You might remember the following intro from this post on Passing Defenses.  Lay off!  I’m not an intro machine!  But I wouldn’t mind one of those.  Maybe an app?  One with arms and hands and fingers so it can type for me.  Well, really I wouldn’t be needed at all.  Anyway, here, as I promised, is the DVOA Schedule Grid for Rushing Defenses.

The below chart is not there to give you seizures, but to hopefully help you, not disable you. I am a fan of Football Outsiders’ method of evaluating defenses called DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average). Instead of just taking the total number of yards given up on the ground or through the air, they look at situations and results. Certain situations are valued more than others. If a running back gains 5 yards on 3rd and 4 it is more detrimental to the defense than if he runs for 5 yards on 3rd and 20. If a team throws against your prevent D while behind by 4 touchdowns in the 4th quarter, it isn’t as valued as if they did the same down by a field goal in the 4th quarter. What I also appreciate is they value the most recent games when ranking defenses, so the rankings you will see here are more heavily weighted toward the end of last season instead of equally throughout. For a more thorough explanation go here.

Now we all know that personnel and coaching changes over the offseason will impact defenses, but most teams, at least at the beginning of this year will be in the same ballpark as they were toward the end of last year. What I’ve concocted in my nerd lab is a NFL Schedule Grid with color codings showing weak to strong defenses against the pass rush. Blue meaning, “freeze buddy! don’t pass rush against me, yo.” And red meaning, “geez, I’m a cornerback fat defensive lineman and it’s really hot out here and I need a drink, wait, what was I doing?” And the other two in the middle, you’ll need to come up with some funny little dialogue to make them more interesting. These will be useful in giving you an idea of how certain team’s schedules might work for or against their passing rushing attack. I believe these will be especially helpful in salary cap leagues or any format where you can switch out players more readily. Below are just the first 4 weeks to give you an idea, but you can click here for the whole schedule.

DVOARUSHD

p.s. If your draft is coming up be sure to check out our ppr and non-ppr drafting tiers over there to the left.  They were recently updated.

  1. Josh says:
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    outstanding, thanks for this!

    my first impression is that as a McFadden owner I’m loving Oakland’s early-season slate. I’m hoping he gets enough work to pile up big stats in the first four weeks, so that maybe I can flip him for someone even better.

  2. Doc

    Doc says:
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    Agreed. DMacs schedule to start looks very nice. And your plan is a good one. I think he will have a very good season, but he is still on the Raiders. It will be hard for them to consistently move the ball.

  3. @Doc: Hi, have 5th pick in 10 team 1/2ppr league….The person with the second pick offered to swap picks with me, maybe hes unsure of whom to select at the slot, but would you trade up to grab MJD at #2? Or would you hold tight with the middle pick?

    If I end up keeping the 5th pick, which RBs would you be happy to be there for you….pls rank the top 3 (LT, chris johnson, s-jax?)

    Do you prefer selecting at the ends or in the middle? personally, i like the end picks so i can map out my picks in advance

    Thanks

  4. Doc says:
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    What are the terms of the trade? MJD is my #1 in ppr so if you can get him second I would like that deal. I Have Sjax, lt, cj in that order, but lt and jax are very close.

  5. @Doc: i believe we just straight up drafting slots…..i pick 2nd, 19th, etc and he takes 5th, 16th etc

    Also, if I were to lock up MJD or AP at #2, would you then go WR/WR back to back?

  6. also half a point per reception league, if that matters

  7. Doc says:
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    @matthole: Yeah that’s why I like jones drew so much there. I would probaby end up going wr/wr unless a rb I really liked dropped to me.

  8. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    @matthole: im a believer in grabbing best rb at your 2 or 5 pick,then wr and then rb,if you dont grab a decent rb there,you could get stuck with a benson or someone not guaranteed carries week in and week out,then wr,wr,then late picks of the james davis type

  9. Doc says:
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    Yeah be careful not to get stuck with Bush as your #2 or someone like that.

  10. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    @Doc: yeah that bad thing about draft early or late,you have to grab your needs and dont count on them being there 20 picks later,i passed on qb`s because there were still 4 or 5 id take,then they all went in about 7 picks,ended up with big ben,2 years ago he had 32 td`s,i could only hope for 25+

  11. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @AL KOHOLIC: Agreed. I usually prefer drafting on the ends, but you have to be prepared.

  12. danimal35 says:
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    I found when drafting on the ends, I would end up with players I target, but not necessarily a balanced team…but when picking in the middle I would end up with a more balanced team and would end up letting targeted players go by a little too long (because there wasn’t so much of a wait) and ended up having to pick up more players that were falling way past their draft value

  13. Sean says:
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    Write it down…Jamal Lewis will lose his starting gig after week 4!!! Look at that running schedule. I just picked up Davis in my 12 team PPR league

  14. Doc

    Doc says:
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    @Sean: I agree, if not earlier.

  15. mrfootball says:
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    Jamal Lewis – http://www.deadoraliveinfo.com/ – went to this sight to see if Jamal Lewis is still alive – yes he is but as far as I am concern his football career is dead –

  16. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    @mrfootball: i dont really want him to die,but he could pull a barry sanders and just disapeer

  17. AL KOHOLIC says:
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    better have your mind made up by now,these last preseason games are for special team players,wont learn anything watching them

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