week 15. Can Week 16 top that?
The Week 15 double-digit PPR point scorers at TE:
|
Rank |
Player |
Team |
TGT |
REC |
REC YDS |
REC TD |
RUSH ATT |
RUSH YDS |
RUSH TD |
FL |
FPTS |
ROST |
|
1 |
Kyle Pitts Sr. |
ATL |
12 |
11 |
166 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45.6 |
82.1% |
|
2 |
Trey McBride |
ARI |
13 |
12 |
134 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37.4 |
99.7% |
|
3 |
Darren Waller |
MIA |
8 |
7 |
66 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25.6 |
32.6% |
|
4 |
Dallas Goedert |
PHI |
7 |
6 |
70 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
25.0 |
87.2% |
|
5 |
Colby Parkinson |
LAR |
7 |
5 |
75 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24.5 |
6.4% |
|
6 |
George Kittle |
SF |
9 |
8 |
88 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22.8 |
99.2% |
|
7 |
Dalton Schultz |
HOU |
9 |
8 |
76 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21.6 |
49.9% |
|
8 |
Dawson Knox |
BUF |
4 |
3 |
37 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18.7 |
2.4% |
|
9 |
Gunnar Helm |
TEN |
4 |
4 |
49 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.9 |
1.3% |
|
10 |
Travis Kelce |
KC |
9 |
7 |
70 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.0 |
96.2% |
|
11 |
Harold Fannin Jr. |
CLE |
14 |
7 |
48 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
12.0 |
74.7% |
|
12 |
Jonnu Smith |
PIT |
2 |
2 |
12 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
1 |
0 |
10.6 |
32.2% |
|
13 |
T.J. Hockenson |
MIN |
5 |
4 |
66 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10.6 |
78.5% |
|
14 |
Theo Johnson |
NYG |
4 |
3 |
72 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10.2 |
43.0% |
|
15 |
Colston Loveland |
CHI |
5 |
4 |
63 |
0 |
1 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
10.1 |
44.2% |
|
16 |
Oronde Gadsden II |
LAC |
5 |
4 |
61 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10.1 |
58.5% |
16 players this week, and if we haven’t already grabbed Parkinson in competitive leagues, you may have another chance after Thursday’s performance. 45.6 by Pitts and 37.4 by McBride are among the best of the season, right up there with Brock Bowers’ Week 9 performance. Pitts raised the Buccaneers from 18th in PPR PPG allowed season to date entering the week to 5th. I’m going to go out on a limb and say McBride has sewn up the overall TE 1 for the 2025 season. Six TEs with at least two TDs is the Mother Lode, and in all, there were 19 TDs by TEs in Week 15. And I hate to bring up Arthur Smith, but the Steelers’ TEs had not one, but two rushing TDs. One is apparent above: Jonnu Smith, but also Connor Heyward, the designated Jalen Hurts on four first-half “runs” on Monday Night, three of which generated first downs, including the game’s first TD. I won’t fault us for wanting to grab Knox, but IMO he’s best only if I’ve completely faded the position or in extremely deep leagues.
Here’s the list of TE targets for Week 15 in the red zone, sorted by targets, then fantasy points, receptions, and receiving yards:
|
Rank |
Player |
Team |
REC |
TGT |
REC YDS |
REC TD |
RUSH ATT |
RUSH YDS |
RUSH TD |
FL |
FPTS |
ROST % |
|
1 |
Colby Parkinson |
LAR |
2 |
4 |
22 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10.2 |
6.4% |
|
2 |
Kyle Pitts Sr. |
ATL |
3 |
3 |
32 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24.2 |
82.1% |
|
3 |
Trey McBride |
ARI |
3 |
3 |
38 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
18.8 |
99.7% |
|
4 |
Dawson Knox |
BUF |
2 |
3 |
18 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15.8 |
2.4% |
|
5 |
Dallas Goedert |
PHI |
2 |
3 |
8 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.8 |
87.2% |
|
6 |
Darren Waller |
MIA |
2 |
2 |
19 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15.9 |
32.6% |
|
10 |
Dalton Schultz |
HOU |
1 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7.4 |
49.9% |
|
7 |
Cade Stover |
HOU |
2 |
2 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3.4 |
0.6% |
|
8 |
Dalton Kincaid |
BUF |
2 |
2 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3.0 |
78.6% |
|
9 |
Gunnar Helm |
TEN |
2 |
2 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2.6 |
1.3% |
|
11 |
Harold Fannin Jr. |
CLE |
1 |
2 |
7 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.7 |
74.7% |
|
12 |
Brenton Strange |
JAC |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
42.6% |
|
13 |
Devin Culp |
TB |
1 |
1 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7.6 |
1.2% |
|
14 |
George Kittle |
SF |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7.1 |
99.2% |
|
15 |
Cole Kmet |
CHI |
1 |
1 |
11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2.1 |
3.5% |
|
16 |
Colston Loveland |
CHI |
1 |
1 |
11 |
0 |
1 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
1.9 |
44.2% |
|
17 |
Charlie Woerner |
ATL |
1 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.8 |
0.0% |
|
18 |
Juwan Johnson |
NO |
1 |
1 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.6 |
44.7% |
|
19 |
Pharaoh Brown |
ARI |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.0 |
0.0% |
As great as Pitts’ game was, to this point it was unusual, as he only has 4 receiving TDs and 8 RZ targets on the season. Of Pitts’ 14 career TDs, 5 have come in the Falcons’ last two games in Tampa. It’s good to see Goedert and Waller getting back to their RZ ways.
Now, the same for the season to date:
|
Rank |
Player |
Team |
G |
REC |
TGT |
REC YDS |
REC TD |
RUSH ATT |
RUSH YDS |
RUSH TD |
FL |
FPTS |
FPTS/G |
ROST % |
|
1 |
Trey McBride |
ARI |
14 |
17 |
27 |
153 |
10 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
92.3 |
6.6 |
99.7% |
|
2 |
Jake Ferguson |
DAL |
14 |
14 |
21 |
91 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
59.1 |
4.2 |
86.9% |
|
3 |
Colby Parkinson |
LAR |
12 |
13 |
19 |
105 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
51.5 |
4.3 |
6.4% |
|
4 |
Tyler Warren |
IND |
14 |
10 |
18 |
56 |
4 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
46.1 |
3.3 |
96.3% |
|
5 |
Hunter Henry |
NE |
14 |
10 |
17 |
95 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
37.5 |
2.7 |
66.9% |
|
6 |
Brock Bowers |
LV |
11 |
9 |
16 |
69 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
45.9 |
4.2 |
98.8% |
|
7 |
Mark Andrews |
BAL |
14 |
5 |
14 |
43 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
33.5 |
2.4 |
84.9% |
|
8 |
Theo Johnson |
NYG |
14 |
6 |
13 |
38 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
33.8 |
2.4 |
43.0% |
|
9 |
Tucker Kraft |
GB |
8 |
9 |
12 |
104 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
49.4 |
6.2 |
47.0% |
|
10 |
Oronde Gadsden II |
LAC |
12 |
6 |
12 |
44 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
22.4 |
1.9 |
58.5% |
|
11 |
Dallas Goedert |
PHI |
13 |
10 |
11 |
58 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
63.8 |
4.9 |
87.2% |
|
12 |
George Kittle |
SF |
9 |
11 |
11 |
85 |
5 |
1 |
-3 |
0 |
0 |
49.2 |
5.5 |
99.2% |
|
13 |
Travis Kelce |
KC |
14 |
8 |
11 |
59 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
32.0 |
2.3 |
96.2% |
|
14 |
T.J. Hockenson |
MIN |
14 |
8 |
11 |
55 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31.5 |
2.3 |
78.5% |
|
15 |
AJ Barner |
SEA |
14 |
7 |
10 |
62 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
43.6 |
3.1 |
18.8% |
|
16 |
Harold Fannin Jr. |
CLE |
14 |
6 |
10 |
35 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
27.6 |
2.0 |
74.7% |
|
17 |
Dalton Schultz |
HOU |
14 |
4 |
10 |
30 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19.0 |
1.4 |
49.9% |
|
18 |
David Njoku |
CLE |
12 |
6 |
9 |
44 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
34.4 |
2.9 |
60.5% |
|
19 |
Dawson Knox |
BUF |
14 |
5 |
9 |
43 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
27.3 |
2.0 |
2.4% |
|
20 |
Ja’Tavion Sanders |
CAR |
11 |
7 |
9 |
38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
10.8 |
1.0 |
1.9% |
|
21 |
Zach Ertz |
WAS |
13 |
6 |
8 |
53 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
35.3 |
2.7 |
43.8% |
|
22 |
Kyle Pitts Sr. |
ATL |
14 |
5 |
8 |
37 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
32.7 |
2.3 |
82.1% |
|
23 |
Dalton Kincaid |
BUF |
10 |
6 |
8 |
69 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
30.9 |
3.1 |
78.6% |
|
24 |
Pat Freiermuth |
PIT |
14 |
5 |
8 |
38 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26.8 |
1.9 |
8.5% |
|
25 |
Colston Loveland |
CHI |
13 |
5 |
8 |
38 |
3 |
1 |
-2 |
0 |
0 |
26.6 |
2.0 |
44.2% |
|
26 |
Juwan Johnson |
NO |
14 |
5 |
8 |
40 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
21.0 |
1.5 |
44.7% |
|
27 |
Mason Taylor |
NYJ |
13 |
7 |
8 |
35 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16.5 |
1.3 |
16.5% |
|
28 |
Evan Engram |
DEN |
13 |
5 |
8 |
45 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
15.5 |
1.2 |
57.2% |
|
29 |
Gunnar Helm |
TEN |
14 |
5 |
8 |
31 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
14.1 |
1.0 |
1.3% |
|
30 |
Darren Waller |
MIA |
7 |
6 |
7 |
43 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
46.3 |
6.6 |
32.6% |
|
31 |
Tyler Higbee |
LAR |
9 |
5 |
7 |
26 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
19.6 |
2.2 |
3.1% |
|
32 |
Darnell Washington |
PIT |
14 |
5 |
7 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13.0 |
0.9 |
1.3% |
|
33 |
Isaiah Likely |
BAL |
11 |
2 |
7 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8.9 |
0.8 |
27.5% |
All stats are exclusive to usage from inside the 20-yard line. Of the 33 TEs with 7+ targets this season, 32 have had TDs; only Ja’Tavion Sanders has not, and most of his RZ targets were early in the season. Another thing stuck out to me: how inefficient Mark Andrews (5 receptions on 14 targets) and Isaiah Likely (2 receptions on 7 targets) have been in the RZ. I put that on the Ravens.
This is not the be-all and end-all, but a piece of the puzzle. There are no guarantees. And if you see this and say, “Why don’t they do this more?” remember there are other players on the field on both sides of the football. And tight ends do a lot of blocking.
This table shows how many PPR points per game defenses give up to TEs season to date, sorted by “FP/G.” The “TE Rank” column is the ranking from high to low, and the “FP/G” is PPR points per game (hereafter abbreviated to “PPR PPG”). I’ll use those below. If you’re someone who enjoys pointing out mistakes, congratulations! You’re my new editor!
|
Tm Code |
TE Rank |
FP/G |
Tm Code |
TE Rank |
FP/G |
Tm Code |
TE Rank |
FP/G |
||
|
CIN |
1 |
22.5 |
DEN |
12 |
14.2 |
NO |
23 |
12.2 |
||
|
PIT |
2 |
17.4 |
TEN |
13 |
14.0 |
HOU |
24 |
11.7 |
||
|
MIA |
3 |
17.3 |
CHI |
14 |
13.9 |
NYG |
25 |
11.5 |
||
|
WAS |
4 |
16.0 |
CAR |
15 |
13.9 |
LAC |
26 |
11.5 |
||
|
TB |
5 |
15.6 |
DET |
16 |
13.1 |
BAL |
27 |
11.0 |
||
|
SEA |
6 |
15.4 |
DAL |
17 |
13.1 |
KC |
28 |
10.7 |
||
|
JAC |
7 |
15.3 |
CLE |
18 |
12.8 |
LV |
29 |
10.0 |
||
|
ARI |
8 |
15.3 |
MIN |
19 |
12.8 |
PHI |
30 |
8.6 |
||
|
NE |
9 |
15.2 |
NYJ |
20 |
12.5 |
ATL |
31 |
7.9 |
||
|
IND |
10 |
15.0 |
GB |
21 |
12.5 |
BUF |
32 |
6.9 |
||
|
SF |
11 |
14.8 |
LAR |
22 |
12.4 |
There are Saturday games the next two weeks, and multiple games on Thursday, December 25, so be prepared.
The remaining schedule for TEs:
|
Rank |
Team |
Wk 16 |
Rk |
H/R |
Wk 17 |
Rk |
H/R |
Wk 18 |
Rk |
H/R |
|
1 |
MIA |
CIN |
1 |
H |
TB |
5 |
H |
NE |
9 |
R |
|
2 |
CAR |
TB |
5 |
H |
SEA |
6 |
H |
TB |
5 |
R |
|
3 |
CIN |
MIA |
3 |
R |
ARI |
8 |
H |
CLE |
18 |
H |
|
4 |
IND |
SF |
11 |
H |
JAC |
7 |
H |
HOU |
24 |
R |
|
5 |
TB |
CAR |
15 |
R |
MIA |
3 |
R |
CAR |
15 |
H |
|
6 |
DET |
PIT |
2 |
H |
MIN |
19 |
R |
CHI |
14 |
R |
|
7 |
JAC |
DEN |
12 |
R |
IND |
10 |
R |
TEN |
13 |
H |
|
8 |
SF |
IND |
10 |
R |
CHI |
14 |
H |
SEA |
6 |
H |
|
9 |
KC |
TEN |
13 |
R |
DEN |
12 |
H |
LV |
29 |
R |
|
10 |
BAL |
NE |
9 |
H |
GB |
21 |
R |
PIT |
2 |
R |
|
11 |
DAL |
LAC |
26 |
H |
WAS |
4 |
R |
NYG |
25 |
R |
|
12 |
ATL |
ARI |
8 |
R |
LAR |
22 |
H |
NO |
23 |
H |
|
13 |
NYJ |
NO |
23 |
R |
NE |
9 |
H |
BUF |
32 |
R |
|
14 |
CHI |
GB |
21 |
H |
SF |
11 |
R |
DET |
16 |
H |
|
15 |
ARI |
ATL |
31 |
H |
CIN |
1 |
R |
LAR |
22 |
R |
|
16 |
NO |
NYJ |
20 |
H |
TEN |
13 |
R |
ATL |
31 |
R |
|
17 |
PIT |
DET |
16 |
R |
CLE |
18 |
R |
BAL |
27 |
H |
|
18 |
CLE |
BUF |
32 |
H |
PIT |
2 |
H |
CIN |
1 |
R |
|
19 |
DEN |
JAC |
7 |
H |
KC |
28 |
R |
LAC |
26 |
H |
|
20 |
PHI |
WAS |
4 |
R |
BUF |
32 |
R |
WAS |
4 |
H |
|
21 |
SEA |
LAR |
22 |
H |
CAR |
15 |
R |
SF |
11 |
R |
|
22 |
LAR |
SEA |
6 |
R |
ATL |
31 |
R |
ARI |
8 |
H |
|
23 |
GB |
CHI |
14 |
R |
BAL |
27 |
H |
MIN |
19 |
R |
|
24 |
MIN |
NYG |
25 |
R |
DET |
16 |
H |
GB |
21 |
H |
|
25 |
LAC |
DAL |
17 |
R |
HOU |
24 |
H |
DEN |
12 |
R |
|
26 |
WAS |
PHI |
30 |
H |
DAL |
17 |
H |
PHI |
30 |
R |
|
27 |
NE |
BAL |
27 |
R |
NYJ |
20 |
R |
MIA |
3 |
H |
|
28 |
NYG |
MIN |
19 |
H |
LV |
29 |
R |
DAL |
17 |
H |
|
29 |
BUF |
CLE |
18 |
R |
PHI |
30 |
H |
NYJ |
20 |
H |
|
30 |
LV |
HOU |
24 |
R |
NYG |
25 |
H |
KC |
28 |
H |
|
31 |
TEN |
KC |
28 |
H |
NO |
23 |
H |
JAC |
7 |
R |
|
32 |
HOU |
LV |
29 |
H |
LAC |
26 |
R |
IND |
10 |
H |
In the table, the “Team” is static; the rest of the columns are their opponent in a given week for Weeks 16-18, and the “Rk” is the opponent’s current ranking in PPR PPG allowed to TEs, which I explained in the table before this one. The teams are sorted from the one I view as having the most favorable schedule in Weeks 16-17 to the one I view as having the least favorable schedule. I included Week 18 to acknowledge that some fantasy leagues compete in Week 18. If you have, you know that, to an extent, previous rankings have less meaning for individual NFL teams. We’ll discuss that bridge when we come to it.
If that’s confusing, reach out in the comments, and I’ll explain further.
Be sure to check out the latest tools on Razzball.com: Slot vs. Wide PPG Allowed | WR Slot vs. Wide| DEF Targets Allowed | Home vs. Away | Wins vs. Losses | TD Tool | RB Zone vs. Gap Rushing | DEF Zone vs. Gap Rushing |
Want more data-driven stats and tools to help you win your fantasy league? Check out the Razzball Fantasy Football premium subscriptions for $0.00 upfront with our 3-day free trial!
This will be more concise this week. I order the teams in the order their games are played, road team first, then home team. The numbers after the player’s Week 15: targets/receptions/yards/TDs. “SOS” = strength of schedule for Weeks 16 and 17. “Not ranked” means the player was not targeted.
More tight end stuff:
- Eagles: Dallas Goedert; killing it since I downgraded him in Week 14, and it should be a nice evening in Landover.
- Week 15: 7/6/70/2
- Last two weeks: TE 5, TE 4
- Week 16 opponent: Washington – 4th most PPR PPG at 16.0
- SOS: 20th
- Commanders: Ben Sinnott and John Bates; would require more volume, and I’m not testing that in Week 16.
- Week 15: 1/1/36/0 and 1/1/19/0
- Last two weeks: TE 49, TE 34 and not ranked, TE 46
- Opponent: Philadelphia – 3rd fewest PPR PPG at 8.6
- SOS: 20th
- Packers: Luke Musgrave; without Christian Watson, nice bump in volume, but still a low-end TE2, and it looks like it’ll be windy in Chicago.
- Week 15: 6/4/52/0
- Last two weeks: TE 25, TE 17
- Opponent: Chicago – 14th most PPR PPG at 13.9
- SOS: 23rd
- Bears: Colston Loveland and Cole Kmet; Kmet is here to remind that he caps Loveland’s upside, but Loveland is the riser and a high-end TE2 since Week 8.
- Week 15: 5/4/63/0 and 2/2/48/0
- Last two weeks: TE 9, TE 16 and TE 20, TE 31
- Opponent: Green Bay – 12th fewest PPR PPG at 12.5
- SOS: 14th
- Bills: Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox; Knox out-snaps Kincaid, but Knox’s value in fantasy is TD-based; Kincaid is the receiver and a mid-to-low TE1; even in a game they significantly trailed in Week 15, Buffalo only had 26 targets, and the wind in Cleveland is expected to be 20+ MPH.
- Week 15: 4/3/34/0 and 4/3/37/2
- Last two weeks: TE 49, TE 34 and not ranked, TE 46
- Opponent: Philadelphia – 3rd fewest PPR PPG at 8.6
- SOS: 20th
- Browns: Harold Fannin; even though David Njoku will be out again this week, the Bills are a brutal matchup for TEs, Mike Gesicki notwithstanding – Shedeur Sanders is not Joe Burrow. I’m starting him, but I’m looking for upside in other lineup areas.
- Week 15: 14/7/50/0 (2 yards rushing)
- Last two weeks: TE 1, TE 11
- Opponent: Buffalo – fewest PPR PPG at 6.9
- SOS: 18th
- Chargers: Oronde Gadsden; Week 15 interrupted a free fall as the Chargers continue to lose OTs to injury. I can see starting him this week, but next week against Houston is a no for me. The game will be in a stadium with a cover.
- Week 15: 5/4/61/0
- Last two weeks: TE 52, TE 15
- Opponent: Dallas – 16th fewest PPR PPG at 13.1
- SOS: 25th
- Cowboys: Jake Ferguson; Ferguson’s value has not disappeared since CeeDee Lamb returned, but Week 15 was a pothole, and QB Dak Prescott is targeting WR Ryan Flournoy more than Ferguson in recent games. I’m starting him, but looking elsewhere for upside in my lineup.
- Week 15: 4/2/16/0
- Last two weeks: TE 12, TE 41
- Opponent: Los Angeles Chargers – 7th fewest PPR PPG at 11.5
- SOS: 11th
- Chiefs: Travis Kelce; QB Gardner Minshew doesn’t scare me – Brock Bowers had plenty of value with Minshew at QB in Las Vegas. The weather in Nashville is forecasted as mild.
- Week 15: 9/7/70/0
- Last two weeks: TE 47, TE 10
- Opponent: Tennessee – 14th most PPR PPG at 14.0
- SOS: 9th
- Titans: Chig Okonkwo and Gunnar Helm; bad passing offense, little upside. Helm has 2 TDs on the season, Okonkwo 0. Miserable ROS schedule.
- Week 15: 6/4/33/0 and 1/1/19/0
- Last two weeks: TE 27, TE 21 and TE 48, TE 9
- Opponent: Kansas City – 5th fewest PPR PPG at 10.7
- SOS: 31st
- Bengals: Mike Gesicki and company; as intriguing as Gesicki’s upside is, it’s rare. The Bengals employed 5 (!) TEs in Week 15, and I was blown away by their terrible performance. WR Tee Higgins is trending toward returning for Week 16. Which is too bad, because the opponent (Miami) and venue are positive.
- Week 15: 2/1/11/0 (Gesicki) and 7/5/28/0 (company)
- Last two weeks: TE 2, TE 52 (Gesicki)
- Opponent: Miami – 3rd most PPR PPG at 17.3
- SOS: 3rd
- Dolphins: Darren Waller and Greg Dulcich; Dulcich, while not a fantasy consideration for me, deserves a tip of the cap. Waller resumed his dominance of the end zone for the Dolphins in Week 15, but after falling behind 28-3 in Pittsburgh, QB Tua Tagovailoa has been replaced by Quinn Ewers. I’m starting Waller where I have him; he’s not bust-proof and Week 15 was fueled by the deficit, but the matchup for Week 16 is too good.
- Week 15: 8/7/66/2 and 3/2/46/0
- Last two weeks: TE 37, TE 3 and TE19, TE 23
- Opponent: Cincinnati – most PPR PPG at 22.5
- SOS: 1st
- Jets: Jeremy Ruckert; Mason Taylor will miss another game with a neck injury. QBs Justin Fields and Tyrod Taylor may both be available for Week 16. Ruckert played a season-high 74% of snaps in Week 15 and was TE 43. NO.
- Week 15: 2/2/13/0
- Last two weeks: TE 28, TE 43
- Opponent: New Orleans – 10th fewest PPR PPG at 12.2
- SOS: 13th
- Saints: Juwan Johnson; has only had 4 targets each of the last two weeks. Hard to trust right now, and the schedule is not great.
- Week 15: 4/4/30/0
- Last two weeks: TE 16, TE 22
- Opponent: New York Jets – 11th fewest PPR PPG at 12.5
- SOS: 16th
- Vikings: T.J. Hockenson; maybe the chemistry with J.J. McCarthy IS getting better, but the only 2025 game Hock has finished higher than TE 11 was with Carson Wentz against the Bengals. He has yet to top 12 PPR points in any other game. A floor play.
- Week 15: 5/4/66/0
- Last two weeks: TE 15, TE 12
- Opponent: New York Giants – 8th fewest PPR PPG at 11.5
- SOS: 24th
- Giants: Theo Johnson; Jaxson Dart to Theo Johnson is a combo that has potential. Johnson appears to be a terrific downfield threat and has shown he can be a YAC creator. Still a high-end TE2 currently, and matchup-dependent.
- Week 15: 4/3/72
- Last two weeks: TE 27, TE 14
- Opponent: Minnesota – 14th fewest PPR PPG at 12.8
- SOS: 28th
- Buccaneers: Cade Otton; his value craters now that the WRs are back.
- Week 15: 4/3/19/0
- Last two weeks: TE 42, TE 24
- Opponent: Carolina – 15th most PPR PPG at 13.9
- SOS: 5th
- Panthers: Ja’Tavion Sanders and Tommy Tremble and sometimes Mitchell Evans; eeny, meeny, miney, NO.
- Week 15: 2/2/5/0 and 4/2/13/0 and 0/0/0/0
- Last two weeks: not ranked, TE 49 and TE 59, TE 42 and TE 30, not ranked
- Opponent: Tampa Bay – 5th most PPR PPG at 15.6
- SOS: 2nd
- Jaguars: Brandon Strange; volume is variable, and the RBs can steal TDs in this offense, but he’s still good for 5+ targets frequently. More of a TE2 than a TE1. The Jags have not had a competitive game since Arizona in Week 12 – Strange was TE4 that week.
- Week 15: 3/1/26/0
- Last two games: TE 21, TE 40
- Opponent: Denver – 12th most PPR PPG at 14.2
- SOS: 7th
- Broncos: Evan Engram; Sean Payton, FREE EVAN ENGRAM! Until then, I’m out.
- Week 15: 3/1/12/0
- Last two weeks: TE 36, TE 50
- Opponent: Jacksonville – 7th most PPR PPG at 15.3
- SOS: 19th
- Falcons: Kyle Pitts; Pitts has been incredible since Drake London has been sidelined. Let’s see if he keeps the party going with London back (presumably). I’m taking the chance in a great matchup. We’ll talk more in Week 17.
- Week 15: 12/11/166/3
- Last two weeks: TE 6, TE 1
- Opponent: Arizona – 8th most PPR PPG at 15.3
- SOS: 12th
- Cardinals: Trey McBride; 2025 McBride will go down alongside the great TE seasons in PPR history. I’m starting him against an All-Star team of 1974 Steelers, 1985 Bears, and 2000 Ravens. And the Bengals await in Week 17. YUM!
- Week 15: 13/12/134/2
- Last two weeks: TE 13, TE 2
- Opponent: Atlanta – 2nd fewest PPR PPG at 7.9
- SOS: 15th
- Steelers: Four-headed Monster; I have no confidence in this situation, it’s all yours!
- Week 15: 5/3/45/0 (Pat Freiermuth), 4/3/25/0 (Darnell Washington), 2/2/12/0 receiving, 1/14/1 rushing (Jonnu Smith), 0/0/0/0 receiving, 4/4/1 rushing (Connor Heyward)
- Last two weeks: TE 34, TE 20 (Freiermuth); TE 42, TE 28 (Washington); not ranked, TE 13 (Smith); TE 58, TE 26 (Heyward)
- Opponent: Detroit – 16th most PPR PPG at 13.1
- SOS: 17th
- Lions: Randos; the last reception by a Lions TE was in Week 14 by a guy no longer on the team.
- Week 15: 0/0/0/0
- Last two weeks: doesn’t matter
- Opponent: Pittsburgh – 2nd most PPR PPG at 17.4
- SOS: 6th
- Raiders: Brock Bowers; arguably the best TE in the NFL…sadly on the worst team in the NFL. QB Geno Smith may be back for Week 16. Yay? I would actually consider benching him. Make me an offer.
- Week 15: 8/6/28/0
- Last two weeks: TE 7, TE 18
- Opponent: Houston – 9th fewest PPR PPG at 11.7
- SOS: 30th
- Texans: Dalton Schultz; I love Dalton Schultz, but he is not matchup-proof, and sadly, the Texans have the worst schedule for TEs the next two weeks.
- Week 15: 9/8/76/1
- Last two weeks: TE 23, TE 7
- Opponent: Las Vegas – 4th fewest PPR PPG at 10.0
- SOS: 32nd
- Patriots: Hunter Henry; New England is an offense that wins while not creating heroes: Henry’s ceiling in a week is TE1, his floor is TE47, and he’s closer to a TE3 many weeks in 2025. The weather at M&T Bank Stadium is expected to be moderate, but low chance of precipitation and nothing these teams aren’t used to.
- Week 15: 3/1/18/0
- Last two weeks: TE 13, TE 47 and not ranked, TE 46
- Opponent: Baltimore – 6th fewest PPR PPG at 11.0
- SOS: 27th
- Ravens: Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely; talk about a buzz kill: in the Week 15 game, one of the best offenses in the NFL was shut out, and in a potentially great matchup, the Ravens TEs soiled their sheets.
- Week 15: 3/2/18/0 and 0/0/0/0
- Last two weeks: TE 46, TE 39 and TE 10, not ranked
- Opponent: New England – 9th most PPR PPG at 15.2
- SOS: 10th
- 49ers: George Kittle; you’re kidding, right? Yes, the floor is lower than 2025 Trey McBride’s, but we drafted this guy for his ceiling. Play him that way. And the weather is always nice in a dome.
- Week 15: 9/8/88/1
- Last two weeks: TE 15, TE 6
- Opponent: Indianapolis – 10th most PPR PPG at 15.0
- SOS: 8th
- Colts: Tyler Warren; QB Daniel Jones’ injury came at the worst time, as Warren’s floor has fallen. The matchup is good, and it will be the Colts’ first home game since Week 13. But the matchups in Jacksonville and Seattle were advantageous.
- Week 15: 6/3/19/0
- Last two weeks: TE 29, TE 30
- Opponent: San Francisco – 11th most PPR PPG at 14.8
- SOS: 20th
- Rams: Colby Parkinson, Davis Allen, and Terrance Ferguson; Parkinson is the leader, but make no mistake, there are going to be times that Allen and/or Ferguson have better games. Thursday’s lines: Parkinson 4/2/21/0, Allen 5/2/34/0, and Ferguson 4/3/33/1. But Parkinson had five TE1 finishes in the previous six games. The other two are not often usable in fantasy even though the Rams play a lot of three-TE sets.
- Seahawks: AJ Barner had a 6/4/49/1 line. He’ll likely have a TE1 week after having four games outside the TE20. This is a game of odds. Those aren’t good. The passing volume is not always there for the Seahawks.
These rankings are for Week 16 games ONLY. If you want to speak about them, hit me up in the COMMENTS.
These rankings are for base PPR leagues: 1 point per reception, 1 point for 10 yards rushing/receiving, 6 points per touchdown, and -2 points per fumble lost. No premiums or bonuses.
I’ll give player, player’s team, opponent this week, home or road game (H/R), day of game, time of game (early (E), late (L), or night (N)), opponent’s 2025 rank vs. tight ends, current projected team total per ESPNBET, PPR points per game (PPG), PPR scoring rank for the season (Sc Rk), and percent rostered per FantasyPros (Rost %).
The Top 30 TEs for Week 16
|
Rank |
Player |
Team |
Opp |
H/R |
Day |
E/L/N |
Imp Pts |
Opp Rk |
PPR YTD |
PPR Pt/Gm |
Sc Rk |
Rost % |
|
1 |
Trey McBride |
ARI |
ATL |
H |
SUN |
L |
22.75 |
31 |
272.1 |
19.4 |
1 |
99.7% |
|
2 |
George Kittle |
SF |
IND |
R |
MON |
N |
26.25 |
10 |
129.1 |
14.3 |
12 |
99.2% |
|
3 |
Travis Kelce |
KC |
TEN |
R |
SUN |
E |
20.25 |
13 |
178.8 |
12.8 |
2 |
96.2% |
|
4 |
Brock Bowers |
LV |
HOU |
R |
SUN |
L |
11.50 |
24 |
161.9 |
14.7 |
7 |
98.8% |
|
5 |
Dallas Goedert |
PHI |
WAS |
R |
SAT |
L |
25.75 |
4 |
163.1 |
12.5 |
6 |
87.2% |
|
6 |
Kyle Pitts |
ATL |
ARI |
R |
SUN |
L |
25.75 |
8 |
176.7 |
12.6 |
3 |
82.1% |
|
7 |
Darren Waller |
MIA |
CIN |
H |
SUN |
E |
21.50 |
1 |
80.7 |
11.5 |
32 |
32.6% |
|
8 |
Dalton Kincaid |
BUF |
CLE |
R |
SUN |
E |
26.00 |
18 |
118.3 |
11.8 |
15 |
78.6% |
|
9 |
Colston Loveland |
CHI |
GB |
H |
SAT |
N |
23.50 |
21 |
112.6 |
8.7 |
20 |
44.2% |
|
10 |
Tyler Warren |
IND |
SF |
H |
MON |
N |
20.25 |
11 |
165.6 |
11.8 |
5 |
96.3% |
|
11 |
Jake Ferguson |
DAL |
LAC |
H |
SUN |
E |
26.00 |
26 |
174.1 |
12.4 |
4 |
86.9% |
|
12 |
Brenton Strange |
JAC |
DEN |
R |
SUN |
L |
22.00 |
12 |
77.5 |
8.6 |
33 |
42.6% |
|
13 |
Harold Fannin |
CLE |
BUF |
H |
SUN |
E |
15.50 |
32 |
155.9 |
11.1 |
8 |
74.7% |
|
14 |
Oronde Gadsden II |
LAC |
DAL |
R |
SUN |
E |
24.50 |
17 |
113.2 |
9.4 |
19 |
58.5% |
|
15 |
Theo Johnson |
NYG |
MIN |
H |
SUN |
E |
20.50 |
19 |
127.8 |
9.1 |
13 |
43.0% |
|
16 |
Juwan Johnson |
NO |
NYJ |
H |
SUN |
E |
23.50 |
20 |
142.4 |
10.2 |
10 |
44.7% |
|
17 |
T.J. Hockenson |
MIN |
NYG |
R |
SUN |
E |
23.00 |
25 |
111.6 |
8.0 |
21 |
78.5% |
|
18 |
Hunter Henry |
NE |
BAL |
R |
SUN |
N |
23.25 |
27 |
138.8 |
9.9 |
11 |
66.9% |
|
19 |
Dalton Schultz |
HOU |
LV |
H |
SUN |
L |
26.00 |
29 |
147.0 |
10.5 |
9 |
49.9% |
|
20 |
Isaiah Likely |
BAL |
NE |
H |
SUN |
N |
26.25 |
9 |
50.8 |
4.6 |
41 |
27.5% |
|
21 |
Mike Gesicki |
CIN |
MIA |
R |
SUN |
E |
26.00 |
3 |
48.2 |
4.8 |
42 |
7.5% |
|
22 |
Mark Andrews |
BAL |
NE |
H |
SUN |
N |
26.25 |
9 |
116.4 |
8.3 |
17 |
84.9% |
|
23 |
Luke Musgrave |
GB |
CHI |
R |
SAT |
N |
22.00 |
14 |
42.4 |
3.0 |
50 |
2.6% |
|
24 |
Cole Kmet |
CHI |
GB |
H |
SAT |
N |
23.50 |
21 |
66.1 |
5.1 |
37 |
3.5% |
|
25 |
Evan Engram |
DEN |
JAC |
H |
SUN |
L |
25.50 |
7 |
83.6 |
6.4 |
30 |
57.2% |
|
26 |
Dawson Knox |
BUF |
CLE |
R |
SUN |
E |
26.00 |
18 |
83.3 |
6.0 |
31 |
2.4% |
|
27 |
Chig Okonkwo |
TEN |
KC |
H |
SUN |
E |
17.25 |
28 |
90.9 |
6.5 |
24 |
15.1% |
|
28 |
Pat Freiermuth |
PIT |
DET |
R |
SUN |
L |
22.75 |
16 |
90.2 |
6.4 |
25 |
8.5% |
|
29 |
Gunnar Helm |
TEN |
KC |
H |
SUN |
E |
17.25 |
28 |
87.7 |
6.3 |
28 |
1.3% |
|
30 |
Darnell Washington |
PIT |
DET |
R |
SUN |
L |
22.75 |
16 |
65.3 |
4.7 |
38 |
1.3% |
Parkinson and Barner have already played.
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