After taking a long puff from the joint, I set it down in the ash tray and melted back into the couch. Gazing past the foggy haze, I transfixed my eyes to the ceiling , let the mushrooms kick in, and began contemplating the concept of fate. If I was meant to have something, then I could just chill in my room and it would magically appear. That’s how it works, right? Knock Knock. Who is it? Your Grubhub driver. Ok, thanks and leave it by the door. As I appeased my munchies, I realized that if you wanted something, you had to work for it. Now, that by itself doesn’t guarantee anything. Opportunites need to be presented. And that is the factor that many in the NFL have to deal with. The players are the top 1% of the 1% of athletes in the world, but many vanish into the ether because they never got that opportunity. On the flip side, many have made a name for themselves due to opportunity. Salvon Ahmed of the Miami Dolphins got his opportunity on Sunday and made the most of it, as he received the start and rushed 21 times for 85 yards and a touchdown while catching one pass for 5 yards. Should you go Ahmed and add him?

Ahmed is 5′ 11″, 197 pounds, and played his college ball at the University of Washington, where in three years, Ahmed rushed 353 times for 2,016 yards, scored 21 rushing touchdowns, and caught 50 passes for 331 yards. Despite that, he went undrafted in the 2020 NFL Draft. Running backs don’t matter! Looking at the measurables, I get it: 4.62 40-yard dash with below average speed and burst scores. 

Measurables schemurables. Everyone that’s in the NFL can ball. Sure, some can ball out harder than others, but being a scrub is a relative term. Ahmed is no scrub.

Watching the highlights from Sunday, Ahmed impressed. He runs between the tackles and doesn’t dance. He hits the hole and goes north and south, while also being able to stick his foot and change direction on a dime. There were some gaping holes, so that helped, but here’s the thing. With Tua at quarterback and the offense spreading out the defense, rarely will there be stacked boxes. 

Now, why did Ahmed get the opportunity in the first place? Leading rusher, Myles Gaskin was put on the injured reserve due to a knee injury. Matt Breida is dealing with a hamstring injury. When isn’t he? Jordan Howard sucks. DeAndre Washington just returned from Covid protocol but only carried two times for two yards and Patrick Laird is Patrick Laird. Gaskin is out for at least three games, so Ahmed could be THE guy.

The upcoming schedule has DEN, NYJ, CIN, KC, NE, and LVR on the docket. According to Football Outsiders, the rush defense rank of those teams are 13, 11, 25, 30, 31, and 32. Denver did just get gashed by the Raiders on the ground, but that should be a tough matchup. So will the Jets game. The rest are juicy from a matchup perspective, though. But, but, but….Gaskin could be back and there’s Breida as well. 

Due to the apocalyptic running back landscape, you’re picking up Ahmed from the waiver wire, but I wouldn’t blow the budget and expectations should be kept in check. As quickly as the opportunity arrived for Ahmed, it could disappear just as fast.

  1. JC says:
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    8-2 in my 12 team, standard scoring league. Tied for first one game clear of second place team. However, I play that first place team this week and am the underdog.

    Wire: Ahmed, Collins, Perine, Reagor, Bridgewater, Meyers, Hines, Koo, Dolphins

    Team:
    Tannehill
    Cook, Taylor
    Julio, Boyd, Fulgham
    Waller
    Chiefs
    Carlson
    Bench: Monty (bye), Gallman (bye), Gaskin (IR), Golladay (out), Tua, Eagles

    1. I have an open slot having dropped Wilkins. Please rank the WW list above 1-5.
    2. Tannehill has a nice playoff sked but tough sledding for next two games. Keep Tua (at Denver) or play Tannehill at Balt? Or grab Bridgewater v Detroit dropping Tua or Wilkins?
    2. Having three RBs out this week is not ideal and I have zero confidence in Taylor. Roll him out there or grab a WW rental?
    3. Would you trade Fulgham for Crowder?
    4. Was about to drop Eagles but that Cleveland weather might be helpful. Play Eagles at Browns or Chiefs at Raiders or grab Dolphins at Denver?
    5. ARob or Galloway for playoffs? ARob (v Houston, at Vikes, at Jax) or Golladay (v GB, at Titans, v Bucs). Bad QB in Chicago vs always injured Galloday ugh

    Thanks!

    • Son

      Son says:
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      1) Meyers and Hines for me

      2) Tua

      3) It’s close but I lean Fulgham

      4) MIA

      5) Arob

      • JC says:
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        Thank you! Start Taylor or Hines this week?

        • Son

          Son says:
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          Hines for me

  2. hamtime says:
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    14m week and need to win week 11

    1. Mayfield is horrible as a backup QB to stafford, right? Am I better off getting dalton? I doubt I get tanehill who just landed on waivers

    2. Thoughts on Lamar Miller? One week wonder? Would you drop perrimen for him and hope he sticks

    3. Start Mike Davis or Perrine at RB

    4. Start Mike Williams, Amari, Jakobi with Julio at WR

    5. Pick 1 for flex: dobbins, Amari, Mike Williams, perrine, Hollywood

  3. Son

    Son says:
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    1) Mayfield is the likely best choice out of that group. Tanny plays BAL.

    2) I have no idea what to think of Lamar. Need to see his usage and play on Monday Night first

    3) If CMC out, then Davis

    4) I like M Williams the best out of that group

    5) Mike Williams. If using him at WR, then Amari if Andy starts. Perrine if he doesn’t

  4. JC says:
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    The good news is that I was able to grab and play Hyde. I was not able to snatch Hines or Ahmed or the Dolphins defense. so my decisions have narrowed in my standard scoring league first place match up.

    1. Play Taylor (v Packers), Fulgham (at Browns 45 degrees and rain predicted), or Perine (v Chargers 62 degrees light rain) in flex spot.

    2. Eagles at Browns or Chiefs at Raiders.

    Thanks! And congrats on getting Harrell

    • Son

      Son says:
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      1) Perince for me

      2) No? I don’t like either but I guess I’d side with Eagles

      I’m not a huge fan of the Harrell signing. His D is atrocious. If we get another defensive big and have Harrel to be a microwave off the bench, then I’m cool with it

      • JC says:
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        Interesting on his D. Definitely gonna be a bucket getter on the second unit tho.

        I agree in the defenses. Just hoping for a blizzard in Cleveland.

        Perine and Taylor are tough picks. I even looked at AP or Kerryon. Bad week to have Monty, Gaskin and Golladay out.

        • Son

          Son says:
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          I actually like AP and Kerryon this weekend

          • JC says:
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            Well. That would mean I would have to drop the Eagles D and play the Chiefs or drop Perine. I was still contemplating Tua on the wire as well. Here’s the squad:

            Tannehill
            Cook, Hyde,
            Julio, Boyd
            Open Flex
            Waller
            Eagles
            Carlsen
            Bench: Fulgham, Chiefs, Perine
            Out: Golladay, Monty, Gaskin, Gallman

            So do you like AP or Kerryon? And would you drop one of my guys to play him this week?

            • Son

              Son says:
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              I do like AP, but there’s obvious risk. I’d drop Chiefs D, but I don’t usually carry two defenses. Maybe your league is different. Are there other options on the wire?

              • Trader says:
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                AP is gone. So the best on the wire are:

                Kerryon, Edwards, Gore, Perriman, Reagor, Reynolds, Wilkins.

                I think I would rather play Fulgham than these guys and hope last week was a blip.

                • Son

                  Son says:
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                  Sounds good. Go with your gut

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