Divisional Playoffs - Green Bay Packers v San Franciso 49ers

In 2012, safety Donte Whitner said Colin Kaepernick’s nickname was Jafar from AladdinWorks for me. But Jafar was the villain. And Kaepernick is a hero. He led the 49ers to the Super Bowl in his first year as the starter. Ron Jaworski said, “I truly believe Colin Kaepernick could be one of the greatest quarterbacks ever.” Then things started to change. Defenses figured out the read-option. As his weaknesses were exposed, the criticism mounted. Trent Dilfer in 2013 said, “While Kaepernick remains an incredible player and an incredible athlete, his development as a passer has ‘plateaued’ this season, and he hasn’t made enough progress in his second season as a starter.” The hero was slowly turning into the villain.

2014 was when everything hit the proverbial fan. The team finished 8-8 and much of the blame was placed on Kaepernick. He had five games with fewer than 200 yards passing, eight games under 60% completion percentage, three games with more interceptions than touchdowns, only four games with two or more touchdowns, and only one rushing touchdown.

In the offseason, Coach Jim Harbaugh went to the University of Michigan, offensive coordinator Greg Norman went to the Buffalo Bills, and defensive coordinator Vic Fangio went to the Chicago Bears. Frank Gore, Michael Crabtree, Mike Iupati, Patrick Willis, Stevie Johnson, Chris Borland, Jonathan Martin, Justin Smith, Anthony Davis, and Aldon Smith all became former 49ers.

Not much was expected from Kaepernick and the 49ers heading into 2015, but they were able to open the season with a win. The unprepared and inept Minnesota Vikings offense allowed the defense to be dominant. As a result, Kaepernick was not asked to do much: 17/26, 165 yards, with 7 rushes for 41 yards. In Week 2, he had a great fantasy day (33/46, 335 yards, 2 touchdowns, with 9 rushes for 51 yards), but most of that came in garbage time as the Steelers hammered the 49ers 43-18.

It is the Week 3 and 4 games that we should be worried about. Against the Cardinals, Kaepernick went 9/19, 67 yards, 4 interceptions, with 7 rushes for 46 yards and 1 rushing touchdown. Yuck. Cardinals’ safety Tyrann Mathieu said, “We knew going into this game that the focus for them was to run the football. Their passing game has just simplified so much, it was easy for us to anticipate routes, get some good breaks on the ball today.”

Against the Packers, he went 13/25, 160 yards, 1 interception, with 10 rushes for 57 yards. Defensive coordinator Dom Capers employed a similar strategy to the Cardinals. Good thing, because Kaepernick had torched his defenses in the past. He kept Kaepernick in the pocket as much as possible and forced him to beat them through the air. The return of Jafar…

A WHOLE NEW WORLD?

In Week 5, Kaepernick finished as the #9 quarterback in ESPN leagues (23/35, 262 yards, 2 touchdowns, with 3 rushes for 23 yards). In Week 6, he finished as the #7 quarterback (16/27, 340 yards, 2 touchdowns, with 3 rushes for 10 yards). Is our hero back?

Based on this throw…

He may be taking owners to a new world for sure.

Let’s delve a little deeper into what’s been going on each week.

  1. The 49ers defense dominated the Vikings. Kaepernick was not needed to do much. Vikings rank 14th in passing yards per game allowed.
  2. The Steelers dominated the game and allowed garbage time production. Steelers rank 26th in passing yards per game allowed.
  3. The Cardinals rank first in interceptions (11), fifth in receiving yards allowed per game (231.2), and ninth in passing yards per game allowed.
  4. The Packers rank second in sacks (26), third in interceptions (8), and 11th in passing yards per game allowed.
  5. The Giants rank 31st in receiving yards allowed per game (314.2), tied for last in sacks (7), and 31st in passing yards per game allowed.
  6. The Ravens rank 29th in receiving yards allowed per game (305), are tied for 25th in interceptions (3), and rank 27th in passing yards per game allowed.

Here is the remaining schedule for the 49ers (rank for passing yards per game allowed in parentheses):

CONCLUSION

Don’t get gassed by the last two games from Kaepernick. Has he made improvements? Sure, but the fundamental issues still persist: accuracy and deciphering defenses. He’s a phenomenal athlete that has produced for fantasy in the past, despite his shortcomings. With that said, he is still going to be an inconsistent performer going forward.

VERDICT

 

 

You can follow Stan on Twitter.

  1. Scott says:
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    So basically, he’s a streamer?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Scott: Pretty much. How many quarterbacks are not in this environment? Crazy year for the position.

  2. Barker says:
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    12 team ppr 6 pt passing tds

    Aaron rodgers on bye so i need to drop someone for replacement

    Drop theo riddick snead or knile davis

    My rbs ingram dion lewis duke johnson knile riddick
    My wrs calvin martavis moncreif hurns snead

    Thinking snead because i am probably not going to use him at all ROS and doubly so after he cost me my match last week also i like riddick and knile as possible rb starters soonish

    And which qb to pick up off waivers please rank two to three because i am not putting in a waiver claim and i may miss your first option

    Flacco @ ari teddy @ det smith vs pit mccown @ stl fitzpatrick @NE foles vs cle cousins vs TB
    Hoyer @ mia cassel @ nyg l jones @ KC

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Barker: I prefer Snead over Knile Davis. Just my personal preference. I just don’t think Knile amounts to much, but I understand your thinking. As for qb’s, I’d go Teddy and Cousins.

  3. Dom B says:
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    1.) Would you add Julius Thomas over Richard Rodgers.

    2.) Also who has better ROS value Julius Thomas or Jason Witten

    3.) I want to keep broncos d and they are on bye and i also want to pick up Julius Thomas so is Eli Manning droppable, I have Phillip Rivers.

    4.) with so many of my players on bye can you give me my best lineup for this week

    My Roster
    QB Phillip Rivers
    RB Leveon Bell
    RB Latavius Murray
    WR Julio Jones
    WR AJ Green
    TE Jason Witten
    Flex Keenan Allen
    K Steven Hausaka
    Def Broncos
    Bench
    QB Eli Manning
    RB Jonathan Stewart
    WR Steve Smith
    WR JOHN BROWN
    RB GIO BERNARD
    TE Richard Rodgers

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Dom B: 1) I would add JT over RR. 2) I think JT has better ROS value than Witten, but it’s close. 3) You have to keep Broncos D. As for dropping Manning, it depends on the landscape of your league. If there are plenty of QBs on the wire, then drop Manning. If there are plenty of TEs, then drop one of your TEs. Since you want JT, I’d only drop Manning if your leaguemates are not QB hoarders 4) QB – Rivers RB – Murray and Bell WR – Julio and Brown TE – Witten FLEX – Smith K – Haushka

  4. Dom B says:
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    Also would you trade AJ Green and Latavius Murray for Eddie Lacy

    My roster
    QB PHILLIP RIVERS
    RB LEVEON BELL
    RB LATAVIUS MURRAY
    WR JULIO JONES
    WR AJ GREEN
    TE JASON WITTEN
    FLEX KEENAN ALLEN
    BENCH
    QB ELI MANNING
    WR STEVE SMITH
    RB GIO BERNARD
    WR JOHN BROWN
    TE RICHARD RODGERS
    RB JONATHAN STEWART

    • Wilsonian says:
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      @Dom B: god no! Lacy is looking like he may be taking a back seat to Starks. Please stick with Green and Murray.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Dom B: No. Giving up way too much

  5. Barker says:
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    10 team 1/2 ppr superflex so only start two rbs three wrs

    I have both green bay and mcmanus on bye — i know i cant keep both and know i shouldnt keep both but mcmanus is the top K scorer and i dont want to drop him

    Can i drop sammy watkins for a K ? Or just do the thing and roll with a new kicker and hope mcmanus clears waivers next week ? Watkins is really my only drop atm

    My wrs cooks a rob garcon watkins dez
    My rbs murray gore blount mathews hillman michael

    Is it safe to drop mathews or should i wait til the week 8 bye for that ?

    Players on wire lafell diggs starks cruz

    should i just do watkins for one of these guys through waiver or hold sammy and not get cute with kicker and def manipulation

    • Barker says:
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      @Barker: additionally which def would you grab

      Minn at det pitt at kc mia vs hou car vs phi was vs tb atl at tenn

      • Son

        Son says:
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        @Barker: I’d rank them: MIA, CAR, ATL, WAS, MIN, PIT

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Barker: I’d pick up Diggs for sure. I also like LaFell. I’d drop Watkins for both. As for K/DEF, I’d just drop them.

  6. Beans says:
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    I have 2 questions if you don’t mind. 1- pick 3 PPR Cooks Snead Martavis and Rishard? 2 is in order to get Gurley would you be willing to part with one of these rb’s pair with one of these WR’s? It’s PPr if that matters. Lamar Miller, Hillman, C-Mike Cooks Snead Rishard? So basically 1 of these Rb’s and 1 WR’s for Gurley? Thanks for the time

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Beans: 1) Martavis, Snead, and Rishard. I’d choose Cooks but I don’t like having 2 from the same team. 2) I’d probably give up CMike and Cooks.
      Anytime Beans. If you are on Twitter, contact me anytime @Stan_Son or you can email me anytime at [email protected].

  7. Mustache mob says:
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    Howdy man!

    .5 ppr would you look to trade my buck Allen to the forsett owner for michael Floyd or is that not enough for Floyd?

    Next deal my Buck Allen + Terrence Williams to different owners for either Andre Ellington or Chris Johnson?

    My rbs are:, hill, gore, Lamar miller, Doug Martin, charcandrick west, buck Allen & Christine michael.

    My WR’s: demaryius, alshon, cooks, john brown, Terrence Williams, Lafell & Andre Johnson

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Mustache mob: Never know until you try. Hard for me to comment without knowing league dynamics. In a vacuum, I’d say it’s probably not enough. I’d rather keep Allen than have cj or ellington.

  8. Jerry says:
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    Hey, SON! Do you like Tavon Austin or Marvin Jones ros? Thanks!

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Jerry: Marvin

  9. Lou says:
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    Greg Norman is an Australian professional golfer. Greg ROMAN is the former 49ers OC currently the Buffalo Bills OC.
    I believe Mike Holmgren or Mike Shanahan two of the best NFL QB gurus would have helped Kaepernick to correct his flawed mechanics. With the exception of Joe Staley and Alex Boone the rest of the 49ers OL is mediocre at best.

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @Lou: You are correct. My mistake. I missed the Norman/Roman one. I think too much emphasis is on the flawed mechanics. Would they help? Of course. I think Homgren and Shanahan would’ve helped by putting Kaep in a scheme that utilizes his strengths. At the end of the day, though, the quarterback position is all about deciphering defenses. Kaep is lacking in that area.

  10. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
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    Rank them for rest of season: CJ Anderson, Ameer Abdullah, Matt Jones, C-Mike. Aka which of these chumps do I move on from first?

    • Son

      Son says:
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      @RotoLance: Lol. I feel your pain Lance. I own all those guys myself. I’d rank them: 1) C-Mike 2) Abdullah 3) jones 4) CJ.

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
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        @Son: Interesting. I actually don’t own Matt Jones, but I was considering dropping Abdullah for him, I would have probably ranked Abdullah last out of that group, but obviously other than maybe C-Mike it’s tight bunch.

        I have a feeling Karlos Williams could be dropped in my league. How would he rank amongst that mess?

        • RotoLance

          RotoLance says:
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          @RotoLance: Also I’m more just thinking of upside because I have a decent group of starters in Doug Martin, Lat Murray and R Hillman, of which I’ll probably only be starting 2 of most weeks because I can often fill my flex spot with Amari Cooper instead of one of those RBs.

          • Son

            Son says:
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            @RotoLance: I agree with your strategy. I think it’s always prudent to accumulate talent regardless of situation. You never know when injuries strike or a player may breakout. Also, provides more assets to package more compelling trades

        • Son

          Son says:
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          @RotoLance: It’s real close for me between ameer, jones, and cj. I slotted them all in each spot before settling how I did. Wouldn’t argue at all if u had it a different way. I would put karlos at the top of that list.

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