Pre-season is wrapping up soon and most of us have completed our rookie drafts. As we sit around and rosterba—- err, “admiring” what we have built, it’s easy to get carried away by pre-season hype. This is a volatile time of year to swap assets with other teams. We have seen countless rookies flash in pre-season only to bust when facing the 1st string, while others have zero preseason impact and break out all over the place.  Here are a handful of rookies that are worth the hype. 

Deebo Samuel

Splash plays. All it takes for a player to begin building hype in the pre-season is a single splash play. Deebo Samuel had one of these plays on Monday night. He was targeted 4 times in week 1 and had a rushing attempt and in week 2 Deebo took his lone touch 45 yards, almost scoring. Despite Kittle being the clear #1 in this offense, the 49’ers are in desperate need of a WR to step up. It’s too early to give up on Donte Pettis, but Deebo Samuel will compete for WR1 duties in San Francisco and eventually surpass him. The Razzball Depth charts have Samuel projected for a 50% snap-share in 2019. He should have plenty of opportunities in his rookie year. Pass on Pettis in the 7th round and take the extreme value in Deebo, he has the ability to supplant both Goodwin and Pettis. 

JJ Arcega-Whiteside

Thursday night’s game against the Ravens  put JJ squarely on everyone’s radar. With a 2nd round rookie draft ADP and a start-up/season long ADP of FREE, I’m buying the hype. Plus it helps that this guy’s name is awesome. I don’t know if it’s pronounced are-SEGA-whiteside but I hope it is. Sega is battling Agholor for his spot in this offense and he has the talent to take it. Whiteside has taken some reps with the 1st team in camp. Look for him to eat into Agholor’s 60% snap share as early as this season. JJ is a great investment for the future. Nelson Agholor isn’t going to get it done, and Alshon Jeffery is approaching his cliff year. For season long I’d take more of a wait and see, but be ready to hit the waivers if JJ’s snap % increases.

Miles Boykin

Miles is another rookie WR that will have an immediate impact on his team. With Willie Snead and Marquise Brown leading the pack, the Ravens were in desperate need of a start-able receiver for Lamar Jackson to throw to. (Yes, Lamar Jackson can throw.) They seem to have found just that with Boykin. Boykin’s pro day measurables are off the charts. He is a freak athlete at 6’ 4” 220. Rudy’s tools have him projected for a 55% snap share but look for this to increase. In an offense that is thin at WR, Boykin will be able to capitalize. Boykin is slipping into the 4th round in rookie drafts but should be selected in the 3rd. 

 

Which rookies are you targeting in 2019? Drop them in the comments and be sure to give Rudy’s Tools a one week free trial. They are excellent for projecting rookie opportunities! 

  1. Joey Bag O' Donuts says:
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    Definitely in on Samuel. Boykin? Meh. Only because Lamar Jackson is throwing the ball to him. A healthy Garropalo could be good with Samuel. Sign me up for a last round dart.

    • The Scrant Dog

      The Scrant Dog says:
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      Don’t be so quick to discount Jackson’s arm! He hadn’t taken any reps with the first string before jumping in last year. Having an entire training camp to work on his timing, I think we are in for a great season from him.

      • The Harrow says:
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        this is only good reason i’ve seen said about why anybody might ever rank l-jax higher than j.allen, which apparently everybody has done. cause it sure ain’t from what he looked like throwing last year. he looked like a less skilled mike vick. certainly possible the mid season thrown in was why he looked that bad.

        • The Scrant Dog

          The Scrant Dog says:
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          Absolutely, and look what he did with that opportunity.

          J allen is borderline undraftable for me, maybe the last QB I’d be willing to draft off the board in 1 QB leagues.

          • The Harrow says:
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            not disagreeing with that for 12 teamers, but if that’s true and if we look at what l-jax looked like as a thrower last year, AND if we believe he’ll run less (which is actually a guarantee based on how much he ran last year) i’d say that for l-jax as well, unless we REALLY believe he’ll just be better this year. j.allen could also be better this year and he actually can throw (deep for sure) and we saw how much he ran last year too. not saying it’s unbelievable l-jax will be much better, but still seems odd to me that everybody actually is ranking one of these ahead of the other. sure looks like group think on these.

            • The Scrant Dog

              The Scrant Dog says:
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              I think what tips the scales for me is the Ravens O-line, but you make good points.

              • The Harrow says:
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                the o-line part is certainly true.

  2. Nick says:
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    Hi Doggy,

    my WR draft went : in PPR league standard- no keepers/dynasty
    pick 1 DVAdams
    pick2 Juju SS
    pick 7 dede Westbrook
    pick 15 Courtland Sutton

    end of draft for bye weeks or sleepers : picked up
    David Moore who just went down
    Keesean Johnson ARI

    i was looking at Jakobi Meyers, Jalen Hurd, Higgins
    now Jaron Brown who should be the starter after Metcalf and Moore OUT
    also CHARK to backup Westbrook (love the name and number#17) but concusion
    now your saying Boykin, for an immediate impact
    (Samuel is long gone with 17% ownership)

    please pick one : Meyers NE/Hurd SF/Higgins CLE/J.Brown SEA/BOYKIN BAL
    keep Keesean?

    • The Scrant Dog

      The Scrant Dog says:
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      This is between Keesan and Boykin imo.
      There are a ton of options in Arizona and the offense is appealing.
      I’m still leaning Boykin though, he should have a better opportunity than Keesean

    • The Harrow says:
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      guessing aj brown also long gone here then. but if boykin isn’t gone he might not be.

  3. Paul Zone says:
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    I’m in a 10 team keeper idp league with the first pick. We can keep 8 players. Who would take at #1?

    Jacobs
    Kerryon
    Montgomery
    Carson

    My keepers on offense:
    Watson
    McCaffrey
    Cook
    Adams
    JuJu
    Kittle

    • The Scrant Dog

      The Scrant Dog says:
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      nice team, Kerryon

  4. otisP says:
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    10 team keeper, 1/2 point PPR, 2 QB league – we can keep 7 players. I am down to my last keeper so who would you choose from TY Hilton, Allen Robinson, and Derek Carr? From a QB perspective I already planning to keep Baker and Mitch so not thinking it is worth keeping Carr over the other two WR choices and am actually leaning ARob given his upside and the hit to TY’s value after the Luck retirement. Thoughts?

    • The Scrant Dog

      The Scrant Dog says:
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      You’re all set at QB.
      I’d still hang onto Hilton, his value just took a huge hit but he’s still a top 20 guy.

  5. The Harrow says:
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    the same 2 QB 12 team half PPR dynasty. have gotten haskins at 1.10 and j.gordon at 2.10 in the 3 round slow draft. now with:
    QB rosen, haskins, rodgers, mahomes
    RB (2): kamara, ingram, ekeler, michel, gus the bus, burkhead
    WR (3) k.allen, gordon, edelman, boyd, thielen, watkins, m.lee, crowder
    TE(1): ertz, doyle
    2 flexes (R/W/T)
    K (1): DAL kicker
    team D (1): none yet
    IDP flexes (4): b.martinez, j.adams, d.jones (all top 10 types)
    IR (2): t.smith (LB JAX, taking a year off, he’s dropped when i need the space)

    j.gordon still in IR slot as he was puttable there when i drafted him. now need to drop 3 to draft my last pick and later pick up a D and last IDP. with the luck news
    1. is this now m.lee/doyle/ then one of burkhead or gus the bus. j.hill just got drafted. clearly i do NOT need WR at all now (i might even drop crowder too for backup TE)

    2. so my best draft option is:

    RB: d.harris, cj anderson, ty mont. obviously if i draft d.harris it gets weird, do i drop burkhead and hope burkhead loses the value here while hopefully gus the bus has ingram handcuff value or assume gus the bus loses value to j.hill and i’m best off with 3 NE RB’s? or i could just drop both and grab another TE after (or now in) draft. be nicer if it was clearer which of burkhead/gus the bus is to drop, but it’s complicated by owning ingram + michel.

    TE: fant (still out there, if deeper league he wouldn’t be, is going off in 1st round in some dynasty 16 teamers), andrews, irv smith, lacosse, goederrt (this one might be smart, PHI isn’t off till week 10 and obviously he’d have insane value if ertz got hurt)

  6. The Harrow says:
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    the same 2 QB 12 team half PPR dynasty. have gotten haskins at 1.10 and j.gordon at 2.10 in the 3 round slow draft. now with:
    QB rosen, haskins, rodgers, mahomes
    RB (2): kamara, ingram, ekeler, michel, gus the bus, burkhead
    WR (3) k.allen, gordon, edelman, boyd, thielen, watkins, m.lee, crowder
    TE(1): ertz, doyle
    2 flexes (R/W/T)
    K (1): DAL kicker
    team D (1): none yet
    IDP flexes (4): b.martinez, j.adams, d.jones (all top 10 types)
    IR (2): t.smith (LB JAX, taking a year off, he’s dropped when i need the space)

    j.gordon still in IR slot as he was puttable there when i drafted him. now need to drop 3 to draft my last pick and later pick up a D and last IDP. with the luck news
    1. is this now m.lee/doyle/ then one of burkhead or gus the bus. j.hill just got drafted. clearly i do NOT need WR at all now (i might even drop crowder too for backup TE)

    2. so my best draft option is:

    RB: d.harris, cj anderson, ty mont. obviously if i draft d.harris it gets weird, do i drop burkhead and hope burkhead loses the value here while hopefully gus the bus has ingram handcuff value or assume gus the bus loses value to j.hill and i’m best off with 3 NE RB’s? or i could just drop both and grab another TE after (or now in) draft. be nicer if it was clearer which of burkhead/gus the bus is to drop, but it’s complicated by owning ingram + michel.

    TE: fant (still out there, if deeper league he wouldn’t be, is going off in 1st round in some dynasty 16 teamers), andrews, irv smith, lacosse, goederrt (this one might be smart, PHI isn’t off till week 10 and obviously he’d have insane value if ertz got hurt)

    jsdlkfdfjdkjdjd

    • The Harrow says:
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      oops, it’s a snake here so i got haskins at 1.10 and j.gordon at 2.3, now we’re almost finished at 2.9

      • The Harrow says:
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        gaaaa! brain farts…. at 3.9 now

        • The Scrant Dog

          The Scrant Dog says:
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          You 100% need a TE for Depth here.
          Andrew/Goedurt/Irv Smith/Fant (in that order)
          You can never have enough RB depth but you def need to add to TE first.

  7. Dsalazar says:
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    Im in the first year of a keeper league. Im drafting 9th out of 10 and Im definitely interested at grabbing Melvin Gordon for the future seasons since he is going later than usual. Would he fall to the fourth round or do you think it I would have to use the 3rd pick?

    • The Scrant Dog

      The Scrant Dog says:
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      You may have Zeke slip to you at 9, I’m also seeing DJ slip to 9.
      I’d be perfectly comfortable taking Gordon in the 3rd, especially in keeper.
      If you draft strong, come week 6ish when Gordon comes back you are going to be in excellent shape. I don’t think he’d slip all the way to the 4th, that’s too far

    • The Harrow says:
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      i’d take melgor before the 3rd if can be kept forever. still do zeke/DJ first if that’s even possible.

  8. Dsalazar says:
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    Im in a 10 team keeper league in its first year. I am drafting 9th out of 10. Would it be worth it to grab Melvin Gordon in the 3rd or 4th so that I can keep him moving forward for a lower pick?

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