I know what you’re thinking… The last week?  The last LSD of the season?  But unfortunately, it is the last of the Last Second Decisions, as I am officially retiring from fantasy football after this season.  It’s been an absolutely incredible ride the past three years fielding the last minute questions, three years of Last Second Decisions, helping out with Team Previews, RCLs, a couple Daily Recaps, everything that makes Razzball be Razzball.  Good news is Sky is gonna keep Razzball Football the best in the biz heading into next year, while I focus everything on Razzball Basketball to bring you the hoops hardware.  Or the hoops scissors.  As in cutting down the net.  Don’t run with them!  Again, it couldn’t have been a happier ride, and if you have any Fantasy NBA teams, be sure to keep up with us on basketball through the rest of the NBA season!

Looking back to last week’s picks, and man, Rashard Mendenhall with his best game on the year!  And by far at that… I hope I got at least one person to buy in!  Jordan Todman and Delaine Walker were huge wins as well.  Unfortunately it was catastrophic busts for Bryce Brown given the Eagles crapping the bed and Da’Rick Rogers getting nice targets but a bad game.  For my benchers, Garret Graham ended up being ruled out (lame!) and Victor Cruz got hurt giving me two right, but in the worst way.  Then horrendous calls with Zac Stacy having a good one, Pierre Garcon loving his Cousins, and Reggie Bush being able to play and be very effective.  Extremely clear cut 5-5.  So here’s to my last one, hoping for a big winner with who I like in week 16 and their % started in ESPN and Yahoo, respectively (NOTE – these are not always recommendations for 1-for-1 swaps, just guys I like who are understarted and guys I hate overstarted):

POSSIBLE STARTERS

Dennis Johnson (5.4%, 8%)  With Ben Tate getting thrown on IR for having baby back ribs, it sets up a non-Full House DJ for a big matchup against the Broncos coming into town.  Of course Denver will crush the Texans here, but you can run on Denver and with no one healthy in that backfield, check down passes will be coming as well.  Huge PPR RB2 or Flex this week if you have injury issues in your championship.

Kirk Cousins (4.2%, 13%)  I know what you’re thinking… Wait didn’t he open with this in the lead paragraph?!  No no, as in, I know what you’re thinking on Cousins… You’re gettin’ too cute JB.  Listen, I couldn’t hear that enough in high school, but right now, I’m grittin’ down to business and when you have a QB going against a historically bad defense, I don’t think you can just ignore it.  The Cowboys D is just preposterously bad, and I think Cousins has a big game, even to be considered in QB1 leagues.  Trust in the Cuz.

Fred Jackson (44.5%, 48%)  People are giving up on FJax and I’m not sure why… The Dolphins aren’t a great D and I know FredJack hasn’t been the RB he was early in the year, but C.J. Spiller hasn’t been anything all year either, and in a cold rainy day in Buffalo, I think FJax had a big finale here.  Longest sentence ever?  Maybe!

Riley Cooper (24.0%, 43%)  It’s been a little choppy since his big breakout games, and I know there’s the “Eagles might bench people” fear, but I think Cooper gets a TD in this game and the Eagles win it.  Of course, they’ll definitely be going balls to the wall should the Cowboys fall to Washington, but I think they play hard either way.  Would be a big win and big confidence booster.  Even though it looks like it’ll be rainy, the temperature should be fine for a Coop Scoop.

Rod Streater (3.0%, 12%)  You know, for as far down the totem pole you may feel Streater is, he’s actually been at 3+ catches and 45 or more yards in 9 of his last 10 games.  That kind of consistency when you’re finding a deep replacement is tough to come by, and going at San Diego is the right kind of matchup you like to see while it gets all Winter Lager on us.  I think he’s a solid deep league play of WR3/Flex in a pinch.

SON OF A BENCH

Larry Fitzgerald (82.7%, 76%)  As of late Saturday night, Fitz is a game-time decision, but I don’t think your decision has to wait that long.  You’re benching.  Seattle D, at home, is preposterously good.  As in, avoid at all costs.

Matt Ryan (51.6%, 46%)  While this one is a bit of a cop out, I don’t care!  I wanna get as many right as I can, and Ryan heading to the last game in Candlestick just spells terror to me.  I want nothing to do with him, and would be shocked if any title contenders are actually looking his way.

Adrian Peterson (78.0%, 67%)  I know, I know, you’re like, “JB, how could I not start an active AP?!”  Well, going at Cincy in a very meaningless game can deter anyone, and it deters me.  Hate the matchup, hate where we are in the season, hate the foot injury.  I’d try to avoid.

Roddy White (66.0%, 56%)  Same reason as Ryan above.  SF is gonna kill in this one.  And while White is started in way too many leagues, I’m guessing a lot of that is dead teams that got steamrolled due to his injury… Even if you did survive this long with White, no way I’d play him here.

Jordy Nelson (56.8%, 82%)  Listen, I love Nelson and he was a big call for me heaing into the year.  But when Aaron Rodgers went crack – and by that in his collarbone not in the pipe – along with his designation of out this week, I’d look for other WR plays.  I love Nelson as a player, but only 1 TD in the past 7 weeks and only 3 productive games (10+ points in PPR) in the past 7, I don’t see the Nelson optimism.  Matt Flynn is not the way to win.  Assess other ideas.

If you have any last second decisions, shoot some comments below or tweet me @jbgilpin – and remember I’m going to be a little slower getting to them but I’ll get to everything well before kickoff!   Good luck in your finals, and again, it’s been an awesome three years and hope to see you over on Hoops if you’re a fantasy basketball player!

  1. Adam says:
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    Been following all season and appreciate all the insight, going for the 3 peat today and trying to do it the way I’ve made it this far which is gut feelings and matchups. Today I’m on the verge of benching Cam for Cutler, crazy? too risky? Also my two flex spots I’m going to go with Todman if MJD is out and Crabtree over guys like Fitz, Rainey, Hartline and Cordarrelle. Anything I should be weary of?

    • matt says:
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      @Adam: I wouldn’t bench Cam for Cutler. Especially in a downpour, Cutler throws too many picks. If it wasn’t going to be pouring rain id maybe consider it, but not with the forcast. (I am playing Cam today)

      • Adam says:
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        @matt: I appreciate the advice.. I think I will go with Cam, I live in Philly area and weather isn’t looking to promising. Just that Cutler matchup looks so juicy!

        • matt says:
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          @Adam: I just ride the stud who gets me to the championship. Good luck today. I hope Cam goes off!!!! :-) ” also sidenote, IM A BEARS FAN!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Adam: I like Cam too. Agree with Crabtree play, but with MJD playing, no Todman love from me haha

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        @JB Gilpin: bench both todman and MJD.

  2. Night pandas says:
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    Will miss this column…..

    Last decisions of the year: who ya like at rb2 and flex of these yahoos:

    Stacy, Todman, Vereen, T Y, ( leaning first two )

    Also Your panthers or the fish today at D?

    (.5 ppr)

    • Night pandas says:
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      @Night pandas: DeAngelo on the mix as well

      • matt says:
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        @Night pandas: I like vereen, stacy

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Night pandas: Thanks man! I like Vereen over Todman with MJD active. Then def Stacy. I’d stick with my Panthers, go Carolina!

  3. Aaron says:
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    championship game and I need help. (non ppr)
    who would you start?

    Foles or Romo (pick 1)

    Edelman, Kendall Wright, Jordy Nelson (pick 2)

    Thanks!

    • matt says:
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      @Aaron: I like foles, WR Edelman, then (flip a coin) lol

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Aaron: Romo for me, then Edelman and Wright

  4. Blake says:
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    PPR League

    Cousins or tannehil? Leaning towards cousins

    Can start 2 RB and 3 WR’s – No flex

    WR – Pick 3
    J nelson
    Andre Johnson
    Keenan Allen
    TY Hilton
    Brian Hartline

    Leaning toward A Johnson and K Allen but with my 3rd? I would think Nelson because Hilton is hurt?
    RB – Pick 2
    Jamall Charles
    Zac Stacy
    Steven Jackson
    B rainey
    Andre Brown

    Leaning towards chalres (of course) and stacy but Jackson might have a big game?

    TE
    Pitta
    D Walker

    Seems like Pitta has the better matchup but walker will get more targets?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Blake: Def Cousins, love him. Agree AJ Allen Jordy. Stacy Charles. Stacy much better to me. I’d go Walker too

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @Blake: Very close… Think I stick with Cousins

  5. Barker says:
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    Fantasy superbowl — been reading all year — great article and great advice

    I have a couple of coinflips that i could use some assistance on

    Lynch vs ari or mathews vs oak

    Amendola @ bal or colston @ car or crabtree vs atl

    Olsen vs NO or delanie walker @ jax

    Sf vs atl or cle @ nyj or det vs nyg

    Once again thank you and merry christmas and happy new year
    Ohh yea and good luck with your championship games if you are involved in any

    • matt says:
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      @Barker: im never sitting Marshon, You’d deseve to lose if you did. You can’t play both? RB2 or Flex?

      • Barker says:
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        @matt: its a 2 qb league one is a qb flex tho u play mathews over foles or alex smith?

        • matt says:
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          @Barker: negative im not playing a rb over a qb if that’s possible, weird league btw :-) good luck

      • matt says:
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        @matt: Haha…unless it was jamal charles then id consider it!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Barker: Thanks man! Sticking with Lynch. I’d stick with Dola in offense w/o Gronk. Olsen at TE. I’d go SF D. Thanks so much, you have a great holiday as well thanks for reading!

  6. Steve Stevenson says:
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    Need a WR2 replacement for Fitz. Opponent is stacked and favored, so I’m going for ceiling, 0.5 ppr: Streater @ SD, Marvin Jones v MIN, Randle @ DET or Caldwell @ HOU? Streater’s the most consistently good, Randle probaby the most talented, Jones has that one amazing game on his resume and TDs in 2 straight, Caldwell has Peyton gunning for the record (as does my opponent), and all have good matchups.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Steve Stevenson: I think Randle indoors with no Cruz has the most upside, in a vacuum I like Streater

  7. Toby says:
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    Thanks for all the last minute help this season. You guys at Razzball helped my team climb from 1-5 to the championship game.

    I have one big dilemma this week and need to know who I should start at Flex:

    Bobby Rainey
    Dennis Johnson
    Rashard Mendenhall
    Cordarelle Patterson
    James Jones

    Thanks for the help!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Toby: Thank you for reading! I actually like Johnson the best. Usually would like Rainey but bad matchup and Mendenhall even worse matchup wise. Bring home the hardware!

  8. Jay says:
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    Hey JB,

    Couple LSD’s for me today (standard scoring):

    Start 2 – Marvin Jones, Andre Caldwell, Greg Jennings, Jarrett Boykin?

    Start 1 – Heath Miller, Zach Miller, Ryan Griffin?

    Thanks!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Jay: Caldwell and Jennings/H. Miller. Any time!

  9. Don says:
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    You’ve got me this far, owe you big time. Now I have Bush, Morris and Todman. Can start two w no flex and standard league.
    Thinking Morris and Bush but wondering who is most likely to lay an egg. Too cute to go Todman over these guys?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Don: Glad we could help! I don’t think it’s too cute, fairly close, but I’s stick with Morris and Bush as well, Morris in good matchup, Bush has been a stud in a pretty good one as well.

  10. Comatose says:
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    Considering starting Todman or Dennis Johnson over Moreno. Eh?

    • matt says:
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      @Comatose: I prefer Knoshean

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Comatose: I’d stick with Knowshon

  11. drew says:
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    Need a ppr WR3 for the ship: Either Hilton, Patterson, Caldwell, or Marvin Jones. Leaning Caldwell….

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @drew: Yeah I think I’m with ya, get that ship!

  12. Burt Macklin says:
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    With Rodgers out again, do i consider starting either Andre Brown (@DET) or Steve Smith (vs. NO) over Jordy Nelson (vs. PIT)?

    .5PPR

    • matt says:
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      @Burt Macklin: I like brown there

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Burt Macklin: Andre Brown I would. Don’t like Jordy as I have him a bench above.

  13. Zandy says:
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    Thanks again jb for all your help. Need some final LSD.
    Pick 2 rb and 1 wr and a flex for my standard league
    Stacy Todman Mathews
    Keenan DJax

    Also who you got on D: Browns @ NYJ, bucs @ Stl or chargers vs oak

    Thanks dog

    • matt says:
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      @Zandy: Stacy, Matthews, Jax Those are my 3

      • Zandy says:
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        @matt: need 2 rbs, 1 wr and a flex. Assume flex is now Keenan with mjd active

        • matt says:
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          @Zandy: the four listed minus Todman

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Zandy: Glad to help with a last LSD! I’d go Stacy Mathews and Djax w/ Keenan in flex. I like Browns D there. Good luck today my man!

  14. tim says:
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    On the backs of Charles and Foles I’ve made it to the promise land but the rest of my team is so dodgy. I need a flex and 2 WR from this group (non-ppr). I know, but if I can just win this last week.
    Randle
    Amendola
    D Moore
    A Holmes
    Sproles
    Ellington
    Ogbonnaya

    And just reassure me that Gonzalez will play Monday night. I can switch out to Ertz.
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @tim: I like Dola 1st Randle 2nd and probably Holmes as flex. L:ooking very likely Gronk will play. Good luck in your championship!

  15. Brett says:
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    Nelson or Rainey in a Ppr

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Brett: Ewww don’t like either, lean Nelson

  16. eltoo says:
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    PPR league, pick 3:

    Amendola
    Andre Caldwell
    Streater
    Sanu
    Hartline
    Fitzgerald

    Jaguars making me nervous, I have both MJD and Todman, but they’re saying MJD will play. Start Todman regardless, or go with whichever officially starts?

    Thanks, going to need some luck to take down the championship

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @eltoo: Not liking either Jags dude that much. I’d go Dola, Caldwell and probably Fitz and roll the dice. He’s got the upside for ya

  17. Bryan says:
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    Would the weather forecast in Wash force you to sit Cousins, I have Brady but hate the matchup?

    • matt says:
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      @Bryan: never count out Tom Brady, Id never stArt cousins over Brady. Never lol That’s just me..

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Bryan: I’d prob play Brady

  18. The imp says:
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    Congrats on your LSD run. It has been getting advice from this page this year. Going in a low stake 3 rd place game today, so nothing to sweat. Good luck all in your title matches!

    • The imp says:
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      @The imp: meant to say “has been fun”***

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @The imp: Haha, thanks so much man, really appreciate it!

  19. scottsteelers says:
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    Got Nelson in 2 leagues…. starting Crabtree over him. Right? And Cousins or Cutler? Got Cutler in there now

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @scottsteelers: Yeah I think so on Crabs. Man coin flip between those two, leaning Cousins for upside if you feel you’re down, Cutler for stability

  20. james says:
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    Hey

    12 team PPR

    I need TWO flex (atleast one needs to be a WR) from this list. I dont need the biggest upside guys, just the 2 that will be less likely to suck out.
    F.Jackson, Fitz, D.Johnson, R.Randle, Steater.
    Thanks

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @james: Streater is the consistent WR surprisingly as I wrote above. Him and Dennis Johnson for me

      • james says:
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        Thats who i currently have in. Thanks!
        Goodluck!

        • JB Gilpin

          JB Gilpin says:
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          @james: You too man!

  21. jim says:
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    cutler or stafford?

    stacy ,bush, peterson ( pick2)

    • matt says:
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      @jim: Stafford, Stacy, Bush (I want no part of AP bum foot)

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @jim: Agree with matt

  22. Steve Stevenson says:
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    T-storms/wind expected in WAS. Was going to start Cousins, but should I plug in Dalton ?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Steve Stevenson: I’d stick with COusins

  23. thegreater says:
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    Having RB/flex paralysis: Definitely starting Zac Stacey. Have to fill two more spots from amongst the following: Lamar Miller, MJD, Steven Jackson, Rashard Mendenhall, or Jordan Todman.

    Little Help? Thanks…

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @thegreater: SJax I think is a lock, then prob Miller for me

  24. matt says:
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    Alshon or Levon Bell at the flex! Go!!!

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @matt: Man, nice decision to have! Alshon PPR, Bell non

  25. Eric says:
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    Antonio Brown in snow or Dez Bryant in the rain? (Non ppt league with just 2 WR slots and have Josh Gordon in other slot)

    Also… Andrew Luck vs KC, or Kirk Cousins int rain\wind?

    • matt says:
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      @Eric: no flex spot? Ouch

      • matt says:
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        @matt: id say it’s a toss up @ WR if it was PPR id want Gordon/Brown . Good Luck. At QB id want a trusted Luck over Cousins. I have to play cousins in a 2 qb league cuz I have no other available options & im kinda hating it.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Eric: I’m disagreeing with matt this time, I like Dez and Gordona and would play Cousins

  26. matt says:
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    Guess the Cuz’ ins pass line 22-36 361 yards, 3 TD. HAHA! The kobe game is catching on in FF

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @matt: Haha the game is a phenomenon! Haha I think 2 TDs and around 300 as well, not quite that optimistic :)

      • matt says:
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        @JB Gilpin: I know bub..I can only hope! Optimistic indeed!

  27. Tron says:
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    Kirk Cousins in the rain against shi**y Dallas D or Big Ben in the snow at Lambeau??

    • matt says:
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      @Tron: sometimes the sure play isn’t the sure play. Think..Dallas is in a must win situation, I think their defense plays better today. Washington O line isn’t that great keep that in mind.

    • Eric says:
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      @Tron: per weather.com doesn’t look like rain will get started until close to 3PM.

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Tron: Goin Cousins

  28. drew says:
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    Cousins or Rivers?

    • matt says:
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      @drew: id def want rivers vs 30th ranked OAK pass, in California weather. Yup

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @drew: I like both a lot, agree prob goin Rivers

  29. Sniff Test says:
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    You like the bills d today or dolphins, browns or steelers?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Sniff Test: Prob Browns

  30. Andrew says:
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    Andre brown or Dennis Johnson ?

    • matt says:
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      @Andrew: match up says Johnson but I don’t trust Texas to do shit any week! Lol Horrible Team! Im dreading starting Andre Johnson at flex with Matt Scabbbb @ Qb (wish spiller was able to be trusted) he’s my bust pick for 2013

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @Andrew: I’d go Brown

  31. The Thumb says:
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    Pick 1 For flex: Stacy, reggie bush, edelman or vereen? I’m leaning stacy simply because of consistency and volume…

    • matt says:
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      @The Thumb: ppr or standard?

    • JB Gilpin

      JB Gilpin says:
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      @The Thumb: Ehhh I might go Bush, nice set of decisions to have

  32. Foshizzle says:
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    MJD is active.
    Does that mean i should BENCH Todman for the likes of Dennis Johnson/Spiller/Rainey?

    Aslo,
    Without Rodgers and Snow at Lambeau, i feel like packers will grind Lacy all game. Would you Bench Jordy Nelson for Anquan Boldin in a Monday night game against the second worst D against WRs.

    Lastly, I may be getting cute here. Do i bench Brees for Jay cutler/Cousins?

    Thanks again for your input, it’s much appreciated!

    • matt says:
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      @Foshizzle: im not benching brees for anyone except Peyton. Cute indeed :-)