I like it when there’s a penalty in football. The ref comes out, takes center stage on national television, and in avuncular tone, tells us what exactly went wrong and what the consequences will be. There’s a sincere clarity to a football penalty. It’s like my team’s on-the-field problems are my own. When my team’s cornerback interferes with a pass, it’s like I was getting vicariously handsy with the receiver. Then the ref comes out and tells me I was a bad boy, and that I better keep my hands to myself next time. But then the ref says “Half the distance to the goal,” and I think to myself, I haven’t gotten any of my goals achieved. Now I’m halfway there!

Thanks to you ref, maybe I’ll achieve something this year. 

Please, blog, may I have some more?

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I’m typing this out at 5 o’clock because I’m probably going to be glued to my TV like the rest of America. At 8 P.M. central standard time on ESPN2 Pogopalooza 2020: The World Championships will finally air. The world’s best pogo athletes will compete for gold in best trick, high jump, and big air. What’s the difference between high jump and big air? I have no clue, but I’m about to find out here in a few hours.

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People come up to me and they say, “MB, this is it, this is the biggest Tuesday of our lives so far.” I must say that I am confused. Every Tuesday from the start of the season to the fantasy football trade deadline is a big Tuesday. Stealin’ or Dealin’ comes out! They say, “No MB, the presidential election! This election could save or doom the next couple of decades in this country.” Excuse me, but is Kanye West giving you advice on how to manage your fantasy football team? Between making shoes, Gap clothes, making unlistenable music, and foreign policy I’m not so sure he can tell you how much trade value Kareem Hunt has once Nick Chubb returns from injury. They say, “MB, there is more to life than fantasy football, can’t you see that?” Of course I can! I’m not that dull. There is fantasy baseball too and Grey is already putting out rookie profiles. Anyways, here are some buys and a sell for week 9!

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To begin Week 9’s rest of season top 60 running back rankings, I’m going to get up on my body wash box. What is a body wash box, you ask? Well, I don’t use soap, so I don’t have a soap box to stand on. *someone whispers* “That’s just a phrase, Mr. Hobbs.” To which I reply, “Your face is just a term, and Mr. Hobbs is not my name.” Anywho, as I was balancing on top my mountain of body wash bottles, which was rather precarious and not at all safe, there was a particular player I kept thinking about; a running back I love for the rest of the 2020 fantasy football season and don’t quite understand why he’s being undervalued in so many industry circles. And to be clear, this is a player I have zero — you heard that right — zero, total shares of across the 11 fantasy football leagues I play in. None. Zip. So, there’s no self-serving bias here. That player is Josh Jacobs (31 carries, 128 yards; zero receptions on one target). Jacobs is currently positioned as RB9 overall on the season, averaging 14.5 FPPG, which is tied for 13th among running backs. So why do I like him even more than that as we forecast the rest of the 2020 season?

For starters, I’ve taken some heat as a result of my bullish ROS ranking of Jacobs in recent weeks. I expect to take even more this week, as I’ve moved him up to RB6 overall despite an RB15 finish in Week 8. But with my madness, comes reason. Through Week 8, the Raiders are 4-3 despite playing a brutal schedule that featured a combined opponent winning percentage of .623. Five of their seven games have come against teams with five-plus wins and, amazingly enough, they have won three of those games (Chiefs, Saints, Browns). Now, that doesn’t mean all of those high caliber teams Las Vegas has played feature elite front sevens, but the point is as follows. Jacobs didn’t exactly have positive game script on his side throughout the first half of the season, but he will moving forward, as the Raiders face one of the NFL’s easiest remaining schedules. Jacobs will see even more positive game scripts as the Raiders play with a lead more frequently. Plus, Jacobs is third in the entire NFL in touches with 165, trailing only Derrick Henry and Ezekiel Elliott. That’s 23.6 touches per game. On top of that, much of Jacobs’ issues in 2020 have come via a lack of ground efficiency, but I don’t think any of us are doubting his talent between the tackles. If Las Vegas can get Trent Brown and Richie Incognito back healthy, which appears to be on the horizon, Jacobs could very well be one of the five best backs to have in your lineup for the remainder of the season. He’s up to RB6 overall this week. I already told you to buy low last week, and now this window is closing faster than my high school ex-girlfriend’s when she saw me coming down the street with a boom box.

Before we get to the entirety of the week 9 rest of season running back rankings, let’s take a quick trip around the league.

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Welcome back podcast fans. B_Don and Donkey Teeth are back to recap week 8 and look forward to the rest of the season. We start with some injury discussion as teams are going to miss George Kittle for the rest of the season, and some lesser injuries, but meaningful nonetheless to Kenny Golladay, Calvin Ridley, and Diontae Johnson. 

The guys move on to talk about some of the RB situations in flux including the Rams, Colts, Ravens, Bills, and Chiefs. We discuss where we value the various pieces of the shared backfields, and how we expect the snaps and touches to break out over the remainder of the season. We move on to talk about the sell window for Adam Thielen along with our thoughts on the re-re-re-re-appearance of Corey Davis as a potential starter. The shows wraps with some QB talk and whether we’d rather have Joe Burrow or Justin Herbert for the rest of the season and looking forward for dynasty purposes. 

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As we head into week 9, there is a plethora of useful running backs and wide receivers to help you navigate byes and injuries. 

I group the adds by position and then within the position, rank them in order of preference. The sherpa will only advise players who are rostered in less than 50% of ESPN leagues.

NEW FEATURES – I have made the FAAB suggestion a percentage of whatever your budget is instead of raw dollars. I also separated the quarterback section into suggestions for single and multi-QB formats. 

This went to press before the New York/Tampa Bay game.

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‘Twas the night before election, when all through the country,

Not a creature was stirring, not even a Gronk;

The ballots were handled by the USPS with careless regard,

In hopes that a sub-70-year old president soon would be ours.

I can’t wait to get all this nonsense behind us on Tuesday. It’s like Christmas Eve, minus the cookies, plus a bunch of nasty political ads. So nothing at all like Christmas Eve. What I’m referring to, of course, is the 2020 NFL trade deadline which passes on Tuesday. What did you think I was talking about? There’s sure to be lots of baseless rumors and plenty of disappointment in the cards for my Bears, as usual. One player who we know won’t be on the move at Tuesday’s deadline is Tom Brady, who went 28/40 for 279 yards and 2 touchdowns—he now has 20 passing touchdowns on the season. Pigskinonator had Brady down for 290 yards and 2.17 touchdowns while ranking him as it’s #6 fantasy QB for week 8. Damn, that’s one smart pig robot! It’s not too late to sign up for a free trial of Pigskinonator and all our great tools! Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday for fantasy football: 

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I’ve been to my share of church services over the years: white, black, Asian, Catholic, Presbyterian, subdued, musically inclined, traditional, and new age. Regardless of the congregation, bells and whistles, or place of worship, it’s always been about the sermon. A good sermon hits me right in the feels and gets me to come back for more. It’s not just about the message, though. There’s delivery, style, and enthusiasm, which differs from pastor to pastor. But pastors are human, so they get sick or have to travel from time to time. As a result, guest pastors make an appearance. Sometimes for the worse, but sometimes for the better. When the latter occurs, I incline from my recline, move my ass to meld with the back of the pew, transform into a perpendicular, and let me eyes and ears injest the lovely goodness. Which is exactly what happened on Sunday at the Church of Red Zone when I was expecting Joshua Kelley and Justin Jackson to lead the Chargers, but instead it was Troymaine Pope who kept popping off the screen and delivering. Who is Pope and can he continue delivering?

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I came to a realization over the last week. There’s only one thing in the universe worse than the New York Jets, and that’s political commercials. Actually, there’s only one thing worse than political commercials: leaves. So there’s two things worse than the Jets. I know, I was surprised by the realization myself. But I spent three hours on Saturday collecting leaves from every orifice of my yard and body. The wind in the Midwest was wicked Saturday night, so by Sunday morning I was picking twice as many leaves out of my underwear. That gale-force wind was one of the big storylines of Sunday’s NFL games too, as it made passing tougher than watching a New York Jets game. One player not affected by those winds was Dalvin Cook who returned from his groin injury to handle 30 carries for 163 yards, 2 catches for 63 yards and his 8th, 9th, 10th and 11th touchdowns. That makes 11 touchdowns in six games! He’s now on pace for and incredible 25 touchdowns in just 15 games. I need to try me some of that groin injury stuff. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday for fantasy football:

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Happy day after Halloween! It’s nice to get an extra hour of sleep. Well that is depending on which state you live in which is something I learned recently. I think Arizona and Illinois don’t have daylight savings anymore. Maybe some other states. Wait so… Nevermind I’m really going to confuse myself. I don’t want to start thinking about what time it will be in Chicago tomorrow when it’s time to kickoff. Wait, the Bears are a late afternoon game?! But hey, daylight savings could lead to Q tags being active! It’s an extra hour, after all. That’s how it works, right?

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Team: Minnesota Vikings

Opponent: Green Bay Packers

WR1: Adam Thielen

Shadow Coverage Matchup: Jaire Alexander

Adam Thielen vs. Shadow Coverage
Opponent Games Rec Yards TDs PPG
All Other Opponents 26 5.4 66.4 0.6 12.8
Vs. Shadow Coverage 8 5.8 82.4 0.9 16.4
Vs. Jaire Alexander 2 7 117.5 1.5 24.3

Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage

Adam Thielen has been one of the best WRs when facing shadow coverage throughout his career. This includes three great performances in 2020 vs. Jaire Alexander in week 1 (6-110-2), Bradley Roby in week 4 (8-114-1) and A.J. Terrell (3-51-1). Now I am not going to sit here and say this is the murderers row of cornerbacks, but even before 2020 Thielen has been very consistent when facing shadow coverage which is reflected in his 16.4 PPG.

Season Long Recommendation – Start

To say Adam Thielen has Jaire Alexander’s number is an understatement. In 2 career games in his coverage Thielen has dominated him securing 7 – 117.5 – 1.5 while averaging a robust 24.3 PPG. This game will be in Lambeau and early indication is it will be cold and windy. This will be the first time Thielen will face Alexander in shadow coverage on the road so maybe another 20 point performance is out of the question. That being said, with Green Bay 6-point favorites the expectation is the Vikings will need to throw early and often to keep up. That is why Thielen is a must start season long player.

DFS – Price FD $7,700 / DK $7,200

Adam Thielen is rated as a top 5 WR on both sites meaning he will need to have another monster game to return value for you in week 8. His historical production vs. Alexander suggests that he could do it again, but in 2/3 games in Green Bay he has been held under 100 yards and had zero touchdowns. Call it a hunch but Thielen might be a DFS fade this week on the road. Players I would pivot to include A.J Brown vs. CIN and Tyreek Hill vs. NYJ.

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He probably doesn’t remember this, but The Joey Wright — former film critic and Frozen 2 aficionado — has changed my life before. You see, in the effort to diversify Razzball holdings into all realms of the media world, we had a short-lived film studio named RazzWorkz, where we leveraged Grey’s ties to A-list celebrities to greenlight independent and gritty films. When I submitted my spec script, Nunchuckers 3: Hail Terry — my coming-of-age movie about Terry McLaurin teaching a group of nuns to play football to save their charter school’s tax-exempt status — it was The Joey Wright whose critical review ended my screenwriting career. Joey said my script was, and I quote, “Worse than Air Bud 6: Mile High Pup, that movie where Patches the Pup spends spring break in the Rockies touring dispensaries and learns a lot of life lessons.” And now, to rub salt in the wound, The Joey Wright has re-taken the lead in the Razzbowl for the second time. So, let’s turn the tables, and now I’ll play the critic to Joey Wright’s Razzbowl sequel. 

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