Yawn. Just woke up. Great nap, I’m a sound sleeper. I was dreaming of rubbing lotion on Kerryon’s Johnson and drafting D.K. Metcalf and Marquise Brown in the 10th round of my home league fantasy draft. 15-20 years ago that type of bargain might have been possible on stud second year wide receivers like Hollywood and D.K., but in the modern world of social unrest and social media it’s rare to find a player who isn’t being touted by a least a two dozen fantasy analysts. The fantasy football market has become more efficient than Wall Street. So why are we still using the term “sleeper” when the crowd is already woke to these players in the year 2020? The same reason I’m including the terms hot chicks, sexy teens, large boobs and bukkake in this post. Search engine optimization of course!
As long as people still use the term bukkake sleeper, we’ll still write about them. But in 2020 a sleeper is no longer a completely unknown player. It’s become more of a broad term used to describe a mid-to-late round draft target believed to be significantly undervalued. Or at least that’s what the term means to me, don’t ask me how Captain Obvious over at ESPN is using it. Anyway, here’s a list of my top sleepers for 2020 fantasy football:
*ADP data is courtesy of The NFC filtered by drafts ending on August 1st, 2020 and after
1. Preston Williams | WR | ADP: 130 – Saucy Boiiiiii! According to reports out of Dolphins camp the ACL is somewhere between 200% and 700% healed. DeVante Parker is already banged up too. Get Saucy Boi on your team, and don’t be afraid to reach for extra sauce.
2. Kerryon Johnson | RB | ADP: 105 – When D’Andre Swift was healthy and practicing I understood why Kerryon was being drafted after pick 100. I didn’t agree with it, but I understood. But the rookie Swift missed over a week of training camp to a leg injury and he’s still limited. With the watered down 2020 training camp and no preseason, these have been incredibly valuable practice reps Swift has missed out on. Carry on with grabbing Johnson.
3. Joshua Kelley | RB | ADP: 168 – The Chargers 4th round rookie has been the “star of training camp.” Justin Jackson is dealing with an injury and while I love shirtless Austin Ekeler, it’s unlikely he receives 200+ carries this season. There’s whispers of Kelley sliding into Melvin Gordon’s former role in the offense, toss him on your bench and wait for his value to head to da moon!
4. Rob Gronkowski | TE | ADP: 114 – So Gronk took a season off, allowed his body to recover and his heart to regain the passion for the game. By all accounts he looks like “old Gronk.” Meaning young Gronk. I know, it’s confusing; just draft him and pray he can stay healthy.
5. Emmanuel Sanders | WR | ADP: 108 – Ever since the ghost of Peyton Manning’s final season, Sanders has had a slew of nobody’s throwing it his way. Now at age 33 he’ll line up with arguably the best WR in the game and a hall of fame QB. Take the age discount and run.
6. Zack Moss | RB | ADP: 95 – The main stream is finally coming around to the idea of Moss > Singletary which I’ve been peddling since the draft back in April. I expect it to be obvious by midseason.
7. Golden Tate | WR | ADP: 140 – People seem to have forgotten just how golden Mr. Tate was in PPR leagues for four seasons in Detroit. A midseason 2018 trade followed by a weak 2019 suspension have suppressed his price.
8. N’Keal Harry | WR | ADP: 165 – A sleeper of the post-hype variety! Last spring many regarded N’Keal as a better prospect than D.K. Metcalf, A.J. Brown, Terry McLaurin and Marquise Brown. There’s a chance Cam Newton grabs hold of The Big Harry and turns him into a fantasy phallus.
9. Bryan Edwards | WR | ADP: 207 – Tyrell Williams is done for the year, freeing up a bunch of targets in Vegas. Edwards is looking fantastic at Raiders camp and hasn’t even complained about his helmet once. While the masses key in on Raiders 1st rounder speedster Henry Ruggs, the 3rd rounder Edwards has equal upside and can be landed in the last round of many fantasy drafts.
10. Hayden Hurst | TE | ADP: 90 – There’s a bunch of intriguing upside tight ends this year but, other than Gronk, none are more exciting than Hurst. The Falcons TE position is fantasy gold and Matt Ryan has been raving about Hurst for weeks. Also, Hurst’s NFC ADP is a bit inflated compared to other platforms; he can be landed after pick 100 on ESPN and Yahoo.
11. Allen Lazard | WR | ADP: 153 – According to reports, Marquez Valdes-Scantling is has risen from the dead this summer. But Rodgers likes to look at Lazard, in the shower and on the football field. I’ll be pretty surprised if the Lizard King isn’t the second best wide receiver in Green Bay this year.
12. T.J. Hockenson | TE | ADP: 139 – Jake Ciely of The Athletic joined me on Donkey’s Advocate to discuss why he loves T.J. Hockeytown. I endorse this message:
13. A.J. Dillon | RB | ADP: 147 – Have you seen Dillon’s thighs? I’d reserve two roster spots just for them in all my leagues. He’s not exactly a shallow league target at the moment, and could take some patience, but don’t be surprised if Dillon see’s a bunch of goal line work up in Lambeau.
Everyday must be leg day for @ajdillon7 pic.twitter.com/PlGxap3tpa
— Rob Demovsky (@RobDemovsky) August 15, 2020
14. Baker Mayfield | QB | ADP: 132 – Anyone who’s followed Mayfield’s career knows he excels at chugging beer and proving doubters wrong. There’s a big bounce back season coming for Baker with a healthy OBJ at his disposal. Fill it up again!
Would you keep m gordon if it cost you a 4th rd pick in a 10 team .5 ppr league. Start 2 rb, 3 wr, 1 flex, te, qb, dst, k. His adp is sitting around 30 which is higher than I expected. Thx
How many players will be kept total and do you have any other options?
This is my only option unless I keep mattison 10th rd. We can only keep somebody drafted after a certain rd last year + 2 rd. keepers for other teams will include mid rounders: m sanders, singletary. Some qb 10th rd or later: Jackson, k Murray, r Wilson, dak. Draft will be rb heavy like most. bench spots (8) will be a lot of backup rb. Thx
Yeah I’d say lock up Gordon, sound like it’s probably a slight discount on him
I just drafted in my 12 team ppr league. I think I drafted a pretty solid squad, but Yahoo thinks otherwise with their draft grade lol. Don’t see how this is a D grade team lol. Anyway do you see anywhere i need improvement? Team is below.
qb matthew stafford
wr chris godwin
wr robert woods
wr tyler boyd
rb christian mccaffrey
rb chris carson
te rob gronkowski
flex kareem hunt
bn j.k. dobbins
bn brandin cooks
bn tevin coleman
bn tony pollard
bn brandon aiyuk
bn irv smith jr
k matt prater
deb new england
Ha it looks solid to me too, forget Yahoo’s draft grades! Not sure who’s in charge of that crap. RB depth is where I’d look to improve.
AP was just cut. Is McKissic available? I’d swap Coleman or Pollard out for him before someone else snags him. Actually not sure if you need the 2nd TE either, can probably just pick Irv or someone else up if Gronk gets hurt.
Btw golden tate was recently dropped. Should I pick him up once he clears waivers? If so, who do i drop?
Yep, I’d ditch Irv for now
Thoughts on AJ Green in a revamped Cincy lineup? has he fallen far enough to be considered a value pick?
The upside is definitely there, just hard to trust he stays healthy at this point. I’m passing on him but in shallow leagues I could see taking the gamble since there will be good replacement options available when needed.
Hey Donkey,
I am in a 12 team PPR redraft league in the midst of draft.
My rbs so far are Gurley and Melvin Gordon
MY wrs are michael thomas, DJ Moore, DJ Chark and Stefon Diggs
Other owner just offered me trade after our draft completes:
I give Gordon and Diggs for his Aaron Jones and Michael Gallup
I think this sounds ok deal and gives me upgrade at rb with Jones over Gordon.
What do you think??
Hey Earl,
Yep, I’d make that swap…
Someone offered me Captain Christian Kirk for Saucy Boy Williams. Ppr. WWDTD?
Dang that’s a really strong offer. I’d take it. I have them next to each other in my rankings though…
Is Ronald Jones II droppable for one of the guys on this list given the Fournette signing?
Yes, I’d take Kerryon, Moss or Preston over him if they’re available
Donkey,
Keepers draft to,ite :
i have :
WR DV Adams
RB Kamara
RB chubb
RB Mixon
RB Aaron Jones
so i already have Rb and Flex filled !
i pick 7 and 10, then 23 and 26 and need to land 2 top WRs a maybe a top QB asap,
Top RB s are avb , like Jonathan Taylor but i’m fully full already… i’ll focus on rookies a bit later:
Zac Moss, AJ Dillon
WR : Odell Beckham / JUJU S / Thielen / A. Robinson /
WR: Metcalf / AJ Brown / Lockett / A. Cooper / Mc Laurin / Chark / Sutton / Diggs / K. Allen / Robert Woods / Marquise Brown
QB : DS Watson / Prescott /R. Wilson / J. Allen / A. Rodgers … or i an land a tier 3 QB later :(
TE: Andrews / Waller / Engram / Hurst
who would be your focus ? i’d say robust with : DK or AJ Brown instead of taking risks with Beckham (will be gone by pick7!) or Diggs… then maybe Courtland Sutton or Mc Laurin? young future top WRs
as for QBs , if i go WR/WR, maybe J.Allen would be an interesting pick at round 8?
then TE : Waller or Hurst round 9?
That all sounds like a great plan but don’t forget about Diggs. He’s super undervalued this year imo. Would be fun to pair him with Allen too. Not sure Waller falls that far but would be awesome if he did….
i’ll let you know in a few hours …
and the result is :
QB Allen (paired with Diggs)
WR1 DVAdams
WR2 DK Metcalf (future top WR)
Wr3 AJ BROWN (future to pWr)
Rb1 Kamara
Rb2 Chubb
TE Hurst
Flex1 A.Jones
Flex 2 Mixon
K Prater DET
DEF Indy
Bench :
QB DS Watson ( yeah baby…)
RB Zac Moss (no more need for RBs) – Best avb
WR DIGGS/ NK Harry / Preston Williams / CEEDEE / Jeudy !!! Your sleepers / future rankings
TE Hooper – nice TE2
should be damn good ^^ except bye weeks ^^ no K2 DEF2
avb players :
QB mayfield
RB cohen /Alex mattison / AJ Dillon
WR DS Jax / Ayiuk
TE : Fant / Goedert
K: Boswell / Koo
DEF : CLE /DAL / SEA / GB / TEN
Wow, you’re loaded. 10 teams?
Do you have any concerns Dalvin is going to develop Mixon Migraines before the season starts? I could drop Breida and pick up Mattison to screw the Dalvin owner in my league.
Definitely a “migraine” concern! Yeah I’d grab Mattison over Breida there…
I think Mixon getting a deal probably did give Dalvin a migraine. Ha!
If Kamara gets his, Dalvin’s migraines might turn into a full blown panic attack situation.
Now if only I could get Mattison in the league where *I* drafted Dalvin. :(
No doubt. But then on the flip side you have Fournette getting cut….
DT ! Dropping Mack for Love?? 14 team .. 1/2 PPR .. thank you!
Hey D’s Nuts! I’d keep Mack for now. Anyone else you can drop?
First Time back in Fantasy Football in 5 years….How did I do?
10 team I kept Henry for my 5th round pick.
Brees
Daniel Jones
Kenyan Drake
Derrick Henry
Kareem Hunt
Kerryon Johnson
Johnatan Taylor
Michael Thomas
OBJ
Terry McLaurin
Chark
Preston Williams
Gesicki
Tucker
Bears Def
Loving that I got your top two sleepers!
Looks great! 10 teamers are tough because everyone ends up loaded but your team looks especially scary…
Welcome back to football!
As an Ekeler owner would you draft Joshua Kelley as his handcuff? I’m hearing Rumors Kelley actually may get a decent size of the carries this season with him and Ekeler both on the field at the same time. I’d like to hear your thoughts.
If you think I should cuff who would you drop?
Devin Singletary, Ronald Jones, Kerryon Johnson, Latavius Murray, or Dionte Johnson.
Yo H, absolutely get him on your team. He’s my number 3 sleeper above!
Tough call on the cut…it’s either Latavius or RoJo. Depends how confident you are in Kamara not holding out. Think if it were me I’d dump Latavius…
14 team PPR with 6 pt TD throws. keep 2 (i got aj brown in the 21st and parker in the 20th)
see how this one looks (i love it). got 4 IR’s here and might need most of them early on (but unlike in some years i didn’t take the discount on REALLY injured guys, like jeffery or some others like in past year’s)
QB (1), wentz (6), tannehill (14)
RB (2): mixon (1), gurley (2), d-mont (5), KJ (yr boy, 8th, 108 overall), mattison (10th)
WR (3): parker (20th, K), aj brown (21st, K), mclaurin (3), landry (4), perriman (16, i saw how long he was lasting and i’m like yep, could’ve grabbed like r.anderson slightly earlier, wanted p-will but missed him by 2 picks earlier, got the IR space for now if he’s out)
TE (1): engram (7th, surprisingly he ISN’T one of the yet possible IR guys), hooper (12th)
1 flex
K (1): succop (got the TB job, 19th)
LB (2): b.wagner (11), j.smith DAL (13), j.brown TEN (18)
DL (1): hunter (9)
DB (2): collins (15), peppers (17)
separate league, similar settings, (but 2 DL’s) and 16 teamer dynasty, i recently traded for the 3.15 pick, had to move out a LB, traded away LVH (i have others ranked near him and similar ages), i have the 16th in all rounds, we’re coming up on my 1.16 pick now. i have trubisky + tannehill here and max QB is from 2 at most NFL teams if healthy. trade the 3.16 for minshew to drop trubisky there?
Nice team!
What type of player is available at 3.16? Definitely prefer Minshew by a good bit but you saw Trubisky will be the bears starter, right?
oh no i didn’t see that last part on trubisky.
not much is available at 3.16.
this is where we are at:
1.1 c.young DL WAS
1.2 CEH RB KC (auto’d, owner got back to me that he’s here but needs to be texted not emailed)
1.3 – ruggs WR LV
1.4 akers RB LAR
1.5 j.taylor RB IND
1.6 swift RB DET
1.7 lamb WR DAL
1.8 burrow QB CIN
1.9 MIA – dobbins RB BAL
1.10 KC – gibson RB/WR WAS
1.11 NYG – jeudy WR DEN
1.12 SEA – z.moss RB BUF
1.13 LAC – hurst TE ATL
1.14
1.15
1.16 me and i need RB FAR more than WR (and more ARI players in general, we need a 7 min from the team name, i can cheaply switch koo for ARI kicker)
the guy at 1.1, 1.3 and 1.14 is the same owner (start 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 flex, 1 QB, 2 LB, 2 DB, 2 DL, 1 K, 1 team D). he tanked and got lots of picks in the first 3 rounds this year, he’s the guy trying to trade minshew for late 3rd or early 4th rounder. he has goff/minshew and these are in FA: bridge, tygod, foles, carr, haskins, the backups and the other non burrow rookies. so i can improve on trubisky likely without doing this trade.
Hmmm I like Minshew quite a bit. But maybe wait til the pick comes up and weigh your options?
same team just took tua and he knew he was doing that. that’s why he’s selling off minshew, he’d have to drop him by the 10th anyway
Maybe see if he’ll take your 5th?
he said late 3rd (i have 3.15 and 3.16 from the LVE trade) or early 4th, but 4.16. could maybe talk him into 4.16 but almost certainly not 5.16
Might as well try 4.16
Baker or Tannehill for my backup QB? (I have Josh Allen as my QB).