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Hey everyone, I’ve got a 2012 sleeper for ya.  He’s now on the Patriots where one of his former offensive coordinators in Josh McDaniels resides.  The last time this sleeper was matched up with McDaniels for a full season for the Broncos, he had a career year: 77 receptions, 1,448 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns.  Now keep in mind that back in 2010 when he put those numbers up, it was a guy by the name of Kyle Orton throwing to him.  Now that he’s a Pat and has Brady, there’s no telling what damage this guy is gonna do in 2012!  And so the 2012 fantasy football season started for Brandon Lloyd and thousands of crazed fantasy football players looking to gain that special edge in the draft.  Here was a guy with what looked like a can’t miss setup.  All the pieces were aligned for a campaign on par with 2010 or perhaps better and given his ADP floated anywhere from the 4th to possibly even the 6th round, there was plenty of reason for excitement.  But then the 2012 season actually hit and…well, I don’t know what happened.  Though his reception total pace after tonight’s 7 catch, 89 yard, 1 touchdown performance isn’t bad – approximately 70 – he’s only chasing 800 yards and about 5 TDs on the year.  Danny Amendola is just a tad off his reception and yardage pace and has only played in 8 games and not all of them did Danny finish.  So really, try and look for excuses and you won’t find any.  There haven’t really been injuries hampering him nor has he been iced from the game plan.  There have been plenty of games I’ve seen where Brady throws it and Lloyd is either not ready for it or just can’t hang onto it.  You have to wonder if his hands felt just like two balloons at times out there because nothing ever seemed to connect. Coming into the night, Lloyd had been outscored by such ‘steady’ WR3s like Nate Washington, Brandon Gibson, and Justin Blackmon in 0.5 PPR leagues.   I have to assume Lloyd was on many benches tonight or in the starting lineups of ghost teams playing for the consolation prize because this sleeper is still at 86% and 92% owned in yahoo/ESPN leagues the aforementioned Gibson is owned in 13% of both leagues.  Moving forward, if you actually started him in a league this week and he propelled you to the next round, I want pictures because I don’t believe you.  Secondly, you should really not expect this the rest of the way.  So for anyone who started Lloyd in a playoff game on purpose where there was something on the line other than 7th place, well first off I wanna see pictures.  Secondly, don’t press your luck.  However, I’ll send off to all those owners who’s season has most likely been dashed by this sleeper as on draft day they caught a fleeting glimpse of out of the corner of their eye.  But now they turn to look and it’s gone.  They can’t put their finger on it now, the championship’s gone, the dream is gone.  I strongly encourage you to read that as if Shatner sang it but I’ll leave your imagination up to you.  Needless to say, Lloyd left many of his owners comfortably numb this year and there’s no reason to get excited about him for 2013.  In other news for 2012 fantasy football about the Monday Night Football game…

Aaron Hernandez - Who needs Gronk, right?  WE DO, screamed the thousands who lost him a few weeks ago.  Aaron has been hitting his stride over the last two weeks following up an 8 catch, 97 yard performance against the Dolphins with two touchdowns on 8 receptions and 58 yards against the Texans tonight.  It’s been a rough year owning Hurtnandez.  Hopefully he made it up to you tonight.

Andre Johnson - Went for 8 receptions and 95 yards.  Yeah, but did he score a touchdown?  Of course not, random reader I’ve made up to prove my point, he only 3 touchdowns on the year.  Meanwhile, Donte’ Stallworth walked in off the street for a week 14 MNF game and Brady threw a 63 yard one to him.  He’s been like a mini-Calvin Johnson out there which is to say, very frustrating for owners in non-PPR leagues.  I wonder how many people drafted both and named their team Johnson & Johnson?  The Baby No More Tears slogan just wouldn’t fit, I’m afraid.

Wes Welker - The PPR dreamboat finished the night with 9 targets but only 3 catches as he looked more like Brandon Pettigrew out there with plenty of catchable dropped passes on the night.  Finished the night with 52 yards and a ‘It’s not the Superbowl yet, catch the f’ing ball’ text from Gisele.

Matt Schaub - Great matchup and fell behind 21-0 early.  Time for another 500 yard passing game, right?  Wrong: 19/32 for 232 yards and an interception as Matt gave any of his owners who started him tonight a Blow Schaub.

Stevan Ridley - Had some tough sledding to start the game against a stout defense.  At one point, it looked like a lost night with 8 carries for only 22 yards but he found the running a bit easier in the 4th against a beleaguered defensive front, rounding out the night with a score and 72 yards.  Meanwhile, Shane Vereen had 40 on 5 carries.  Oh and that peskyBrandon Boldenis back with 2 carries for 11 yards.  Oh and Stevan fumbled.  Why are you hyperventilating and cowering in the corner covering your ears, Ridley owners?

Tom Brady - The beautiful butt-chinned one could do no wrong on the night: 21/35 for 296 yards and 4 TDs.  Might’ve had a shot for a 5th touchdown if Danny Woodhead had not fumbled into the endzone where Lloyd recovered it for a touchdown.  Seriously, how are those scored?  I’m looking at the box score right now and see 5 TDs and 42 points.  We need Haley Joel Osment out here for the 6th Touchdown.  I see endzone.  But back to Brady: you decided to take a QB early and if you made the playoffs he’s the main reason you’re still reading about fantasy football this morning.  Either that or you just really have a problem that we are never going to help you with around here.

Arian Foster - Another week, another touchdown bailout.  Yes, I get it, he’s the focal point of the offense so his chances of scoring a touchdown are much higher for him than others would be but that doesn’t change the fact that the peripherals – 15 carries for 46 yards – are not as appealing as a #1 pick’s should be.  His 39 yards on 4 receptions did help his end line tonight but he now owns a 3.8 YPC for 2012.  He’s also on pace to rush the ball 366 times and for 40 receptions.  I’m gonna give you a comparison and why I’m avoiding him in 2013 and then exit stage left before you start flinging produce: Chris Johnson.

From Around The Web

  1. Scott says:
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    Sky

    Need some advice for week 2 of the playoffs…

    I have all my eggs in one basket with RG3 and need to make a preemptive strike on the waiver wire if he was not to play this upcoming week. My options are Locker (vs NYJ) who is on my bench, or Weeden (vs WAS), Tannehill (vs JAC), Cutler (vs GB), Foles (vs CIN), or Cousins (@ CLE) off waivers. What’s my best play here?

    (Thank God, I own Cam Newton in my other league with RG3.)

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ha, nice having RG3 & Cam on one team.

      I’ll be starting the rankings here soon but what you’re presenting are some slim pickings. I’ll say Weeden…I know, I know I didn’t want to say him either but all those QBs are matchup plays and he has the best one.

      • Scott says:
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        @Sky: Yea, I was hoping you were going to say, you’ll be fine rolling RG3 out there this week; his knee isn’t that bad. He’s good for 20 points on one leg. Thanks for the help, Sky.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Ha well he is. I’m thinking emergency need here. Don’t think you get much of a run game from him this week but plenty of quick outs and dump passes to keep him out of harms way. Upside limited but still better play than Weeden if he’s a go.

  2. HP2 says:
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    First thnx for the help last week to keep DX instead of Chris Givens put me over the top to get in the playoffs, this week have a couple of questions that I need help on for my lineup
    WR need 3 out of these
    Julio Jones, Torrey Smith, Danario Alexander, Chris Givens, Cecil Shorts
    RB need 2 out of these
    Trent Richardson, Chris Johnson, Reggie Bush, Justin Forsett
    QB can’t believe I am asking this but Rodgers has underperformed last few weeks
    Aaron Rodgers, Collin Kaerpernick
    Have San Francisco DEF should I play them or look to pick up a DEF off waivers

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Awesome, glad to hear it! Wasn’t expecting that kind of game out of DX but still thought he was the better play of the two.

      Haven’t had a chance to work the rankings/review this week so my early calls are:

      WRs: Julio & DX are locks. Shorts if he’s healthy over Torrey.
      RBs: Gotta go with the big boys in T-Rich & CJ there.
      QB: Go with who got you to the big dance…Discount Double Check

      DEF: depends who you’re picking up. Not opposed to it but it’s gotta be a good play.

      • Murph says:
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        @Sky:

        QB: Discount Double Choke….

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Murph: Ha, maybe the Pizza Hut sub-in guy has played a few in his stead this year.

  3. Murph says:
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    Can’t say it enough times…no one is winning a championship with Schaub at QB I was over the hype before it started after the Jacsonville game. Pats defense is really pulling it together and would advise people not to use the “start any QB against the patriots defense” approach. Kapernick is not a top 10 option next week in my opinion unless the multiple injuries in the secondary turn out to be more serious than expected.

    Missed out on the big money this week thank you Welker for disapearing completely

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      Ouch, re: Welker. Must’ve greased up before the game. Some of the passes were a little off but man, he should’ve had at least 7 receptions just based on those 9 targets.

      Schaub is a decent QB but he’s definitely not upper echelon in real or fantasy. I ranked him 14th or 15th this year, I think, and that’s pretty much where he’s lingered his entire career: on the cusp of QB1 but never fully there.

      RE: Kaepernick, I can see what you’re saying. I think he could be at least a low-end QB1 this week but is definitely a good start for 2 QB leagues. His legs make him a different animal by comparison to what Schaub can do out there. I’ll be really interested in both real and fantasy life to see how/if they use LaMichael James. Kid can really turn on the jets in the open field.

      • Murph says:
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        @Sky:

        I wouldn’t put it past harbough to give James some carries. With the suspension of “Mr. Twitter” Jacobs he does move up in the depth chart. I also think that head coaches are starting to shake the old belief that rookies can’t be competitive in the NFL, by college teams running pro style offenses they are more than capable to contribute eary. I don’t have to tell you but it’s been pretty crazy if you lay it out on paper
        Luck, RG3, Russel Wilson, Tannehill, Martin, Morris, Richardson, Bryce Brown. We have even seen flashes recently from Hillman and now JB’s favorite David Wilson. Rookies have made a historical impact on the NFL this year.

        Kind of a reach but I believe that the success of all the young QBs this year was directly corolated with Harboughs decision to move Kapernick to a starter. Who’s to say he doesn’t give the speedster a chance especially if the niners get in a hole early.

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          @Murph:

          Which is to say ‘about time’ re: rookies. I’m actually a litte interested in Hillman this week. Wonder if they’ll try to ease the load of Knowshon a bit after touching the ball 36 times.

          Yeah, I can see that re: Kaepernick. Couple that with how quickly a team’s dominance can change from year to year, Jim is going for it rather than playing it safe. 100% love that about him.

          I’m sure Gore will still be featured but LaMichael could become a nice part of the passing game and a few carries. When you consider how good of a run game they have with Colin around, there’s a good chance for a few option read runs as well which was James’ bread and butter in college, as Harbaugh no doubt remembers :)

          • Murph says:
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            @Sky:

            If we were looking at any other QB starting for Denver other than Manning we would be seeing a lot more Hillman than Moreno. Peyton is John Fox’s top priority and Moreno is feasting off great matchups and opportunities that manning is providing solely due to his average ability in pass pro.

            Signing off for today and appreciate the good discussion looking forward to the weekly rankings although a quality playoff team needs should need very minimal tweaking this late in the season. Thanks again

            • Sky

              Sky says:
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              @Murph: Possibly. He’s built like Darren Sproles, though, which makes it hard to think of him as a 20+ carry guy. I see a 12-15 touch player with most of it coming from the passing game…at least until he learns how to pass block. Probably the biggest thing that put Moreno back in the spotlight was that.

              Yeah, have yourself a good night. I’m looking forward to my rankings too! Hopefully my guys are near the top.

      • BaZziiNg! says:
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        @Sky:

        Sorry about the length. i took all the spaces out, but they came back? i haven’t set my lineup yet, so i’ll just shut up now and ask that you check it out and tell me who you think i should play, or hit up on w/wire 4 Reciever mostly instead of Lloyd?

        Kenny Britt Jason Avant Brandon Gibson Golden Tate Rod Streater Justin Blackmon
        Chris Givens Donnie Avery Bess etc. Hav i stopped yet? All apollogies. Thanks!

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Please don’t copy and paste every single note about your team into the comment field. It’s not necessary and it’s hard to read what you actually want me to take a look at. I like Streater this week, actually. I think he’s got high upside. I’d lean his way for right now. If I missed something, please try and put your team up here without catching all the notes from the website you copy and pasted from. Thanks.

  4. Hey Sky,

    Need one: marcel reece, bilal powell, justin blackmon, malcom floyd, antonio brown or jacquizz?

    • @exactly: Also, while I’m asking…I rode the Seahawks D last week to victory, but they were at home and now they are on the road @Buf where they are not as dependable…stick with Seattle or pick up Detroit going against the same luck-less Cardinals in Arizona?

      • Sky

        Sky says:
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        @exactly: Haven’t gotten to the weekly rankings but I think Powell makes sense there.

        I don’t think Seattle will be terrible but Detroit definitely has the better set up. I’d give them a ride for the upside.

        • Murph says:
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          @Sky:

          Seattle/Buffalo game will be in Toronto not sure how it effects the outcome but no home field advantage for the bills.

          • Sky

            Sky says:
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            @Murph: Yeah, I’d be surprised if it changes the outlook for SEA. They should still win but they go from beating the Pats at home and to losing to the Lions/Dolphins on the road.

  5. OC Amish Mafia says:
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    Sky,

    Dude, so I am the #2 seed in the playoffs with Brady, Foster, Morris, Dez, Andre Johnson, Bowe, and Hernandez with Lloyd, Kerley, Avery, Hawkins on the bench and Gibson, Avant, and Ogletree all thats left on waivers. WTF do I do? Right now I am rolling Brady, Foster, Morris, Andre, ?, ?, Herndawg. Will Dez be a decoy? Who the hell else do I start? It’s a dynasty, too. (1 QB, 1 RB. 1 RB/WR, 2 WR, 1 WR/TE, 1 TE.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @OC Amish Mafia: weird delay on this comment. Sorry, it just came up for me.

      Sub in Hawkins for Bowe. Keep your ears peeled on Dez’ status throughout the week. He’s playing with a passion right now and says he won’t sit this week. Hard to put that on your bench. When you have wildcards to play, go with the highest upside. If he’s declared out, I’d want to pick up Avant for PPR leagues.

      • OC Amish Mafia says:
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        @Sky: If Dez is cleared, I am starting him, no doubt. But you think Hawkins over Avant? If Foles throws 30 times, I have to think at least 8-10 are going Avant’s way and if he catches 5, he should have a good day???

        • Sky

          Sky says:
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          Could be Avant, could be Riley Cooper. Or Foles could deliver a stinker like he did his first two weeks and leave no fantasy value on the board. Hawkins has the better matchup, I’d rather have him.

  6. Dedalus says:
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    Hey Sky,

    Having trouble deciding which 3 to start between A. Foster, T. Rich, C. Spiller, and M. Leshoure. Any suggestions?

    Thanks.

    • Sky

      Sky says:
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      @Dedalus: Gotta go with the first three there. Mikel touches week 14: 14…Joique Bell’s touches: 17

  7. Steve Stevenson says:
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    I know it’s early in the week, but we’ve (I think Murph and Zorboss, mostly) had some good discussion on my survivor picks the last couple weeks. I went with SF last week and hoped for a SEA upset which obviously didn’t happen. Still, I’m in and my pool’s down to 16, and I’m the only guy with SEA left to boot. Anyway, this week is rough — the suggestion of using RGIII against CLE was solid, but then he went and got hurt. Anyway, here are my options over the next few weeks:

    wk 15: MIA v Jax, Sea @ BUF (in Toronto), STL v Min, Was @ CLE
    wk 16: GB v Ten, TB v StL, CAR v Oak, Ind @ KC
    wk 17: SEA v StL, GB @ MIN, WAS v Dal, SD v Oak, TB @ Atl (depending on whether Atl rests players and TB is still fighting)

    This week, MIA is the biggest favorite of my options, and will probably be popular in my pool (with the Lions as the chalk pick — I’d expect those 2 teams to account for at least 12 of the 16 picks). But I don’t really trust MIA. I like SEA, but also like them in wk 17. I could talk myself into the Skins if RGIII has a good practice week, but am a little wary. STL has been playing well and MIN is a mess, but betting against AP on the turf seems like a bad idea.

    Wk 16, I like GB v Ten, as I’m the only one in my pool with the Pack left. But if I decide to save them for wk 17 (even though a wk 17 road division game is not my cup of tea), I’ve listed a few other options.

    Wk 17 is such a crapshoot, but as of now I guess I like SEA best there. They’ll still probably be playing for something, and I don’t want to give Tony Romo or Norv Turner the opportunity to ruin my survivor season in the last week, plus I’m not big on GB for the above reasons.

    So I guess my question boils down to: a) do I stick with GB and SEA in 16 and 17 and, if so, is it MIA, STL or WAS this week? or b) go with what’s probably a safer SEA pick this week, and let wks 16 and 17 take care of themselves later?

    Thanks, all.

  8. Murph says:
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    Last week was definately the time to play Seattle but not a bad matchup at home against the rams week 17 I think your strategy is solid but I wouldn’t be shocked if Cleveland beat down the redskins if Cousins draws the start over RG3.

    Seattle is unbeaten at home save them for week 17

    We all know how terrible the titans are perfect time to use the Pack week 16

    Week 15 is pretty cloudy…for me it’s between Miami and Cleveland I just don’t trust Miami even at home as they have lost to some pretty awful teams this year including the jets. Good luck with your decision and congrats for making it this far.

    • Steve Stevenson says:
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      @Murph: thanks. Yeah i would’ve liked the setup better using seattle last week but i knew my pool would be heavy on them so i was hoping for the upset. Just gotta get through week 15.

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