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The week 11 waiver wire looks like a bunch of desperation bye/injury fillers. I’d get more aggressive with your FAAB now, as there’s probably not much to be saving it for. I group the adds by position and then within the position, rank them in order of preference. The sherpa will only advise players who are rostered in less than 50% of ESPN leagues. This went to press before the Minnesota/Chicago game.

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Most who are educated on Viking lore are familiar with the legendary Lief Erikson, the first European to ever set foot on the North American continent. But generations before Lief raped and pillaged his way across the ocean, there was one even more historic Viking: Ragnar Thielen. You won't read about Ragnar in any of those propagandized history books. He was the most peaceful of the Vikings. Instead of collecting skulls Ragnar spent his time knitting with the skin of pig. That's right, old Ragnar Thielen created the first football back in the year 969. Fast forward 1,051 years and his great-greatX20-grandson Adam Thielen showed how the pigskin runs in his veins as he snatched 4 catches for 43 yards and his 8th and 9th touchdowns. Viking lore aside, I've been saying since summer that Thielen is a first half player. In the last two seasons he's caught only two touchdowns in 12 games after the first week in November. This could be the year he bucks the trend, but I'm not betting on it. Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday for fantasy football:

After taking a long puff from the joint, I set it down in the ash tray and melted back into the couch. Gazing past the foggy haze, I transfixed my eyes to the ceiling , let the mushrooms kick in, and began contemplating the concept of fate. If I was meant to have something, then I could just chill in my room and it would magically appear. That's how it works, right? Knock Knock. Who is it? Your Grubhub driver. Ok, thanks and leave it by the door. As I appeased my munchies, I realized that if you wanted something, you had to work for it. Now, that by itself doesn't guarantee anything. Opportunites need to be presented. And that is the factor that many in the NFL have to deal with. The players are the top 1% of the 1% of athletes in the world, but many vanish into the ether because they never got that opportunity. On the flip side, many have made a name for themselves due to opportunity. Salvon Ahmed of the Miami Dolphins got his opportunity on Sunday and made the most of it, as he received the start and rushed 21 times for 85 yards and a touchdown while catching one pass for 5 yards. Should you go Ahmed and add him?

What a weekend! Masters Sunday in November due to pandemic scheduling. College football hanging on by a thread with virus outbreaks and cancelled games. But the NFL? No worries, mon. It was a light news cycle this week with lots of wind and weather, but one man had the gall to go off.  Wayne Gallman toted 18 carries for 53 yards, caught 1 pass for 7 yards and hit pay dirt for his 4th and 5th touchdowns. Wayne Enterprises' stock spiked this past week when Devonta Freeman (hamstring) was placed on the IR. Somehow Gallman's only owned in 50% of Yahoo leagues. Most of those leagues are probably abandoned but make sure yours isn't one of them. Anyway, here's what else I saw yesterday for fantasy football:

What a huge weekend for sports. On Saturday, the Masters got underway to finish the second round while the sun was still rising and then the 3rd round immediately after. There was a full slate of college football to follow. And now on Sunday, we have the final round of the Masters and another NFL Sunday. The NFL is the biggest conglomerate in the sports world, but they moved all of the good games to the late afternoon to make way for the final round of the Masters. What a power move for the golf world to force the NFL's hand! So far, it doesn't appear that any games are in danger of the Covid postponement, so let's get right into the injury report and updated rankings. 

Team: Washington Football Team

Opponent: Detroit Lions

WR1: Terry McLaurin

Shadow Coverage Matchup: Desmond Trufant

 

Terry McLaurin vs. Shadow Coverage
Opponent Games Rec Yards TDs PPG
All Other Opponents 15 4.9 72.7 0.5 12.5
Vs. Shadow Coverage 7 5 74.3 0.4 12.5

Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage

So far in 2020 Terry McLaurin has gotten it done vs. Shadow coverage finishing as a WR1 in 2/3 contests. However, in week 2 vs. Arizona it wasn’t until the Washington Football Team was down 3 scores late when McLaurin to finally got his production. Last week vs. James Bradberry McLaurin’s final line looks strong with 7-115-1, but his 68-yard TD came from the slot on a play where 3 Giants defenders missed a tackle. Now making plays isn’t a bad thing and there is 4 quarters in football no matter what so production is production.

Week 9 Recommendation – WR3/Flex

It took almost all season, but the Lions finally have a CB they can use as a shadow corner. Offseason acquisition Desmond Trufant is finally healthy and was tasked to shadow Adam Thielen holding him to 2-38 on 5 targets. The Lions were one of the top teams in using shadow coverage the prior two seasons, so we should expect this trend to continue. McLaurin has been great all year, but I don’t expect the Lions offense to put up points in bunches which means McLaurin might not have the best game flow to dominate this week.

DFS Recommendation – Price FanDuel (FD) $7,000 / Draft Kings (DK) $6,800

On FD McLaurin is priced as a top 15 option and with both offenses not expected to light it up this week I would look elsewhere. Players on FD I would pivot to include Robert Woods vs. SEA and Allen Robinson vs. MIN. On DK McLaurin is getting the love he deserves being priced as a top 10 option. However, this week player should pivot away as both Robert Woods and Allen Robinson should have better matchups.

Team: New York Giants

Their gas tank empty, The Joey Wright and The Mick Ciallela stood on the side of a Coloradan road. It didn't matter which one, they all looked the same here. "Tumbleweed West" is what Joey called it. "The death of us" is what Mick called it under his breath. 

"Check the trunk again," Joey said, shaking his slurpee container and trying to get the last rocks of sugar into his straw. Mick pounded the trunk of the baby blue Buick Skylark, the latch popping and the trunk opening. "Yeah, I told you, it's gone. Just this manifesto!" Mick picked up the zine, the color of a rainbow without contrast. The lede: STEAL THIS RAZZBOWL. 

We have reached the double digit weeks! Usually I would say something like this season is flying by, but it absolutely isn't. It is crawling. Maybe it's the injury bug that has taken the NFL by storm. Pretty hard to fill out a lineup every week with healthy players that have a good chance to score. But we have to do what we have to do because a championship in 2020 still counts if they make it 7 more weeks! A fantasy title in this season could carry more weight than in seasons' past depending on how you look at it. On one hand, the difficulty level is extremely higher, but luck also plays a factor so maybe the manager with all of the injury luck takes the ship this year. It's hard to imagine anybody not running into a problem with at least one of their first picks in the first few rounds though. Here are the starts and sits for week 10 of the most interesting fantasy football season we've had to this point. 
Can you see it? That’s your fantasy football league’s playoff picture coming into view. Hopefully you’re reading this because you’re making your playoff push or fighting for a high seed and want to keep winning. Most league’s regular season ends week 13 or 14, so we are in the crucial weeks of the season that can shape the playoff landscape in your league. It’s make or break time and it is extremely important to find productive players to put in your flex spots. That is exactly why I write this column, to help you make these tough decisions and win your weeks! As you know, every Thursday here on Razzball, I will be posting the weeks “Sexy Flexies” to give you a couple of players to consider starting in your flex spot. The objective isn’t to point out the obvious guys you’re starting in your RB or WR slots, but to take a look at a couple of players who are a bit more under the radar. These will likely be guys that you won’t start every week but will be good rotational pieces in the flex spot of your lineup based on matchup and opportunity.

Welcome to Razzball’s dedicated gambling column-Teasers and Pleasers! Each Thursday during the NFL season, at 1:00 pm EST, TnP will post our top bets for the upcoming week. Just sit back and win some money with us in 2020.

These best bets are now 12-6 over the last 18 selections. The model is in a groove right now, and we are hoping it stays there. There are plenty of resources used to make these selections, but many of the key ones can be found right here at Razzball.

Whether you play fantasy football or are in the business of making player prop bets, Rudy Gamble’s Razzball Membership Tools are a must-have. He is giving away a FREE 7-day trial of all the tools you need to cash this week!

Now let’s get to it! Week 9 picks for your betting pleasure.