LOGIN

This week, it’s the week before Thanksgiving in the U.S.

You haven’t heard me speak too much about the weather so far this season, but it’s going to be a factor going forward, especially in the outdoor stadiums of the Northeast and Northern Central parts of the country. I speak directly to the scenario in Cleveland tonight in a profile below. Rain can be a factor, but unless it’s going to be a downpour, I am usually more concerned with the wind.

We have our first six-team bye week of 2024: Atlanta, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Jacksonville, New Orleans, and the New York Jets are all off this week. We’ll get a break from bye weeks during the Holiday week next week.

We’re in the final quarter of the fantasy regular season. Let’s look at some starts among the players ranked as WRs 3 and flexes and players we might sit.

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STARTS

Player: Quentin Johnston

Team: Los Angeles Chargers

RazzballNFL PPR Rank: WR 30

Spread: +3.0 vs Baltimore Ravens

Win/Loss: +4.4, W/L Index 177

Home/Road: -2.2, H/R Index 74

Both of our indices tell me this is not the greatest idea. So why am I recommending Johnston? 1. I don’t have to worry about the weather in Los Angeles. 2. The Ravens allow 30 PPR points per game to wideouts, where Johnston lines up 92% of the time. 3. The Chargers’ passing game has been trending upward overall.

The Ravens’ Brandon Stephens has faced the third most targets and has allowed the third most receptions among cornerbacks – Johnston figures to lineup on his side often. Johnston has also had three games in a row with a TD reception, and I’m betting that surpassing the 10.84-point projection we have is attainable.             

Player: DeVonta Smith

Team: Philadelphia Eagles

RazzballNFL PPR Rank: WR 35

Spread: -3.0 at Los Angeles Rams

Win-Loss: +0.4, W/L Index 103

Home/Road: +4.1, H/R Index 134

W/L is neutral, H/R is not in my favor. But again, weather won’t be a factor here, and Quentin Lake, who splits his time between free safety and slot corner, is a good matchup for Smith. The Rams give up more points out wide, but Smith plays nearly half his snaps out wide as well.

Smith has sandwiched two poor road performances around a very good one, so there is some risk in my bucking the overall trend, but this week I’ll assume it: this game has one of the highest over/under lines on the Week 12 slate. I think our 10.18-point projection will be surpassed.

Player: Jameson Williams

Team: Detroit Lions

RazzballNFL PPR Rank: WR 33

Spread: -7.0 at Indianapolis Colts

Win-Loss: +3.9, W/L Index 163

Home/Road: +4.7, H/R Index 170

W/L loves the scenario, H/R not so much. So why do I, especially with Sam LaPorta looking like he’ll be ready to go for Week 12, like Jamo this week? Mostly because few current NFL players can take the ball and blow away their projection with 1 or 2 plays.

And the Lions seem to be at the top of their game. I’ll need the Lions to throw 25-30 times for me to feel good about this. I don’t normally like home-run hitters (baseball metaphor!), but sometimes, they’re better than alternatives.

The Colts have one of the better corner tandems (Jaylon Jones, Samuel Womack, and Kenny Moore), but I’m betting on the better team here. I think Jamo eclipses our 10.53-point projection.

 

 

SITS

 Player: Jerry Jeudy

Team: Cleveland Browns

RazzballNFL PPR Rank: WR 29

Spread: +3.5 vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Win/Loss: +0.7, W/L Index 109

Home/Road: +1.2, H/R Index 114

 As much as I love the high-rolling Cleveland Browns’ passing offense with Jameis Winston under center, Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland is home to some of the most inhospitable weather in the later part of most NFL seasons. There is supposed to be rain and snow throughout the day, the wind is forecasted to be 20+MPH, and the temperatures will be sub-40 degrees Fahrenheit. The over/under was dropped significantly from its open when the forecast went wide.

Toss in the fact that the Steelers’ defense gives up their share of passing yards, but only 9 TDs in 10 games, which is okay because the Browns don’t score many TDs (second-lowest PPG in 2024). Pittsburgh gives up 19.3 PPR PPG to wideouts, but divided by two players that is not a lot.

The indices are close to neutral. I think Jeudy will fall short of his 10.95-point projection we have in PPR.

Player: Trey Benson

Team: Arizona Cardinals

RazzballNFL PPR Rank: RB 30

Spread: -1.0 at Seattle Seahawks

Win/Loss: +2.6, W/L Index 192

Home/Road: +3.2, H/R Index 248

 There can be times in a season when a player’s projections need to be corrected. There are also times when the correction is too much.

We currently have Benson scoring 8.33 PPR points this week. Given that Benson had 12.5 and 10.7 PPR points in the two games heading into the Cards’ Week 11 bye, that’s in his realm of outcomes.

My issue is that outside those two games, which were blowout wins for Arizona, Benson has not had more than 5 PPR points in a game, including one where he had 2.7 points on 12 touches.

Weeks 9 & 10 may have been a changing of the guard or the Cards may be feeling good enough about their playoff position that they’ll ease James Conner’s load to save him for January, but I need to see Benson get more touches in a neutral game script. If the Cards do that or manage to blow out the Seahawks in Seattle, I’ll be wrong.

Absent that, I’m going under 8.33 points.

Player: Deebo Samuel

Team: San Francisco 49ers

RazzballNFL PPR Rank: WR 10

Spread: +2.0 vs Green Bay Packers

Win/Loss: +11.7, W/L Index 291

Home/Road: -7.0, H/R Index 62

 Going this far up (or down) the rankings is a little tricky, as I would only sit a higher-ranked player than I usually cover.

But the field I cover this week is either full of guys I think will beat their projections, guys I wouldn’t start in the first place, or guys that are on the same team as another player I’ve already covered.

So, I’m going to feature Deebo here as I would not feel bad about starting DeVonta Smith or Jameson Williams ahead of Deebo.

W/L favors my view, H/R favors Deebo on the road, so I’m not swayed by the indices.

The Packers are allowing a league-low 9.8 PPR PPG to wideouts and Deebo lines up wide 68% of the time. Deebo does line up in the slot almost a third of the time, but I feel better about George Kittle this week.

Our projection is 15.31 PPR points for Deebo, a number he hasn’t hit since Week 6. I’ll take the under here.

 

That’s a wrap on the column! Don’t forget to check out more fantasy goodness at Razzball.com. Follow me on Twitter/X @crewser128. Like and subscribe for more fantasy football content on YouTube @RazzballFantasy. Please leave questions, comments, and feedback below. Have a great Week 11!

 

Download Table as CSV
Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output

# Name Team Pos Wins Losses Win PPR Loss PPR Win-Loss PPR Win/Loss PPR Index One Score Games 8+ Point Losses 8+ Point Wins One Score Game PPR 8+ Point Loss PPR 8+ Point Win PPR
Malik Nabers NYG WR 1 8 28.2 15.5 12.7 182 5 4 0 21.1 11.6
Andy Dalton CAR QB 1 8 24.6 7.2 17.4 340 2 6 1 0.0 9.7 24.6
Saquon Barkley PHI RB 15 10 24.5 12.1 12.4 202 12 6 7 20.0 11.2 25.9
Christian McCaffrey SF RB 13 6 24.3 19.0 5.3 128 5 3 11 18.1 20.9 25.2
Tyreek Hill MIA WR 15 12 24.2 11.9 12.3 203 12 6 9 18.3 11.9 23.8
Daniel Jones 0 QB 3 13 24.1 9.2 14.8 261 6 9 1 19.1 6.2 22.1
Breece Hall NYJ RB 10 18 23.6 12.8 10.8 185 14 9 5 16.2 14.2 22.2
CeeDee Lamb DAL WR 16 12 23.5 18.0 5.5 131 10 7 11 24.2 14.3 22.6
Lamar Jackson BAL QB 21 7 23.4 18.5 4.9 126 15 0 13 21.7 22.7
Jalen Hurts PHI QB 20 8 23.2 16.8 6.3 138 15 4 9 22.2 12.4 23.9
Josh Allen BUF QB 20 8 22.6 19.5 3.1 116 16 1 11 22.3 7.3 22.2
Kyren Williams LAR RB 13 10 22.1 14.6 7.5 151 12 4 7 19.1 11.3 22.7
Derrick Henry BAL RB 14 15 21.9 12.0 9.9 183 19 5 5 16.8 6.8 26.6
Brian Thomas Jr. JAC WR 2 9 21.7 11.1 10.6 196 7 3 1 13.4 9.7 20.1
Dak Prescott DAL QB 15 10 20.8 14.4 6.4 145 10 5 10 20.7 8.2 20.7
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR 21 6 20.8 17.7 3.2 118 13 2 12 20.5 14.2 20.7
Brock Purdy SF QB 17 9 20.8 14.4 6.4 144 9 3 14 17.4 12.6 20.6
Nico Collins HOU WR 13 9 20.7 14.0 6.7 148 13 5 4 20.0 13.7 16.6
Baker Mayfield TB QB 14 14 20.2 15.4 4.8 131 12 6 10 17.1 12.5 21.8
Jordan Love GB QB 15 11 20.0 15.0 5.0 133 15 4 7 17.4 14.2 21.1
Kyler Murray ARI QB 9 10 19.9 15.5 4.4 129 9 6 4 19.3 14.4 18.5
Tyrod Taylor NYJ QB 2 10 19.7 5.4 14.3 365 4 7 1 13.6 3.0 17.7
Travis Etienne Jr. JAC RB 10 16 19.5 9.9 9.7 198 11 9 6 14.6 8.8 18.9
Joe Burrow CIN QB 9 12 19.5 17.7 1.8 110 12 4 5 20.1 7.4 23.2
DJ Moore CHI WR 11 17 19.4 12.5 6.9 155 14 7 7 14.2 9.6 22.6
Justin Fields PIT QB 9 12 19.3 14.5 4.8 133 10 4 7 13.8 12.1 23.1
Alvin Kamara NO RB 10 14 18.8 18.5 0.3 102 8 8 8 21.1 14.6 20.1
Bo Nix DEN QB 8 4 18.7 16.4 2.3 114 5 1 6 12.6 17.7 22.4
Tua Tagovailoa MIA QB 15 9 18.7 11.8 6.9 159 10 4 10 15.2 11.2 19.0
Bailey Zappe CLE QB 2 8 18.7 4.0 14.7 468 6 4 0 9.3 3.4
Chuba Hubbard CAR RB 5 23 18.7 11.5 7.3 163 11 16 1 14.6 10.6 27.9
Jayden Daniels WAS QB 7 5 18.6 19.5 -0.9 96 7 3 2 16.9 22.7 20.9
Joe Flacco IND QB 6 5 18.6 11.4 7.2 163 6 3 2 15.4 10.1 22.8
Joe Mixon HOU RB 14 12 18.5 14.1 4.4 131 14 6 6 16.5 13.7 19.2
A.J. Brown PHI WR 19 6 18.4 12.6 5.8 146 13 3 9 17.0 11.9 18.7
Trevor Lawrence JAC QB 10 15 18.4 14.2 4.2 129 11 8 6 18.1 11.6 17.8
Patrick Mahomes KC QB 20 7 18.3 14.4 3.8 127 15 3 9 17.4 11.5 19.1
Ja’Marr Chase CIN WR 13 14 18.3 19.7 -1.4 93 15 5 7 21.6 12.0 18.6
Jared Goff DET QB 22 6 18.0 12.4 5.6 145 13 2 13 14.5 7.9 20.5
Justin Herbert LAC QB 12 12 17.9 16.1 1.8 111 13 4 7 19.7 8.8 16.6
Kirk Cousins ATL QB 10 9 17.8 14.5 3.3 123 13 3 3 19.0 6.1 14.0
Deebo Samuel SF WR 17 8 17.8 5.7 12.1 310 8 3 14 10.1 4.2 18.3
Puka Nacua LAR WR 13 10 17.7 16.1 1.6 110 11 5 7 18.0 14.6 17.2
Derek Carr NO QB 13 12 17.6 11.1 6.4 158 11 5 9 12.4 11.0 18.9
James Conner ARI RB 10 14 17.6 13.0 4.7 136 11 8 5 15.1 11.7 19.7
J.K. Dobbins LAC RB 8 4 17.6 9.0 8.6 195 5 1 6 13.0 8.4 17.3
Jahmyr Gibbs DET RB 20 6 17.5 15.3 2.2 114 13 2 11 15.6 22.4 17.5
Jake Browning CIN QB 5 6 17.5 9.2 8.3 190 3 5 3 19.2 8.6 13.9
Joshua Dobbs SF QB 4 9 17.4 13.9 3.6 126 7 4 2 13.4 14.6 21.1
Caleb Williams CHI QB 4 7 17.2 12.7 4.5 135 7 2 2 12.9 7.8 26.1
C.J. Stroud HOU QB 16 11 17.2 13.3 3.9 130 17 5 5 17.5 11.4 13.2
Matthew Stafford LAR QB 14 12 17.1 12.9 4.2 132 14 5 7 13.9 12.4 19.7
Isiah Pacheco KC RB 11 5 17.1 12.8 4.2 133 8 2 6 14.1 14.0 18.5
Josh Jacobs GB RB 13 11 16.9 13.0 3.9 130 15 5 4 15.2 13.4 17.1
Bijan Robinson ATL RB 13 15 16.9 15.2 1.7 111 16 8 4 14.1 16.1 23.1
Mac Jones JAC QB 2 13 16.7 6.3 10.4 266 9 6 0 11.1 2.4
Russell Wilson PIT QB 11 9 16.6 16.4 0.2 101 11 4 5 16.7 14.3 17.7
Chris Godwin TB WR 13 11 16.5 11.9 4.7 139 9 6 9 11.8 13.0 18.0
Cooper Kupp LAR WR 10 9 16.5 15.3 1.2 108 7 6 6 18.2 12.6 16.8
Mike Evans TB WR 14 11 16.5 14.4 2.1 115 9 6 10 16.8 10.7 17.5
James Cook BUF RB 19 8 16.2 11.8 4.4 137 15 1 11 11.5 5.8 20.3
David Montgomery DET RB 20 5 16.2 13.3 2.9 122 13 1 11 15.0 11.5 16.7
Jonathan Taylor IND RB 8 11 16.1 13.9 2.2 116 12 6 1 17.0 9.9 17.9
Kenneth Walker III SEA RB 13 11 16.1 13.7 2.3 117 12 7 5 13.8 14.3 18.8
Devon Achane MIA RB 12 10 16.0 18.7 -2.7 85 10 5 7 12.5 19.0 22.7
Tony Pollard TEN RB 15 13 15.6 10.9 4.7 143 10 8 10 14.7 9.4 15.3
Keenan Allen CHI WR 9 13 15.4 18.1 -2.8 85 13 5 4 19.4 12.7 14.5
D’Andre Swift CHI RB 15 12 15.4 10.3 5.1 149 17 4 6 13.3 7.4 16.5
Garrett Wilson NYJ WR 10 18 15.3 11.1 4.2 137 14 9 5 12.9 10.6 15.6
DeAndre Hopkins KC WR 11 17 15.2 9.4 5.8 162 17 8 3 12.9 9.2 11.0
Amari Cooper BUF WR 14 10 15.1 10.0 5.0 150 12 5 7 12.8 5.2 18.7
Raheem Mostert MIA RB 16 7 15.0 11.0 4.1 137 11 2 10 12.9 5.8 16.4
Rachaad White TB RB 13 14 15.0 15.0 0.0 100 12 6 9 15.2 13.0 15.9
George Pickens PIT WR 17 11 14.9 8.6 6.4 175 17 5 6 11.9 8.7 16.9
Geno Smith SEA QB 14 12 14.9 14.8 0.1 101 13 7 6 17.2 12.0 13.0
Jaylen Waddle MIA WR 15 10 14.9 8.6 6.2 172 11 5 9 9.8 8.7 17.6
Brian Robinson Jr. WAS RB 10 14 14.7 11.8 2.9 124 11 10 3 14.4 10.7 15.9
Rhamondre Stevenson NE RB 5 18 14.7 10.7 4.0 138 15 7 1 15.2 4.2 8.7
Justin Jefferson MIN WR 11 10 14.7 21.2 -6.5 69 13 3 5 16.0 22.1 19.6
Brandon Aiyuk SF WR 14 9 14.7 11.7 2.9 125 7 3 13 10.8 12.5 15.2
Jakobi Meyers LV WR 10 15 14.6 13.2 1.3 110 13 9 3 12.4 14.7 16.9
Travis Kelce KC TE 20 6 14.5 11.0 3.6 133 14 3 9 13.5 8.9 15.7
Aaron Jones MIN RB 15 7 14.5 10.3 4.2 140 10 4 8 11.6 8.4 17.5
Sam Howell SEA QB 5 14 14.5 12.9 1.6 112 8 9 2 17.1 11.0 9.2
Desmond Ridder LV QB 6 11 14.5 8.4 6.1 172 8 7 2 14.0 7.0 9.3
Ricky Pearsall SF WR 2 3 14.5 1.7 12.8 853 3 2 0 9.7 2.6
Najee Harris PIT RB 17 11 14.4 7.8 6.5 183 17 5 6 12.0 7.6 14.8
Terry McLaurin WAS WR 11 18 14.3 12.3 1.9 116 15 11 3 14.3 10.7 15.2
Taylor Heinicke LAC QB 1 5 14.2 10.6 3.6 134 3 2 1 12.2 8.1 14.2
Michael Pittman Jr. IND WR 14 13 14.1 11.8 2.3 120 18 6 3 11.8 16.2 13.3
Deshaun Watson CLE QB 6 7 14.1 9.8 4.3 144 8 2 3 9.7 9.6 19.0
Aaron Rodgers NYJ QB 4 8 14.1 10.8 3.3 131 7 3 2 11.1 7.9 20.7
Bucky Irving TB RB 5 6 14.0 12.2 1.8 115 5 2 4 9.5 14.1 16.9
DeVonta Smith PHI WR 19 6 13.9 13.5 0.4 103 15 2 8 16.2 17.5 8.4
T.J. Hockenson MIN TE 11 8 13.9 13.6 0.3 102 14 0 5 14.1 12.9
Calvin Ridley TEN WR 12 16 13.9 11.9 2.0 117 10 11 7 11.9 12.7 14.0
Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI WR 6 5 13.8 8.4 5.4 164 5 3 3 10.5 7.7 16.3
Stefon Diggs HOU WR 17 8 13.7 17.7 -4.0 77 18 1 6 15.0 19.9 14.0
Davante Adams NYJ WR 10 15 13.7 15.6 -1.8 88 13 8 4 16.9 10.2 17.3
Nick Chubb CLE RB 3 4 13.6 6.5 7.1 209 4 2 1 10.2 4.8 16.7
D’Onta Foreman CLE RB 5 12 13.6 4.0 9.6 339 11 4 2 5.3 4.0 21.1
George Kittle SF TE 17 8 13.6 16.8 -3.2 81 7 4 14 14.4 19.7 13.2
Trey McBride ARI TE 10 17 13.5 10.7 2.8 126 12 10 5 12.1 11.2 12.1
Ladd McConkey LAC WR 7 4 13.5 12.3 1.2 110 5 1 5 13.6 7.4 13.6
Courtland Sutton DEN WR 15 13 13.3 11.9 1.4 111 13 6 9 12.8 12.1 12.9
Jordan Addison MIN WR 14 12 13.3 12.1 1.2 110 17 3 6 13.8 8.6 11.7
David Njoku CLE TE 13 11 13.0 10.7 2.3 121 12 7 5 14.1 8.9 11.4
Brandin Cooks DAL WR 13 7 12.9 4.0 8.8 319 7 4 9 9.2 3.2 13.1
Drake London ATL WR 13 14 12.9 12.3 0.7 105 15 8 4 14.2 10.9 10.1
Mark Andrews BAL TE 15 7 12.9 8.2 4.6 156 14 0 8 10.5 13.0
Austin Ekeler WAS RB 9 16 12.8 12.3 0.5 104 15 7 3 12.0 10.7 18.7
Devin Singletary NYG RB 11 15 12.8 6.7 6.1 192 15 8 3 10.8 6.5 9.0
Will Levis TEN QB 5 12 12.8 10.5 2.3 122 10 6 1 12.5 10.9 -0.5
Zay Flowers BAL WR 21 7 12.8 14.5 -1.7 88 15 0 13 13.5 12.8
Tommy DeVito NYG QB 4 6 12.7 8.9 3.7 142 3 5 2 11.6 9.3 11.6
Aidan O’Connell LV QB 5 10 12.5 8.5 4.0 147 7 5 3 8.1 7.8 17.4
Javonte Williams DEN RB 16 12 12.5 8.0 4.6 157 14 5 9 8.7 9.7 14.0
Tank Dell HOU WR 12 10 12.4 10.7 1.7 116 14 4 4 11.4 14.1 9.8
Sam LaPorta DET TE 21 6 12.3 10.3 2.0 120 13 2 12 10.3 8.0 14.1
DK Metcalf SEA WR 14 11 12.3 14.0 -1.7 88 13 7 5 13.6 10.0 16.0
Zack Moss CIN RB 11 11 12.2 10.5 1.6 116 13 4 5 11.2 12.5 10.8
Tee Higgins CIN WR 10 8 12.2 15.8 -3.7 77 10 4 4 16.9 8.0 12.0
Adam Thielen CAR WR 3 18 12.2 12.6 -0.4 97 8 12 1 10.4 13.9 13.0
Kareem Hunt KC RB 17 6 12.1 5.1 7.1 240 12 5 6 12.1 3.3 12.5
Mason Rudolph TEN QB 5 3 12.1 9.8 2.2 123 3 3 2 12.3 9.8 11.7
Brock Bowers LV TE 2 9 12.0 15.9 -4.0 75 4 7 0 13.5 16.2
Jerome Ford CLE RB 13 13 11.9 10.1 1.8 118 13 8 5 10.6 9.7 14.2
Gardner Minshew II LV QB 11 15 11.9 10.4 1.5 115 12 11 3 11.4 9.9 13.8
Chris Olave NO WR 10 14 11.8 13.4 -1.6 88 10 7 7 15.5 12.0 9.7
Drake Maye NE QB 2 6 11.7 11.4 0.3 103 3 4 1 15.1 8.6 11.8
Anthony Richardson IND QB 6 6 11.6 18.1 -6.5 64 9 2 1 14.0 17.0 17.7
Tyler Lockett SEA WR 15 13 11.4 9.5 1.9 120 14 8 6 12.7 8.9 7.6
Zach Wilson DEN QB 5 7 11.4 8.4 3.0 136 6 4 2 11.1 5.3 13.9
Taysom Hill NO TE 12 11 11.3 9.1 2.3 125 10 5 8 11.5 4.4 12.4
Christian Kirk JAC WR 10 10 11.1 10.9 0.2 102 9 5 6 10.4 14.9 8.7
Jayden Reed GB WR 16 11 11.0 17.0 -5.9 65 15 4 8 14.4 13.6 11.6
Bryce Young CAR QB 4 20 11.0 8.8 2.2 125 11 13 0 10.6 7.9
Wan’Dale Robinson NYG WR 7 19 10.9 9.2 1.7 118 11 12 3 10.7 8.1 12.1
Noah Brown WAS WR 12 8 10.9 6.4 4.6 172 13 5 2 11.4 5.2 3.7
Romeo Doubs GB WR 16 11 10.8 8.8 2.0 122 15 4 8 10.2 10.8 9.2
Tyjae Spears TEN RB 7 17 10.8 7.4 3.4 147 13 8 3 8.1 6.8 14.1
Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB 8 19 10.7 7.0 3.7 152 16 9 2 9.6 5.6 6.8
Gus Edwards LAC RB 17 7 10.6 4.6 6.0 229 10 1 13 7.7 0.9 10.4
Christian Watson GB WR 11 8 10.6 6.9 3.6 153 11 3 5 8.3 7.8 11.4
Chase Brown CIN RB 11 11 10.5 8.6 1.8 121 12 4 6 8.1 5.3 15.2
Darnell Mooney ATL WR 12 14 10.5 7.3 3.1 143 14 7 5 12.0 5.4 4.6
Dallas Goedert PHI TE 15 7 10.5 8.6 1.9 122 12 3 7 8.4 7.2 13.6
Evan Engram JAC TE 10 14 10.4 13.9 -3.5 75 9 8 7 12.9 13.1 11.2
Darius Slayton NYG WR 8 19 10.3 8.1 2.2 127 11 13 3 7.0 7.5 20.5
Jameson Williams DET WR 16 5 10.3 6.3 4.0 164 11 2 8 9.2 0.2 11.9
Braelon Allen NYJ RB 3 8 10.1 3.1 7.0 324 6 3 2 6.0 2.9 5.4
Khalil Shakir BUF WR 20 7 10.0 5.8 4.2 173 15 1 11 7.4 10.2 10.9
Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG RB 2 9 10.0 9.9 0.1 101 5 5 1 6.5 12.5 14.0
Quentin Johnston LAC WR 11 15 10.0 5.3 4.7 190 15 5 6 4.9 7.9 12.7
Jake Ferguson DAL TE 15 11 10.0 9.6 0.4 105 10 6 10 12.3 6.1 9.6
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN WR 8 17 10.0 5.1 4.8 195 14 9 2 6.8 6.2 8.1
Marcus Mariota WAS QB 2 3 9.9 3.9 6.0 253 1 3 1 19.6 3.9 0.1
Josh Downs IND WR 14 13 9.9 11.9 -2.0 83 16 8 3 12.3 10.2 4.9
Diontae Johnson BAL WR 11 13 9.9 10.0 -0.1 99 12 9 3 8.3 12.1 9.9
Jaylen Warren PIT RB 17 9 9.8 11.0 -1.3 89 15 5 6 12.4 8.9 6.0
Tyler Allgeier ATL RB 13 15 9.5 5.4 4.1 177 16 8 4 6.1 5.4 16.1
Jerry Jeudy CLE WR 11 16 9.5 9.9 -0.4 96 15 9 3 8.9 12.3 6.6
Elijah Moore CLE WR 14 14 9.5 5.8 3.6 163 15 8 5 7.7 6.5 9.1
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA WR 15 13 9.4 11.9 -2.5 79 14 8 6 11.5 10.0 9.0
Cole Kmet CHI TE 11 17 9.4 10.4 -1.1 90 14 7 7 11.2 7.1 10.6
Kyle Pitts ATL TE 13 15 9.1 8.1 1.0 113 16 8 4 9.1 7.5 8.6
Malik Willis GB QB 5 3 9.1 1.6 7.5 578 4 2 2 5.0 2.4 12.7
Dalton Schultz HOU TE 16 11 9.0 6.6 2.4 136 17 5 5 9.2 6.4 5.5
Xavier Legette CAR WR 3 8 9.0 8.3 0.8 109 4 6 1 8.4 8.9 6.2
Jonnu Smith MIA TE 12 16 9.0 8.9 0.1 101 14 8 6 8.5 8.1 11.1
Demarcus Robinson LAR WR 14 10 9.0 6.2 2.9 146 14 4 6 6.7 5.6 11.9
Keon Coleman BUF WR 7 2 8.8 10.0 -1.2 88 4 1 4 7.4 8.1 11.0
Sam Darnold MIN QB 17 4 8.7 14.5 -5.8 60 7 2 12 14.5 12.2 6.7
Jimmy Garoppolo LAR QB 4 3 8.7 9.1 -0.5 95 4 2 1 12.6 5.9 0.0
Xavier Worthy KC WR 10 1 8.7 16.8 -8.1 52 8 1 2 8.8 16.8 8.6
Tyler Higbee LAR TE 9 6 8.6 5.3 3.3 163 6 3 6 7.4 4.5 8.5
Kenny Pickett PHI QB 10 5 8.5 5.1 3.4 168 8 4 3 11.3 5.1 0.0
Rashod Bateman BAL WR 20 8 8.4 3.9 4.5 217 16 0 12 7.2 6.9
Devaughn Vele DEN WR 4 4 8.4 10.2 -1.8 82 3 1 4 12.5 3.1 8.4
Dalton Kincaid BUF TE 18 8 8.3 10.3 -1.9 81 15 1 10 9.8 9.7 7.5
Kendrick Bourne NE WR 3 12 8.3 9.3 -1.0 90 9 6 0 11.5 5.5
Roschon Johnson CHI RB 9 15 8.2 6.5 1.7 126 11 7 6 7.5 6.3 7.6
Alexander Mattison LV RB 9 17 8.1 9.8 -1.7 83 15 8 3 9.4 9.7 6.5
Tre Tucker LV WR 9 18 8.1 4.8 3.3 168 13 11 3 4.2 5.7 14.1
Juwan Johnson NO TE 12 12 8.1 5.5 2.6 148 9 7 8 4.5 7.6 8.6
Keaton Mitchell BAL RB 7 2 8.0 6.8 1.2 118 4 0 5 5.2 9.8
Rico Dowdle DAL RB 15 11 8.0 7.7 0.3 104 8 7 11 8.6 7.5 7.5
Tyler Boyd TEN WR 12 16 7.9 6.7 1.3 119 13 10 5 8.5 5.6 6.9
Drew Lock NYG QB 2 4 7.9 3.8 4.1 209 2 3 1 5.1 5.6 3.6
Michael Wilson ARI WR 9 15 7.8 8.4 -0.6 93 11 9 4 9.9 7.4 5.3
Justice Hill BAL RB 21 7 7.8 6.6 1.2 118 15 0 13 6.3 8.8
Mike Williams PIT WR 6 9 7.7 4.3 3.4 181 11 2 2 6.7 1.3 4.0
Salvon Ahmed IND RB 5 3 7.7 1.5 6.2 512 4 2 2 5.9 0.7 9.1
Ray Davis BUF RB 9 2 7.6 1.3 6.3 607 4 1 6 10.1 1.1 4.9
Joshua Palmer LAC WR 10 10 7.5 10.0 -2.4 76 12 2 6 8.0 19.8 6.7
Zach Ertz WAS TE 8 11 7.5 9.6 -2.1 78 9 7 3 9.6 9.7 3.6
Chigoziem Okonkwo TEN TE 9 19 7.3 5.7 1.7 129 15 10 3 8.0 4.1 4.3
Tucker Kraft GB TE 17 11 7.3 5.3 2.0 137 16 4 8 7.2 6.5 5.3
Zamir White LV RB 9 14 7.3 3.1 4.2 236 12 8 3 4.7 2.7 10.1
Dontayvion Wicks GB WR 15 11 7.2 6.8 0.4 106 15 4 7 7.9 5.1 6.2
Jacoby Brissett NE QB 2 7 7.2 5.9 1.3 123 5 4 0 6.2 6.2
Hunter Henry NE TE 6 20 7.2 7.8 -0.6 93 16 9 1 8.1 7.5 2.4
Ja’Tavion Sanders CAR TE 3 8 7.2 5.5 1.7 131 4 6 1 10.4 4.0 0.0
Sean Tucker TB RB 7 5 7.1 2.1 5.0 340 3 3 6 3.2 1.8 7.6
Marquise Brown KC WR 3 11 7.0 10.3 -3.4 67 5 7 2 9.7 9.9 8.6
Demario Douglas NE WR 6 20 7.0 7.4 -0.3 95 15 10 1 8.0 6.1 9.0
Pat Freiermuth PIT TE 13 10 6.9 7.2 -0.3 96 13 4 6 8.6 5.4 4.8
AJ Dillon GB RB 8 7 6.9 8.9 -2.1 77 9 2 4 9.2 5.7 5.8
Michael Mayer LV TE 7 12 6.9 2.6 4.3 262 9 8 2 4.7 2.6 8.5
Khalil Herbert CIN RB 8 11 6.8 6.0 0.8 114 9 4 6 5.1 6.5 8.1
Logan Thomas 0 TE 4 12 6.7 8.2 -1.5 82 8 7 1 10.3 5.9 1.2
Trevor Siemian TEN QB 2 3 6.7 4.5 2.2 149 2 2 1 6.0 6.1 2.9
Jamaal Williams NO RB 10 11 6.6 1.8 4.8 364 7 7 7 3.2 1.6 7.5
Curtis Samuel BUF WR 11 15 6.6 8.7 -2.0 77 11 9 6 6.0 10.3 7.5
Isaiah Hodgins NYG WR 7 13 6.6 1.3 5.4 517 8 9 3 5.0 1.4 3.6
Cam Akers MIN RB 14 2 6.5 6.9 -0.3 95 9 1 6 5.7 9.9 7.4
Tommy Tremble CAR TE 3 19 6.5 3.0 3.5 218 7 14 1 4.5 2.8 5.9
Samaje Perine KC RB 18 10 6.5 5.9 0.6 111 17 6 5 6.5 5.4 6.6
Jaleel McLaughlin DEN RB 16 13 6.4 5.2 1.2 123 14 6 9 5.9 5.8 5.9
Donald Parham Jr. DEN TE 5 9 6.4 5.3 1.1 121 9 3 2 6.8 1.3 7.2
Jalen Coker CAR WR 2 5 6.4 7.3 -1.0 87 3 4 0 4.9 8.7
Zach Charbonnet SEA RB 14 13 6.3 7.5 -1.2 84 14 8 5 6.9 6.2 8.1
Jordan Mason SF RB 14 8 6.3 8.0 -1.7 79 8 2 12 6.9 5.6 7.1
Josh Reynolds DEN WR 16 6 6.3 10.8 -4.5 58 11 2 9 7.3 9.9 7.2
Odell Beckham Jr. MIA WR 16 5 6.3 3.8 2.5 167 9 0 12 4.9 6.2
Theo Johnson NYG TE 2 9 6.1 5.1 1.0 119 5 5 1 5.1 4.4 9.8
Mike Gesicki CIN TE 8 20 6.1 4.9 1.2 124 19 6 3 5.1 4.1 9.0
Tank Bigsby JAC RB 11 14 6.0 3.0 3.0 200 11 7 7 5.2 1.7 5.4
K.J. Osborn NE WR 9 14 5.9 6.0 -0.1 99 15 5 3 6.8 3.0 6.8
Jauan Jennings SF WR 14 8 5.8 13.0 -7.1 45 8 2 12 14.8 4.5 4.9
Jameis Winston CLE QB 6 10 5.8 5.4 0.4 107 8 5 3 6.0 8.4 -0.2
Isaiah Likely BAL TE 20 8 5.8 8.1 -2.3 71 15 0 13 7.3 5.4
Tutu Atwell LAR WR 14 13 5.7 7.8 -2.1 73 15 6 6 7.3 5.8 6.2
Alec Pierce IND WR 14 15 5.7 8.7 -3.0 65 18 8 3 8.2 6.8 2.4
Noah Gray KC TE 21 7 5.5 5.4 0.1 102 16 3 9 4.8 10.0 5.0
Jalen Nailor MIN WR 11 5 5.5 3.0 2.5 181 10 1 5 4.0 3.6 6.4
Tyler Conklin NYJ TE 10 18 5.5 6.8 -1.3 81 14 9 5 5.4 7.0 7.8
Will Dissly LAC TE 15 12 5.4 3.8 1.6 143 15 5 7 5.7 2.6 4.0
A.T. Perry DEN WR 6 4 5.4 7.0 -1.6 78 2 3 5 2.0 8.0 6.5
Kenneth Gainwell PHI RB 19 8 5.4 4.0 1.5 137 14 4 9 4.2 4.9 6.3
Cade Otton TB TE 14 14 5.4 11.3 -5.9 48 12 6 10 10.6 7.5 6.3
Trey Benson ARI RB 5 5 5.4 2.6 2.8 207 4 3 3 1.2 3.1 8.6
Jalin Hyatt NYG WR 8 19 5.4 1.4 3.9 376 12 12 3 4.8 0.7 1.1
Isaac Guerendo SF RB 5 5 5.4 1.2 4.3 467 6 1 3 3.9 1.7 2.6
Kayshon Boutte NE WR 3 12 5.4 2.5 3.0 220 8 6 1 3.5 1.5 8.7
Jeremy McNichols WAS RB 7 4 5.3 2.9 2.4 185 7 2 2 2.0 1.9 15.4
Tyler Johnson LAR WR 6 6 5.3 4.1 1.2 130 8 3 1 5.4 3.9 1.6
Tanner Hudson CIN TE 9 10 5.3 5.8 -0.5 92 10 5 4 6.7 4.2 4.2
Marquez Valdes-Scantling NO WR 16 9 5.3 2.2 3.2 244 12 3 10 4.1 2.4 4.9
Ihmir Smith-Marsette NYG WR 1 14 5.2 1.5 3.7 342 6 9 0 3.3 0.8
Noah Fant SEA TE 13 12 5.2 4.9 0.3 106 12 8 5 3.9 4.7 8.5
Mack Hollins BUF WR 14 10 5.2 2.9 2.2 176 10 6 8 6.4 2.0 3.3
Juju Smith-Schuster KC WR 9 10 5.1 4.8 0.3 105 13 4 2 4.5 3.8 10.0
Kimani Vidal LAC RB 3 1 5.1 2.9 2.2 177 2 0 2 8.0 1.2
Antonio Gibson NE RB 7 21 5.1 6.4 -1.3 79 14 12 2 5.8 6.5 5.6
Jalen Tolbert DAL WR 16 12 5.0 7.0 -2.0 71 10 7 11 8.4 4.4 4.3
Clyde Edwards-Helaire KC RB 9 6 5.0 4.2 0.8 118 7 2 6 3.9 1.4 6.7
Ty Johnson BUF RB 14 5 5.0 2.0 3.0 252 10 1 8 1.9 6.3 6.9
Tyson Bagent CHI QB 4 3 5.0 10.9 -5.9 46 3 1 3 9.7 11.2 4.1
Royce Freeman 0 RB 5 4 5.0 5.3 -0.3 95 4 2 3 4.3 6.8 5.1
Allen Lazard NYJ WR 8 13 4.9 8.4 -3.5 58 12 6 3 6.5 8.3 6.7
Jonathan Mingo DAL WR 5 21 4.8 4.0 0.8 120 9 15 2 5.9 3.3 3.4
Rome Odunze CHI WR 4 7 4.8 11.3 -6.5 42 7 2 2 8.9 10.4 7.5
Ray-Ray McCloud ATL WR 13 9 4.8 6.1 -1.3 79 11 4 7 6.8 7.3 1.8
Kadarius Toney CLE WR 8 6 4.8 2.3 2.5 211 6 3 5 4.6 0.3 4.8
Calvin Austin III PIT WR 17 11 4.7 4.2 0.5 111 17 5 6 3.0 4.5 8.8
Nelson Agholor BAL WR 21 8 4.7 5.5 -0.8 86 16 0 13 5.5 4.2
Lil’Jordan Humphrey DEN WR 16 13 4.7 2.5 2.2 186 14 6 9 3.4 2.3 5.1
Trey Palmer TB WR 13 13 4.7 5.0 -0.3 94 11 6 9 4.2 5.7 5.1
Dameon Pierce HOU RB 10 8 4.6 4.2 0.4 110 9 4 5 3.6 4.1 6.0
Zay Jones ARI WR 8 6 4.6 7.1 -2.4 66 6 4 4 5.9 5.4 5.6
Tim Patrick DET WR 9 1 4.6 3.2 1.4 144 4 0 6 2.4 5.9
Kalif Raymond DET WR 22 6 4.6 7.4 -2.8 62 13 2 13 5.2 4.3 5.3
Cedric Tillman CLE WR 12 13 4.6 5.2 -0.6 88 12 8 5 5.5 6.4 1.3
Andrei Iosivas CIN WR 13 14 4.5 4.6 -0.1 97 15 5 7 4.5 1.5 6.7
Jarrett Stidham DEN QB 3 2 4.5 6.6 -2.1 68 1 2 2 13.6 6.6 -0.1
Bo Melton GB WR 12 4 4.5 2.1 2.4 213 9 2 5 2.0 2.3 8.0
Ja’Lynn Polk NE WR 2 9 4.4 1.5 2.9 298 5 5 1 0.8 2.2 7.2
Tyler Goodson IND RB 8 8 4.4 3.0 1.4 148 11 4 1 3.2 3.4 9.9
Emanuel Wilson GB RB 11 7 4.3 3.5 0.8 122 13 1 4 2.2 9.9 8.3
Dawson Knox BUF TE 18 5 4.3 2.6 1.7 163 12 1 10 4.3 1.0 3.9
Troy Franklin DEN WR 8 3 4.3 5.5 -1.2 79 4 1 6 3.8 2.9 5.4
Michael Carter ARI RB 6 9 4.3 3.7 0.7 118 8 5 2 3.3 4.9 3.9
Jaylen Wright MIA RB 4 6 4.3 2.0 2.3 213 4 3 3 3.9 1.8 2.9
Pharaoh Brown SEA TE 8 18 4.2 0.7 3.5 601 14 9 3 2.2 1.2 1.9
Malik Washington MIA WR 4 4 4.2 1.4 2.8 296 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 5.5
Jeff Wilson Jr. MIA RB 6 8 4.1 3.0 1.2 140 5 5 4 3.5 2.5 4.7
Colby Parkinson LAR TE 14 14 4.1 4.2 -0.1 98 17 7 4 4.8 2.9 3.8
Sterling Shepard TB WR 8 16 4.0 2.4 1.6 167 9 10 5 3.0 1.4 6.0
Austin Hooper NE TE 11 18 4.0 3.9 0.1 103 16 9 4 2.8 5.5 4.8
Elijah Higgins ARI TE 9 13 4.0 3.0 1.0 134 10 8 4 2.7 3.4 5.2
Robert Woods HOU WR 14 10 4.0 5.5 -1.5 73 14 6 4 3.3 6.7 6.3
Jalen McMillan TB WR 4 3 3.9 5.5 -1.6 70 2 2 3 6.2 3.6 4.1
Justin Watson KC WR 20 7 3.9 7.2 -3.2 55 16 3 8 5.3 3.6 4.1
Dyami Brown WAS WR 11 18 3.8 1.9 1.9 200 15 11 3 3.2 1.1 5.0
Gerald Everett CHI TE 8 18 3.7 5.1 -1.5 71 17 6 3 4.0 7.6 2.7
Jahan Dotson PHI WR 13 15 3.7 6.6 -2.8 57 13 9 6 7.3 5.0 1.2
Tyler Huntley MIA QB 5 3 3.7 11.7 -8.0 31 3 1 4 9.9 11.8 3.0
Greg Dortch ARI WR 9 15 3.7 5.2 -1.5 71 9 11 4 6.8 3.9 1.7
Foster Moreau NO TE 13 13 3.7 4.1 -0.4 90 10 7 9 3.6 3.5 4.5
Ty Chandler MIN RB 11 11 3.7 7.3 -3.6 51 14 3 5 5.8 6.8 3.8
David Moore CAR WR 8 10 3.5 3.7 -0.2 94 7 7 4 4.3 2.5 4.6
Chris Moore 0 WR 8 14 3.5 2.9 0.6 119 13 6 3 2.4 4.3 3.8
Cordarrelle Patterson PIT RB 9 12 3.5 2.1 1.3 162 13 4 4 2.6 0.9 4.7
Olamide Zaccheaus WAS WR 18 11 3.5 2.0 1.5 175 17 6 6 2.4 2.4 5.1
Mecole Hardman Jr. KC WR 14 6 3.5 1.8 1.7 198 13 3 4 2.3 2.4 5.4
Tyquan Thornton KC WR 5 10 3.5 1.8 1.7 192 12 3 0 2.9 0.5
Dare Ogunbowale HOU RB 12 8 3.5 1.2 2.3 298 12 5 3 3.5 1.6 0.7
Adam Trautman DEN TE 16 13 3.4 2.8 0.6 123 14 6 9 1.9 3.7 4.7
Kavontae Turpin DAL WR 15 12 3.4 5.7 -2.3 59 10 7 10 4.4 5.0 4.1
Marvin Mims Jr. DEN WR 15 13 3.4 4.2 -0.8 81 13 6 9 3.9 2.5 4.6
Josh Oliver MIN TE 15 12 3.4 5.1 -1.7 67 17 3 7 3.8 6.3 4.0
Kyle Juszczyk SF RB 17 11 3.3 1.5 1.7 213 10 4 14 1.3 1.3 3.9
Ronnie Rivers LAR RB 6 5 3.3 1.3 1.9 243 7 2 2 3.0 0.6 2.2
Robbie Chosen 0 WR 7 4 3.2 0.4 2.9 861 4 3 4 2.2 0.5 3.5
Jamison Crowder WAS WR 2 12 3.2 2.6 0.6 122 5 9 0 5.4 1.2
Joshua Kelley TEN RB 6 12 3.2 3.6 -0.4 89 12 4 2 3.1 4.8 2.7
Miles Sanders CAR RB 5 21 3.2 5.8 -2.7 54 10 15 1 2.8 6.6 11.0
D.J. Montgomery IND WR 4 3 3.2 0.6 2.6 533 4 2 1 0.0 0.9 12.8
C.J. Beathard JAC QB 3 4 3.1 3.1 0.1 102 1 3 3 3.2 3.0 3.1
Emari Demercado ARI RB 9 16 3.0 5.8 -2.8 52 10 10 5 2.1 7.6 4.6
Jake Bobo SEA WR 15 13 3.0 2.0 1.0 149 14 8 6 2.3 1.9 4.2
Van Jefferson PIT WR 13 15 3.0 2.9 0.1 103 16 4 8 2.6 2.1 4.0
Durham Smythe MIA TE 15 12 3.0 2.9 0.1 103 11 6 10 3.5 3.3 2.2
Ke’Shawn Vaughn 0 RB 1 4 2.9 0.9 2.0 331 3 1 1 0.9 0.9 2.9
Trey Sermon IND RB 13 11 2.8 2.6 0.2 109 16 6 2 3.2 0.9 4.4
Brock Wright DET TE 20 5 2.8 0.9 1.9 313 11 2 12 2.4 1.3 2.7
Eric Gray NYG RB 5 11 2.8 1.7 1.1 165 7 7 2 0.0 2.4 8.1
Kylen Granson IND TE 14 13 2.8 3.9 -1.1 73 17 7 3 2.2 5.6 4.1
Nick Vannett TEN TE 4 15 2.8 1.4 1.4 198 10 7 2 1.6 2.4 0.0
Darrynton Evans CHI RB 3 3 2.8 7.2 -4.3 40 3 1 2 3.0 13.0 4.0
Brandon Powell MIN WR 16 10 2.8 3.4 -0.6 83 16 3 7 3.9 0.4 2.3
Josh Whyle TEN TE 6 16 2.7 2.4 0.4 116 11 9 2 1.2 3.2 6.1
Dalvin Cook DAL RB 6 11 2.7 2.6 0.1 103 10 5 2 3.1 1.9 2.1
Trenton Irwin CIN WR 10 13 2.7 3.1 -0.3 89 11 6 6 2.1 3.3 4.0
Drew Sample CIN TE 13 15 2.7 2.4 0.3 113 15 6 7 2.4 2.8 2.5
Adonai Mitchell IND WR 5 7 2.7 4.9 -2.3 54 9 3 0 3.3 6.1
Chase Edmonds TB RB 8 5 2.6 3.8 -1.2 67 6 2 5 2.7 6.8 2.0
Cedrick Wilson NO WR 12 12 2.6 5.7 -3.1 46 8 6 10 4.7 7.1 1.9
Cooper Rush DAL QB 8 6 2.6 3.6 -1.0 73 1 5 8 9.0 2.5 2.6
D’Ernest Johnson JAC RB 11 16 2.6 2.1 0.5 124 11 9 7 2.1 2.3 2.6
Mo Alie-Cox IND TE 14 15 2.5 2.6 -0.1 96 18 8 3 2.9 1.2 4.2
Lucas Krull DEN TE 8 7 2.5 3.3 -0.7 78 6 3 6 3.9 0.9 2.8
Luke Schoonmaker DAL TE 16 12 2.5 2.2 0.4 117 10 7 11 0.8 3.1 3.3
Donovan Peoples-Jones DET WR 9 6 2.5 1.0 1.5 245 9 2 4 0.9 2.2 4.0
Patrick Taylor SF RB 9 4 2.5 3.1 -0.6 82 7 1 5 2.9 2.2 2.4
Jamal Agnew PIT WR 6 5 2.5 5.1 -2.7 48 2 5 4 3.8 5.1 1.8
AJ Barner SEA TE 6 5 2.4 5.5 -3.1 43 4 4 3 2.6 5.2 3.6
Brandon Johnson PIT WR 6 10 2.4 5.9 -3.6 40 8 5 3 6.9 3.6 0.0
Kyle Philips 0 WR 4 5 2.4 4.3 -1.9 56 5 3 1 3.4 3.6 3.5
Ryan Miller TB WR 3 3 2.4 4.7 -2.3 52 4 0 2 3.5 3.7
Luke McCaffrey WAS WR 7 5 2.4 2.3 0.1 105 7 3 2 2.0 2.2 3.8
Christopher Brooks GB RB 9 2 2.4 4.2 -1.8 57 3 2 6 2.0 4.2 2.6
Cade Stover HOU TE 7 5 2.4 3.1 -0.7 77 8 2 2 3.5 0.0 1.8
River Cracraft MIA WR 10 3 2.4 0.9 1.5 260 5 1 7 4.2 0.0 0.8
John Metchie III HOU WR 15 10 2.4 3.0 -0.6 81 16 4 5 2.9 1.1 3.0
Stephen Sullivan CAR TE 2 9 2.4 2.2 0.2 107 5 6 0 2.9 1.6
D.J. Chark Jr. LAC WR 3 13 2.4 8.3 -6.0 28 6 9 1 8.7 7.0 0.0
Luke Farrell JAC TE 11 17 2.3 1.1 1.2 217 12 9 7 2.1 0.8 1.5
P.J. Walker 0 QB 4 2 2.3 5.4 -3.1 43 4 1 1 5.0 0.1 0.0
Ameer Abdullah LV RB 9 17 2.3 4.7 -2.4 49 13 10 3 2.0 6.3 4.2
Drew Ogletree IND TE 10 14 2.3 2.3 0.0 102 14 8 2 2.7 1.8 1.5
Will Mallory IND TE 9 10 2.3 2.4 -0.1 96 11 6 2 1.4 3.7 3.5
Derius Davis LAC WR 11 13 2.2 1.5 0.7 144 14 4 6 2.3 1.0 1.3
Deven Thompkins CAR WR 11 9 2.2 1.6 0.7 141 10 4 6 1.2 1.9 3.3
Brenton Strange JAC TE 11 14 2.2 3.2 -1.0 68 10 8 7 4.2 2.0 1.7
Kevin Harris NE RB 1 3 2.1 6.4 -4.3 33 2 2 0 5.5 5.2
Audric Estime DEN RB 4 4 2.1 2.9 -0.8 72 3 1 4 2.7 3.5 2.1
Brevyn Spann-Ford DAL TE 4 7 2.1 1.2 0.9 179 5 4 2 0.8 2.1 2.2
Grant Calcaterra PHI TE 17 7 2.1 1.6 0.5 128 11 4 9 2.2 1.9 1.6
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 0 RB 4 8 2.1 4.4 -2.4 46 6 5 1 4.8 2.5 2.3
Charlie Kolar BAL TE 20 6 2.1 1.4 0.6 144 13 0 13 2.4 1.4
Malik Heath GB WR 16 5 2.1 3.3 -1.3 62 12 1 8 2.1 5.9 2.3
Geoff Swaim CLE TE 4 18 2.0 0.7 1.3 275 10 10 2 0.9 1.0 1.5
Charlie Jones CIN WR 7 8 2.0 0.1 1.9 3943 8 3 4 0.5 0.3 2.3
Blake Whiteheart CLE TE 2 4 2.0 2.6 -0.6 76 4 2 0 3.6 0.0
Jalen Brooks DAL WR 11 6 2.0 2.3 -0.3 88 7 3 7 1.4 2.0 2.9
Jalen Reagor LAC WR 7 10 2.0 2.2 -0.3 89 11 3 3 2.1 2.0 2.1
Simi Fehoko LAC WR 7 5 2.0 2.0 0.0 100 5 1 6 2.8 2.7 1.3
Allen Robinson II DET WR 17 7 2.0 4.4 -2.5 45 13 5 6 2.4 4.6 1.8
Terrace Marshall Jr. LV WR 1 9 1.9 3.4 -1.5 55 3 7 0 1.3 4.1
Khadarel Hodge ATL WR 12 15 1.9 2.3 -0.4 83 15 8 4 3.1 1.3 0.4
Jordan Whittington LAR WR 3 5 1.9 6.5 -4.5 30 6 2 0 5.7 2.1
Johnny Mundt MIN TE 16 12 1.9 3.2 -1.3 59 18 3 7 1.3 8.9 2.5
Blake Corum LAR RB 4 4 1.9 2.5 -0.6 75 4 3 1 2.3 1.9 2.8
Deuce Vaughn DAL RB 7 4 1.9 2.4 -0.4 82 3 3 5 1.5 2.4 2.3
Daniel Bellinger NYG TE 8 20 1.9 2.1 -0.2 89 12 13 3 1.3 2.6 2.3
Xavier Gipson NYJ WR 10 16 1.8 3.2 -1.4 56 13 8 5 2.7 2.7 2.6
Craig Reynolds DET RB 18 5 1.8 1.0 0.8 176 9 2 12 0.2 1.8 2.6
J.J. Taylor HOU RB 1 3 1.8 1.5 0.3 117 2 2 0 0.9 2.3
Deonte Harty BAL WR 12 7 1.8 2.1 -0.3 86 13 0 6 2.1 1.4
Tylan Wallace BAL WR 16 5 1.8 0.8 1.0 225 12 0 9 2.7 0.0
Jordan Akins CLE TE 14 14 1.8 3.9 -2.1 47 15 8 5 2.2 4.3 2.4
Carson Steele KC RB 10 1 1.8 1.7 0.1 103 8 1 2 1.8 1.7 1.5
Darnell Washington PIT TE 17 11 1.8 2.2 -0.5 79 17 5 6 2.1 0.4 2.8
Nate Adkins DEN TE 14 8 1.7 0.5 1.3 381 10 4 8 0.7 0.5 2.4
Cole Turner WAS TE 4 8 1.7 2.0 -0.3 84 6 5 1 1.1 3.2 0.0
Keaontay Ingram KC RB 2 5 1.7 2.1 -0.5 77 4 2 1 0.8 4.0 3.1
Isaiah McKenzie 0 WR 7 6 1.7 1.1 0.6 156 7 4 2 1.6 1.1 1.5
Parris Campbell PHI WR 6 9 1.7 3.9 -2.2 43 6 7 2 1.7 5.0 0.0
Trent Sherfield MIN WR 20 8 1.7 1.6 0.1 106 18 1 9 1.4 8.0 1.5
Jeremy Ruckert NYJ TE 9 17 1.6 2.2 -0.5 75 14 8 4 1.5 2.3 3.2
Alec Ingold MIA RB 14 12 1.6 1.7 -0.1 93 12 6 8 2.5 1.8 0.3
Israel Abanikanda NYJ RB 3 3 1.6 3.8 -2.2 42 1 3 2 4.3 3.8 0.3
Connor Heyward PIT TE 17 11 1.6 2.3 -0.7 71 17 5 6 2.3 2.3 0.4
Hassan Haskins LAC RB 5 3 1.6 0.2 1.5 972 5 0 3 0.2 2.5
Ben Sinnott WAS TE 7 5 1.5 0.0 1.5 7 3 2 1.5 0.0 0.0
Pierre Strong Jr. CLE RB 11 12 1.5 4.0 -2.4 39 11 8 4 3.4 2.5 1.8
Greg Dulcich 0 TE 3 3 1.5 2.9 -1.4 53 4 1 1 3.0 1.3 0.0
Harrison Bryant LV TE 13 12 1.5 3.0 -1.5 50 11 9 5 0.9 3.6 2.8
Tyler Scott CHI WR 10 14 1.5 1.5 0.0 100 11 6 7 1.4 1.6 1.6
Keith Kirkwood BAL WR 6 7 1.5 0.8 0.6 174 6 3 4 0.0 2.0 2.2
MyCole Pruitt PIT TE 11 12 1.5 1.2 0.3 127 12 5 6 1.4 1.8 0.7
Hayden Hurst LAC TE 6 10 1.4 4.8 -3.4 29 5 7 4 2.0 5.4 2.1
Rakim Jarrett TB WR 5 9 1.4 2.3 -0.9 61 7 3 4 2.2 1.7 1.8
Scotty Miller PIT WR 13 13 1.4 2.0 -0.7 66 13 5 8 1.9 2.0 1.1
John Bates WAS TE 11 18 1.3 1.7 -0.3 79 15 11 3 1.8 1.5 0.6
Xavier Hutchinson HOU WR 14 12 1.3 1.4 -0.1 92 17 6 3 1.5 1.4 0.9
D.J. Turner LV WR 6 9 1.3 4.0 -2.6 34 5 7 3 5.0 2.7 0.0
Hunter Luepke DAL RB 16 11 1.3 1.3 0.0 98 10 6 11 1.9 0.6 1.2
Julius Chestnut TEN RB 3 5 1.2 1.4 -0.1 91 6 2 0 0.7 3.3
Andrew Beck 0 RB 11 7 1.2 2.8 -1.6 44 11 4 3 1.9 3.1 0.0
Robert Tonyan MIN TE 10 12 1.2 0.8 0.4 152 10 6 6 0.8 0.3 2.1
Quez Watkins PIT WR 5 4 1.2 7.3 -6.1 17 4 3 2 0.9 9.7 1.2
Dorian Thompson-Robinson CLE QB 6 5 1.2 3.4 -2.2 35 6 3 2 1.9 4.2 -0.2
Peyton Hendershot KC TE 8 4 1.1 1.2 -0.2 87 5 3 4 1.0 1.6 0.9
Ronnie Bell SF WR 14 9 1.1 2.5 -1.4 44 8 4 11 1.5 2.6 1.4
Matt Breida 0 RB 6 11 1.1 3.7 -2.6 29 7 8 2 1.5 4.6 -0.1
Marcedes Lewis CHI TE 11 17 1.1 0.1 1.0 1056 14 7 7 0.1 0.0 1.8
Collin Johnson CHI WR 2 3 1.1 0.0 1.1 2 1 2 0.0 0.0 1.1
JaMycal Hasty NE RB 3 9 1.1 2.5 -1.3 46 5 5 2 0.2 4.2 1.7
Patrick Ricard BAL RB 21 8 1.1 0.2 0.9 597 16 0 13 0.1 1.8
Johnny Wilson PHI WR 9 2 1.0 0.0 1.0 5 1 5 0.4 0.0 1.5
Julian Hill MIA TE 14 11 1.0 1.2 -0.2 84 9 6 10 0.9 1.1 1.2
DeAndre Carter CHI WR 9 15 1.0 1.1 -0.2 84 15 5 4 1.4 0.3 1.0
C.J. Uzomah PHI TE 6 8 1.0 1.7 -0.7 59 7 4 3 1.9 0.8 1.1
Raheem Blackshear CAR RB 5 11 1.0 0.9 0.1 112 8 7 1 1.0 1.0 0.0
Nick Mullens MIN QB 4 4 1.0 15.8 -14.9 6 5 2 1 7.5 14.9 0.0
Mitchell Wilcox NE TE 10 8 1.0 0.6 0.5 185 8 5 5 1.3 0.7 0.2
Mike Boone CAR RB 6 4 1.0 2.0 -1.0 49 6 2 2 1.4 2.8 0.2
Steven Sims Jr. HOU WR 4 3 0.9 0.0 0.9 5 1 1 0.7 0.0 0.0
Quintin Morris BUF TE 19 7 0.9 0.0 0.9 14 1 11 1.1 0.0 0.2
Will Shipley PHI RB 5 1 0.9 0.0 0.9 2 1 3 0.0 0.0 1.5
Davis Allen LAR TE 14 9 0.9 2.6 -1.7 33 11 5 7 2.1 1.7 0.6
Justyn Ross KC WR 10 2 0.9 1.4 -0.6 61 7 0 5 1.6 0.0
Ben Sims GB TE 17 10 0.9 0.3 0.6 272 15 4 8 0.3 0.0 1.8
Trayveon Williams CIN RB 10 9 0.8 0.8 0.0 104 9 5 5 1.1 0.7 0.4
Devin Duvernay JAC WR 9 8 0.8 0.2 0.6 422 9 2 6 0.3 0.5 1.0
Austin Trammell JAC WR 7 7 0.8 0.8 0.0 95 7 3 4 1.3 0.5 0.0
Ben Skowronek PIT WR 12 9 0.8 1.5 -0.7 55 12 3 6 0.8 2.9 0.7
Xavier Smith LAR WR 4 2 0.8 1.3 -0.6 58 5 0 1 1.1 0.0
Jalen Guyton 0 WR 2 6 0.8 3.9 -3.2 19 4 3 1 4.5 2.4 0.0
Mike White BUF QB 5 1 0.8 -2.0 2.8 -41 0 1 5 -2.0 0.8
Ainias Smith PHI WR 5 0 0.8 1 0 4 1.2 0.7
Jordan Mims NO RB 5 3 0.8 2.9 -2.1 27 3 1 4 2.4 3.8 0.4
Hunter Long LAR TE 7 7 0.8 0.5 0.3 158 8 3 3 0.8 0.0 0.9
Velus Jones Jr. JAC WR 7 7 0.7 1.1 -0.4 62 6 3 5 1.2 0.4 0.7
Michael Burton DEN RB 16 13 0.7 0.4 0.4 201 14 6 9 0.5 0.0 1.1
Ian Thomas CAR TE 2 15 0.7 0.9 -0.2 75 7 10 0 1.0 0.7
Jha’Quan Jackson TEN WR 2 6 0.7 0.0 0.7 4 4 0 0.3 0.0
Kenny Yeboah NYJ TE 4 4 0.6 3.6 -3.0 15 2 3 3 4.1 2.1 0.7
Khari Blasingame 0 RB 8 10 0.6 0.1 0.5 534 7 5 6 0.2 0.0 0.8
Payne Durham TB TE 11 12 0.6 0.8 -0.1 85 11 4 8 0.2 1.7 0.9
Laviska Shenault Jr. SEA WR 4 13 0.6 2.0 -1.4 28 6 10 1 0.6 2.4 1.2
Clayton Tune ARI QB 6 4 0.6 -0.2 0.8 -300 4 3 3 1.6 -0.3 -0.9
Malachi Corley NYJ WR 2 4 0.6 0.8 -0.2 75 3 2 1 1.1 0.6 -0.2
Jack Stoll MIA TE 17 7 0.5 0.5 0.0 98 13 4 7 0.3 0.9 0.7
Britain Covey PHI WR 8 4 0.5 3.7 -3.2 13 6 2 4 1.7 3.3 0.4
Mason Tipton NO WR 3 7 0.5 3.2 -2.7 17 4 4 2 1.2 4.4 0.8
Cody Thompson TB WR 4 3 0.5 0.0 0.5 3 1 3 0.0 0.0 0.7
Shane Zylstra DET TE 6 0 0.5 2 0 4 0.0 0.8
Miles Boykin SEA WR 9 7 0.5 0.0 0.5 10 5 1 0.3 0.0 1.6
Travis Homer CHI RB 2 4 0.5 0.2 0.4 333 3 2 1 0.5 0.0 0.0
Ko Kieft TB TE 14 13 0.5 0.0 0.5 12 5 10 0.0 0.0 0.7
Tip Reiman ARI TE 6 5 0.4 0.0 0.4 5 3 3 0.5 0.0 0.0
Samori Toure CHI WR 5 6 0.4 1.9 -1.5 23 7 2 2 1.0 2.3 1.1
Trishton Jackson MIN WR 7 1 0.4 0.0 0.4 5 0 3 0.6 0.0
Tucker Fisk LAC TE 4 5 0.4 0.7 -0.3 56 5 2 2 1.0 0.0 0.0
Chris Manhertz NYG TE 10 17 0.4 0.4 -0.1 85 14 9 4 0.8 0.0 0.0
Equanimeous St. Brown NO WR 4 5 0.4 2.0 -1.6 18 4 3 2 2.1 0.9 0.0
Tim Jones JAC WR 11 16 0.4 1.2 -0.8 34 11 9 7 0.8 1.6 0.1
Eric Saubert SF TE 10 9 0.4 1.2 -0.8 35 11 4 4 1.2 0.0 0.3
Josiah Deguara JAC TE 9 13 0.3 1.1 -0.8 29 12 5 5 0.6 1.8 0.3
Charlie Woerner ATL TE 18 9 0.3 0.5 -0.2 63 11 4 12 0.5 0.4 0.3
Scott Matlock LAC RB 7 4 0.3 0.4 -0.2 64 5 1 5 0.3 0.0 0.4
DeeJay Dallas ARI RB 7 6 0.3 1.2 -0.9 26 5 3 5 0.9 1.1 0.3
Jonathan Ward PIT RB 5 2 0.3 1.0 -0.7 26 3 1 3 0.3 1.1 0.4
James Mitchell DET TE 11 4 0.3 0.4 0.0 88 8 1 6 0.2 0.0 0.6
Davis Mills HOU QB 5 3 0.2 6.1 -5.9 3 3 3 2 0.3 6.1 0.0
Parker Washington JAC WR 6 14 0.2 4.3 -4.1 5 10 6 4 4.3 2.8 0.3
Adam Prentice NO RB 11 13 0.2 0.0 0.2 8 8 8 0.0 0.0 0.3
Eric Tomlinson LAC TE 5 3 0.2 0.6 -0.3 42 3 1 4 0.6 0.0 0.3
Ashton Dulin IND WR 5 7 0.2 2.6 -2.3 9 9 3 0 1.9 0.8
C.J. Ham MIN RB 16 12 0.2 0.7 -0.5 27 18 3 7 0.5 0.0 0.3
John FitzPatrick GB TE 5 4 0.2 0.6 -0.3 44 5 3 1 0.0 0.7 1.2
Stone Smartt LAC TE 10 14 0.2 2.6 -2.4 8 16 3 5 2.0 2.0 0.0
Sione Vaki DET RB 6 1 0.2 2.7 -2.5 9 3 0 4 0.9 0.4
Jalen Reeves-Maybin DET LB 1 2 0.1 0.6 -0.5 17 3 0 0 0.4
Reggie Gilliam BUF RB 17 7 0.1 0.0 0.1 14 1 9 0.0 0.0 0.1
Elijah Cooks JAC WR 4 6 0.0 1.1 -1.1 0 3 4 3 0.0 1.7 0.0
Jakob Johnson 0 RB 7 9 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0 11 3 2 0.2 0.0 0.0
Trevon Wesco 0 TE 6 9 0.0 0.3 -0.3 0 9 4 2 0.3 0.0 0.0
Kristian Wilkerson LV WR 1 3 0.0 3.3 -3.3 0 2 2 0 0.0 4.9
Teagan Quitoriano HOU TE 6 8 0.0 0.7 -0.7 0 7 3 4 0.5 0.7 0.0
Ross Dwelley ATL TE 14 7 0.0 0.5 -0.5 0 8 4 9 0.3 0.4 0.0
Jermaine Burton CIN WR 2 7 0.0 2.1 -2.1 0 7 1 1 1.4 5.1 0.0
Alex Bachman LV WR 1 4 0.0 1.5 -1.5 0 3 2 0 0.0 3.1
Chris Conley SF WR 9 8 0.0 1.4 -1.4 0 6 3 8 1.9 0.0 0.0
Jacob Cowing SF WR 4 2 0.0 3.5 -3.5 0 3 1 2 0.0 7.0 0.0
Mason Kinsey TEN WR 2 5 0.0 0.3 -0.3 0 2 3 2 0.8 0.0 0.0
Ryan Flournoy DAL WR 2 5 0.0 1.3 -1.3 0 3 3 1 0.8 1.4 0.0
Lawrence Cager 0 TE 3 6 0.0 2.3 -2.3 0 3 5 1 0.0 2.7 0.0
Jaheim Bell NE TE 2 6 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0 4 3 1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Jamari Thrash CLE WR 1 3 0.0 0.7 -0.7 0 2 2 0 0.0 1.1
Bryce Oliver TEN WR 2 2 0.0 4.3 -4.3 0 2 2 0 0.0 4.3
Zach Pascal ARI WR 9 16 0.0 0.4 -0.4 0 11 10 4 0.2 0.4 0.0
Jake Haener NO QB 3 3 -0.2 4.4 -4.6 -4 0 3 3 4.4 -0.2
Mitch Trubisky BUF QB 4 7 -0.2 6.7 -6.8 -2 2 5 4 9.3 5.6 -0.2
Dee Eskridge MIA WR 1 6 -0.5 1.1 -1.6 -45 4 3 0 0.3 1.7
Mike Strachan WAS WR 0 4 1.4 2 2 0 2.8 0.0
Easton Stick LAC QB 0 5 13.5 3 2 0 15.0 11.3
Tim Boyle NYG QB 0 5 3.6 2 3 0 3.8 3.5
  1. Dave Crews

    Dave Crews says:
    (link)

    My first sit had three catches for 66 yards on the final two drives in the last 6:00 to beat his projection.
    DeVonta Smith is trending toward not playing, so I will add one player that is not currently on his team’s injury report.

    START
    Player: Marvin Harrison Jr.
    Team: Arizona Cardinals
    RazzballNFL PPR Rank: WR 28
    Spread: +1 at Seattle Seahawks
    Win/Loss: +5.2, W/L Index 161
    Home/Road: +6.9, H/R Index 192

    The Cardinals have lost five straight to the Seahawks, and have not topped 10 points in the games in Seattle. Why should this game be different?
    If I look at more recent history, the Cards have won five of six including two on the road. The only hiccup is a blowout loss in Green Bay. And the Seahawks haven’t won at home since September.
    MHJ has had an up-and-down rookie season, which is not atypical. H/R favors him at home so far, but he did have his second best PPR game in Miami in the Cards last road game. For my purposes, I’d like this game to be high-scoring and close. At 47.5 this is the fourth-highest over/under on the slate and the Cards are favored by a point; the books favor the scenario I like.
    The Seahawks are the third-highest in PPR PPG allowed to wide receivers at 38.9. MHJ lines up outside 76% of the time and in the slot 24% of the time: Seattle allows 21.6 PPR PPG outside and 17.3 in the slot. That looks like a good game for Trey McBride, and I expect Harrison to get the lion’s share of the out wide points over Michael Wilson.
    I think our projection of 11.22 PPR points is low.

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