We’re back for the first week of the fantasy football playoffs! My analytical skills are about to be put to the test. Let’s dive into my favorite WR starts and sits for Week 15 using Wide Receiver Fantasy Points Scored Slot vs. Wide and our Defense Slot vs. Wide. The Slot vs Wide chart breaks down how many fantasy points a wide receiver has scored so far this season from the slot vs. out wide.
Be sure to check out the latest tools on Razzball.com: Slot vs. Wide PPG Allowed | WR Slot vs. Wide| DEF Targets Allowed | Home vs. Away | Wins vs. Losses | TD Tool | RB Zone vs. Gap Rushing | DEF Zone vs. Gap Rushing |
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Starts
- Player: Jauan Jennings
- Opponent: vs. Titans
Fresh off the bye week, Jennings is set to topple a Titans secondary allowing 36.9 points per game to WRs — the sixth-most in the league. Jennings is the only San Francisco WR averaging 10+ fantasy points per game this season, and since Brock Purdy returned from IR in Week 11, Jennings leads the team with 12.8 points per game. His alignment splits (63%/37%) nearly mirror Tennessee’s defensive splits (68%/32%). In a week with poor weather expected across the North and Northeast, I’ll gladly take a WR playing in the Land of Perpetual Sunshine with an excellent matchup.
- Player: Tetairoa McMillan
- Opponent: at New Orleans
This recommendation might be illegal in nine countries. McMillan enters this matchup riding a three-game TD streak. He’s one of just 14 players averaging 10+ points on the perimeter in at least 10 games this season. The Saints allow the fewest points to slot receivers, forcing 76% of WR fantasy production to the perimeter — tied for the third-highest rate in the league. Bryce Young and McMillan are trending up at the perfect time, with Young ranking as a top-3 QB from Weeks 11–13 before Carolina’s Week 14 bye. With bits of real panther, you know McMillan will be good.
WR3 Starts (WRs ranked outside the top 25)
- Player: Chimere Dike
- Opponent: at San Francisco
Dike should strike gold against the 49ers as Cam Ward comes off the first two-TD game of his career. San Francisco allows the most points to slot receivers, and Dike scores 75% of his fantasy production there. The Titans’ slot WR has scored double-digit points in four of his last seven games, three of which came against defenses ranking top-13 in points allowed to slot WRs. The projected game script should force Tennessee to air it out, giving Dike more target opportunities.
- Player: Darnell Mooney
- Opponent: at Tampa Bay
This may be the last name you’d expect to start in the playoffs, but in deeper leagues, I fully endorse Mooney on TNF. He’s been quiet over his last two outings, but both games came against top-10 defenses in limiting WR points. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, gives up the eighth-most points to perimeter WRs and the eighth-most to WRs overall. Mooney scores 75% of his production out wide and appears primed to soar. His Week 12 line of 3-74-1 with Kirk Cousins is repeatable here with Drake London ruled out. Over their last four games, the top perimeter WR against the Bucs has averaged 5 receptions for 73 yards on seven targets.
Sits
- Player: Michael Pittman Jr. and Alec Pierce
- Opponent: at Seattle
This may not be obvious to everyone, but I cannot trust the Colts’ WRs in the first week of the playoffs with Riley Leonard making his first NFL start — on the road — in Seattle. The Seahawks allow the fewest points to WRs and the second-fewest to perimeter WRs. Pittman (81% out wide) and Pierce (91% out wide) rely heavily on perimeter usage — exactly where Seattle dominates. If Leonard doesn’t play, Philip Rivers would presumably start, making his first appearance since January 9, 2021. Either way, I’m not risking my season on this matchup.
- Player: Michael Wilson
- Opponent: at Houston
Wilson is expected to operate as Arizona’s WR1 with Marvin Harrison Jr. not practicing to start the week. He’s been dominant with Jacoby Brissett when Harrison is inactive, delivering three top-10 finishes (two WR1 weeks and one WR9) and averaging 30.8 points per game. But this matchup is a trap. Houston has allowed only three WRs all season (Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Pierce) to reach double digits. The Texans also allow the third-fewest points to perimeter WRs, and Wilson scores 75% of his fantasy points out wide. Clip Wilson’s wings before he clips your playoff hopes.
| Download Table as CSV | |||
| Note: Filters and sorting in the table below apply to the output | |||
| # | Defense | Total PPG Allowed | Slot PPG Allowed | Wide PPG Allowed | Slot% | Wide% | Next Opp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARZ | 31.3 | 10.0 | 21.3 | 29% | 71% | HST | |
| ATL | 39.7 | 10.2 | 29.5 | 24% | 76% | TB | |
| BLT | 29.3 | 9.1 | 20.2 | 31% | 69% | CIN | |
| BUF | 27.4 | 12.6 | 14.8 | 46% | 54% | NE | |
| CAR | 29.7 | 11.4 | 18.3 | 38% | 62% | NO | |
| CHI | 38.1 | 15.1 | 23.0 | 42% | 58% | CLV | |
| CIN | 19.4 | 9.2 | 10.2 | 40% | 60% | BLT | |
| CLV | 20.8 | 7.0 | 13.8 | 49% | 51% | CHI | |
| DAL | 40.0 | 14.4 | 25.7 | 34% | 66% | MIN | |
| DEN | 32.1 | 8.5 | 23.6 | 31% | 69% | GB | |
| DET | 39.5 | 11.5 | 28.0 | 29% | 71% | LA | |
| GB | 22.9 | 5.7 | 17.3 | 21% | 79% | DEN | |
| HST | 25.0 | 11.4 | 13.5 | 46% | 54% | ARZ | |
| IND | 29.9 | 13.1 | 16.8 | 46% | 54% | SEA | |
| JAX | 27.5 | 10.2 | 17.3 | 39% | 61% | NYJ | |
| KC | 31.0 | 8.4 | 22.6 | 28% | 72% | LAC | |
| LA | 30.5 | 6.4 | 24.1 | 22% | 78% | DET | |
| LAC | 21.6 | 6.7 | 14.9 | 33% | 67% | KC | |
| LV | 33.2 | 8.8 | 24.4 | 29% | 71% | PHI | |
| MIA | 26.8 | 10.6 | 16.2 | 41% | 59% | PIT | |
| MIN | 19.6 | 7.2 | 12.4 | 39% | 61% | DAL | |
| NE | 27.5 | 11.4 | 16.0 | 43% | 57% | BUF | |
| NO | 24.2 | 4.9 | 19.4 | 24% | 76% | CAR | |
| NYG | 33.1 | 10.3 | 22.8 | 29% | 71% | WAS | |
| NYJ | 24.9 | 7.6 | 17.4 | 29% | 71% | JAX | |
| PHI | 23.4 | 6.1 | 17.4 | 32% | 68% | LV | |
| PIT | 33.5 | 13.5 | 20.0 | 39% | 61% | MIA | |
| SEA | 18.5 | 7.9 | 10.6 | 39% | 61% | IND | |
| SF | 37.6 | 18.6 | 19.0 | 50% | 50% | TEN | |
| TB | 34.9 | 11.7 | 23.2 | 39% | 61% | ATL | |
| TEN | 36.9 | 12.5 | 24.4 | 32% | 68% | SF | |
| WAS | 35.7 | 12.6 | 23.1 | 34% | 66% | NYG | |
| NFL Average | 29.5 | 10.1 | 19.4 | 35% | 65% |
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Can you rank Jefferson, Egbuka, Zay flowers? Help!
Sorry I’m late to your post. I would have said Egbuka but midway thru two quarters, Flowers looks like the right answer.
Thanks! Couldn’t get behind Egbuka yet, myself.
Justin Jefferson – not trustable yet (vs. Flowers?) what’s your take on your namesake