Imagine this line as belted out by Bruce Buffer….”IT’S TIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIME!!!!!!!!” You know it, folks, it is officially fantasy football playoffs and this past weekend either saw you in or out. For all my readers out there, I hope I provided information to help you land a spot in your playoffs. If so, and you were lucky enough to land a first-round bye, remember you cannot idly sit back and wait for Week 16. You must still massage your roster while working the wire!
With that being said, this Week 15 write-up will be a little different than previous versions. After an in-depth strategy discussion with my @Razzball partners and mentors, @BobbyLaMarco, @SkyGuasco, and @Derek_Favret, I will be looking at important handcuffs to be used as insurance for these final three games. I will also step into the world of Defenses. Though we have not discussed Defenses in this column, we always receive questions during our Sunday YouTube Start/Sit podcast (11 am-1 pm EST on our YouTube channel for free!).
So why handcuffs now? To me, it is simple. You have basically set your weekly line-up and simply need to address a Flex or Defense during the playoffs. Basically, what we are trying to do is insulate you from an injury by creating a bench like a real football team. We want to be able to pivot to the next player up by setting up that bench now versus scrambling after an injury occurs.
Sure, you will see some QB names below, but the real focus will be on the skill positions, with some Defense information added at the bottom. If you are chasing a starting QB for your playoff run, and Jared Goff is not available, I have bad news for you. Your playoff run may be short-lived.
OK…Let’s get to it and win you a fantasy football championship!
NOTE: Rostered percentages and scoring system are based on Yahoo! PPR league scoring.
Waiver Add of the Week: WR – Chris Moore (HOU, 2% rostered) Coming off a Week 14 in which Moore hauled in 10 of 11 targets for 124 yards, this young WR is looking like a potential league winner. Please temper your expectations, as Moore does play for the last-place Texans. Also, please know the Texans gave the front-running Cowboys all they could handle in Week 14. The Texans are still a real football team, with real professional athletes continuing to play the game they love. With Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins out for Week 14 and with Dameon Pierce dinged up, Moore stepped in and started catching passes at a ridiculous rate. Since we will not have information on Cooks or Collins before your waivers run, I recommend jumping on Moore now. If you need a little push to make this move, look only at the Texans’ final three games and understand this schedule is what you want to see as a fantasy manager: KC, @TEN, JAX. You will thank me later…believe that!
QB: Mike White and Brock Purdy are both banged up, and we will not know their status prior to waivers, so you will need to decide early if you need a QB or if you are rolling with the arm that carried you this far. As mentioned earlier, if you are not set at QB, you may be looking at an early exit from the 2022 playoffs.
Honorable Mention: Ryan Tannehill (TEN, 18% rostered), Mac Jones (NE, 14% rostered), Mitchell Trubisky (PIT, 1% rostered)
RB: James Cook (BUF; 60% rostered) – Still available in 40% of leagues, Cook is my #1 RB handcuff for a couple of reasons. First, he has seen his touches increase over the last few weeks. Second, he looks like a better back than Devin Singletary. Third, he has great hands, and Josh Allen throws him the ball. And fourth, the Bills need to keep winning to earn the #1 seed in the AFC.
RB: Dare Ogunbowale, Rex Burkhead (HOU; 0% and 3% rostered) – These two names are not league winners as much as they are fillers for Dameon Pierce, who may miss multiple weeks. Those same weeks just happen to coincide with your fantasy playoffs with excellent matchups like Chris Moore. If I am adding one of the two, it is Ogunbowale, and it is not close. I think Burkhead keeps his normal third down role while Ogunbowale slots in as the early down back.
RB: Alexander Mattison (MIN, 34% rostered) – I find it ludicrous that Mattison is rostered at such a low percentage. The Vikings are leading the NFC North, but the gap is shrinking, and they need to continue to win. Teams like the Vikings win by scoring points vice holding their opponent to low scores. If Dalvin Cook were to go down, Mattison immediately becomes a sure-fire RB1 and must be rostered at that point in the season.
RB: Deon Jackson (IND, 6% rostered) – Remember when Jonathan Taylor missed time earlier this season? I do, mainly because I drafted Taylor 1.01 and did not roster Jackson and took a beating as Jackson went off replacing Taylor. The Colts have an excellent fantasy playoff schedule (@MIN, LAC, @NYG), and no matter how bad they have been, Jackson is in must-roster territory.
Honorable Mention: Cam Akers (LAR, 63% rostered), Travis Homer (SEA, 36% rostered), Jordan Mason (SF, 12% rostered)
WR: D.J. Chark (DET; 41% rostered) – Chark’s roster percentage moved from 14% to 41%, which means some of you are listening. Good work, my friends! If you have a bye in Week 15, Chark is a must-add since you would not usually start him against the NYJ Defense. So grab him and stash him for Weeks 16-17 (@CAR, CHI) and play him then with confidence.
WR: Trent Taylor (CIN, 0% rostered) – With the injuries to Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd in Week 14 and the uncertainty with those two WRs heading into Week 15, Taylor is an easy add for an offense that loves to throw the ball. You should also look at Trenton Irwin (CIN, 0% rostered), who caught a long TD in Week 14. I lean toward Taylor, who has more targets and appears to be in line for more in Week 15 and beyond. Keep an eye on the Higgins and Boyd news, as it currently does not sound positive for either. Rounding out the Trent Tri-Fecta, do not forget about Trent Sherfield (MIA; 1% rostered) – I had Sherfield in the Week 14 article, and he appears again this week based on the Tyreek Hill foot injury. Purely an insurance policy if you roster Hill.
WR: Trent Sherfield (MIA; 1% rostered) – I had Sherfield in the Week 14 article, and he appears again this week based on the Tyreek Hill foot injury. Purely an insurance policy if you roster Hill.
WR: Elijah Moore (NYJ, 27% rostered) – I am placing Elijah Moore near the bottom just in case some of my future opponents are reading this column (you know they are) so they will not see his name and leave him to me to pick up. The NYJ offense has a great fantasy playoffs schedule (DET, JAX, @SEA), and Moore should be rostered and started based on your Flex position matchups.
Honorable Mentions: Alec Pierce (IND, 14% rostered), Jahan Dotson (WSH, 15% rostered), Equanimeous St. Brown (CHI, 0% rostered)
TE: Evan Engram (JAX; 56% rostered) – Who saw this coming? Absolutely nobody! Is it possible that in this crazy 2022 fantasy football season, Evan Engram was not only a Week 14 winner but also a potential league winner at the thinnest position in recent memory? He just might be that guy. The only reason I pump the breaks is his Week 16 matchup against the NYJ. The defensive backs for the Jets are no joke, and teams are struggling to throw against them, AND the game will be played outside on a short week (Thursday Night Football). If you need help at TE and are in a league where Engram is available, you MUST add him and start him over some of the retreads out there.
Honorable Mention: Greg Dulcich (DEN,61% rostered), Tyler Conklin (NYJ, 26% rostered), Daniel Bellinger (NYG, 4% rostered)
OK, folks, time to get into the Defenses. This is a first for this column, so bear with me a little. Below you will find the best DST options I see, along with their schedule and roster percentage. I will not be providing a detailed analysis as DST is a crapshoot most weeks. Instead, I want you to concentrate on the schedule, the possibility of a backup QB starting for their opponent, weather conditions (in a dome or outside), and, lastly, your gut.
DST: Los Angeles Chargers (21% rostered) – TEN, @IND, LAR
Arizona Cardinals (25% rostered) – @DEN, TB, @ATL
Los Angeles Rams (32% rostered) – @GB, DEN, @LAC
Minnesota Vikings (41% rostered) – IND, NYG, @GB
Detroit Lions (3% rostered) – @NYJ, @CAR, CHI
You are in, or you are out. If you rode with Razzball this year, you are probably in! Now, do not rest. Continue to work until the final snap of the 2022 fantasy football season. Now is the time to outwork your competition. If you have additional roster space, play defense by adding players you think may benefit your opponent. Outwork those teams that earned a bye, as some of them are sitting back and relaxing at this point. Work at least one week ahead of waivers, especially with DST and reap the rewards. You have made it this far. Take a deep breath and finish the job!
Best of luck heading into Week 15, and may the wire be with you!
3rd Seed in a 14 teamer…. I lose Kyler last night grrrrrrrr….. cause of course…. Pickett is my backup because of course …. I have Mayfield, Matt Ryan, Ridder, Colt, Trubisky , Dalton, Darnold to choose from my lord haha…..
YIKES! The Colts have a really nice schedule down the stretch if you can stomach starting turnover prone Matt Ryan. If not, I kind of like Colt McCoy because of the weapons in AZ. Jury is out on Ridder until we see him play. I do know the kid can run which is a positive for fantasy football.
Thanks for the waiver information.
12 Team 1 PPR 0.2 PPC Super Flex
QB: J Burrow, M White
RB: D Henry, K Hunt (?)
WR: ARSB, Lamb, JuJu
TE: Conklin (?)
Flex: J Palmer (?)
DST: PHI
Bench:
D Ridder, Kyler
J Wilson, D Hilliard, K Ingram
Deebo
Can’t imagine a worse scenario than losing Kyler, Deebo, J Wilson for the 1st round of playoffs. Got $29 FAAB left. Other guys have $0, $12, $14, $35, $39 left.
Need an RB2, Flex, TE and unsure on DST.
Waivers:
Andy Dalton
D Harris/ K Harris/ P Strong, Chuba, Dare Ogunbowale/Burkhead, T Allgeier, J Mason
C Moore, J Dotson, N Collins
Conklin, Knox, Chigozeom Okunwo
ARZ, DEN, NOS, CAR, GBP , NEP
Please advise who shall I add off the waivers, who to drop as well and what FAAB to bid? Thanks again. Appreciate all the help.
Let me be honest…it will be tough for me to advise on the amount of FAAB to bid. You know your leaguemates better than I do, so what I will do is put players in order of importance to your team (in my opinion).
Chris Moore easy #1 for your Flex over Palmer with Keenan, Big Game Mike, and Everett all back and appearing healthy.
I like Ogunbowale as your #2 choice with a low bid especially if the Pierce owner has been eliminated from the playoffs. Insert your favorite NE RB here only if you think Rhamondre misses extensive time.
Add whatever TE is available AFTER waivers so it costs you nothing. All of those names are about the same player in the long run.
I like the ARZ, NEP, and strangely enough my GBP DST from your list. Again, add one for free AFTER waivers.
Drop Kyler (unless this is dynasty), Jeff Wilson.
Thanks Mitch! This is a redraft league.
Do you like C Moore even if one of Nico or Cooks return this week?
How do you rank Ogunbowale, D Harris, Chuba, Allgeier for this week?
You’d roll with PHI DST or stream one of them?
Yes, I like Moore and I do not think Cooks plays again this season. He will keep finding “injuries”.
For RB, I move Allegeir ahead of Chuba and leave the top two names.
Roll with PHI. They brought you this far.
Thanks Mitch. This is my haul from waivers Chris Moore ($6 ), Chuba ($4), D Harris ($1), Pierre Strong ($0) dropping Kyler, Hilliard, Deebo and K Ingram.
I couldn’t get Dalton since my opponent blocked me. I have played it safe with D Harris/ Pierre stack to have at least one Patriots RB if Rhamondre sits as reports are stating.
Kareem Hunt is a waste spot for me. Should I drop him to add any Dare Ogunbowale , Tyler Allgeier ? Burkhead is FA too.
I haven’t made any moves on TE. Chig, Conklin, Knox are all in FA. Sticking with PHI defense as well.
Colt McCoy — Dotson, Pierce, Nico are the best available QB/WR. Unsure if I need to drop Josh Palmer for any.
HUGE THANKS FOR ALL THE ADVICE SIR!
Stick with the PHI D and TE plan for now. If someone drops a better option at TE, pounce. I like the Waiver adds for you and the fact you are using the insurance process with NE RBs. I like the HOU matchups for Dare over Hunt who simply does not see enough touches.
Thanks Mitch. Nobody has dropped any TEs into waivers. Except the situation of Chigo getting better with Burks still in concussion protocol.
Burkhead has been taken by someone else. Our best options at QB / RB / WR/ TE are
Colt McCoy (QB4)
Dare Ogunbowale
Mecole , Dotson
Chigo Onku
I have been thinking about Colt McCoy too but I am more focused on current week for now. Please let me know if you would still like Dare at the expense of Hunt? OR Grab Colt McCoy instead. Thanks again. Good luck for the week.
onkonkwo over conklin for me, but check news if he’s not owned j.johnson (NO) and plays. a lot of people dropped him he missed his last week and had a bye too since hurt. no good news yet on him playing but it’s only wed.
With Pierce dealing with a high ankle sprain and missing practice on Wednesday, I do not foresee him playing. I lean toward Dare this week. McCoy will only act as insurance should Mike White not play.
PHI’s marginally worse both in real life and fantasy than NE’s, however, NE’s ROS is worse than PHI’s
PHI: @ CHI, @ DAL (the only bad one left), vs NO, vs NYG
NE: @ LV, vs CIN, vs MIA, @ BUF (weather could help this be an average matchup however)
if news later indicates d.harris (along with the far more likely to miss stevenson) is out i’d go k.harris or p.strong over ogun (HOU, and i agree ogun over burkhead for HOU) but only if harris starts to look less likely, right now he seems likely. k.harris probably with less upside than strong (who i believe clocked one of the higher speed scores of this year’s RB class), but k.harris got more snaps last week.
very odd that NE D is available, as one of the more expensive ADP teams that’s in the top 5 for overall fantasy defenses (and real life, 4th in DVOA for weighted defense), i’m in a lot of leagues and i don’t remember ever seeing NE available in any week ever of the year in any of them, i had seen (and obtained in 2) DAL (similarly ranked to NE both real life and fantasy)’s D though more than a month ago.
Std league
1.Start Engram home vs Dallas or
Frierermuth at Carolina
2.Which D would u start
Bucs vs Cincy
Wash vs Giants
Denver vs Arizona
Saints vs Atlanta
Vikings vs Indy
Chargers vs Tenn
All at home
Freiermuth if his foot injury is cleared. Engram as insurance is nice.
I like the Saints coming off a bye against a rookie QB making his first start. I like both Denver and Chargers in Week 16/17.
Hey Mitch!
Made it to the playoffs as the 1 seed & clinched a round 1 bye so if I make any moves it’ll be to play guys week 16. Full ppr (10 tm)
Here are some week 16 names I’m considering:
RB:
– Chuba Hubbard (week 16 gets lions)
– Burkhead or Dare (week 16 they get Titans)
– perine (week 16 gets pats)
– marlon Mack (week 16 gets rams)
– cam Akers (week 16 gets broncos)
My drop there would be Mostert
WR:
– Chris Moore (week 16 @ Tennessee)
– Elijah Moore (week 16 gets jags)
– Van Jefferson/ Skowronek (week 16 vs broncos)
– Chark (week 16 @ Carolina)
– isiah Hodges/Richie James (week 16 @ Minnesota)
The drop would be either Jameson Williams (sure he had a TD week 14 but only 1 Rec on 2 targets) or Sutton or drop both but Russ Wilson had 3 TDs I know they were in catch up mode
Thanks man!
Here’s the rest of my roster
RBs Dalvin cook, zeke Elliott, pollard, Dameon Pierce, Pacheco, Mostert, miles sanders, mattison
Thinking about it I wouldn’t be opposed to dropping Pickens
WRs are (we start 3) Justin Jefferson, davante adams, Pickens, Sutton, Jameson Williams
We also have one flex slot (rb/wr/te)
Thanks again bud !
I like Chuba for Mostert. Stash Chuba for Week 16 just in case. I like Chark then C Moore then Elijah Moore for the final push. I hate to drop Jameson but if you do not like the targets and Sutton comes back healthy then Jameson is the drop.
Actually I do have titans D on my bench. My starter is Philly- I added titans D two weeks ago as week 16 they get Houston but I feel I can’t use titans D back to back negative fantasy pt weeks. Week 16 Philly gets cowboys in Dallas.
I could drop titans for best available Wr & just use Philly from now on.
Available D’s if I pívot from Philly
– saints D @ Cleveland (Deshaun)
– chargers D @ Indy (Matt Ryan takes sacks)
– jags D @ NY jets (mike white)
– broncos D @ rams (baker mania)
– commanders D (@ SF: no Deebo, Purdy is dinged up)
Can’t believe we are at week 15, season flew by
For me I start LAC against Matt Ryan and IND
Between Tee Higgins and Kyler Murray my once-solid team is feeling very dicy, right in time for playoffs. Gotta love it.
10 team, 1QB league.
I’m comfortable rolling with 2 QBs to play matchups and my options are:
Goff, Carr, D. Jones, Tannehill, and I guess I could kick the tires on Watson even though it feels kinda gross.
They all feel like different forms of bland to me, so maybe it’s just more a matter of throwing dice and hoping they come up victorious, lol.
Goff for sure from that list. As much as it feels gross it might just be gross, but I probably kick those same tires with Watson to backup Goff. The key with Goff is only start him at home. He sucks on the road and will be outside at NYJ this week. Goff will roll next week for sure.
Hey Mitch, good writeup! Already made a couple of moves after reading; added Dare and Trent Taylor.
Is Engram worth an add? I have Everett and Okonkwo as my tight ends right now, starting Everett.
Rest of my team looks like;
QB Herbert
RB Dalvin Cook, Jacobs
WR Chase, Adams, Metcalf
Flex Hopkins, Pacheco
TE – Everett
Bench – TLaw, Dobbins, Burks, Dare, Trent Taylor, Okonkwo, Jameson Williams
IR Edmonds, Hardman
Kicker – Elliot
Defense – Philly
Thanks!
What’s up Steve! Welcome to the discussion. I think Engram is worth an add but does have a rough final schedule. I think I am more comfortable starting Everett with Engram as insurance over Okonkwo.
I think you can drop T Burks at this point to add Engram if you need that insurance at TE.
I love your lineup otherwise, especially your starters. Good luck moving forward.
Thanks Mitch! Appreciate the advice.
Any time Steve. Good luck and check in later with your results. We will have this column every week during the playoffs just like we do during the regular season.
I’ll certainly check back in after the games this weekend. It feels good to get into the playoffs again. I’m currently riding a 6 game win streak so hopefully I can keep that going into the playoffs.
Let’s make it a nine game win streak!
Hey, I have a bye week this week so looking ahead to the next two weeks for defenses, I was thinking of rolling with TEN vs. HOU for week 16 (semis), then not sure who to go with week 17, hopefully I’ll be playing for the championship, but at least the 3rd place game. Options are ARZ @ ATL, NE vs. MIA, [email protected], NYG vs. IND, CAR @TB, LAC vs. LAR. Thanks for your input!
Phil – Congrats on the bye! For Week 16, I can see using TEN though they have not been great lately.
I am in the same situation and am looking at LAC against the LAR for Week 17. I do not trust Baker Mayfield and he has little to no help on offense. He is turnover prone which is what you want to see when starting the opposing defense. I think ARZ will be a good squad to use, too, but pay attention how Desmond Ridder looks this week before making the call. If he looks like a rookie making his first start and appears lost, then ARZ will be a really good option against that same Ridder in Week 17.
Hey Mitch!
So the waiver dust has settled
A team way ahead of me on waivers got chubbard , it’s the pro/con of being the top seed
So here’s best available:
RB:
– Dare
– Burkhead
– marlon Mack
– Gus Edwards
– jk dobbins
–
WR:
– nico Collins
– Elijah Moore
– Chark
– Chris Moore
Thanks man!
Rb drop still would be Mostert
WR drop Jameson Williams
For me, its Dobbins followed by Dare. At WR, Chark (awful Week 15 matchup) followed by C. Moore, Nico Collins (if fully healthy), then Elijah Moore
Thanks man!
I agree awful week 15 matchup but w/ my bye I’m thinking week 16 for all adds
Chark gets panthers in Carolina week 16
Here’s what opposing WRs have done vs Panthers past few weeks
Week 14: Seahawks
– Goodwin , 5 rec 95 yards + 1TD
– metcalf , 5 rec 71 yds + 1 TD
– Lockett, 5 rec 60 yds + 1 TD
Week 13: bye
Week 12: broncos
– Sutton , 6 rec 75 yds
– Hinton, 5 for 35
Week 11: ravens
– demarcus Robinson, 9 rec 128 yds
– mark andrews , 6 rec 63 yds
However is Goff bad on the road ? His most recent road game came on week 11 @ giants he had 9 fantasy pts . Goff’s previous 3 games (Bills, jags & Vikings) were all in Detroit.
Chark is a great add for Week 16. Goff is not great on the road. In fact, he has been pretty bad. With that, CAR is brutal and can be thrown on. I still like Chark over the other names.
JAX vs DAL isn’t on thurs
in the engram blurb here:
“AND the game will be played outside on a short week (Thursday Night Football)”
it’s not the saturday game either, that’s MIN vs IND
sorry, you were referencing the week 16, is accurate.
Excellent work Mitch!
12-team Standard league…
Who should I start this week? (playoffs)
W/R/T spot.
Peoples-Jones Vs BAL;
K. Walker III Vs SF;
D. Johnson @ CAR;
Allgeier @ NO;
K. Hunt Vs BAL;
Mattison Vs IND;
Dotson Vs NYG
Thanks in advance
DPJ for sure! He has a connection with Watson and is currently the clear WR1 for CLE. Now, if K Walker is a full-go, he is a must-start even against the tough SF D.
Thanks!
It appears Walker III doesn’t have an injury designation for tonight’s game…
Would you take a shot with him or roll with DPJ?
just don’t know if he’s a full-go or if he’s going to be on a snap count…
This is a tough call for me. The better player is obviously KWIII, but he has a nasty match-up against SF and DPJ has a great matchup against BAL. The numbers say DPJ, but my gut says you cannot sit KWIII. Who are the other RB/WR you are starting this week?
yeah, I hear you man…
Let me know what is the best plan of attack, please.
my team is
QB J Hurts
WR C Lamb
WR G Wilson
RB CMC
RB B Robinson
TE M Andrews
W/R/T ???
K Maher
DEF Dallas
Bench
RB D Pierce (injured)
RB K Walker III
RB Allgeier
RB Hunt
RB Mattison
WR DPJ
WR D Johnson
WR Dotson
Check B Robinson’s injury as we move forward. He missed Wednesday’s practice (so did Gibson) and this is the first mention of his injury. I prefer Walker over Robinson at RB2 with DPJ at Flex.
oh snap. I didn’t know that. thanks for that!
Also, Robinson plays Sunday night so you will have to decide on his replacement prior to the Sunday games.
yeah, you’re right. Walker has a tougher game but seems to be a safer bet.
Much appreciated Mitch!
Rico – I am over here struggling with the advice to start Walker. Let’s run through your options then make a decision prior to kickoff of TNF…
RB D Pierce (injured) – Not starting him
RB K Walker III – Tough SF D; best player
RB Allgeier – Tough NO D, but ATL wants to run the ball…A LOT (who will be the lead back is the question. Also, rookie QB making his first NFL start)
RB Hunt – Simply not getting the touches
RB Mattison – RB2 for MIN
WR DPJ – Seems to have great rapport with Watson, but I tend to lean toward RB over WR based on volume.
WR D Johnson – Decent matchup @CAR; still zero TD in 2022 plus Pickett/Trubisky is not favorable.
WR Dotson – NYG not great on D, but he is clear third option at WR behind McLaurin/Samuel
All of that to say this…maybe DPJ is the start based on the match-up and recent positive stats over Walker just coming off injury against a nasty SF D.
If it is me, I think I go with DPJ versus subscribing to the “must start your studs” mentality. I think the better play, today, is DPJ.
Thank you very much Mitch! Great analysis and it makes sense.
in and out burger Mitch… WE in this shit!
heres the line up first weeek of playoffs. who would you start?
Qb- Hurts
Wr-Jefferson
WR-Chris Moore
WR- DJ Chark
RB- Tony Pollars
RB-Zonovan KNight
Te- DUlich
Flex- Jamall williams
Bn-Deandre Swift
Bn- Perine
Bn-MAttison
BN-James Cook
Bn-Trent Taylor
Bn-Ogunbowale
Def- Commanders
Not a big fan of starting swift i feel lions having been keeping his workload low ever since he came back. you think i should switch anyone out
Good to have you back Gerald and CONGRATS on making the playoffs. Let’s win this thing! I the your lineup just the way you have it above. I’m sitting Swift; just cannot trust him at this point. I think Zonovan Knight rushes for 100+ and Chris Moore will see a ton of targets. Also, it appears as if Higgins is back and Boyd is trending back. You can drop Taylor for a DST with good matchup next week.