Aaron Rodgers looked lost at times, the same way most 38-year-old hippies do on their first day back from a vision quest. Unfortunately, the Packers QB must have chosen the ayahuasca. A couple of days in the woods with Thad Castle might be exactly what Rodgers needs, as he was not on the same page with his receivers for much of the night, as he was seen throwing up his hands in desperation on a late fourth-down deep ball to Allen Lazard.

Ryan Tannehill made better reads and consistently produced more accurate throws throughout the night. Meanwhile, nearly every member of the Tennessee offense out-produced their fantasy projections. On the Green Bay side, Rodgers, Christian Watson and Randall Cobb were the lone three players to do so. And what a night it was for Watson, who posted 19.1 fantasy points and caught touchdowns No. 4 and 5 in a two-game span. His future as a Packer looks brighter than Rex Ryan’s teeth on Sunday morning.

Anyway, here’s what else I saw in another riveting edition of Thursday Night Football.

The Stage

Matchup: Tennessee Titans (6-3) at Green Bay Packers (4-6)

Line: GB (-3)

What Happened: Tennessee found a way to top Green Bay, 27-17, without leaning heavily on Derrick Henry and the running game, as Ryan Tannehill passed for 333 yards while completing 81.5% of his passes. The bulk of the Packers’ offense underwhelmed, with Aaron Rodgers finishing 227 yards and two touchdowns as the Cheeseheads dropped their sixth game in the last seven contests.

Titans Pregame Outcome vs. Projections (Half-PPR)

RB Derrick Henry24.3 (PROJ 16.6)

QB Ryan Tannehill19.0 (PROJ 12.4)

WR Treylon Burks14.6 (PROJ 6.2)

WR Robert Woods9.9 (PROJ 6.1)

TE Austin Hooper17.6 (PROJ 5.0)

RB  Dontrell Hilliard8.3 (PROJ 4.6)

WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine – 3.8 (PROJ 4.3)

TE Chigoziem Okonkwo3.6 (PROJ 3.1)

TE Geoff Swaim0.8 (PROJ 1.0)

Packers Pregame Projections vs. Outcome (Half-PPR)

QB Aaron Rodgers19.0 (PROJ 15.0)

RB Aaron Jones11.0 (PROJ 13.5)

WR Allen Lazard8.2 (PROJ 10.2)

WR Christian Watson19.1 (PROJ 8.0)

RB AJ Dillon – 2.8 (PROJ 6.6)

TE Robert Tonyan2.9 (PROJ 5.6)

WR Randall Cobb10.3 (PROJ 5.6)

WR Sammy Watkins0.0 (PROJ 4.2)

TE Josiah Deguara 0.0 (PROJ 2.1)

Fantasy Studs

1. Austin Hooper – 4 receptions (4 targets), 36 yards, 2 TDs. Hooper finished third on the team in targets behind Burks and Woods but managed to haul in all four, with half of those going for second-half touchdowns. 

2. Christian Watson – 4 receptions (6 targets); 48 yards; 2 TDs; 1 carry, 3 yards. Vastly exceeding his projections for the second-straight week, Watson posted a 19.1-point fantasy effort and was the lone Packer to turn in any real value on Thursday night. He followed last week’s eight targets with six last night — his top two totals of the season.

3. Derrick Henry – 28 carries, 87 yards, 1 TD; 2 receptions (2 targets), 45 yards. It wasn’t an elite game on the ground for Henry, who rushed for just 3.1 yards per carry. But he found the end zone, caught both of his targets and threw a three-yard TD pass to Hooper in the third quarter to post 24.3 half-PPR points.

Fantasy Duds

1. Aaron Jones -12 carries, 40 yards; 6 receptions (7 targets); 20 yards. Jones averaged just 2.9 yards per carry and only rushed the ball 12 times. He did see seven targets — his second-highest mark of the season — but that was outweighed by the zero touchdowns and 40 yards on the ground.

2. AJ Dillon – 6 carries, 13 yards; 1 reception (1 target); 10 yards. With only seven touches, Dillon was not given much of an opportunity to produce strong fantasy output after averaging 13 touches/game the previous three weeks.

3. Allen Lazard – 5 receptions (11 targets), 57 yards. Lazard’s 11 targets were a season-high, but he failed to connect with Aaron Rodgers on more than half of those attempts.

What We Learned

1. After having zero receiving touchdowns through Week 9, Christian Watson has caught five TDs in the last two games. He’s firmly in the WR3 / Flex conversation moving forward and should continue to see moderate volume.

2. AJ Dillon cannot be started in fantasy lineups. However, he is worth considering as a team’s second Flex in a 3 WR / 2 Flex format if you have a shortage of options.

3. Allen Lazard is a Flex play at best with the emergence of Christian Watson. He is not a ROS back-end WR2 by any means.

4. Austin Hooper can be deployed as a matchup-based streamer, but don’t let his Week 11 performance fool you into locking him in as your starting TE on a weekly basis.

5. Neither Aaron Rodgers nor Ryan Tannehill should be starting in your lineup outside of being a matchup-based streamer.

Lingering Question

1. Would you rather own Aaron Rodgers or Ryan Tannehill for the remainder of the fantasy season? You can make a real case for Tannehill, who could be in line for consecutive top-10 finishes at the position. Rodgers has just one such performance all year long, while Tannehill already has two on top of an 11th-place finish. 

That’s all for this week, Razzball fam! As always, I’m happy to take this conversation into the comments section or on Twitter, where you can find me @WorldOfHobbs.

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4 months ago

All I gotta say is that Hobbs does a fantastic job with these write-ups and he freaking deserves more than one comment :)

The Harrow
The Harrow
4 months ago

agreed here. he’s great in baseball too. it might have something to do with some other writers not appearing to notice they have questions possibly (just having seen that, not about anything relating to me). i don’t mean EWB either.

The Harrow
The Harrow
4 months ago
Reply to  The Harrow

also this article doesn’t really lend itself to questions as much as others for sure. it tells in good detail what occured in one game. the lingering question at the bottom goes against that, but pretty sure that’s a new feature. with burks back tannehill (see even woods had a good game here likely from that) for me.

4 months ago

Hobbs! Great breakdown. “What We Learned” is to the point with numbers to back it up. Thanks!