The old adage “Sell High, Buy Low” just doesn’t do it for me. I’m not convinced it covers enough of the strategy landscape. So what I’ve done is tweak it a little bit to include “Buying High” and “Selling Low.”

There are times when buying high isn’t a bad idea. Players break out- it’s what we’re looking for, really. I feel like everyone is so focused on the “Sell High” paradigm that they will trade a player when he’s doing well just because they feel like they’re cashing in on a profit.

Selling low isn’t desirable but it’s better than the alternative sometimes. You are better off getting something for a player who is underperforming than waiting on him a few more weeks and being forced to drop him, getting nothing in return.

Some of these players will ruin your ability to “Buy Low” because they will put up numbers and raise their price. Conversely some players that have played beyond their means will come back to earth, ruining your ability to “Sell High.” But at the end of the day you should end up with a few players to target in trade and perhaps a player or two on your team you’d like to get rid of.

Buy High

Rashard Mendenhall – Looks like he’s about to put up some digits. Willie Parker has turf toe and it looks like he won’t play. Turf Toe is one of those injuries that nags players and especially for someone like Parker who relies on his burst this could be disaster.  Mendenhall’s stock just went up but he hasn’t done anything yet this season so trade now.

Jerome Harrison – Jamal Lewis is doubtful, and James Davis is out for the season. Coming into the season I was really big on Harrison; I targeted him in every draft. Then I drank the “James Davis Kool-Aid” and started sleeper-crushing on him like everyone else. The price may be a little too high now that Davis is out, but if Lewis gets some work soon I’d target Harrison.

Vincent Jackson — His value won’t be much higher than it is now, but there is no reason to think he’s going to slow down.  Make your opponent believe he is selling high, because he is!

Cedric Benson — I have to admit he’s looked good, even against a stout Pittsburgh run defense.  If you get someone who still doesn’t believe in him grab him up.

Sell High

Darren Sproles – You might be able to get a lot for him. I’ve said over and over that I don’t think LT will stay healthy but anything can happen. With all the injuries a lot of people are freaking out at RB and you might be able to get a high round pick for Sproles. As much as I love this guy I think it’d be worth it.

Willis McGahee – His value is derived from touchdowns and there’s no way he’s going to keep up this torrid pace. The injury concerns have also got to be a factor. I’ve seen him starting to get traded a lot and that’s the play.

Julius Jones – Ranked 12th overall in Yahoo right now. If someone is really hurting for a running back you might be able to get really good value out of him.

Donald DriverBut he made a one handed catch! Yes, I know he did. Right now Driver is 28th overall in Yahoo and I say if you can get anything close to that in value it’s trigger-pulling time.

Buy Low

Larry Fitzgerald – The “freakout fest” has officially begun. Preseason ESPN was declaring that we should all worship Larry Fitzgerald. Now all of a sudden they are putting a smear campaign on him. They are going Tanya Harding on his Fantasy Value. Look to trade for him everywhere. Don’t believe this nonsense. I could go on for a whole column about this but I’ll just stop here.

Kevin Smith — If he doesn’t go against the Bears or if he does and doesn’t get much playing time I would look hard at trading for him.  He is good and the Lions offense will continue to improve.

Marshawn Lynch – First week out there the Bills may not give him a ton of carries.

Calvin Johnson – The breakout game is coming folks. I had him on here last week also. Hopefully he doesn’t break for another week giving all non-owners a chance to get him.

Ray Rice — Yes he is losing goalline carries to McGahee, but he still has more overall carries.  McGahee could easily be good all season, but Rice can be too, and he isn’t as old, and injury prone.  If McGahee goes down Rice will be worth a ton, if he doesn’t, he still will have value.

Sell Low

Frank Gore – I wouldn’t want any part of his injury concerns. You won’t get equal value for him but you should still be able to get something decent and you’d be protected in case he comes back and gets hurt again.

LaDanian Tomlinson – He’s scheduled to play this weekend against Pittsburgh. Hopefully he plays well and looks healthy so you can unload him on someone.

Ryan Grant — He is an every down starter and teams need every down starters, but he is also not explosive and just doesn’t look like the breakout back from 2 years ago.  I’d pair him up with a WR for a Ronnie Brown/Kevin Smith type.

  1. Vince says:

    McFadden @ Hou
    Hester vs Det
    Donald Brown vs Sea

    I have to start 2 of them (RB2 + Flex)… Who would choose?

  2. MarkM says:

    For my flex spot-
    Tashard Choice
    Lee Evans
    Bobby Wade

    I’m thinking Choice, but I’ve seen a lot of people saying this is the game Evans breaks out.

    Also, I was offered Forte for Boldin and Cadillac. Fair?

  3. Matt B says:

    Best flex play for PPR….:
    WR Harvin vs. GB
    WR Knox vs. DET
    RB J Harrison vs. CIN
    RB J Addai vs. SEA
    RB LT @ PIT
    RB F Jackson or M Lynch @ MIA

  4. Tecmo Super Bowl says:

    Best flex play: Harrison, Mendenhall or Leon Washington? Thanks.

  5. Matt B says:

    back on #2: would it be crazy to consider Fred Jackson in that flex spot? I heard he might get more looks in the passing game which would be nice for ppr.

  6. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Vince: McFadden and Brown

    @Matt B: Harrison

    @Tecmo Super Bowl: Mendenhall

    @Matt B: I think he will get catches, but Harrison will get a lot of catches and he’s the for sure primary runner. Another fast RB in Willlie Parker did well against the Bengals last week.

  7. Doc

    Doc says:

    @MarkM: Choice is the safer pick.

    That’s a fair trade for you.

  8. Doc

    Doc says:

    All signs are pointing to Welker going today, but it’s not official yet.

  9. Doc

    Doc says:

    Clinton Portis is a go.

    Kevin Smith is a go.

  10. Doc

    Doc says:

    Bowe looks good in warmups.

  11. Vince says:

    @Doc: Thanks! I just picked up Jerome Harrison… Would you play him over McFadden or Donald Brown?

  12. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Vince: It’s very close. But I’m taking the Harrison plunge.

  13. Vince says:

    @Doc: Alright, thanks!

  14. Doc

    Doc says:

    Welker is active.

  15. Corey says:

    Start Cadillac over Kelley Washington, Jacoby Jones and Brandon Stokely at my flex spot?

  16. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Corey: yeah

  17. Corey says:

    Or take the chance on M.Moore from Pittsburgh?

  18. eldee says:

    One of these guys starts if Bowe can’t go; one of these guys gets dropped to add my kicker in about half an hour.

    Pierre Garçon (vs. SEA), Kevin Walter (vs. OAK), Eddie Royal (@DAL)

    I think I have the order right?

    Also, eff you, sixth-round-pick Eddie Royal. Seriously, I’m never reading another preseason list of “OMG TEH 10 GREATEST SLEEPRZ OF ALL TIME LULZ!!1!”

  19. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Corey: Caddy should get all the work. I’d stick with him.

  20. Corey II says:

    Looks like Welker is back today so i’m going to play him – what order would you play my other WRs in this week – Braylan Edwards, Tory Holt, and Bobby Wade?

  21. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Corey II: I’d give Braylon a shot with DA, then Holt, Wade

  22. Corey II says:

    also – i have to start either LT or Sproles as my RB2 – would you consider still playing Sproles even though LT is back?

  23. Doc

    Doc says:

    @Corey II: It’s really tough, but I think Sproles will continue to get a lot of work in the passing game, but I really don’t like either tonight.

  24. sickmangarner says:

    I’m choosing between Manningham and Ochocinco for my WR2. Seems like a toss up, both going against weak D’s and both facing the risk that their offenses won’t need to pass much. Any advice?

  25. Corey II says:

    @Doc: tell me about it. but with Hightower on the bye and Lewis hurt, one of those Chargers has to play as my 2nd RB. I’m thinking LT right now just for the off chance at some goal line carries.

  26. adrenaline says:

    Hey Doc,

    Still unsure whether to start K. Smith over Bradshaw.. What should I DO!!?? Please HELP!

  27. adrenaline says:

    Oh it’s because K. Smith might get limited work?

  28. sickmangarner says:

    @Doc: I was leaning there too, esp. since ESPN has Manningham projected to be one point higher. Thanks!

  29. charlie says:

    Tory Holt or Lee Evans?

  30. Drew says:

    looking for some last second help here.

    Palmer or Schaub?

    .5/completion, 1/20yds passing, 4/td

  31. Doc

    Doc says:

    @charlie: Evans

    @Drew: Schaub

  32. charlie says:

    PPR…. Fred Jackson or Reggie Bush?

  33. john says:

    Flex Position (non PPR): Holmes, Mendenhall, or Choice? My gut says Homes. Who dropped passes last week, and Choice is going against Denver D?

  34. cleaver596 says:

    I am in a similar dilemma. Jackson or Devone Bess? PPR

  35. Dixon says:

    I hate you, Braylon Edwards.

  36. cleaver596 says:

    So how long until the name Steve Smith is known for being on the Giants instead of the Panthers?

  37. Doc

    Doc says:

    Sorry I missed you guys.

    So Darren McFadden is no longer on my Christmas card list.

  38. AL KOHOLIC says:

    anyone else having trouble signing into espn?i sign in and click the sign in botton and nothing happens

  39. Dixon says:

    Drew Brees…its like that girl you’re in love with madly, and she just doesn’t love you back…for the 2nd straight F$&%#@ week!! We need to go on ‘a break’ for a week…

  40. Doc

    Doc says:

    @AL KOHOLIC: Working for me now/

    @Dixon: Yeah, Brees isn’t being Brees.

  41. jamiesonmj says:

    McFadden killing me! Whos the best long-term player – mcfadden, mccoy or jarome harrison? mccoy and harrison are on WW! Im about to pull the trigger on Mccoy

  42. Drew

    Drew says:

    @jamiesonmj: those are both great players I can’t believe they’re on waivers. Is there any way you can drop someone (i.e. older player w/out upside, backup TE or QB) else and pick the two of them up? If you can only pick up one I guess I’d take Harrison since he’s the most likely to be a starter.

  43. Jeff says:

    Just a shout out saying damn fine job on the Mendenhall and Harrison advice. One of the few places I saw stating the potential and to go get ’em.
    I’ve got them both now. Thanks, JB

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