The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 3
September 25, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
| Shadow Coverage Tracker | |
|---|---|
| WR Finish | Total |
| 1 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 4+ | 6 |
| Grand Total | 14 |
The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 2
September 18, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy | 4 Commentsby: Bobby LaMarco
The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 2
Team: Chicago Bears
Opponent: New York Giants
WR1: Allen Robinson
Shadow Coverage Match-up: James Bradberry
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
| Allen Robinson vs. Shadow Coverage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | Rec | Yards | TDs | PPG |
| All other opponents | 22 | 5.5 | 72.4 | 0.4 | 12.4 |
| Vs. Shadow Coverage | 7 | 4.6 | 44.1 | 0.3 | 8.4 |
| Vs. James Bradberry | N/A | ||||
When reviewing Allen Robinson’s career stats vs. shadow coverage he had 2 big games and 5 duds. His big weeks came vs. notable corners Marshon Lattimore and Darius Slay where he turned 12 targets into 80 yards plus yards and a score in both. The interesting thing about the Saints game is Lattimore shut down Robinson when he covered him on 67% of his snaps, but Robinson was able to dominate in the slot which helped him finish with a strong day. The remaining 5 games Robinson struggled, failing to get to 50 yards or score in any of them.
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 1
September 10, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Shadow Coverage Report | 4 Commentsby: Bobby LaMarco
The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 1
Team: Minnesota Vikings
Opponent: Green Bay Packers
WR1: Adam Thielen
Shadow Coverage Match-up: Jaire Alexander
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
| Adam Thielen vs. Shadow Coverage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | Rec | Yards | TDs | PPG |
|
All Other Opponents
|
23 | 5.5 | 69 | 0.5 | 12.8 |
|
Vs. Shadow Coverage
|
5 | 5.8 | 76.8 | 0.6 | 14.2 |
|
Vs. Jaire Alexander
|
1 | 8 | 125 | 1 | 22.5 |
Season long Recommendation – Start
After a lost 2019 Adam Thielen looks to bounce back quick vs. division rival Green Bay and tier 2 shadow corner Jaire Alexander. Last season the Packers used Jaire Alexander to shadow Stefon Diggs, but with Diggs now gone Thielen will most likely draw coverage from the Packers top corner. The last time Thielen squared off directly vs. Alexander was in Week 12 of 2018. Thielen got the best of Alexander torching the Packers for 8-125-1. A big key for Thielen is he plays a lot of his snaps in the slot, and even vs. notable shadow corners like Marshon Lattimore he has shown he can win in these match-ups. This is why I got a Thielen that sitting him is a bad idea. Did you see what I did there…no…ok moving on.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Cleveland Browns
September 3, 2020 | Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
Beckham’s down 2019 seems to be due to many factors. This includes injury, switching teams and poor coaching. Many of these things seem to be remedied as a healthy off-season, new coaching staff and continuity with Baker should help him improve in 2020. Last season while dealing with all those factors Odell had a tough schedule that included games vs. the NFC west and AFC east divisions that have many notable corners. Now Beckham has the best shadow coverage match-up schedule of any WR1 in 2020. Does this mean Beckham is primed to return to the top 12? Read why he is a lock to improve on his borderline low end WR2 finish from his 2019 campaign.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Seattle Seahawks
August 30, 2020 | Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
Last season D.K. Metcalf’s rookie success started catching the eye of defensive coordinators as teams began to target him with their top corners over the final weeks of 2019. Weeks 14-16 Metcalf faced tier 1 shadow corners Jalen Ramsey (6-78), James Bradberry (2-36-1) and Patrick Peterson (0-0). Can Metcalf improve enough in his second season to overcome these tough match-ups. His early season success vs. shadow coverage will dictate whether he can be trusted vs. a tough mid-season corner-back schedule in 2020.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Miami Dolphins
August 21, 2020 | Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
2020 Shadow Coverage Report
Miami Dolphins
Division: AFC EAST
WR1: Devante Parker
Number of Potential Shadow Coverage Match-ups: 8
Historical Production
| DeVante Parker vs. Shadow Coverage in 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | PPG |
|
Vs. Shadow Coverage
|
4 | 13.6 |
|
All other opponents
|
12 | 13.0 |
DeVante Parker was nothing short of amazing in 2019 as his career year came at a fantastic time aka his contract year. Now after a big pay day Parker needs to show that 2019 was no fluke. Last season down the stretch Parker beat up on some notable corners including Tre’Davious White (7-135), William Jackson (5-111) and Defensive Player of the Year Stephon Gilmore (8-137). Granted during that time Parker was the only show in town as he averaged 12 targets in those games which is an unsustainable 16 game pace of 192. All in all, it was still impressive none the less.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Detroit Lions
August 17, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
When doing the analysis on Golladay his stats vs. shadow coverage was astonishing. Not just because he had a higher PPG in the 7 contest when he faced shadow coverage, but it was who he did it against that was most impressive. Golladay has succeeded in games vs. notable tier 1 shadow coverage corners including Chris Harris, James Bradberry and Tre’Davious White. In 5 of the 7 games he had at least 14 points in .5 PPR with only 1 terrible game that was under 8 points.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Carolina Panthers
August 11, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy | 1 Commentby: Bobby LaMarco
In 2019 D.J. Moore somehow avoided multiple match-ups vs. shadow corners. In week 3 the Panthers faced the Arizona Cardinals while Patrick Peterson was on suspension. In Week 5 the Panthers played against the Jaguars with no Jalen Ramsey. In week 12 the Saints were without Marshon Lattimore and in Week 17 Lattimore played limited snaps as the Saints had their playoff seed sealed up. Even young cornerback Carlton Davis was yet to be used in shadow coverage as the Panthers faced the Buccaneers both times early in 2019.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
August 8, 2020 | Fantasy Football Strategy | 2 Commentsby: Bobby LaMarco
Mike Evans has 8 shadow corner match-ups heading into this season with 7 of them coming against tier 1 cornerbacks. This includes a daunting early season schedule that includes 3 shadow coverage match-ups which could lead Evans to a less desirable start for your fantasy team. That being said things do open up for Evans after week 4 including a very favorable fantasy playoff schedule. All this being said, does this make Evans a fade in drafts, and more of a mid-season trade target? Find out our thoughts 2020 Shadow Coverage Report – Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: San Francisco 49ers
August 1, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football |by: Bobby LaMarco
2020 Shadow Coverage Report – San Francisco 49ers
Team: San Francisco 49ers
Division: NFC West
WR1: Deebo Samuel
Number of Potential Shadow Coverage Match-ups: 11
Historical Production
Deebo Samuel has yet to draw shadow coverage in his career as last season some teams elected to take away Emmanuel Sanders. The luxury of having a great play caller like Kyle Shanahan is he gives Samuel multiple ways to produce. Shanahan does this by using Samuel in the run game which helps raise his floor even in tougher match-ups. Samuel was utilized in the slot as well seeing 25% of his routes on the inside and roughly 35% of his targets from that position. These factors will be notable when evaluating Samuel throughout the season.
2020 Schedule
Samuel’s schedule is nothing short of a gauntlet. Already behind the eight-ball dealing with an off-season foot injury Samuel is returning to the toughest shadow cornerback schedule of any wide receiver in 2020. This season he won’t have another wide receiver like Sanders to draw attention away, so Samuel will be the player that defensive coordinators target for shadow coverage. Heading into 2020 Samuel has 9 tier 1 cornerback match-ups and 11 total for the season. In his own division he will see match-ups vs. top shadow cornerbacks Jalen Ramsey and Patrick Peterson. The NFC West will be facing off vs. AFC and NFC East that hosts some top shadow cornerbacks including Bryon Jones (Dolphins), Stephon Gilmore (Patriots), Tre’Davious White (Bills) and James Bradberry (Giants). If this wasn’t tough enough the other NFC teams they face are the Saints (Marshon Lattimore) and the Packers (Jaire Alexander).
Please, blog, may I have some more? 2020 Shadow Coverage Report: Buffalo Bills
July 30, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football |by: Bobby LaMarco
Team: Buffalo Bills
Division: AFC EAST
WR1: Stefon Diggs
Number of Potential Shadow Coverage Match-ups: 8
Historical Production
Stefon Diggs vs Shadow Coverage 2018-2019
| Stefon Diggs vs. Shadow Coverage | ||
|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | PPG |
| Vs. Shadow Coverage | 6 | 11 |
| All other opponents | 24 | 13.4 |
*Point per game based on receiving stats only
Diggs has seen some mixed results vs. shadow corners. Top cornerbacks Stephon Gilmore, Patrick Peterson and Darius Slay held him under 50 yards over the past two seasons. However, Diggs did have one dominate performance vs. Chris Harris and the Denver Broncos. In five of six games he was held under the 13.4 points per game average he has in all other match-ups while failing to reach double digit fantasy points in 50% of those games in .5 PPR. Overall Diggs only produced one WR1 week in the games he saw shadow coverage from a tier 1 cornerback.
Please, blog, may I have some more?What if I told you that in week 5 of 2019 you could have avoided playing Mike Evans when he fell flat on his face vs. the Saints for zero points! Now it’s very rare anyone will tell you to sit your studs, but in some cases, there are other factors that should be considered.
Please, blog, may I have some more?