As training camps start kicking off, it’s time to set our pre-season DST rankings based on off-season activity. Once the season starts, I’ll provide weekly updates based on matchups but for now, these are the overall rankings. Let me know what you think in the comments below. Rank DST Up/Down Comments […]
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Tre’Davious White
Week 5 Starts and Sits: Win/Loss Players Splits
October 3, 2024 | Fantasy Football Strategy, FEATURED | 2 Commentsby: Crews
Welcome to bye weeks. And games outside the U.S. This week, the Detroit Lions, Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, and Tennessee Titans have a bye. Each team will have a bye between now and Week 14 with the exceptions of Week 8 and Week 13. Looking ahead, Weeks 12 and 14 will hit harder with […]
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The goal of this article is to find WRs to fade and buy based on how many fantasy points their opponent allows in the slot vs. out wide. In today’s article we will review the key out wide matchups for week 15. To keep up with the latest defensive trends we updated the analysis to only include the last 5 weeks.
The below chart breaks down where each team allows their fantasy points to WRs and is listed from the most to the least amount of fantasy points allowed out wide over the past 5 weeks.
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Defense Slot vs. Wide Analysis – Key Out Wide Matchups Week 4
October 2, 2021 | Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
Key Out Wide Matchups For Week 4
The goal of this article is to find WRs to fade and buy based on how many fantasy points their opponent allows in the slot vs. out wide. In today’s article we will review the key out wide matchups for week 4.
The below chart breaks down where each team allows their fantasy points to wide receivers and is listed from the most to the least amount of fantasy points allowed out wide to WRs this season.
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – 2020 Cornerback Review
April 5, 2021 | Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
| Cornerbacks | Games in Shadow Coverage | PPG Allowed | Games Under 10 PPG | Top 24 WRs Faced | Y/SNP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Bradberry | 9 | 8.6 | 5 | 5 | 0.75 |
| Carlton Davis | 8 | 9.4 | 5 | 4 | 1.37 |
| Darius Slay | 7 | 13.6 | 3 | 4 | 1.53 |
| Jalen Ramsey | 5 | 13.5 | 2 | 5 | 0.53 |
| Bradley Roby | 5 | 10.9 | 3 | 2 | 0.72 |
| Patrick Peterson | 5 | 13.4 | 2 | 4 | 1.05 |
| William Jackson | 5 | 6.2 | 3 | 2 | 1.07 |
| Isaac Yiadom | 5 | 8.2 | 3 | 0 | 1.2 |
| Malcolm Butler | 5 | 7.9 | 3 | 3 | 1.36 |
| Jaire Alexander | 4 | 9.6 | 2 | 3 | 0.64 |
| Tre’Davious White | 4 | 9.5 | 2 | 1 | 0.94 |
| Stephon Gilmore | 4 | 8.2 | 2 | 2 | 1.01 |
| Janoris Jenkins | 4 | 9.1 | 3 | 1 | 1.17 |
| J.C. Jackson | 4 | 21.8 | 2 | 1 | 1.23 |
| Xavien Howard | 4 | 11.3 | 1 | 2 | 1.25 |
| Marshon Lattimore | 4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1.27 |
Chart Key
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 14
December 12, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy | 1 Commentby: Bobby LaMarco
| Shadow Coverage Tracker | |
|---|---|
| WR Finish | Total |
| 1 | 18 |
| 2 | 9 |
| 3 | 11 |
| 4+ | 28 |
| Grand Total | 66 |
Team: Arizona Cardinals
Opponent: New York Giants
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins
Shadow Coverage Matchup: James Bradberry
| DeAndre Hopkins vs. Shadow Coverage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | Rec | Yards | TDs | PPG |
| All Other Opponents | 27 | 7.4 | 96.3 | 0.4 | 16 |
| Vs. Shadow Coverage | 19 | 6.5 | 73.8 | 0.6 | 14.1 |
| vs. James Bradberry | 1 | 5 | 41 | 0 | 6.6 |
The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 12
November 28, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
| Shadow Coverage Tracker | |
|---|---|
| WR Finish | Total |
| 1 | 15 |
| 2 | 8 |
| 3 | 8 |
| 4+ | 25 |
| Grand Total | 56 |
Team: Arizona Cardinals
Opponent: New England
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins
WR2: Christian Kirk
Shadow Coverage Matchup: Stephon Gilmore
J.C. Jackson
| DeAndre Hopkins vs. Shadow Coverage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | Rec | Yards | TDs | PPG |
| All Other Opponents | 27 | 7.4 | 96.3 | 0.4 | 16 |
| Vs. Shadow Coverage | 17 | 6.5 | 76.2 | 0.6 | 14.4 |
| vs. Stephon Gilmore | 3 | 6.7 | 72.7 | 0 | 10.6 |
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
According to PFF this season DeAndre Hopkins has yet to face any shadow coverage in 2020. This comes after back to back seasons where he saw shadow coverage in 50% of his games. This “softer” cornerback schedule has led to a solid season so far in 2020 as Hopkins is the WR7 in PPG. Overall, throughout his career Hopkins has been solid vs. shadow coverage as his 14.4 PPG is still borderline WR1 numbers.
As for Christian Kirk he has never seen shadow coverage in his career, but that doesn’t stop the Patriots from using shadow coverage on multiple players. In weeks 9 and 11 of 2020 the Patriots used multiple CBs to shadow the opposing teams WRs and in 2019 used Stephon Gilmore and J.C. Jackson in similar roles down the stretch.
Week 12 Recommendation DeAndre Hopkins – WR3/Flex
Christian Kirk – SIT
Hopkins’ 10.6 vs. Stephon Gilmore doesn’t make him a sit, but tempering expectations on the road vs. the Patriots isn’t a bad idea. Hopkins has yet to score a TD or top 80 yards receiving in any of the games vs. Gilmore since he joined the Patriots back in 2017. These numbers leave Hopkins as solid WR2/flex in week 12.
As for Christian Kirk J.C. Jackson has been playing at a very high level slowing down a white-hot Will Fuller (6-80) while leading the NFL in interceptions so far in 2020. This season the Patriots have yet to allow a team to have multiple WRs hit double digit fantasy points in .5 PPR at home in 2020.
DFS Recommendation – DeAndre Hopkins Price FD $8,500 / DK $8,100
Christian Kirk Price FD $6,100 / DK $5,800
Hopkins vs. Gilmore doesn’t equal DFS success as his 10 PPG will not justify his cost on both sites. At this price point you can pay up for Tyreek Hill in a game which should be a shootout in TB. As for Christian Kirk his price point on both sites is between WR 24-30, and with not a lot of WR success overall when the Patriots play at home its best to pivot. Players I would use over Kirk include DeVante Parker vs. NYJ and Curtis Samuel vs. MIN.
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 10
November 14, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football | 2 Commentsby: Bobby LaMarco
Team: Washington Football Team
Opponent: Detroit Lions
WR1: Terry McLaurin
Shadow Coverage Matchup: Desmond Trufant
| Terry McLaurin vs. Shadow Coverage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | Games | Rec | Yards | TDs | PPG |
| All Other Opponents | 15 | 4.9 | 72.7 | 0.5 | 12.5 |
| Vs. Shadow Coverage | 7 | 5 | 74.3 | 0.4 | 12.5 |
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
So far in 2020 Terry McLaurin has gotten it done vs. Shadow coverage finishing as a WR1 in 2/3 contests. However, in week 2 vs. Arizona it wasn’t until the Washington Football Team was down 3 scores late when McLaurin to finally got his production. Last week vs. James Bradberry McLaurin’s final line looks strong with 7-115-1, but his 68-yard TD came from the slot on a play where 3 Giants defenders missed a tackle. Now making plays isn’t a bad thing and there is 4 quarters in football no matter what so production is production.
Week 9 Recommendation – WR3/Flex
It took almost all season, but the Lions finally have a CB they can use as a shadow corner. Offseason acquisition Desmond Trufant is finally healthy and was tasked to shadow Adam Thielen holding him to 2-38 on 5 targets. The Lions were one of the top teams in using shadow coverage the prior two seasons, so we should expect this trend to continue. McLaurin has been great all year, but I don’t expect the Lions offense to put up points in bunches which means McLaurin might not have the best game flow to dominate this week.
DFS Recommendation – Price FanDuel (FD) $7,000 / Draft Kings (DK) $6,800
On FD McLaurin is priced as a top 15 option and with both offenses not expected to light it up this week I would look elsewhere. Players on FD I would pivot to include Robert Woods vs. SEA and Allen Robinson vs. MIN. On DK McLaurin is getting the love he deserves being priced as a top 10 option. However, this week player should pivot away as both Robert Woods and Allen Robinson should have better matchups.
Team: New York Giants
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 9
November 7, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy | 1 Commentby: Bobby LaMarco
Team: Jacksonville Jaguars
Opponent: Houston Texans
WR1: D.J. Chark
Shadow Coverage Matchup: Bradley Roby
|
D.J. Chark vs. Shadow Coverage |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Opponent |
Games |
Rec |
Yards |
TDs |
PPG |
|
All Other Opponents |
18 |
4.9 |
66.8 |
0.6 |
12.8 |
|
Vs. Shadow Coverage |
3 |
3.7 |
32.3 |
0.0 |
5.1 |
|
Vs. Houston Texans |
3 |
4.7 |
34.3 |
0.3 |
7.8 |
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
It has been a tough go of it for D.J. Chark when he has faced shadow coverage in his young career only averaging 5.1 PPG. This includes a matchup earlier this season vs. Bradley Roby where he only secured 3 receptions for 16 yards. This production came on a day when Gardner Minshew threw for 301 yards and 2 scores. Dating back to last season Chark has yet to get over 50 yards or score in a game when he faces shadow coverage.
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 6
October 16, 2020 | Fantasy Football Strategy | 1 Commentby: Bobby LaMarco
| Shadow Coverage Tracker | |
|---|---|
| WR Finish | Total |
| 1 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 |
| 4+ | 15 |
| Grand Total | 26 |
Team: Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opponent: Green Bay Packers
WR1: Mike Evans
Shadow Coverage Matchup: Jaire Alexander
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 5
October 9, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football | 2 Commentsby: Bobby LaMarco
| Shadow Coverage Tracker | |
|---|---|
| WR Finish | Total |
| 1 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 |
| 4+ | 11 |
| Grand Total | 22 |
Team: Jacksonville Jaguars
Opponent: Houston Texans
WR1: D.J. Chark
Shadow Coverage Match-up: Bradley Roby
Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage
Please, blog, may I have some more? The Shadow Coverage Report – Week 3
September 25, 2020 | 2020 Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Strategy |by: Bobby LaMarco
| Shadow Coverage Tracker | |
|---|---|
| WR Finish | Total |
| 1 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 4+ | 6 |
| Grand Total | 14 |
