(NOTE: THIS POST WAS RELEASED EARLY THIS WEEK ON OUR PATREON. IT’S $10/MONTH OR $13/MONTH WITH AN EXTRA WEEKLY PODCAST.)

I haven’t slept in 72 hours in anticipation of NFL football &*Fihfd—sorry, dozed off for a second there. Just need to make it a few more hours to watch Darren Waller cover the Raven’s defense in hot fudge and eat them for week one dessert. Speaking of dessert, after you treat one of your leaguemates to a week one entree of butt whooping, why not go back for a dessert course of consensual trade intercourse? Rookie Najee Harris had a disappointing NFL debut with only 45 yards on 16 carries with 1 catch for 4 yards in week one. But on the plus side, no other Steeler running back touched the ball. Any way you cut it, that’s a big vote of confidence for a rookie runner. I also expect the Bills run defense will prove to be near the top of the league and the Steeler offense will improve in the coming weeks, in spite of their subpar offensive line. So dangle a couple of buy-low offers out there for Harris and see if you can snag a potential RB1 from an owner over-reacting to one week. Anyway, here’s some more players to buy or sell this week in fantasy football:

BUY

Aaron Jones – It’s difficult to do much with 5 carries and 2 targets. The entire Packers’ team looked like they were out late Saturday night, drinking Old Milwaukee and shoveling blocks of cheddar into their pie holes. As a Bears fan, I hope this is the Packers team we see all season. As a human of slightly below-average intelligence, I know this isn’t the Packers team we’ll see all season.

Derrick Henry – If the Henry owner in your league is panicking about his 17 carries for 58 yards and 3 catches for 19 yards then take advantage. Chandler “Sack Lunch” Jones and the Cardinals’ defense looked unstoppable in week one. Much better days are ahead for The Predator.

Saquon Barkley – We knew Saquon would be limited in week one since the Giants announced it, but maybe the owner in your league wasn’t following the news?

Mark Ingram – It’s hard not to recommend buying a guy who just handled 26 carries, even though I really don’t believe this workload continues. He only averaged 3.3 yards per carry, plus David Johnson and Philip Lindsay could each take the reigns on any given week. Still, Ingram is available in tons of leagues and needs to be reluctantly added.

Javonte Williams Melvin Gordon had a huge 70-yard touchdown run to ice the game, but make no mistake, rookie Javonte Williams is the real deal. The kid handled 14 carries to Gordon’s 11 carries, a huge vote of confidence from the coaching staff. I’m expecting big things from Williams in the coming weeks.

Trey Sermon – The rookie didn’t suit up for week 1, but Raheem Mostert did what Raheem Mostert does and got hurt. Elijah Mitchell had a big game but the 9ers spent a 3rd rounder on Sermon for a reason, and now the door is wide open for the kid. I have no issues with adding Mitchell if he’s cheap, but I have too little faith and there’s too much competition in San Fran for me to advise spending up on someone who could be a one-hit-wonder.

Larry Rountree – Everyone, including our own Rudy Gamble, was telling me Justin Jackson is the Chargers’ backup to own. I protested, and the rookie Rountree’s 8 carries compared to Jackson’s 1 carry have me victory lapping about something that doesn’t deserve a victory lap. But still, the Rountree training camp reports were sparkling and I expect he contributes more each week, even if Ekeler is healthy.

Tony Jones – The Saints backup took 11 carries for 55 yards in the opener—nothing eye-popping but he’s the new Latavius Murray in this offense which has real value. And if Kamara were to go down, then you’re looking at league-winning potential with TJ. Make sure he’s owned in your leagues.

Julio Jones – Julio hauled in 3 catches for 29 yards on 6 targets in his Titans debut. Remember, the Cardinals defense is really, really good. And even legends like Julio can take some time to acclimate to new offenses. Poke your paw through that buy window and see if there’s anything in there.

Kenny Golladay – Kenny G didn’t exactly sing out of tune in week one with his 4 catches for 64 yards. But I’m listing him here anyway because it’s great to see him healthy again and I noticed he was being severely disrespected in my late fantasy drafts. There’s a chance the owner in your league got him very cheap so it’s worth investigating whether that’s a buy window or hold wall; Golladay still has WR1 upside. 

Courtland Sutton – I’ve just returned from an all-night vigil for Jerry Jeudy’s ankle. Now it’s time to move forward. Sutton caught 1 of 3 targets for 14 yards in his return to action and was clearly second fiddle to Jeudy. With the Judge on the bench—or off the bench?—Sutton should now see a heavy dose of targets moving forward. See if his owner is aware of what they’ve fallen into.

Marquez Callaway – I’m not giving up on Marquez the Man after just one game. The lack of targets (2) is a little concerning for a guy I was really high on due to opportunity, but there wasn’t a need for Jameis to air it out against a walking dead Packers team in this one. I still think its go time for Callaway in week two and while it’s important not to overreact to one week, we also need to stay grounded in reality if the targets don’t come in week 2.

Tim Patrick & K.J. Hamler – Both these Broncos receivers are also worth a roster spot in the wake of the Jeudy tragedy. I’m not sure which of the two benefits most since they were both already factors prior to the injury. Patrick looked really good and Hamler dropped a huge touchdown—I guess you give the edge to the guy who looked really good, although Hamler is much more exciting. I’m a sucker for excitement. 

Michael Pittman –  Zach Pascal caught two touchdowns this week, but we can expect that flukiness to come to an abrupt end. Pittman caught 3 of 4 targets for 29 yards and I’m confident the talented second-year man will break out sooner rather than later.

Quintez Cephus – Saw a team-high among receivers with seven targets and he caught a touchdown. If you need an upside option on your bench, I think Cephus might be in for a really nice season in Motown.

Aaron Rodgers – Was still dreaming of Jeopardy to start week one. It might not happen in week two, but I’d be shocked if the future Hall of Famer doesn’t snap out of his daze in the next few weeks. Or maybe he’ll decide Jeopardy is the better career path.

Juwan Johnson – I recommended him in my Sunday morning gameday post as a sneaky start and Juwan obliged with two touchdown catches. He appears to have an early connection with Winston and is already worth a look for the tight end needy in deeper leagues.

Pharaoh Brown – This might surprise you, but our own Paul Blake hyped up this unknown Texan’s tight end two weeks ago in his first fantasy football deep leagues post. Brown is the starting TE in Houston and caught 4 of 5 targets for 67 yards in week one. He’s also a mountain of a man and Tyrod Taylor likes to target tight ends. Keep the big man on your radar.

 

SELL

Tyler Lockett – Here’s the section where I get to double down on players I disliked this preseason. Yes, Lockett just hauled in 4 catches for 100 yards and 2 touchdowns—a huge game. But he also had TWO games with three touchdowns in the Seahawks’ first six games last year and then disappeared for the following nine weeks. I won’t soon forget his inconsistency, since he was on my team. Shop Lockett around and see if you can sell him now as a low-end WR1.

Joe Mixon – HATE, HATE, HATE! It’s true, I’ve always been a Mixon hater. Admittedly, he looked sharp in week one, so I’m not saying to sell Joe for a bag of Brady’s deflated balls and loaves of Subway bread. Mixon is a solid RB2 in my book and there’s nothing wrong with that, but if you can get an RB1 return coming off a nice first week, then give it strong consideration. 

Melvin Gordon – As you may have gathered from the Javonte Williams blurb above, I’m concerned about Gordon’s workload moving forward. See if you can sell him high this week and cash in on his one big run.

Ezekiel Elliott – Zeke will be a popular buy-low target after a very disappointing week one against Tampa’s stout run defense. I’m running in the opposite direction. I’ll say it again for those in the back: Elliott has a ton of career carries on the odometer and isn’t the same player he once was. People will call me crazy, as usual, but I legitimately think Tony Pollard is the better running back at this stage in their careers. That’s not to say Pollard will be the more valuable fantasy player this season, but I’d be shocked if he doesn’t eat into Zeke’s workload in a significant way.

 

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prognation
prognation
10 months ago

Hey there Donkey,
My starting RB’s are Derrick Henry, Antonio Gibson, and CEH.
Bench RB is Michael Carter.
Rank these RB Bench players/stash for me that are FA’s in my league
Carter, Ingram, Rountree, Gainwell, Sermon.

Thanks.

Chet
Chet
10 months ago

Thanks, DT! Is it safe to say, you like Pollard over Tony Jones for ROS?

Chet
Chet
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

DT,

Would you drop Rhamandre Stevenson for either Tony Jones or Pollard? Should I continue to hold Stevenson?

Thanks!

Chet
Chet
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

Thanks! Much appreciated!

William Hung
William Hung
10 months ago

My team is lacking RB depth with Gus the Bus going down and James Robinson looking like a mistake early round pick. Here is my team in full (12tm .5 PPR):

QB- Stafford
RB- CMC, Robinson
WR- Thielen, Justin Jefferson
TE- Goedert
Flex- Deebo
Bench:
RB- Conner, Tony Jones Jr., Hubbard, Stevenson
WR- AB, Waddle
IR- Engram, Michael Thomas

Obvious drop is Stevenson, and if I’m prioritizing RBs for BYE week/injury insurance, am I going Carlos Hyde first and then someone like Ingram/Rountree/Gainwell?

What's a Drexl?
What's a Drexl?
10 months ago

yep, akins not getting the HOU TE reps, actually had to start him in one deep league. waivering p.brown along with numerous others, and thank jebus fuller is back next week.

What's a Drexl?
What's a Drexl?
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

i probably at most can only get 1-2 of these:
p.brown, mcnichols, hasty (probably him see my RB’s below), j.paterson, s.perine, dallas, guyton, dola,

and have this (20 team redraft with medium amount of IDP’s 2 LB, 1 S, 1 CB, 1 DE, 1 DT, won’t mention those below):
QB (it costs a lot when you draft a top end guy in leagues like this, i probably should’ve just waited for burrow’s crazy (to me) cheaper price, here murray’s 54th vs burrow’s 97th, 1 QB): k.murray (this year i have a LOT of k.murray and never had any in past years), d.jones

RB (2): mostert (10 IR’s), ekeler (i have even MORE ekler/swift than murray, so far so great with goff esp on swift), moss, gallman, j.jefferson (DET), penny, d.evans

so yeah in huge trouble if moss doesn’t play next week (singletary’s fumbling and/or injuries is how moss got a chance in the first place 2 years ago, 2 more singletary fumbles yesterday), can’t in 20 teamers have your RB 3 get inactive’d while your RB 2 goes out for however long when you ALSO paid up for k.murray + fant (probably should NOT have done both, if just not fant could’ve had one of these: dillon, drake, hines, singletary (esp smart for moss owners to have him now eh)

WR: aj brown, fuller, van jefferson, gab davis (yay week 1 win from these last 2, probably not many more upcoming though), j.washington, c-sam, n.harry,

TE: fant, akins (attempting replacing with brown or njoku, one of the JAX guys or dissly)

What's a Drexl?
What's a Drexl?
10 months ago

that is 6 pt TD throws league, so kmurray got a boost possibly compared to burrow, but only maybe. as soon as i noticed in draft burrow went THAT much lower i knew that wasn’t good for me.herbert and l-jax had just gone and my overall draft board (which isn’t tailored JUST for 20 teamers, mind you) indicated murray as a top 3 option at the time.

Cram It
Cram It
10 months ago

I’m a sad Mostert owner….there was a report that Shanahan said Sermon was not one of the top 3 RBs out of camp. I don’t know, maybe he didn’t like what he saw in spring training. But you’re in on him over Elijah Mitchell, yeah? I don’t really know jack about either.

Cram It
Cram It
10 months ago
Reply to  Cram It

Spring Training is for baseball, so you know where my head is still.

William Hung
William Hung
10 months ago
Reply to  Cram It

Might have better luck with a scratch off lotto ticket – Hasty is still there as well and he did well in his spot starts last season. So I’d imagine that any given week it could be any one of Hasty, Sermon and Mitchell getting that big game

Cram It
Cram It
10 months ago
Reply to  William Hung

At least I’d hit any given week. Lotto ticket is a certain loser!

Cram It
Cram It
10 months ago
Reply to  William Hung

I don’t think the 49ers would draft 2 RBs if they liked Hasty to be a lead back.

William Hung
William Hung
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

Yeah for sure – but then logically, you’d like SF would’ve made the 6th rd drafted RB inactive instead of the 3rd rd RB. Regardless, with the Mostert news of an 8 week injury – Mitchell is def an add just to see how things shake out.

Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo
Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

mitchell ain’t gonna be cheap in FAAB runs. nor waiver priorities. i don’t think i’m going crazy but do have sermon in one spot with FAAB and i don’t know yet how much.

Cram It
Cram It
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

Fair enough. Thanks!

Achilles
Achilles
10 months ago

1 PPR 0.2 PPC

QB: Herbert
RB: Zeke, Harris
WR: Tyreek, Lockett, Waddle
TE: Goedert
Flex: J White
Flex: R Moore
DST: CAR

Bench:
Mattison, Pollard, Tony Jones
Pittman, B Edwards
Higbee

Waivers:
Justin Fields — Rountree, J Patterson, Ingram — T Patrick/Hamler/C Kirk/ Pascal/ C Patterson — J Thompson/ Everett

Who shall you advise adding / dropping? How much FAAB please?

Achilles
Achilles
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

Thanks!

Shall I offer 1) Mattison to Cook owner for FAAB? OR
2) Cook+Higbee for Pitts OR
3) Mattison+Goedert for Pitts OR
4) Mattison straight for Gainwell?

How do you rank these trades…

Montezuma's Revenge ... right now
Montezuma's Revenge ... right now
10 months ago
Reply to  Achilles

i’d not even do 2 or 3. let those that believed since pitts is the best draft graded TE and highest drafted TE ignore the fact that most TE’s (unless they are overall great TE’s like kelce or hockenson (i.e. blocking mostly meant there) don’t do well (at the very least from snap %’s) early in careers (also if ATL’s offense looks like that at all for ROS you don’t want to add pieces of it). mattison to cook for FAAB and maybe the gainwell one aren’t terrible if you need immediate RB points, i was going to say mattison is worth more if cook got hurt but gainwell might be worth similar if sanders (who has a pretty good injury history himself) went out.

– wait, you have 3 TE’s here (cook in 2 is j.cook?) or did you mess that up.

– further anti-short term pitts note, hurst got a decent amount of snaps still, and probably continues too (esp if their o-line is that bad and continues down that path)

Montezuma's Revenge ... right now
Montezuma's Revenge ... right now
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

right, unless he means he has all 3 TEs cook (LAC), higbee, goedert (or i guess is talking about different leagues, but that sounds less likely)

Achilles
Achilles
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

Sorry I meant to say Mattison (not Cook) in #2
Shall I drop Edwards for Rountree or Kirk / Patrick tonight ? Hamler , MVS there too.

danari420
danari420
10 months ago

Would you trade Mixon for Najee straight up?

Achilles
Achilles
10 months ago

12 Team Super Flex 1 PPR

QB: Kyler, Tua
RB: CEH, Javonte
WR: Tyreek, Amari, Laviska
TE: Kittle
Flex: Terrace Marshall

Bench: Teddy B – Dillon/S Michel/RoJo/Tony Jones – Jeudy

Waivers:
Heinicke — E Sanders/T Patrick/ C Kirk/Z Pascal/Van Jefferson — Mithcell/Gainwell/Ingram/C Patt/Hyde –J Thompson (WR/TE)

Who do you advise adding or dropping and how much FAAB please?

Achilles
Achilles
10 months ago
Reply to  Donkey Teeth

No IR Slot. Juedy could be back in 4-6 weeks and prefer keeping him. Any one else outside of MIchel I can drop?

You wouldn’t suggest going after Mitchell? My RB2 and Flex need some help.

Russowl
Russowl
10 months ago

Who would be your top two running back stashes and top two receiver stashes out of this group? Standard League

Bell, roundtree, hyde, Mattison, j j Taylor ,gainwell

Hardman, Mooney, Patrick, hamler, Moore (Ari), Paris campbell, Nelson Agholor,Henry ruggs, shepherd, Jalen reagor, Emmanuel sanders, Marshall Jr

Russowl
Russowl
10 months ago
Reply to  Russowl

Mostert out 8 weeks so add Hasty to the group our league doesn’t have daily waivers only waivers after players dropped so I missed out on Mitchell already

toolshed
toolshed
10 months ago

Do you think Mike williams is poised to break out this year of he stays healthy? I like the targets he saw and also the fact he ran shorter routes which are higher %. He has the size and could be a force if he gets the volume. I

Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo
Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo
10 months ago
Reply to  toolshed

people forget dude was a top 1 or 2 WR in his draft class and he ain’t old yet. took a regime change, new QB (and good) and now we got 2nd year of that, might be a LARGE move up value for WR’s this year. for those of us having held him for 4-5 or whatever years it would be great to finally see it.

danari420
danari420
10 months ago

What can we expect out of Aiyuk going forward? Will he be in Shanahan’s doghouse all season or will he provide his expected value starting in Week 2?

Kyle
Kyle
10 months ago

Slide Ty’son Williams into my RB2 slot over Josh Jacobs even if Jacobs plays with the illness?

Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo
Joey Jo Jo Jr Shabadoo
10 months ago
Reply to  Kyle

i’d probably do that, only you or the drake + jacobs owner even has that good of an option (and the drake guy should be worried he’s not sick enough to miss much time of game)

Eric
Eric
10 months ago

Hey Donkey,

14-team, 2-QB league (QB/WR/RB/TE flex)

Have a bit of an interesting (annoying) scenario after week 1. Fitz went down as my second QB and now I can either use some of my free agent dollars to get a replacement or use that flex spot for someone else. I guess the question is whether the other position players in that flex would be better on average than a subpar QB.

Current available QBs:
Taylor
Wentz
Zach Wilson
Mac Jones
Heinicke
Lance

Bench players that I could instead use for that slot:
Jamarr Chase
Callaway
Zack Moss
Goedert

Chase seems like the obvious option for now, especially since I have Burrow as my main QB. but even if I choose him for that slot, do I still try to throw a couple dollars at one of those QBs to stash as an option (e.g., Trey Lance is interesting for later in the year). Keep in mind it’s week 1/2 in a deep league, so I don’t think I’m gonna have much competition with acquiring any of these QBs.

Let me know what you think.

After my worst fantasy baseball season ever this past year (largely due to injuries), I was looking forward to football. Thanks, Fitz!!

Thanks!

Nightpandas
Nightpandas
10 months ago

Hey Donkey

16 team std

Is Henderson a fair return for Lockett?

For An Armenianless Vacation Come to Akron
For An Armenianless Vacation Come to Akron
10 months ago
Reply to  Nightpandas

i’d say seems fair for RB and WR needy. without looking i’d think ADP fair too (and these 2 shouldn’t have changed much from that stuff)

JC
JC
10 months ago

Mitchell, Ingram, Latavius, Hyde or Ty’Son?

i don't want to brag but i have irritable bowel syndrome
i don't want to brag but i have irritable bowel syndrome
10 months ago

14 teamer with gesicki and firkser (start 1), firkser the drop, but which order of: irish JAX guy (8 targets on a team that damn str will have to throw all the time (sorry j.rob owners)), p.brown (we know we like him), also have engram in IR slot, but of course we don’t know if/when he’s back (could be week 2), so obv not spending much FAAB here.

Woolly the Mammoth
Woolly the Mammoth
10 months ago

Any thoughts on D’Andre Swift?

The Harrow
The Harrow
10 months ago
JC
JC
10 months ago

Would you trade your Mel Gordon and OBJ for Golladay and Gaskin?

Chris
Chris
10 months ago

Hey man!

The guy owning aaron jones is trying to trade him away in our league.
His WRs are: DK, Claypool, Mike Williams.

My RBs are: Ekeler, Najee and CEH.
My WRs are: Cooper, Diontae, Davis, Deebo and Shenault.

What would be a fair offer to him? I was thinking something with CEH and a WE swap?

Thank you man! Appreciate it!

Crime dog
Crime dog
10 months ago

sad Jeudy owner in a 14 team 2 flex where losing him hurts a lot more than a 12 team 1 flex!

$1000 FAAB my top targets to replace are aghalor, Tim Patrick and KJ Hamler, how much you throwing at each?

Crimedog
Crimedog
10 months ago
Reply to  Crime dog

addionallly thinking of dropping phillip lindsey for Gainwell or Roundtree. If you agree, how much additional you bidding for one of these?

Drekkan
Drekkan
10 months ago

Heya,

I’m in a 14-team half-point PPR league with standard position layout (1/2/2/1/Flex). My starting RBs are Chubb/Edwards-Helair and my starting WRs are Kupp and Godwin.

I’m in a bit of a quandry on the flex and potential pickups (I’m currently 2nd on the wire – which does *not* reset throughout the season).

My remaining RBs are: Ronald Jones II, Tony Pollard, and Tony Jones Jr.
My remaining WRs are: Courtland Sutton, Corey Davis, and Russell Gage.

I’m currently on the fence about whether it’s worth dropping a Tony Jones Jr. or Pollard to try and pick up Elijah Mitchell. I’d ordinarily drop Gage as I believe in Davis & Sutton far more, but our league has a 5RB max so to add Mitchell I have to drop an RB.

I know Mitchell is the new hotness, and both Jones & Pollard are handcuffs, but either of those guys would immediately be an RB1 if the starter goes down in a way I’m not sure Mitchell will be.

Barker
Barker
10 months ago

10 team superflex

I give kelce
i get davante adams

I have rodgers at my QB spot and i am using # 1 waiver on gronk

My Wr – K allen Diontae johnson golladay marquise brown IR michael thomas
My Te – kelce goedert gronk

Hyun-Jin & Juice
Hyun-Jin & Juice
10 months ago

12 team 0.5ppr

Would you trade Lockett for Julio and Ty’Son Williams?

Hyun-Jin & Juice
Hyun-Jin & Juice
10 months ago

I lost Gus bus. Here’s my squad

QB- Murray
RB- Swift
RB- Robinson
WR- Keenan
WR- Lockett
WR- Sutton
TE- Kelce
Flex- Marvin Jones
BN – Hines, James White, Beasley

Eddie
Eddie
10 months ago

would you drop david johnson or aj dillon for your boy tony jones?