This will probably be the last direct buy low, sell high, avoid article you’ll see for the rest of the season because…well, there’s only been one game, people.  What the heck?  I can’t divine what will happen on Sunday and tell you what to do about it.  If I had, you would’ve seen Kevin Ogletree in my top ten for Wide Receivers for week 1 and we all know that didn’t happen, like, anywhere on the internet from a fantasy football expert with integrity.  Not claiming we have integrity here, per se, as our previous articles would show but we do know that Kevin is going to get picked up everywhere this week.  In fact, you’re not even going to read this article, you’re just going to ask me if you should drop some player for him in the comments.  It’s ok, I’m an American; I don’t expect you to read anymore unless it’s a tweet where we substitute ‘you’ with ‘u’ and ‘humanitarian of the year’ with ‘Kim Kardashian’.  Instead of talking about Ogletree, let’s talk about how frustrated Dez Bryant owners were on Wednesday.  Alright, his line was fine – 4 recs and 85 yards – but people were expecting those Kevin stats and redzone targets.  It’s week one and if comments in the forums and on here tell me anything, it’s that people are ready to make a move before a full week has even played out.  I’m not saying this as a full Dez lover but more as seeing you could have a buy-low window of opportunity.  I’d try and seize the prize for a 6 month subscription to Vibe magazine and a box of chiclets if I could.  Should you really be able to in a league of non-mouth breathers?  No.  But should you take advantage if you can?  In a french word: oui.

BUY

Victor Cruz – Loudon gave you the lowdown this might be a bad game for Cruz earlier in the week and it lived up to the unhype but realize this: he led his team in target percentage for the week at 34.4%.  That’s only 0.3% behind Ogletree’s targets!  That last sentence was meant to be funny in a sad sort of way and is in no way condoning you picking him up.  But as we’ve covered, you haven’t read this so I’ll tell you that in the comments. 

SELL

Martellus Bennett – If for some reason you had him for this game, congrats!  Now get him the heck outta here!  His end line was nice for a TE with those 4 receptions for 40 yards and a TD.  He also T-Rex’ed a pass on the sideline that should’ve been caught.  I wasn’t a fan before the season and still ain’t.

DeMarco Murray – Yeah, I’m kinda shocked to be saying this too.  I watched the game and thought he did great but three things worry me here.  One, he is currently not a part of the passing game.  Felix Jones came in as the 3rd down passing back.  I don’t know if that’ll hold all season but it’s reason to be worried because two, Dallas threw for all three of their touchdowns.  You’d like your RB1 to get a few more touchdown chances, wouldn’t ya?  My third and final worry is his running style.  The dude is a beast.  He ran like Marion Barber only he actually gained yardage when he did.  He’s a bruiser back that might get bruised in return.  It’s plays like the second one of this video that make me go ‘does he wanna score a touchdown or just hurt somebody?  And will he hurt himself while he was at it?  And how much longer am I gonna keep writing in quotation marks?’  Trust me, the real football fan in me says go get’um, the fantasy football fan in me says you’ll break your head doing that every play.  Don’t sell him for a box of day old Krispy Kremes but if one of the big RBs has a bad day this Sunday, don’t hesitate to take advantage either.

HOLD

Jason Witten – Now I will preface this with saying I almost put him as a sell but want to see what week 2 holds.  If he’s too hurt to perform but keeps playing, he’s going to be worthless this season.  If he misses a few games to start the year, you might be better off.  Since I don’t know what Dallas’ plan is with him at this time, I’m going to not go to red alert and keep it in the yellow for now.  I just really hope this isn’t a season long issue.  And yes, I firmly believe if he were healthy you wouldn’t be asking me about Ogletree in the comments.

David Wilson – Hey, he was on your bench for the first game anyway, right?  Right?!?  Ok it was a 16 team league with 5 flex spots and you played him so yeah, that kinda hurt.  Just remember, Tom Hanks only said there was no crying in baseball.  Football is still wide open for manly tears, right?  Right?!?  Well whatever, if you bought him in the draft it wasn’t  for one game.  And before you ask it, the answer is no; you’re not dropping him for Ogletree.

  1. Eric says:
    (link)

    @Sky Haha I got a double trade going on and I was wondering what you thought?

    2 QB league with 2 WR spots, 2 RB spots, 1 W/T, 1 W/RB, and 1 W/Rb/T spots.

    QBs: A.Rodgers, M.Ryan, P.Rivers
    RBs: Willis Mcgahee, AP, Michael Bush, Isaiah Pead
    WR: Julio, Colston, Torrey Smith, Garcon, Meachem, L.Moore, Blackmon, Baldwin

    I know you said to sell Murray but I’m thinking of buying him.

    First Trade: Julio Jones for D.Murray (Trade is pretty much set, I just need to accept)

    Second Trade: Murray + Rivers (hopefully) or M.Ryan for S.Jackson + Larry Fitzgerald. (70% chance? still in the works)

    I think even if I was able to do only the first trade, it would benefit my team?

    What do you think?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Depends on how you feel about Murray for the rest of the year. But turning Julio/Rivers into Steven Jackson and Fitz might work out better for you.

      • Eric says:
        (link)

        @Sky, So basically you’re not a fan of the first trade but you like the possible 2nd trade. Gotcha.

  2. Rob says:
    (link)

    Drop Dwayne Harris for ogletree?
    Was offered Vick and b Lloyd for Brees and Tebow in a 2 qb league (I’m weak at WR)

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Hard to say on the second trade without knowing your team. First move is fine though.

  3. Plainview says:
    (link)

    I have Run-DMC at RB1 and Marshawn Lynch at RB2. I plan to play Lynch if he goes but my other options are Cedric Benson or Issac Redman, both of whom I could use since they are in late games also. Right now, I’m leaning toward Redman but Benson is healthy – which one would you use and/or would you pick one over Lynch even if he plays?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d lean Benson if Lynch is a no-go.

  4. mcbluntsky says:
    (link)

    .5 ppr league, who would you start in a flex, ced benson or p garcon, all other points are equal rc/yds=rush/yds points wise

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d prefer Garcon there.

  5. iMP says:
    (link)

    As a PPR Murray owner, I was already getting worried about the lack of passing role too, but hadn’t considered the bowling ball problem. How are you seeing Murray’s ROS value compared to Mathews, Lynch, Richardson and Martin? The first two scare me for their current injuries, the last two because they are rookies who tend to get hurt more and have less of a track record. Who would you trade straight up at this point?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      At this point out of that bunch? Actually no one. I don’t think Murray goes down week 2 but his running style isn’t meant for 20 carries a game for 16 games. Maybe ride the wave a bit longer and see if Matthews or Lynch heal up here soon. Murray’s still good but it gave me cause for concern the way he played…but man was it fun to watch.

  6. CL says:
    (link)

    With the news that Jaquizz Rodgers will split carries with Turner and return kicks, is he more valuable than Shonne Greene at RB2 in a 12 team, 1pt PPR, with return yards?

    Is he more valuable than Crabtree in flex?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Tup*2

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Eh that was supposed to be yup

  7. Greg says:
    (link)

    Flex position…. PPR league. Steven Ridley or Reggie Wayne?

    I have Andy Luck starting so I’m torn here. I’m lean towards Ridley in case Luck bleeps the bed. But Chicago’s pass d is a bit suspect w. a bum knee on Urlacher so maybe I should got Wayne?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      PPR aside Ridley should be good for a TD and some yardage. I’d lean Ridley

      • Greg says:
        (link)

        @Sky, thanks for the quick response. I’m rolling w. Ridley. Lets just hope Belichick doesn’t get “creative” with the RBs like he has done in the past!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          No prob, hope you have a great Sunday!

  8. Tom Tuttle says:
    (link)

    Which one RB do I start between Lynch, Turbin and Frank Gore? non-ppr. Thanks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      It’s either Lynch or Turbin depending on Marshawn’s health. I’m leaning Turbin right now.

  9. JP says:
    (link)

    12 team h2h league, yahoo standard + 0.5pt PPR..do i keep MJD on the bench? My current starters:
    QB – Brees
    RB – Donald Brown
    RB – Deangelo Williams
    WR – Dez Bryant
    WR – Torrey Smith
    WR – Desean Jackson
    TE – Jarred Cook
    Flex – Lance Moore
    DEF – Seattle
    K – Hanson

    Bench: MJD, Royster, Little, Dwyer, Collie

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      You’re safer starting Moore.

  10. coco krispie says:
    (link)

    drop mark ingram or dwyer for ogletree in 12 teamer non ppr? my wr are dez, torrey smith and reggie wayne with heyward bey on the bench. rbs are rice, r matthews, and d. martin.

    Thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Nah, I’d hold

  11. Charles says:
    (link)

    Sky,

    I ended up starting Miles Austin at WR2 because I have an option to go Steve Smith or Marshawn Lynch for week 1 flex and their lingering injuries concern me. If Austin had a big game I was going to go more conservative and start lynch and if he was a bust I was going to start
    smith as more of a high risk high reward play. With all that said do I stick with Lynch at flex due to Austin’s sucess on wednesday even with all the underlying back problems? My other flex otions are: Garcon, Donald Brown, Cedric Benson

    Also what are your thoughts on Miles Austin’s value after week one? He looked very sluggish and I only counted about 10 routes that he actually ran the rest of the time he was in the slot running out routes and romo wasnt even giving him the time of day. Was his decent game a case of right place right time against a terrible Giant’s secondary or is the Miles from 2009 going to reemerge? Buy or Sell after week 1? Thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d lean Garcon

      I like Austin. He’s still dealing with hamstring issues and yet made that catch for a TD. I think the Giants terrible secondary tried to make up for it by leaving Ogletree wide open and covering the main two targets, hoping Kevin wouldn’t perform. If you have Miles, you’re holding. I can’t say to buy because he scored a touchdown and won’t come cheap.

      • Charles says:
        (link)

        @Sky,
        Just saw Steve Smith’s 2011 stats agains TB (1 REC 9 yrds) yikes!!!

        So yea Garcon could be a great call lets just hope RGIII doesnt get the rookie jitters haha

        I was hoping that Austin would have the game ogle..whater his name is had  but Im holding Austin for sure, unless I get a great offer for a TE as I have no depth or even a certified starter at the position. Thanks

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          @Charles, Man, sorry for missing this one when you posted it. Didn’t even realize Smith had that game vs TB last year. Cam is going to be a rollercoaster ride this year, in my mind. People don’t realize he had a 2010 Vick rushing game and a 2011 Vick passing game. He’s gonna have to find a way to be more consistent so his WRs can follow suit.

          Yeah, even if RGIII has those jitters, I really can’t see how he doesn’t provide for his owners this week. He should be playing from behind and free to fling it creating fantasy gold all around him.

          I’m sure Dez owners wanted Oglestank’s line but would’ve settled for Austin’s. Good ‘ole one week of data to build on. Hope you didn’t spend your waiver on that Ogle guy!

          • Chuck says:
            (link)

            @Sky,

            Great call on Garcon. Thanks

            • Sky

              Sky says:
              (link)

              @Chuck, ha, I’m not going to own the TD bomb but he’s going to be a good target for RGIII. Couple that with Saints giving up so much yardage last year, he was a fairly easy call.

  12. Christian says:
    (link)

    Putting in the trade offer for Dez in a 12 team, 1pt PPR as I type… Seeing if Blackmon and Taiwan Jones (McFadden owner) get it done.

    Flex question for you this week. Provided that Lynch sits or is severely limited, AP is gets in the 4-8 touch range, and MJD is the 3rd down back only, who do like between these 4 backups with upside best Week 1:

    Turbin
    Gerhart
    Jennings
    J. Rodgers

    Also, what deep sleepers would you recommend over Ronnie Hillman?

    Thanks so much!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Nice, good luck with the trade!

      Gerhart, Turbin, Rodgers, Jennings in that order.

      Not sure how to answer the last question: are you asking me if you’d drop any of the RBs you listed for Hillman? I wouldn’t.

  13. Dolabill says:
    (link)

    Pick 4. 12 team standard scoring (looking to fill rb2, wr3, 2 r/w/t flex spots)
    Kevin Smith
    Reggie Bush
    Ronnie Brown
    Malcolm Floyd
    Stevie Johnson

    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Smith/Bush/Brown/Floyd

  14. Charles says:
    (link)

    Just saw Steve Smith’s 2011 stats agains TB (1 REC 9 yrds) yikes!!!

    So yea Garcon could be a great call lets just hope RGIII doesnt get the rookie jitters haha

    I was hoping that Austin would have the game ogle..whater his name is had  but Im holding Austin for sure, unless I get a great offer for a TE as I have no depth or even a certified starter at the position. Thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      No prob

  15. Principle Blackman says:
    (link)

    I’ve been hearing a lot of doubt about Marshawn Lynch going into week one, but I see that you have him ranked pretty high in your weekly positional rankings. I’m a little worried that he won’t get an RB1 workload which in my league (ppr and pprush attempt) is death. Do I start Shonne Greene in his place, or will an injured Lynch still be more valuable than a healthy Greene?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Yeah, trying to call a week on a Wednesday (i.e. Tuesday night) sucks. I’d lean Greene right now even though I don’t want to.

  16. i think you’re dead wrong on the bennett call. the giants do not give opportunities to people who they are suspect of … even with the dropped pass in the first, bennett saw action when the giants needed it most. he might not be a top TE now, but he will be.

    i also have no idea why you would demote murray after this game … against the best d line in football … equipped with the worst o line in football … he still made waves due to his pure athletic ability. he joins the fantasy elite at RB this year.

    you also missed on cruz. he benefited from being the unknown part of the NYG offense last year. wednesday night showed that he is going to have a hard time playing with expectations (and double coverage). Unless Hixon steps up and becomes a viable threat, Cruz will be a highly touted decoy this season.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      So we can agree to disagree. We’ll see how the season pans out.

    • HotRod says:
      (link)

      @melillo,

      The G-Men are far from the best Rush D-Line in Football…all they do is pin their ears back and go after the QB…whether he has the ball or not.

      • Charles says:
        (link)

        @HotRod,

        Agreed, if you take away the 48 yard run on a missed contain assignment by “the best d line in football” you would be looking at 20 carries for 83 yards a respectable 4 yards per carry but not amazingly impressive. Murray could have a great next few games due to upcoming defenses scheming around stopping the pass but over the long run. I don’t think we learned enough about murray from this single game to say sell or not but we did learn one thing and that’s a team with issues in the secondary is going to struggle spending all your cap assets on the front 4 is not an effective stategy if you can get to the QB. Don’t overvalue any cowboys offensive player until we see more from them

        • @Charles, i can sympathize with your apprehension, but I think Murray is a stud … Remember: The Cowboys lost their starting center early in the game. Under normal circumstances, they shouldn’t have been able to run the ball effectively.

          if the giants D line isn’t the best run stop, they have to be in the top 5. When Murray lines up against the chumps of the NFC south this year he is going to post up huge numbers.

          • Charles says:
            (link)

            @melillo,

            By NFC south chumps I guess you are referring to Carolina, Atlanta, and New Orleans? Good luck getting production out of a RB that’s not involved in the passing games when the cowboys play those teams
            Bottom line I hope he finds the end zone for you a few times before he breaks down in week 4…I already let him go last week for Dez Bryant and Micheal Turner

  17. Steve Stevenson says:
    (link)

    12 team league, start 1 QB, 2 RB, no flex. I waited on QB, but scooped Tate as my RB4 as he dropped to the 10th rd. The Foster owner doesn’t have much RB depth, and I’m thinking of seeing if I can upgrade my QB situation.

    Would an offer of Tate + Luck for Eli be fair for both sides given the below rosters? What about for Eli + M Bush? Or would you just hold Tate in my shoes?

    Team A:
    QB – Eli, Cutler
    RB – Foster, Turner, M Bush, Hillman

    Team B:
    QB – Roethlisberger, Luck, Tebow
    RB – Rice, Mathews, Ingram, Tate, Hunter, J Rodgers

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Try for Bush/Eli; looks more like Arian Foster could be a no-go this weekend. If he doesn’t want Tate for that price, it’ll be his loss, not yours.

  18. Charles says:
    (link)

    @Sky,

    Still feel good about garçon over Steve smith even with the saints bounty suspensions waived?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      You mean the team that was 3rd to last in defensive passing yards per game last year? Yeah, I’m fine with it if Steve Smith isn’t healthy to go :)

  19. go team says:
    (link)

    Stevie Johnson, heyward-bay, or mike Williams. Tbb as my wr2 in a 1headlock point ppr league? Thanks

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      DHB.

  20. ShadyBrady says:
    (link)

    10 Team non PPR

    Owen Daniels or Jared Cook (TE) for the long run?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Non-PPR, I’d give Cook a chance first.

  21. Gabe says:
    (link)

    Q1. Someone in my league just dropped Kyle Rudolph, Who should I drop to pick him up? I NEED to pick him up because my TE position is the weakest part. I am thinking to drop Alshon Jeffery, since he might not step right into the 2nd WR role in the Bears offense right away and will only emerge in mid season.

    Q2. Should I pick up Ogletree? If so, who should I drop?

    Q3. Who should I start at FLEX? I am starting Rice, Ridley, Jones, Lloyd.

    12 Teams PPR League 1pt rec. 4pt TD pass

    QB: Matt Ryan
    RB: Ray Rice
    RB: Ryan Mathews
    RB: Steven Ridley
    RB: Petyon Hillis
    RB: C.J Spiller
    RB: Kendall Hunter
    WR: Julio Jones
    WR: Brandon Lloyd
    WR: Titus Young
    WR: Brandon LeFall
    WR: Alshon Jeffery
    WR: Danny Amendola
    TE: Greg Olsen
    DST: Lions
    K: Mike Nugent

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      1) drop Alston for him

      2) no

      3) Hillis

  22. Adam says:
    (link)

    I’m in a league that scores pretty big pts for D/ST (25-35 for strong performances), which includes return TDs. I have the SF def, but am not thrilled about playing them week 1 against GB.

    Which of the following would be your top substitute on the week?

    MIN vs JAC
    NO vs WAS
    ARI vs SEA

    MIN is projected (conservatively) for 16 on the week by ESPN, and NO/ARI are 11.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      MIN

  23. Prezii says:
    (link)

    Skyski.. better brown RB flex?

    Ronnie or Donald?

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      I’d lean Donald

      • Prezii says:
        (link)

        @Sky, Thanks buddyyyy!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          No prob, Preziiiiiiiiii!

  24. Chris says:
    (link)

    Doug Martin or DeAngelo Williams

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Martin

      • Chris says:
        (link)

        @Sky, you still say Martin with Stewart out?

        • Sky

          Sky says:
          (link)

          @Chris, Probably pretty even now. I’d still say Martin in a PPR but there’s a chance DeAngelo is very useful today.

  25. JTR says:
    (link)

    Pick one for FLEX: Helu, Kendall Wright, or Crabtree?

    Thanks!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Wright

  26. jeff says:
    (link)

    @sky not sure if you’re still answering q’s from this post but pick one for flex: Beanie, Helu or Alfred Morris. .5 PPR. Thanks in advance!

    • Sky

      Sky says:
      (link)

      Oh I am, don’t you worry. Man, you are just mean…two redskins backs and Beanie? I’m goin Beanie.

Comments are closed.