Week 11 DraftKings Main Slate – Optimal Lineup Plays
Week 10’s mistakes primarily revolved around the Cowboys. I didn’t believe there would be enough meat on the bone for Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb to produce top performances, but I was wrong. I wanted to suggest Rico Dowdle, as this game was likely to be over early, and I didn’t, which was also wrong. My favorite play was the Cowboys D/ST, which did not pan out either. My favorite game to target was the 79-point Chargers/Lions game which ended up providing huge dividends. Here is the full hit/miss list:
Hit: Joe Burrow, Jared Goff, Geno Smith, Brock Purdy, Kyler Murray, Christian McCaffrey, Bijan Robinson, Keenan Allen, Amon-Ra St. Brown, DK Metcalf, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, Christian Kirk, Tyler Boyd, Quentin Johnston, Trey McBride, Dalton Schultz, 49ers
Miss: Tony Pollard, Aaron Jones, Joe Mixon, DeAndre Hopkins, Diontae Johnson, Marquise Brown, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Curtis Samuel, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Sam LaPorta, Jonnu Smith, Chig Okonkwo, Irv Smith Jr., Cowboys, Steelers, Cardinals
Onto Week 11, where the opportunity lies in using mid-priced QBs to pair with an alpha WR and rookie TE. From here, we have the formula to build a winning lineup with other studs.
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QB
CJ Stroud $7000 (vs. ARI) – The legend of CJ Stroud grows every week. He seems to have ROY locked up and has even entered the MVP discussion. He should get Nico Collins back this week and now gets the Arizona Cardinals’ defense.
Contrarian/GPP Justin Fields $6900 (@ DET) – Fields is returning this week to face the Lions’ defense after missing the last four games. The Bears will be in point-chasing mode this week. Many will be weary of using Fields with the Lions’ defense, and this being his first game back, making him a strong contrarian play.
Jared Goff $6600 (vs. CHI) – Jared Goff at home against the Bears secondary? Sign me up.
Brock Purdy $5800 (vs. TB) – The strength of the Buccaneers defense is their run defense. They have struggled against the pass this season. Brock Purdy is healthy; the 49ers’ weapons are healthy. This is great value here. You can use some top options at other positions with Purdy.
Kyler Murray $6100 (@ HOU) – Kyler Murray is back and looked healthy in Week 10. Now, he will likely have to keep pace with the high-powered Texans offense (that was weird to type).
RB
START OF THE WEEK: Brian Robinson $5800 (vs. NYG) – Brian Robinson had 6/119/1 receiving last week?! Don’t expect that type of receiving performance every week, if ever again, but it’s good to see him involved in the receiving game. Antonio Gibson is currently banged up with a toe issue. This also figures to be a “Brian Robinson game” as far as game-script goes.
De’Von Achane $6600 (vs. LV) – THE RETURN OF ACHANE. Achane is $300 cheaper than Mostert and will likely operate as the lead back. This will likely be his lowest price for the rest of the season.
Aaron Jones $6200 (vs. LAC) – We thought Aaron Jones was finally free after Week 9. However, Matt LaFleur put the genie back in the bottle in Week 10, and the Packers lost. Aaron Jones’ role in the passing game should keep him from being game-scripted out of this game, regardless of the score.
Devin Singletary $5300 (vs. ARI) – If Dameon Pierce is out, he leaves Singletary in a bell-cow role against the Cardinals’ bottom-of-the-barrel run defense. Singletary finished as the RB3 in Week 10 against a much tougher Bengals defense. You can likely fire up Singletary regardless. However, I like him a lot more if Pierce sits.
Contrarian/GPP: Jerome Ford $5200 (vs. PIT) – Jerome Ford just ran for over 100 yards against the Ravens stingy defense. Deshaun Watson will miss the remainder of the season, and Dorian Thompson-Robinson will be the QB in Week 11. This will likely scare a lot of people off Jerome Ford this week, making him a solid contrarian play.
**If he is activated: Leonard Fournette $4000 (vs. NYJ) – Looking at James Cook’s Week 10 box score is deceiving. Yes, he ran for over 100 yards, but he also lost two fumbles and almost a third. Almost half of Cook’s production came on the final drive, and Murray saw significant usage. Leonard Fournette is a superior pass blocker, receiver, and goal-line back than Cook.
WR
Tyreek Hill $9300 (vs. LV) – Tyreek Hill had a forgettable Week 9 in Germany, including a fumble against his former team. He gets the Raiders at home off the bye. Raiders allowed Garrett Wilson to go for 9/93/0 last week. I like a bounce-back performance here.
CeeDee Lamb $9200 (@ CAR) – Lamb has scored 118.6 points his last three weeks, which means he has averaged an absurd 39.5 PPG over his last three games. He has produced regardless of the matchup or game script, and I don’t see a reason for that to stop at Carolina this week.
Contrarian/GPP Play: Cooper Kupp $8100 (vs. SEA) – Matthew Stafford is back this week. The Rams are coming off their bye. The Seahawks aren’t a great matchup, but Kupp should see good volume here. Kupp has been struggling the past few weeks without Stafford, so he likely won’t be highly owned.
Mike Evans $7400 (@ SF) – The weakness of the 49ers defense is their secondary. The Buccaneers will likely need to chase points. Mike Evans is a strong Week 11 play.
Tank Dell $5900 (vs. ARI) – Tank Dell has been red hot the last two weeks. Nico Collins is expected back this week, but that may just push Dell’s ownership percentage down. He has a good matchup against the Cardinals as well.
DJ Moore $5600 (@ DET) – This might be my favorite WR play this week. DJ Moore’s price does not reflect the guy we’ve seen with Justin Fields this season. The Bears will need to throw the ball, and Moore is Fields’ top option.
Marquise Brown $5300 (@ HOU) – I’m going back to the well here. Brown was held to 1/28/0 in Week 10 but also JUST missed a 28-yard TD reception that Kyler slightly overthrew him on. His Week 10 dud will likely have his ownership percentage down, too.
Cheaper options/Lineup Filler/Dart Throws: Zay Jones $4100 (vs. TEN), Jayden Reed $4000 (vs. LAC), Jalen Guyton $3300 (@ GB), Rondale Moore (@ HOU), Kyle Philips $3000 (@ JAX)
TE
Dalton Kincaid $4900 (vs. NYJ) – The Jets haven’t been great against TEs this year, and Kincaid has established himself as one of Josh Allen’s favorite targets.
Trey McBride $4400 (@ HOU) – Trey McBride is coming off a monster Week 10 in Kyler’s return to the lineup. Anytime Kyler needed to make a play, he was looking for McBride. The Texans rank 26th vs. opposing TEs.
Luke Musgrave $3600 (vs. LAC) – Luke Musgrave gets the Chargers 30th ranked defense against TEs. He’s a solid option this week.
Michael Mayer $2700 (@ MIA) – For under $3K, I’ll use Mayer. The Raiders are going to be chasing points here and will need to throw the football.
D/ST
Steelers $3500 (@ CLE) – My favorite D/ST play of the week. The Browns will start Dorian Thompson-Robinson at QB this week.
Dolphins $3200 (vs. LV) – Coming out of the bye, the Dolphins get a West Coast team coming to the east coast for a 1 PM game starting a rookie QB.
Jets $2600 (@ BUF) – Josh Allen is prone to turnovers, and the Jets’ defense has forced even the best QBs into committing turnovers. Tough divisional game with the Bills in flux. The Jets could payoff at this price.
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For more from TJ and his Razzball content, find him on Twitter @T_Redding28 for lineup updates and additional plays based on weekend updates/injuries.
