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I’ve got a running back heavy edition of FAAB waiver claims to consider, along with a pair of wide receivers. In case you don’t know what I’m doing with this week’s title, an 80s band called the Bangles wrote a song called Walk Like An Egyptian. It was a hit, don’t you know! There’s also a relevant Philadelphia Eagles player, so how about a Fly Like An Eagle reference? This Sunday’s games featured some injuries that can be acted on. Tyler Boyd and Brandon LaFell now need to be owned in 12-team and deeper leagues. Rex Burkhead can be considered in some leagues. Wendell Smallwood received a bunch of carries and should once again receive more than his usual workload.

Tyler Boyd ($5) and Brandon LaFell ($4) A.J. Green’s 20 targets per game (that’s a real stat like Donald Trump is a real President!) have to go somewhere. Last week they sort of went to Giovani Bernard (8 targets) but of course he’s injured too. So now they have to go to players that matter. Prior to the Green injury I would have advised you to own Brandon LaFell over Tyler Boyd but now that it really comes down to (at least) one of them having a chance to return starter caliber performance I’ll take a chance on Boyd.

Wendell Smallwood ($5 or more) I could possibly see him supplanting Ryan Mathews if Mathews’ injuries linger. So he’s worth a bigger claim for desperate teams. It only takes either Mathews or Sproles to put a damper on his workload ceiling and as of now the Eagles are thinking Sproles will play. That is why this recommendation isn’t higher.

Dwayne Washington ($5) Is my sneaky pickup of the week. He’s carried the ball 23 times in Detroit’s last two games. That’s real work, folks! Unfortunately the production has been pathetic. That part will improve, somewhat, but we still can’t expect that much as Theo Riddick remains the most valuable Detroit running back.

Denard Robinson ($5) He’s yet another player whose value is boosted due to an injury. T.J. Yeldon figures to miss some time with an ankle injury and Chris Ivory is not exactly the most durable player himself.

Rex Burkhead ($4) I’m assuming that he’s not just going to step in and take all of Giovani Bernard’s role, but I don’t really know for sure. If he were to do that I’d say he’s worth a much, much, higher bid because there’s just no one out there right now.

So, I’m not being very bold with these calls, am I? No. I doubt there are any difference makers here. Pay attention to the latest reports from beat writers, etc., to have a clearer picture of which players are worth spending a little more on.

Remembering Alfred Morris, AKA how about those handcuffs

Tis the season to be stashing handcuffs. Last week I wrote a paragraph about the most valuable handcuffs and forgot perhaps the top one! Alfred Morris, of course. World Wide FAAB regulars already know of my love for him, I wrote about him in the week 9 and 10 editions. He belongs at or near the top of my list of handcuffs to own and I’d own him whether or not I own Morris. I’d own Kapri Bibbs in 12-team leagues as well.

Here’s a slight update from last week of some handcuffs to own and the order I’d own them in: Alfred MorrisMike Gillislee (McCoy still has worrisome hamstrings), Kapri BibbsFitzgerald Toussaint (Bell is injured more often than you probably remember and he’s a drug suspension risk), Damien Williams, Matt Jones (well, yeah, I guess he’s a handcuff now), and Benny Cunningham. The reason behind those ranks has mostly to do with the workload the handcuff would get were the lead back to go down and how likely I feel the lead back is to go down.

Etcetera

The Dion Lewis watch is over, sort of. Lewis played somewhat sparingly against the 49ers and didn’t put up a very good day. James White put up a good fantasy day as he was used heavily as a receiver. Lewis carried the ball 5 times. White saw no carries and has only equal or exceeded 5 twice all season. The question becomes will Lewis supplant White as the primary receiving back. I want the answer to be yes because I’ve been touting Lewis for some time now. I’ve also told at least one James White owner to hold onto him. Because we just don’t know.

I’ve rarely if ever mentioned a quarterback in this column. That’s because I consider streaming strategy to be beyond the scope of this, so I just lay off of it. With Andrew Luck expected to be out this week I’m making a few recommendations. Colin Kaepernick plays at Miami and that’s a fine play. Depending on whose available he might just be my go to for Luck owners, with Tyrod Taylor also bearing some consideration. Possibly one of Derek Carr or Philip Rivers are out there and they are certainly worthy this week.

10-team FAAB waiver wire considerations

All of the players from the main section (as in, not necessarily those from the handcuff section) should be considered for 10-team leagues, particularly Wendell Smallwood if Mathews is going to be out. But they are borderline roster-able at best. The Bengals wide receivers also fall into that category. Here’s the complete list of this caliber of frequently available running backs, in the approximate order I’d own them:

Kenneth Dixon, Alfred Morris, Mike Gillislee, Wendell Smallwood, Dwayne Washington, Rex Burkhead and Paul Perkins. These are all low level FAAB bids.

 

Follow Lance on Twitter @Rotolance.

  1. RotoLance

    RotoLance says:
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    Given I’m going to mention songs/bands that reference or relate to NFL teams, I should have definitely thought to use Where Eagles Dare as opposed to Fly Like an Eagle.

    Also I should have put Jeremy Langford in the handcuffs to own section. He wasn’t there last week because he was part of the main FAAB section.

    • Steve Stevenson says:
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      @RotoLance: Where Eagles Dare is my favorite song to do at punk rock karaoke because it’s easy to sing and totally owns.

      • RotoLance

        RotoLance says:
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        @Steve Stevenson: Then I’ll play it on guitar and you sing it. Thanks for going so far as to read the Comments section. It’s appreciated.

  2. Eifert Tower says:
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    So me and the other team that’s tied for 1st are playing this week. Obviously its a huge week, but it’s further amplified by two things: 1) we pay out a portion of the winnings to the 1st place regular season winner and 2) the 3rd place team is only 1 game behind us and looking to sneak into that playoff bye week. Here’s my team:

    QB- Luck
    3 WRs- Julio, T.Y Hilton, Kelvin
    2RBs- Hyde, Ryan Mathews
    TE- Eifert
    K- Matt Bryant/Hauschka
    DEF- Carolina
    BN- Sproles, Dujuan Harris, Mike Wallace, Crowder
    IR- AP

    I got hit pretty hard losing Mathews and potentially sproles and luck (especially owning T.Y as well).

    Notable QB FA– Palmer, Kaepernick, Eli, Tannehill
    Notable RB FA– Gillislee and Smallwood.

    I have $39 FA $ left. How do you think I should go about waiver wire bids this week? I’m thinking my drops are Hauschka and Harris, but I’m in a tough position with who to go after. Thanks ahead of time for advice, sorry for long post.

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Eifert Tower: I don’t know how often you’ve employed Crowder, but if I were you I’d be freaking out over the worry of “now that I need him he won’t perform”. Grrrr. I guess this applies if you decide to play him over Hilton if Luck doesn’t play, which honestly is something I’d be totally be freaking out about (the decision, I mean). I own HIlton in my home league and I’ll certainly be worried.

      Well, obviously you have a kicker to drop, Harris is a solid player to hold own but yeah completely not necessary to own if in a crunch or if better players become available. So I’m with you there.

      I think I’d prioritize Smallwood, as far as RBs go but I wouldn’t bid a ton… $5-$10 maybe. Nice to have the security in case Sproles and Mathews can’t go. But there is a chance he won’t return any value at all.

      Carson Palmer has some good matchups coming up (it could be more than one week for Luck, though it could still be 0 weeks misssed). I think him first, then Kaep, Eli and Tannehill for this week. Close call though. I wouldn’t put a lot of money on him because your fallback options are good.

      • Eifert Tower says:
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        @RotoLance:

        Thanks for advice. By your response it seems you value Crowder over Wallace. So would you drop Mike Wallace and try to hold onto Harris?

        • RotoLance

          RotoLance says:
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          @Eifert Tower: No, not necessarily. I think Harris is the more expendable of those two and Wallace is closer to Crowder than I thought at first.

        • RotoLance

          RotoLance says:
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          @Eifert Tower: And of the two, Harris would seem to be the least likely to be picked up so if you want him back for week 13 he should be there and be cheap.

  3. Carmichael Show says:
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    Would you trade OBJ for Brady and either Diggs or D. Thomas? Single-QB, 14-team PPR league and my current QB is Stafford. I have a feeling Odell will go off ROS but Stafford is THAT frustrating. Thank you and I love your work.

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Carmichael Show: I don’t think so. Can you not do some sort of Stafford + streaming combination?

  4. Michael says:
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    Would you prefer Rivers or Kap this week? Thank you.

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @Michael: I don’t know, it’s a dead heat. I guess slight nod to Philip Rivers.

  5. James says:
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    Given the choice, would you recommend stashing upside or handcuffs?

    I’m not sure whether to hold Dixon and Lewis, or swap either out for Morris or Bibbs? I have Booker, Blount, Gurley, Martin. Thanks for all the great work Lance.

    • RotoLance

      RotoLance says:
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      @James: Well handcuffs are upside, just a different type. But I know what you mean. You’ve got two players who are contributing somewhat now in Kenneth Dixon and Dion Lewis but could be a lot better without an injury to the guys “ahead” of them. Morris needs an injury or suspension to Elliott to be useful, Bibbs has a small chance to overtake Booker but I doubt that’s happening, so he’s waiting for an injury.

      I own Booker in a 10-team league where Bibbs is available (I dropped Bibbs for Denver’s bye) and I also own Dixon and Lewis there and I’m not rushing out to pick up Bibbs again. Morris is also tempting but this NFL investigation has been going on for so long, it’s almost like they are taking their time on purpose. I assume that’s because if a suspension is issued they don’t want it to affect the playoffs. They’ll hand down a suspension next year (if at all, of course). Basically, the later it gets the less likely Elliott will be suspended in time to impact anything for fantasy.

      So I prefer Lewis and Dixon to the others. If you are in a Yahoo! league you can drop bench players after their game so in that case you could pick up Morris for the Thanksgiving game then drop him for whoever you dropped to pick him up in the first place. But I don’t think I’d drop Dixon or Lewis to do that so it’s probably a no go. I’m just throwing it out there.

      Your compliment is heartwarming. Thank you.

      • James says:
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        @RotoLance: Doubling down on that compliment. Thanks for the thorough response. Good clarity. It does seem like it’s a question of injury risk/probability, but since I’m already benching one of Gurley, Booker, Blount, and Martin, I’m not certain I’d be missing out on too much if Booker were to get hurt and someone else were to snag Bibbs. So I’ll hold Dixon/Lewis too. Thanks.

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