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Have you looked back at your team and been a flop with picks?

Have you been this way since 1996?

While we may not be at 34th and Vine, it’s certainly time for a drink of FA Potion Number 9.

 Note: For those of you out east being impacted by Hurricane Sandy, we hope that all of you are safe and secure as this monster of a storm works over the eastern third of the country this week. Remember that fantasy football is a game and it may need to take a backseat for a few days. 

Week 9 has St. Louis, New England, the NY Jets and San Francisco on bye so you’ll need replacements for players like Steven Jackson, Tom Brady, Stevan Ridley, Rob Gronkowski, Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez, Greg Zuerlein, Steven Gostkowski, Shonn Greene and Frank Gore amongst others.

Here’s this week’s list of who to pick up for Week 9. As always, percentages listed are percent owned in ESPN.com leagues and FAAB values are based off a $100 budget.

Note: The NFL has pushed back its trade deadline from Tuesday to Thursday due to the impacts of Hurricane Sandy. This may have an impact on who to pick up and who might need to be replaced this week. In particular, Steven Jackson has seen his name blow in the trade winds so keep an eye on the trade deadline as well. 

San Diego DST (25.4%; $2) would be a good pick up again this week. They limited Cleveland to seven points last week and could do the same this week on a short week against Kansas City. According to the Kansas City Star, QB Brady Quinn missed Monday practice yet is expected to start on Thursday over Matt Cassel. Add to that the idea of WR Dwayne Bowe possibly being moved before Thursday’s trade deadline and you don’t know what the Chiefs will have on the field offensively. The Chargers have lost three straight to slump to 3-4 but should be able to right the ship against this truly weak KC team.

On top of all that, the coaching braintrust in KC gave Jamaal Charles all of five carries last week so I have no clue what Romeo Crennel and company are thinking.

Philadelphia QB Nick Foles (0.4%, $1) is likely to get the call when the Eagles finally decide to pull the plug on Michael Vick.  We all know how awful Vick has been this season and the fan base in Philadelphia seems like its had enough. With a need for a change coming, Foles would be a wish player to pick up and stash away if you have the room on the bench to do so.

Miami QB Matt Moore (0.2% $1) is a viable add-on this week to perhaps cover Brady’s bye. The Miami Herald reports that starting QB Ryan Tannehill’s injuries are not extremely serious but enough to put his status up in the air against Indianapolis. Tannehill wound up with a bone bruise and a quadricep bruise in his left leg. The injuries were serious enough to get him out of the game at the Jets. Tannehill got hurt less than five minutes into the game so Moore came in and finished with 11-of-19 passing for 131 yards and a touchdown in a 30-9 rout.

Jacksonville WR Cecil Shorts (3.4% $2) has come from out of nowhere to be a decent receiving threat on the Jaguars. Justin Blackmon has barely been a blip on the radar this season and Laurent Robinson has missed time with multiple concussions. Shorts has 12 catches for 195 yards and a touchdown combined in his last two games. With MJD sidelined and a matchup with Detroit this week, Shorts has the situation to be adding points to your team.

Denver RB Ronnie Hillman (0.6% $4) looked impressive against the Saints Sunday night with 14 carries for 86 yards in Denver’s 31-14 win. Some of you will scoff at the fact it was against New Orleans. Look for Hillman to get on the field more to save wear and tear on Willis McGahee. With the schedule Denver has coming up he could see more games like this one in the near future. Denver’s next six games are: @CIN, @CAR, SD, @KC, TB, @OAK so the chances are there.

Carolina WR Brandon LaFell (12.9% $2) will be an under-the-radar add this week. Carolina visits Washington and the worst pass defense in the league. LaFell has 10-185-1 in his last three games but could break out against the Redskins.

Miami RB Daniel Thomas (43.7%; $5) is worth an add this week as well. In their last outing, Thomas rushed for 42 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries. He missed the St. Louis game with an injury but in his previous game at Cincinnati he found the end zone as well. Thomas would be especially beneficial to own as we’re starting to see Reggie Bush not be a true lead back and slip into a timeshare with Thomas. Also like with Hillman, this may also be a move to save wear and tear on Bush. With Indy, Tennessee and Buffalo on deck, he will have plenty of opportunities to run opposing defenses ragged and pile up the fantasy points.

St. Louis RB Daryl Richardson (12% $4) would stand to benefit the most if Steven Jackson was traded to another team. He’s already in a timeshare with SJax, so this looks like a logical fit for your roster. Rams QB Sam Bradford won’t be putting up good numbers every week like he did against New England. Look for St. Louis to try and keep pounding the rock. With the Rams being on a bye this week, he’ll go under the radar. Next matchups: @SF, NYJ, @ARI, SF.

Tampa K Connor Barth(11.8%; $1) has been a quiet kicker this season but has a lot of promise. Barth has connected on 13-of-15 field goals this season for the Bucs. Look for him to be busy this week at Oakland and two weeks from now against Carolina. Those two teams have allowed the most points to kickers so far this season.

As always, leave comments and questions below and good luck in Week 9.

 

20 Responses

  1. george says:
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    how do you feel about titus young?

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @george, I think he’s going to be the #2 WR in Detroit. Despite his small size, he has the speed to make plays. As he gets more comfortable in his role, it will also loosen the coverage on Calvin Johnson.

      Definitely worth the add in my book. Especially since 2012 Stafford is finally starting to look like 2011 Stafford.

  2. Adam says:
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    Spiller or Michael turner ROS?
    Standard league

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Adam, I go Turner.

      Spiller will be playing several teams that are tough against the run. His schedule: HOU, NE, MIA, IND, JAX, STL, SEA, MIA, NYJ. Of them I can see six teams with tough run defenses so Spiller has a big risk of slowing down the rest of the way.

      Turner still has two dates with the Saints and another with Carolina who he always runs over. He also has a pair of divisional games against Tampa as well.

  3. Murph says:
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    Happy Tuesday Andrew hope week 8 was good to your teams and kept the winning record intact.

    Waiver question non PPR: who would you pick up and drop? Drop would be Ballard or Donald Brown although the timeshare scares me so much I think it might be safe to drop both.

    Add:
    Kendall Wright
    Titus Young
    Cecil Shorts
    Anquan Boldin
    Nate Washington

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Murph, It was okay. Went 31-18 this week and now stand 253-135-2 YTD. I have an 8-0 team with a 4-game lead in its division; with a win and some help, I can wrap up my first division title/playoff berth of the season.

      Add Young and Boldin. Cut both the Colts loose if the rest of your roster supports it. As mentioned above, Young is looking like the missing piece of the puzzle in Detroit’s passing game.

      I like Boldin since the Ravens are effective at running the no-huddle and it’s benefited his game. He’s leading the team in targets, receptions and yardage.

      Shorts could wind up being the next Brian Hartline. I’ve been more in on Wright but the next couple weeks before his week 11 bye don’t look promising. Washington has only been good for a couple catches a game.

  4. Adam says:
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    Would u trade Witten for spiller?
    Standard league
    Need a RB

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Adam, I’d keep Witten. Dallas has a favorable schedule down the stretch while Spiller’s gets tough (see above).

      Witten has also caught around 90% of the passes Romo has thrown his way in the last 4 games.

  5. Mark Danger says:
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    PPR – I got two roster spots I can feel my wr and te are good and my qb is just freeman. My rb are Mccoy, Matthews, Spiller and Howling. I can get get

    at qb

    Phillip Rivers
    Ryan Fitzpatrick

    Rb
    Daniel Thomas
    Kendall Hunter
    Joique Bell
    Blount

    Should I just stock up on two running backs or take a flier one of those qb’s and one RB?

    -thanks

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Mark Danger, Take a flier on Rivers and see how he does tonight. Thomas would be the RB to take the chance on if you want to go that route since it looks more like a Miami timeshare.

  6. Johnny Hammersticks says:
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    You may remember this issue from last week, in a 2 QB league (it’s actually 1 qb and 1 “option player”)

    Need to choose out of the following:

    Luck vs MIA
    Romo @ ATL

    Demarius Thomas @ CIN
    Brandon Marshall @ TEN
    Percy Harvin @ SEA

    So can start both qb’s, or 1 qb and all 3 wr’s.

    Thoughts?

    • Murph says:
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      @Johnny Hammersticks,

      Yep sure do looks like you made out well with your WRs last week. It’s hard to sit any of them for those two QBs the only thing that Romo has going for him is they are allowing him to air it out because they can’t establish the running game. Personally I would roll with all three WRs as they all have a high upside especially with their week 9 matchups

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Johnny Hammersticks, Unless the scoring is very heavily skewed towards the QBs, go with the 3 WR since they all can put up the points.

      And I would go with Romo over Luck since MIA has a tough D while ATL has been a little soft and Romo is throwing it a ton. Just be wary of the risk of him getting picked off.

  7. Johnny Hammersticks says:
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    Thanks, I ended up losing but I had foster on bye.

    At RB, would you go Jennings, Leshoure, Ballard (or even Tate)?

    Leaning towards Jennings based on what I saw last week, and likely going to dump Ballard.

    Let me know what you think.

    • Murph says:
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      @Johnny Hammersticks,

      Tate is out of the question with a healthly Arian Foster

      Ballard has most likely lost the starting roll with Brown averaging almost 5 YPC last week (timeshare at best)

      So it between Leshoure and Jennings. Personally I believe both backs are equal in this game with Jennings having a slightly better matchup is this PPR?

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Johnny Hammersticks, Jennings gets the nod. He’s not really going to be splitting carries. Ballard and Brown somewhat cancel out each other’s fantasy value.

      Plus MJD is already ruled out this week and could be out for a couple more weeks.

  8. Johnny Hammersticks says:
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    Just a standard scoring league, not PPR… I guess I’m leaning towards jennings since he was at least on the field for most of last week, despite dropping several easy check downs. I keep wanting leshourse to break out, but not sure what’s up

    • Murph says:
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      @Johnny Hammersticks,

      Leshoure is limited by Detroit throwing the ball 50+ times a game, as RB Joique Bell is the better receiver (# 4 of all NFL RB’s in reception yards this year ahead of doug martin and DMC) and with Jacksonville having more of a balanced attack and Jennings receiving 20-30 touches last game he is a must start. Furthermore Leshore was seen limping off the field last game in the 3rd quarter with some kind of leg injury unfortunately this was kept out of the media and off the injury reports. If you decide to lean Leshoure keep an eye on his practice reports throughout the week.

  9. Adam says:
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    I ended up trading Witten for spiller….I have graham as my starting TE so thought it was worth it to get another good RB
    U agree??

    • Andrew Nordmeier

      Andrew Nordmeier says:
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      @Adam, I would have still gone sell-high on Witten but Spiller will haver a tough schedule the rest of the way.

      (From my answer to #2 above): Spiller will be playing several teams that are tough against the run. His schedule: HOU, NE, MIA, IND, JAX, STL, SEA, MIA, NYJ. Of them I can see six teams with tough run defenses so Spiller has a big risk of slowing down the rest of the way.

      Spiller has the talent but he’s going to find some tough sledding.

      Witten is in a rhythm with Romo (try saying that three times fast) and I would have rather let that ride for a while.

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