faab-dlewis

Your fantasy football team is a disaster. I know with these waiver wire recommendations we will make your team great again. These players are winners. With the help of these players your team will be winning again. I know the best players in the world. I know the good ones, I know the bad ones, I know the overrated ones. The San Francisco 49ers running back situation is a disaster. Carlos Hyde suffered a shoulder injury. Mike Davis is his replacement. Dion Lewis could return to practice this week. Don’t know what to do? Here’s advice from somebody with a very good brain that’s said a lot of things…

The arrangement is a little bit different this week because of the need to highlight some amazing quotes from an amazing person (sarcasm alert). So I basically have my favorite players first, even if they aren’t available in 12-team leagues. Also keep in mind that if some of the shallow league players are available in deeper leagues, pay more for them in those deeper leagues. Because there are not as many good players to choose from in deep leagues.

Dion Lewis ($3, in 10-team, because he can probably be still had cheap, but he’s my favorite player still available, in part because of how cheaply he can be had) – It’s like, take the New England Patriots with a healthy Dion Lewis and Tom Brady and have them play your high school football team. That’s the difference between your fantasy football team with and without Dion Lewis. There will be so much winning with Dion Lewis that you may get bored with winning. Believe me. Look at Dion Lewis’ 2015 fantasy point weekly game log: 12.0, 17.8, 12.7, 15.3, 3.9, 0.0, 17.2, 5.3. He didn’t play in the game in which he didn’t score any points and in the two other low scoring games he was injured (playing through an injury in the first, leaving with a season ending injury in the second). There’s many running backs that are very good when healthy but have injury worries. Count Dion Lewis among the best in that category. There are questions of how effective he will be coming off the ACL injury. I’ll admit he’s somewhat difficult to own in 10-team leagues where there are a lot of interesting players out there. But I own him in one league I’m absolutely dominating in, with the hope he can show good signs by week 10-11. But I may not have the patience to hold onto him.

Jay Ajayi ($18, in 10-team) – Arian Foster is not a fantasy football hero. He’s a fantasy football hero because he was injured.. I like people that weren’t injured, okay. When was the last time you saw Arian Foster producing on the football field. Free agency can be wonderful if you have smart people. But the Miami Dolphins have front office people that are stupid. For weeks the Miami Dolphins running back situation has been a disaster. The question with Jay Ajayi was “Is he running? Is he not running?” Jay Ajayi is officially running.

Hunter Henry ($8, in 10 team) – I like a player that has had this much winning in the NFL. There will be so much more winning. The San Diego Chargers have some very, very, injured people.

Knile Davis ($7, 12 team, 10 team if desperate) – The Kansas City Chiefs like Green Bay. The Kansas City Chiefs just sold Knile Davis for 15 million dollars and a draft pick to somebody in Green Bay. Knile Davis now plays for the Green Bay Packers and there is a fair chance he’ll be the starting running back for them this week. Obviously he’s the only winner in this trade, he’ll try to make the Green Bay Packers great again.

Mike Davis ($5, 12-team) – Chip Kelly is not a winner. Carlos Hyde is a winner. I want winners. Shaun Draughn is definitely not a winner, he was Carlos Hyde’s apprentice. Chip Kelly looked him right in his face and told him “you’re fired”. He lost his job as an NFL backup and fantasy football handcuff to Mike Davis. When the 49ers sends their running back, they’re not sending their best. They’re not sending Hyde. They’re not sending Carlos Hyde. They’re sending people that have lots of problems and they’re bringing those fantasy football problems with us. This is a fluid situation but right now Mike Davis is my recommendation to you.

Devontae Booker – ($5, 12-team, worth stashing in 10-team as well) He’s looking at C.J. Anderson and saying what is going on? I just want a job.

Others… Cameron Meredith ($16, he was a $6 recommendation last week so that’s some pretty good inflation!), Chris Ivory ($4, had a bigger role than Yeldon last week) Jack Doyle ($3, Dwayne Allen is injured), Dwayne Washington and Zach Zenner ($2 or so each, Zach Zenner if desperate, Washington more of a stash), Ladarius Green ($1, still just a stash right now, especially with Roethlisberger injured).

 

Now an unrelated note: Jay was kind enough this morning to allow me to include a link to my friend’s “YouCaring” crowdfunding page. My friend Alan, who I’ve played fantasy baseball with for years, has two young girls that have Cerebral Palsy. The special needs and therapies the children are undergoing costs a lot of money so they are asking for donations to help them pay for it. They have collected about 25% of their $17,000 goal. Here’s the link, where you can read more and donate. A $5 donation seems like an appropriate amount. I helped you when I told you to draft LeSean McCoy and Christine Michael, now if you want to you can return the favor. Thank you very much.

 

 

  1. Jay

    Jay says:
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    #MDLGA

  2. fleeced says:
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    12 team PPR redraft..

    Should I swap out Crowell or Stewart for Ajayi?

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @fleeced: Jonathan Stewart? No, unless he’s injured again, then maybe. Otherwise keep Stewart over Ajayi. Crowell for Ajayi seems like a lateral move to me. I don’t think it’s an upgrade. Probably a downgrade.

  3. Nick says:
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    what would ya bid on James White for bench depth? 10team, I have $82 left with Coates, T Benjamin, L Murray, R Jennings, D Booker & DeAndre Washington on bench (will be dropping DeAndre)

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Nick: Thanks for reading. James White is good, but he’s no (healthy) Dion Lewis. However, there is a chance Lewis won’t get back his old form this year, then White remains a decent play not just now but for the rest of the season. $10-$15 depending on how aggressively your league mates bid seems about right.

  4. Eifert Tower says:
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    You like Knile Davis or Mike Davis over any of these bench RBs? (2 different teams)

    Team 1- Fozzy Whittaker and Chris Thompson

    Team 2- Kenneth Dixon and Bilal Powell

    • Eifert Tower says:
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      @Eifert Tower:

      FYI, I own Carlos Hyde on team 2 if that changes things for you

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
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        @Eifert Tower: When we’re talking about this caliber of player, I’d almost rather have the one I know less about. I think we know what Whittaker, Thompson, and Powell are. Dixon probably too, but because he was injured for so long I guess there is still a chance he could ascend. Mike Davis and Knile Davis are just now getting their chance. At least presumably. But of course they are only handcuff types, with only a little work to be expected when the lead backs are healthy. Still give me the players that have a chance to be impactful now, especially if you need them now. Although I’m guessing you don’t.

        Team 1: I’d try Knile Davis over Fozzy. Or Thompson, it really doesn’t matter. But Fozzy was just a time share guy even when Stewart was out, atlhough I think we greatly suspect Chris Thompson is in the same situation. If M Jones were to go down his work would increase but it’s not like he’d be a feature back. Kelley is more Jones’ pure handcuff, although Thompson is the guy with more standalone value. So anyway, Knile Davis for either one just to see what Knile does this game. It’s possible he’ll play second fiddle to Ty Montgomery.

        And I guess I’m choosing Knile over Mike Davis because I’m more certain of Lacy missing time than I am of Hyde missing time. Right now it looks like Lacy is missing at least Thursday’s game.

        Team 2: Mike Davis without a doubt. Again, over either one. Drop Powell if you don’t mind stashing Dixon because of the two Dixon is more of the stash.

  5. MJP says:
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    Is Ajayi worth the #1 WW in a 12-team league? Half-PPR, No flex, 2RB

    Current backs are: L.Bell, L.Blount, J.McKinnon, R.Jennings

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @MJP: I’m not a huge believer in waiting, waiting, waiting to use that #1 waiver priority, so I’d say go ahead and use it. Free yourself of your shackles. Or not. It is a borderline call. It depends no what other handcuff backs are out there on the wire, not because you want them now, because of their ability to seize a starting job later due to injury. I think in 12-team most decent handcuffs are generally owned, so I suspect now is the time to strike with that #1 priority.

  6. IrishGuy says:
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    12 Team PPR we can choose to start 1 RB but I on my own Jennings and Hill, ugh!! Would you spend $50 of $100 on Ajayi?

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @IrishGuy: Hmm, yeah I just might. But I don’t think he’s the slam dunk guy to start week in and week out, so maybe bid a little less? I don’t know, I think I’d still favor Rashad Jennings of that group of three. Am I wrong?

      Or maybe bid less because there is so little demand for RBs in your league?

  7. Mike says:
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    Owning Julius Thomas sucks. Thoughts on dropping him for Rudolph in a 12 man ppr. It’ll probably take $6-7 of my $100

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Mike: Yeah I’d go with the guy who’s produced so far. It’s difficult for me to see you regretting it. Rudolph has a pretty hefty market share. It’s about 5 targets per game so far from Thomas, 7 for Rudolph.

  8. Backman says:
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    Howdy!

    .5 ppr league

    Thoughts on CJ fidorwitz? (If that’s how you spell it?)
    He’s been getting targets recently & the broncos did just get beat by hunter Henry

    I didn’t know if I should add fidorwitz or either knile Davis or Mike davis? It’s just a depth move I don’t own Lacy, Hyde & my main TE is Rudolph

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Backman: Well, I can tell you one thing, it’s not Fidorwitz. Maybe more like Feidorwicz, I’m thinking.. going to check now.

      C.J. Fiedorowicz, it is. Anyway, my thoughts are keep him on the waiver wire for now. Philip Rivers doing a good job against the DEN defense is vastly different than Osweiler going to Denver and doing the same.

      Knile Davis, just see what happens with him this week.

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
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        @RotoLance: Yeah I just saw “Eddie Lacy to miss several weeks”. Definitely Knile Davis.

  9. Brett says:
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    What would you bid on Montgomery now with Lacy out several weeks What about Davis?

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Brett: I like Knile Davis better than Montgomery, except with Montgomery’s 10 catches last week I’d have to give him the nod in 1.0 PPR. I’m not sure what to make of those 10 catches but it’s something. I’ll admit I could easily be wrong about Davis over Montgomery.

      I still don’t like either one that much. Green Bay hardly runs on the goal line. They don’t run that much at all. I’m thinking $14 Davis, $6 Montgomery in standard.

      If I knew Hyde were going to miss almost as much time as Lacy were to miss I’d easily rather have Mike Davis than Knile Davis or Ty Montgomery. And I just saw a report that Carlos Hyde’s arm is in a sling. Hard to tell what that means, I’m guessing just a 1-2 week injury.

  10. Nightpandas says:
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    Sir Lancelot,

    Grabbing Ajayi over J Richard or Forsett? 0ther guys available are Jacquizz, Knile, Ty Mont, M Davis

    12 team .5 ppr

    With J Stew out my starting Rb2 is Yeldon and Woods at flex…ugh

    • Nightpandas says:
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      @Nightpandas: also stick with Cousins (backup to Cam) or grab Rivers

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
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        @Nightpandas: Rivers! Cousins’ schedule gets poor in a hurry after this week (@DET) it’s: @CIN MIN GB @DAL @ARI @PHI. We still have relatively limited data but I’d say those matchups range from meh to no freakin way with a lot of eeeesh in between. And thanks for reading.

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Nightpandas: Jacquizz Rodgers somewhat interesting relative to Ajayi. I think the others pretty much pale in comparison, unless I knew Carlos Hyde was going to miss a fair amount of time then Mike Davis enters the conversation.

      Yeah this is very ugh for you.. Although you need a lot of help this week, it sounds like you need help for the season as well, in which case it’s J Ajayi over J Rodgers. I should have mentioned Kenny Britt and probably Breshad Perriman. Britt is particularly interesting but I don’t know that I’d start him over Robert Woods anyway. I actually probably would, but I don’t even know the matchups now. Anyway, Ajayi, somewhat easily over the rest of these fellas.

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
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        @RotoLance: Well on the other hand I did mention Kenny Britt as a deep league add like 2-3 weeks ago.

  11. JohnRamboJr says:
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    12 team keeper. .5 ppr league

    Looking to trade for DeAndre Hopkins. His team is at the mid to bottom half of the league and Hopkins has underwhelmed thus far.

    I give Spencer Ware and Allen Hurns for his Hopkins and J McKinnon.

    I have ODB and TY Hilton starting at WR and I plug M Thomas, John Brown, Hurns and Tyrell Willaims in as Flex from time to time.

    Thanks in advance,
    JRJ

    Starting RB D Johnson and Tevin Coleman and plug Jordan Howard and Ware as my flex
    Derrick Henry rides the bench.

    Thoughts?

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @JohnRamboJr: I favor the WRs in PPR leagues, so yes. I’m not feeling good about Hopkins, but even so, I’d trade for him. It’s a bit of a gamble because there is a real chance that Spencer Ware stays good the entire season but I think it’s a gamble worth taking.

  12. omar says:
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    How much better will Gronk be than Olsen ROS in PPR?

    Thinking about offering Gronk & a WR (Diggs or Tyrell Williams) for Olsen and Spencer Ware. Really need RB help. Only options now are Lamar Miller, Kenneth Dixon, and the Lions dumpster fire (Forsett and Washington). Stashing Dion Lewis, and really need an RB2 a holdover until he he’s back. Trying to pull Ajayi and D. Booker off the wire tonight.

    Also thinking about offering Gronk & Lamar Miller for David Johnson and CJ Anderson (or Tevin Coleman). Stashing Eifert and could shore up RB a bit while streaming TE until Eifert is back.

    Thoughts? Giving up too much?

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @omar: Only 16 targets the past two weeks for Gronk, seems pretty low for him. If we knew it was going to stay that way I’d say make the deal. I really like Olsen. Definitely wait and see if you somehow grab Ajayi. That’d be great. I’m actually ok with Gronk + WR for Olsen and Ware. I think you have to give Tyrell instead of Diggs otherwise it’s a no go. Diggs WR2, little doubt in that, if healthy, which is questionable right now. I don’t know what will happen with Ware so that’s the risk for you.

      The other one.. yeah I’d do probably do that too. Although because it’s PPR, ugh, it’s close! David Johnson could very well finish as the RB1, I think he’s the favorite. But Gronk’s a beast in standard, even better in PPR. And Eifert by the way barely caught any passes last year, his value was driven by his 13 or some insane amount of TDs but I think with Jones and Sanu gone that can change this year.

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