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Welcome back for another week of cashing in here at Razzball. I am here with your weekly DFS-focused article laying out my favorite options to target at each position for the Sunday DFS main slate. This DFS Flash article goes position by position, giving you my favorite pay-up option and my favorite pay-down or dart-throw option at each position to help you build out a winning DFS lineup. I use DraftKings pricing as a point of reference to seek out some values, and the goal is to help you “double up” in a 50/50 cash game with solid plays. Of course, you can use the dart throws to try to win the GPP tournaments, but at the end of the article, I give you my “double up” lineup using players discussed in this article. So let’s get right into it, let’s build this lineup and let’s make some money. fantasy football
Quarterback: fantasy football
Pay up – Joe Burrow – $6,900 – Joe Exotic is back, baby! Joe Burrow had a monster game last week, putting up 35.5 fantasy points on DraftKings in New Orleans. This week, he gets an even friendlier matchup at home against the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta ranks 24th in the league against opposing quarterbacks and allows over 280 passing yards per game. However, Atlanta has been surprisingly competitive also, so they could put some points up and force Burrow to keep his foot on the gas. We need just over 20 points for a 3x return on investment, and Burrow has scored over 20 in 4 of 6 games so far. I look for Burrow to connect with his stable of weapons early and often in this one to have back-to-back solid performances in our fantasy lineups.
Dart Throw – Matt Ryan – $5,400 – If you want to pay all the way down at quarterback this week, you could throw a dart at Matt Ryan. Matty Ice also had a big game last week, putting up over 30 fantasy points in a shootout with Jacksonville. The craziest part was that he threw the ball FIFTY-EIGHT times last week and threw 41 times the week before. In fact, he has at least 37 pass attempts in 4 straight games and at least 30 in every game this year, even with Jonathan Taylor in the lineup. Even if Taylor returns this week, I still think Frank Reich sees some life from this offense when they throw the ball, and I expect that to continue. Tennessee ranks 31st against opposing quarterbacks, so it’s a solid matchup for Ryan. At this salary, we only need 16.2 fantasy points on DraftKings for a 3-times return on our investment, and Ryan has gone over that number 4 times already this season.
Running Back: fantasy football
Pay Up –Austin Ekeler – $8,300– This is probably not a week to pay up at RB, but if you have the funds, Ekeler is the guy. His volume has been incredible lately, being used as both a runner and a pass catcher out of the backfield. He was targeted a whopping 16 times last week and caught 10 passes to add to his 14 rushing attempts. Seattle ranks 26th in the league against opposing running backs, and the Chargers should be able to get their offense on track against this poor defense. When they do, there will be a heavy dose of Ekeler, and the volume will help us get the value we need even at this salary. A 3x return on investment at this price would be 24.9 fantasy points, and Ekeler has gone over 24 points in each of his last three games. Ekeler has scored six total touchdowns in those last three games, and I look for him to add to that total this week.
Pay Down – Josh Jacobs – $6,500 – This is a great spot for Jacobs, coming off the bye and well rested. I love the usage we have seen from him so far this season, and he is coming off back-to-back games with over 33 fantasy points before the bye week. He gets a solid matchup right off the bat against a Houston defense that ranks dead last in the league against opposing running backs and gives up over 164 rushing yards per game. With the true bell cow role Jacobs seems to have and a great matchup as well, getting to the 19.5 points we would need for a 3x return on investment seems like a good bet.
Wide Receiver:
Pay Up – Michael Pittman Jr. – $7,400 – With some of the league’s top receivers on bye at the same time this week, we get to save some money at wide receiver. Normally, our pay-up option is well over $8K, but this week we can use Pittman at only $7,400. I mentioned earlier how many times Matt Ryan threw last week, and Pittman was his favorite target, catching 13 passes on 16 targets for 134 yards. Tennessee is also a favorable matchup for Pittman as they rank second to last in the league against wide receivers. This defense gives up an average of 31.3 fantasy points per game to receivers who line up out wide, so everything sets up for Pittman to eat once again this week.
Pay Down – Tee Higgins – $6,400 – “But JB, wasn’t it Ja’Maar Chase who went off last week?” Yes, it was, but we’re not playing last week. Chase could absolutely connect with Burrow again this week, but I like Higgins’ matchup and salary better, and I will be pairing him with Burrow in my lineups. Looking fully healthy now, Higgins logged 86% of the snaps last week while being targeted 10 times. This week, he gets a matchup against an Atlanta defense that just gave up two receiving touchdowns to Brandon Aiyuk. I specifically mention that because Aiyuk plays the WR2 role to Deebo, Samuel and Higgins plays that same role to Chase. Atlanta ranks 26th against opposing WR2s, so the matchup for Higgins is a sweet one. Six catches for 80 yards and a touchdown will get us over the 19.2 points we would need for our three times return on investment.
Dart Throw – Michael Gallup – $5,100 – Dallas has the second-highest Vegas implied total this week and gets their quarterback Dak Prescott back at the helm. While Gallup hasn’t made a big splash yet since returning from his injury, this could be the game he does. His targets have increased in each of the three games he has played so far, and he gets a favorable matchup this week against the Detroit secondary. Detroit ranks 25th in the league against opposing wide receivers and allows over 260 passing yards per game. So there should be plenty of action in this game, and that means there should be plenty of volume to go around, allowing Gallup to be involved and return value for us at this price tag.
Tight End:
Pay Up – Mark Andrews – $7,400 – I could just copy and paste my Andrews recommendation from last week. We all know Andrews is an absolute beast and is a target monster, especially without Rashod Bateman on the field. Unfortunately, he is a little banged up with what they’re calling a knee injury, so it may be risky to pay up, but if you do, he’s an easy pay-up option this week and every week, for that matter.
Pay Down – Robert Tonyan – $4,100 – If you’ve followed me for a while, you know how much I have been completely off Robert Tonyan for years. It pains me, but I’m here to help you all win, and I love his situation this week. We know Green Bay is struggling offensively, and the one guy that Aaron Rodgers looked comfortable with last week was Tonyan. The receiving corps is banged up, and Tonyan is coming off a game with 10 receptions on 12 targets and 90 yards, good for 19 fantasy points. With Randall Cobb banged up, Tonyan could be running a lot out of the slot where he will be matched up against 5’10, 190-pound Rachad Wildgoose. You’d be a silly goose not to like Tonyan’s advantage against Wildgoose!
*Bonus Dart Throws – Hayden Hurst – $3,500 and Evan Engram – $3,300–We all love a REVENGE GAME! Both Hurst and Engram go up against their former teams, and both are solid matchups. The Falcons rank 29th, and the Giants rank 23rd against the tight end position. Both players are involved in their offenses, and both have at least 10 targets a piece over the past two weeks. Both should be able to return solid value at their low price points.
Defense:
Pay Up – Buccaneers – $3,900 – This is a great bounce-back spot for Tampa Bay after a huge letdown last week. The offense is struggling, and the defense isn’t getting turnovers in recent weeks. That should all change this week against a miserable Carolina team that is in shambles. I expect the Tampa defense to come out fierce this week and put some points up.
Pay Down – Jets – $2,600– Coming off a game where they put up 20 fantasy points last week, the Jets are a solid value play again this week. They have forced 10 turnovers and have 14 sacks already on the season, including nine in the past three weeks. The Denver offense is having issues, and the New York playmakers on defense should be able to take advantage of that this week.
JB’s Example “Double Up” Lineup:
QB – Joe Burrow
RB – Josh Jacobs
RB – Travis Etienne
WR- Michael Pittman Jr.
WR- Tee Higgins
WR- Michael Gallup
TE – Evan Engram
Flex – Chris Godwin
DST – Jets
That will do it for your week 7 DFS Flash. Thanks for checking in, and I look forward to seeing you here every week to build out a winning DFS lineup. Make sure you check out all the fantastic new tools on Razzball.com and sign up for a FREE TRIAL of the Razzball tools subscription as you get ready to set the rest of your week 7 fantasy lineups. You are always invited to follow me on Twitter @FantasyCoachJB and ask me any questions you may have. Good luck in your upcoming matchups, and I’ll see you in the winner’s circle! Fantasy football, fantasy football, fantasy football, fantasy football, fantasy football, fantasy football, fantasy football.
