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0I’ve got an ADP post coming up that compares three of my favorite sources for ADP, but while I’m working on that I thought I would give you the average ADP for all three. They are Fantasy Football Calculator, ESPN and Mock Draft Central (must sign up, but free). I won’t analyze these. They are what they are. But I do think they are a fairly good representation of ADP at this point in time.
1. Chris Johnson
2. Adrian Peterson
3. Maurice Jones-Drew
4. Ray Rice
5. Andre Johnson
6. Michael Turner
7. Frank Gore
8. Steven Jackson
9. Aaron Rodgers
10. Drew Brees
11. Rashard Mendenhall
12. Randy Moss
13. Larry Fitzgerald
14. Reggie Wayne
15. DeAngelo Williams
16. Shonn Greene
17. Calvin Johnson
18. Peyton Manning
19. Miles Austin
20. Brandon Marshall
21. Ryan Matthews
22. Ryan Grant
23. Roddy White
24. Cedric Benson
25. DeSean Jackson
26. Jamaal Charles
27. Greg Jennings
28. Tom Brady
29. Marques Colston
30. Beanie Wells
31. Knowshon Moreno
32. Sidney Rice
33. Pierre Thomas
34. LeSean McCoy
35. Anquan Boldin
36. Jonathan Stewart
37. Steve Smith (CAR)
38. Philip Rivers
39. Tony Romo
40. Matt Schaub
41. Steve Smith (NYG)
42. Dallas Clark
43. Matt Forte
44. Chad Ochocinco
45. Ronnie Brown
46. Michael Crabtree
47. Antonio Gates
48. Joseph Addai
49. Felix Jones
50. Jahvid Best
51. Vernon Davis
52. Brandon Jacobs
53. Mike Sims-Walker
54. Vincent Jackson
55. Percy Harvin
56. Dwayne Bowe
57. Hakeem Nicks
58. Jermichael Finley
59. Jason Witten
60. Hines Ward
61. Brent Celek
62. Ricky Williams
63. Pierre Garcon
64. Jerome Harrison
65. Donald Driver
66. Tony Gonzalez
67. Marion Barber
68. C.J. Spiller
69. Brett Favre
70. Jeremy Maclin
71. Ben Tate
72. Santana Moss
73. Mike Wallace
74. Reggie Bush
75. Jay Cutler
76. Wes Welker
77. Kevin Kolb
78. Owen Daniels
79. Thomas Jones
80. Dez Bryant
81. Robert Meachem
82. Joe Flacco
83. Fred Jackson
84. T.J. Houshmandzadeh
85. Darren McFadden
86. Braylon Edwards
87. Jets D
88. Justin Forsett
89. Matt Ryan
90. Cadillac Williams
91. Steve Breaston
92. Clinton Portis
93. Eli Manning
94. Michael Bush
95. Santonio Holmes
96. Ahmad Bradshaw
97. Donovan McNabb
98. Montario Hardesty
99. Devin Aromashodu
100. Visanthe Shiancoe
101. Donald Brown
102. LaDainian Tomlinson
103. Antonio Bryant
104. Kellen Winslow
105. Malcom Floyd
106. Steve Slaton
107. Julian Edelman
108. Lee Evans
109. Chris Cooley
110. Vikings D
111. Darren Sproles
112. Kenny Britt
113. Derrick Mason
114. Laurence Maroney
115. Packers D
116. Carson Palmer
117. Tim Hightower
118. Chester Taylor
119. Ben Roethlisberger
120. Demaryius Thomas
121. Eddie Royal
122. Ravens D
123. Zach Miller
124. Johnny Knox
125. 49ers D
126. Eagles D
127. Steelers D
128. Jerricho Cotchery
129. Terrell Owens
130. Chad Henne
131. Matthew Stafford
132. Devin Hester
133. Austin Collie
134. Nate Kaeding
135. Leon Washington
136. Willis McGahee
137. Cowboys D
138. Kevin Walter
139. Louis Murphy
140. Greg Olsen
141. Stephen Gostkowski
142. Vince Young
143. Mohamed Massaquoi
144. Saints D
145. Marshawn Lynch
146. Sam Bradford
147. Garrett Hartley
148. Chaz Schilens
149. Mason Crosby
150. Dustin Keller
151. Golden Tate
152. Ryan Longwell
153. Bernard Berrian
154. Rob Bironas
155. Josh Cribbs
156. Toby Gerhart
157. Anthony Gonzalez
158. Giants D
159. Roy E. Williams
160. Alex Smith
161. Dexter McCluster
162. Tashard Choice
163. Mark Sanchez
164. Arian Foster
165. Kevin Smith
166. Dolphins D
167. John Carlson
168. Jeremy Shockey
169. Matt Leinart
170. Mario Manningham
171. Sebastian Janikowski
172. Chargers D
173. Early Doucet
174. Heath Miller
175. David Akers
176. Mike Bell
177. Bengals D
178. Nate Burleson
179. Bears D
180. Jason Campbell
181. Colts D
182. Correll Buckhalter
183. Devery Henderson
184. Jermaine Gresham
185. Bernard Scott
186. Adam Vinatieri
187. David Garrard
188. Brian Westbrook
189. Derrick Ward
kind of surprised charles is at 26,seems a bit low but jones is scaring people
Just curious of your opinion on Tebow is. Would you draft him in a keeper league where you keep players up to a max of 3 years? I could probably draft him for the minimum of $20 ($620 cap)
@Cheese: He wouldn’t be my starting QB, he’ll be a project.
@AL KOHOLIC: He’s going even later than that in some. People are very worried about TJ. I’m not.
@Cheese: That 3 year max is tough. Even if he starts next season I don’t really see him being a fantasy QB until the third season. i drafted him in my Dynasty league, but we can keep them as long as we want. He’s worth a shot, but I wouldn’t overpay.
ok slaton at 106,now thats a gamble id take
bye the way,your site here is really getting the fever going,great job doc,thanks
@al koholic: Gotta worry about Tate since they drafted him so early. If Slaton is 100% healthy he could be very good in ppr even with Tate starting.
I hear yah man. I’ve got the fantasy football meter pegged.
I am new to fantasy football. I am being offered Reggie Wayne, LeSean McCoy, C.J. Spiller for my Ray Rice & Donald Driver. My other RB is Pierre Thomas. My other WR is Roddy White. Good deal for me or bad? Thanks.
@robert: I don’t like that you’d be left with Thomas and McCoy. Rice is too valuable to your team. If he really is interested in Driver I would try to trade him to him without Rice.
Thanks.
@Doc: Doc, I’m curious as to what your opinion is on drafting WRs earlier in drafts as opposed to RBs. Over the years, I’ve drafted with the strategy of almost always kicking off my draft RB-RB with my first 2 picks. After reviewing several ADPs and participating in several mocks, it seems like dependable WRs are flying off the board incredibly fast (especially when you have to start 3 of them each week).
Do you feel that it’s better to secure as many top-tier WRs, such as Fitzgerald, Wayne, Austin, or Marshall, in rounds 2-3 and then target a player such as Ronnie Brown as your #2 back in round 4 or 5? Or would you rather lock down your thoroughbred backs early and hope that the Bowe’s and Maclin’s of the world pan out?
Ryan Matthews is #9 at Yahoo! Actually, I guess that sentence needs two exclamation marks, one for Yahoo!’s name, and the other because…they’ve got Ryan Matthews at freaking #9!!!
@Daniel: In non-ppr I still lean to the stud backs, but am open to WRs if the value is there. If I get one of the top 4 RBs I am more likely to go WR with my 2nd pick because of the solid base at RB. If I grab a RB near the end of the round I’m likely to want his running mate to be in a similar tier.
WRs are flying off the board and when you have 3 slots to fill I want to get 2 guys I like. But I am high on some guys that can be had later like Nicks, Crabtree, Smith (car), and even Ward.
In ppr I am more likely to grab a WR if I miss the top 4 RBs.
It really does depend on how your draft is going, but don’t be set on going RB/RB, especially if a guy you like falls to you in the 2nd round.
@Pepe Silvia: Yahoo’s ADP takes into account a lot of autodrafting. I stay away from it.
I know Spiller has upside, but I bet Jackson is the starter in Buffalo. Seems ridiculous to the 2nd string guy before the 1st. I know Buffalo is no great shakes on offense, but I think Gailey will at least have some imagination about trying to put some points on the board. Jauron really stifled the offense for the past several years.
@Doc (or anyone else that would like to chime in): I have the #7 overall pick in a 12-team PPR league. What would be a good strategy? Would Rashard Mendenhall-Jamaal Charles be OK?
Awesome. Thanks man.
Thanks, this is really useful!
Where do you go for the best projections? I know they’re all guesses, but is there anybody you particularly trust?
Here is where you go for the best projections.
@Giacomo: Agreed. Jackson should remain the starter and should be going ahead of Spiller.
@hacienda: I agree with Pepe.
@Doc: keeper question. donald brown for a 7th round pick or ricky williams for a 12th round pick? thanks.
@herschel: Have to go with Brown. More long term value.
@Doc: does it matter if its a one year keeper league?
@herschel: ah, yeah. Would he be a starter or backup? Guessing starter since he’s a keeper. I like Brown in the second half of the season, but I could see Ricky being worth more early on.
@Doc: both would probably start at flex. ppr league, we start 2 rbs plus a flex and are only allowed to keep players drafted after the 5th round.
@herschel: I like Brown’s upside more.
Missing #30 on that list Doc. There supposed to be someone there or just skipped the number?
Thanks. Yeah that’s just a missing number. The names will remain the same. I’ll fix it.