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After last week’s boring as hell waiver wire we’re back this week with some real options. Not the sexiest of options, mind you, but more (the ol’ quantity over quality). Remember we’re going with $100 FAAB dollars (though most of you probably have much less than that, and I’m working off the loose assumption you have about $50 or so left so adjust accordingly):

DeShaun Watson ($17) – The dude can ball and now he’s shown it in consecutive weeks. He gets a tough KC team at home this week followed by a dream match-up of rookie QBs versus the Browns in week 6. There are only a few QBs I would start over him that week, though how he performs against the Chiefs will be interesting (to see if he does poorly how quickly owners jump ship).

Latavius Murray ($21) – I was a happy Murray owner last year (788 yards rushing, 264 receiving and 12 TDs). Then in the off-season he signed with the Vikings looking to be the lead back. So, still liking him. Then the Vikings drafted Dalvin Cook, gave him the keys to the RB, and Latavius became waiver fodder. But no more! Cook is done and it’s Murray time. He’s still recovering from off-season ankle surgery and he’s no Cook, so temper expectations. As we’re entering bye weeks Murray may play a large role on your team going forward.

Wayne Gallman ($14) – He looked good taking over for the ineffective Paul Perkins and Orleans Darkwa just has a cool name and not much else so I don’t see why the Giants won’t give him every opportunity to win the starting job. He could have the most value rest-of-season.

Alex Collins ($13) – He had a good game on Sunday, but has fumbling issues. Those Buck Allen and Terrance West owners can’t be too happy; at this point I’d say West can go and I’d hold Allen just because Collins hasn’t met a football he can’t fumble. Seems like that doesn’t bother Harbaugh that much though (why didn’t they sign Matt Jones then? Inquiring minds need to know). The Ravens offense hasn’t looked good so I’m not going crazy on Collins.

Alvin Kamara ($12) – In PPR leagues he should be long gone, and most competitive ones, but he’s looking like a star with the ball in his hands in space. If you’ve been reading I’ve had him on my teams since week 1, but in case you’re new to AbFaab, act like you know and add him up (Weird quick tangent: you know how on linkedin it has recommendations on who you should connect with? Well mine came up with a couple of people in my field…and MC Lyte. I’m an accountant, not in the music biz. But still, I wonder what she’s up to? She hasn’t connected with me…yet).

Andre Ellington ($9) – He’s a match-up play as the Cardinals appear to be pass-first without DJ so he’s more valuable. He is really unexciting so use as needed (as a bye week fill-in).

Thomas Rawls ($7), J.D. McKissic ($3), C.J. Prosise ($3), Eddie Lacy ($3) – Since Carson’s injury further muddles up the Seahawks backfield yours truly is avoiding the whole poopshow but Rawls is worth the flier for those who lost Carson, Cook, etc. McKissic did score twice but he’s a converted WR so he will most likely fight Prosise for work and Lacy has been a waste of football space for years now.

Aaron Jones ($5) – It looks like he may start week 5, Rodgers likes him, he looked good in preseason, all positives. If Ty Montgomery isn’t going to play through some busted ribsit’s a good start. If Ty’s a go then Jones’ value drops to a buck as a depth add.

Will Fuller ($5) – I liked Fuller last season and now he came back from injury with a big week makes me like him even more. He’s a great bye week fill-in at worst.

Devin Funchess ($4) – Is it A) the Patriots pass defense is awful or B) Funchess is finally living up to the hype? I’m going the former.

Cameron Brate ($3) – Winston loves his tight end (insert off-color joke here) and so do I.

Cooper Kupp ($2) – Goff likes him, he’s coming off a 13 point week and that’s good enough for me to jump in. I liked him in the preseason and was a bit shocked by his low ownership numbers. He’s had two weeks of 10+ points (and the other two were less than 4, but doesn’t 10+ just make you feel better?)

Tyler Lockett ($2) – Depends on Doug Baldwin’s health; Paul Richardson also kinda sorta stands in his way (or at least stands close enough to him to take away some value).

Jaron Brown ($2) – I don’t love the Cardinals, but he’s seemingly passed John Brown on the depth chart so he’s worth a flier.

Tyler Kroft ($2) – He looked great filling in for Tyler Eifert but couldn’t you easily see him producing next to nothing the next few weeks (sorry to be a party pooper)? Tight End hasn’t been a fun position this season for most of us (speaking as a guy who doesn’t own Gronk anywhere); I see Kroft as a slightly better choice than what’s out there.

Elijah McGuire ($2) – Looked good on Sunday, though totally dependent on Matt Forte health. So for me it’s a good bet. And for $2, what do you have to lose?

$2 Defenses: Pittsburgh vs Jacksonville, Philadelphia vs Arizona, LA Rams vs Seattle, Minnesota @ Chicago, Oakland vs Baltimore

There are a lot of guys out there to take chances on for a buck; but at this point in the season (and especially after this week) I’d rather save the dollar and add them once waivers clear. Or spend the extra buck on any of the aforementioned guys, ok? Maybe you saw something on Sunday that makes you want a guy just a wee bit more; then go an extra $2, I give you permission.

 

 

  1. MJP says:
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    HALF PPR – 1st WW pick – Kamara or Murray?

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @MJP: I’d go Kamara. I just see his role continuing to grow, and Murray isn’t going to get a lot of catches.

  2. Noam Lev says:
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    I appreciate your post! Couple questions for you:

    PPR League
    1. Would you drop one of: Ginn, Kupp, Abdullah, J. White, or C. Thompson for Fuller, Kamara, or Aaron Jones?
    2. Is Kyle Rudolph droppable for Brate, or some other waiver wire TE (examples: Tyler Kroft, OJ Howard, Jared Cook, Ebron, Hooper)…
    3. Who are your top three Ds this week?

    Thanks a lot!

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Noam Lev: 1. I’d drop white for Kamara, then fuller. I would also drop Ginn or cupp for Kamara.

      2.i have Rudolph in a couple leagues, but I’m with you, ready to cut bait. I’m looking at Brate only, maybe Clay. But I don’t think Rudolph is worse than those other guys u mention.

      3.pit, oak, min

  3. Norm MacDonald says:
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    In PPR is Rex Burkhead droppable for a guy like Gallman, Aaron Jones, or Mckissic?

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Norm MacDonald: I’d drop him for the first two, in they order, for sure. Mckissic is tougher, but why not? Burkhead has so many other RBs to compete with.

  4. Nick says:
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    Hey Phil, doing pretty shoddy in my 10-team standard. Last place 0-4 start from a championship last year :(

    Anyways, someone dropped Blount and not sure why. But I have $62 left. What would you bid on him? Ill just place waivers behind him for Lat Murray…already snagged Funchess, Kupp, Kamara last week…

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Nick: at least 10 team. I hope yours only allows 4 in playoffs. Mine allows 6, which I usually thinks sucks, but benefited me as I slipped in as 6 seed(albeit with most total points) and wound up winning. Enough about me, I’d go at least 25 on Blount. That he still has some burst left makes me like him a bit more, and I foresee at least 2 2TD games the rest of the way. Way to grab funchess especially, you know I love some Kupp and Kamara. Good luck, 0-4 is recoverable from. 0-5 though…

      • Nick says:
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        @Phil B.: only 4 in playoffs…think I’ll try to snag Blount as he is more viable than my current RBs of Lynch, Abdullah, J Allen, Kamara & Kelley…

        • Phil B.

          Phil B. says:
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          @Nick: sad about Lynch, tho he may turn it around. Agree Blount better than most, though I have a liking for Abdullah and kamara

  5. OldMilwaukeePounders says:
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    Hey Phil,

    I’m a recovering DJ owner who also lost Carson last week…my RB’s are down to Smallwood, Perkins, Forte, Prosise…YUCK.

    Does going for Murray, Gallman, Jones seem logical to you?

    Thanks, dude!

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @OldMilwaukeePounders: sorry for delay. I’d go Murray and gallman and hold prosise and smallwood. How did it work out?

      • OldMilwaukeePounders says:
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        @Phil B.: Its all good, Phil! My waivers don’t go until tomorrow… Planning on gunning for those two and Will Fuller. Our FAAB has taken some hits with losing all of these RBs!

  6. Aaron says:
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    Tyrell Williams or pick up Will Fuller off waivers in a 10 team PPR league?

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Aaron: right now I’d rather have fuller, but they’re close. I wouldnt spend too much on upgrading, or use a high waiver selection though. They are both bench guys for now

      • Aaron says:
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        @Phil B.: Thanks. Yeah I agree on bench for both, though with a 4 man bench, unfortunately I have to play one of those two or Buck Allen this week, and I haven’t been happy with Allen (I don’t have anyone else I can drop with Freeman/Coleman on bye this week).

        • Phil B.

          Phil B. says:
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          @Aaron: I think Allen is garbage but you have to start somebody. I also like the raiders D so doubly against Allen. Though I think I just jinxed myself so you should start Allen as I’m sure he’ll spite me this week.

  7. Norm says:
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    I’m heavy up top on WRs wth obj, allen, cooper (meh), and Michael Thomas. And weak on rbs- lynch, Abdullah, cja on bye. Snagged fuller last week and got offered blount for him. I’d prefer to do a deal than waste my money on a pickup as I like most of my bench.
    All in on this deal?

    Also got offered Charles clay for fuller ( clay would replace Rudolph for me). Wanted him to throw in kamara or Breida but he won’t do it. Seems like selling low on fullers upside but steadying my te.

    Which deal do I do if any?

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Norm: Mos Def do the Blount deal, and I’d pass on clay,tho I like him, he’s not that much better than Rudolph

  8. the harrow says:
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    hokey smokes, just like in baseball, here we are post 4/16 of a season (or 4/13th for the non-competitives) and you have less than 50 posts on the most important day. no slight to you of course, it’s the weak “give-up-amurica” owners.

    ok, this’ll save a LOT of time later, how many of these “waiver studs” you have over guys i
    own in at least one league.l
    how many of collins/gallman/AAron jones/ mcguire/ellington (although he’s owned in most already)
    over forte and other bums: vereen/c.johnson. gotta think all of that list above c.johnson maybe forte.

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @the harrow: it’s kind of nuts how many guys go 1-3 and 0-4, and give up. I’ve gone 1-4 and made playoffs many times. It’s not like baseball, all one has to do is look at one’s team twice a week. But I digress.
      Cj2k, Forte and vereen are all waiver wire bait to me. Collins, gallman and Ellington over them. Mcguire and Aaron Jones less so, just because of playing time, or lack thereof. I see Montgomery only missing a week at most, and Powell is still starter.

      • The Harrow says:
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        @Phil B.: what about these over c.johnson/vereen/forte? rid dick, darkwa, breida? or use c.johnson’s spot for a backup TE (have rudolph) other options being: eifert, ebron, cook, watson, doyle?

    • Cheese Eating Surrender Monkey says:
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      @the harrow: did he really have that many more posts before though? it’s about the relative difference.

  9. Jump on it! says:
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    Thanks for the post – here’s my two questions:
    1) Fuller or Snead for Flex?
    2) Clay or Rudolph for TE?

    Thanks!

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Jump on it!: of course! I go fuller and clay.

  10. Nick says:
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    so I ended up with Blount for $28 (only competing bid was $15)…Lat Murray went for $48! & surprisingly Lacy went for $9…

    • Phil B.

      Phil B. says:
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      @Nick: ugh that sucks about Blount, but at least u got him. I like ottoneu set up where, if u win the guy, you only pay $1 more than next highest bid. Anyway, they Murray bid is nuts. I’m surprised lacy didn’t go for more, but it seems like your league is smart about him, cause he sucks.

      • The Harrow says:
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        @Phil B.: what you are describing is called Vickrey bidding. this guy vickrey won a nobel prize in economics describing how a market is best defined by it’s 2nd highest bid, NOT the highest. so for fantasy the minimum ABOVE the 2nd highest bid is used. i’ve tried to tell this to some comishes that are so stuck in their own inertia they didn’t implement it. similar to semmelweis my guess is it takes another what 50-70 or more years we’ll all be doing it.

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