Howdy all, your boy Young Ralph Lifshitz is in the building, and I’m covering Daily Fantasy at DraftKings for the Legend (wait for it) Dary Sky. Just in case you’re wondering, Sky is fine, and certainly not bound and duct-tapped in the trunk of my 1998 Lincoln Mach VIII. From what I hear, Sky is in the Poconos with the Mrs. for a week of horse racing and cuddles and bubbles. Whether what I just said is a bold faced lie is for me to know and you to find out. While you come to your own conclusions about the last part, let’s talk about things we do know. First and foremost, pooping in a public bathroom is awkward 90% of the time, and the other 10% is middle of the road, but only because you’re alone. Secondly, and far more disgusting, the Jacksonville Jaguars stink against the pass, and by stink, I mean hot garbage cans full of rotten eggs. They currently average 2.8 passing TD’s allowed, 7.9 YPA, 11.4 yards per completion, and 40.8 opponent pass attempts per game. The last number is the most telling, because the only teams with a higher attempt per game average are the Broncos and Bengals. And well you pass against the Broncos and Bengals for very different reasons than you do the Jags. Sorry Jacksonville fans, but it gets no better this Sunday as the Pittsburgh Steelers and their top 10 passing attack come to town.

After Week 4, the Steelers rank 8th in the league in passing yards per game with an average of 274.8. They also boast the top wide receiver in the virtual game in Antonio Brown, a dual threat RB in Le’Veon Bell, and a veteran QB with a strong arm in Ben Roethlishberger. Though all the aforementioned names are strong buys this week, for the purposes of this post, Big Ben is my main focus. At a price of $7,400, Roethlishberger is the 12th most expensive option on the board, and due to his matchup, an absolute steal. He should easily outperform that rank on his way to a top 5 day. I suppose it’s not without risk as the Steelers could find themselves up big early with no need to pass. My guess is the improved Jacksonville passing game combined with the less than stellar Pittsburgh defense could keep the game just close enough to matter. Well that’s my hope anyway. Coming off a strong showing at home last week against the Buccaneers the Steelers passing attack should be in for another big game against another weak opponent.

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Mike Glennon, QB: $5,500 – Here’s my favorite contest play of the week. Glennon is cheap, giraffe like, and facing a dreadful Saints defense in a dome this week. The Saints are in the bottom third of the league in opponent yards per attempt and have allowed the third highest QB Rating at 105.7. Look for Glennon to produce top 15 results at a bottom barrel price.

Drew Brees, QB: $8,900 – For as bad as the Saints have been this year on offense. redemption is coming in the form of the Buccaneers defense. Thus far no one has been worse than Tampa Bay against the pass, not even the Jags! I know wow Lovie Smith is losing credibility with each passing attempt. Especially considering the Bucs are averaging 8.5 YPA. I expect Brees to earn his steep price tag this week.

Matt Forte, RB: $7,800 – Forte faces a Carolina Defense that seems to be unaware that they were supposed to be good. Regardless of the heavy expectations of the off season, the Panthers have been the most generous run defense in the NFL. Carolina is allowing 5.7 YPA to opposing running backs. Forte should be in line to break out of his slump and produce the big numbers we’re used to.

Giovani Bernard, RB: $6,700 – We’ll make this easy, I’m a Pats fan, I’ve watched every play of every game, and they suck against the run. Jeremy Hill isn’t a bad flex play either, expect the Bengals two headed attack to run through an overrated Pats defense.

Reggie Bush, RB: $6,200 – If Joique Bell is in fact unable to play this week due to last week’s concussion, Bush should be looking at an increased workload. Already handling a sizable chunk of the passing work, an increased number of carries could be the perfect recipe for Bush to produce a top ten RB week. I’m typically not a fan of Reggie but after this week I can go back to hating him.

Bishop Sankey, RB: $4,700 – Whether Ken Whisenhunt finally stops talking about Sankey’s footwork and does what every person who’s watched 10 minutes of a Titans game would do is still up in the air. It’s obvious that Sankey should be starting over Shonn Greene and featured prominently in the offense but it hasn’t happened yet. One of these days they’re going to take the reins off and let Bishop go. Against the Browns and their putrid run defense would be a good time. The Browns are allowing an average of 5.2 YPA, second only to the Panthers. This is a great contrarian flex play, but not for the faint of heart.

Rashard Jennings, RB: $5,500 – VOLUME, VOLUME, VOLUME. Jennings is the man in the Giants running game. He’s one of the few running backs outside of Matt Forte and Demarco Murray not in some sort of a timeshare, and oh yeah he faces the Atlanta Falcons and their gate for a defense. The Falcons are allowing the second highest Yards per play in the league at 6.4 yards. This should be good for Jennings and the Giants.

Victor Cruz, WR: $5,800 – After back to back weeks over the century mark Mr. Salsa is rejoining the circle of trust. He faces the aforementioned Falcons defense who only exist to give their offense a rest. Hey Julio Jones can’t do everything.

Brian Quick, WR: $5,900 – The Eagles are allowing 2.5 passing TD’s per game, and who else is going to catch TD’s on the Rams besides Quick? His price isn’t as cheap as I might like, but he’s still a very good option in all formats.

Keenan Allen, WR: $5,800 – Last week Allen finally shook the cobwebs and put up a good game against Jacksonville, as he went 10/135. He should get another shot to shine this week as the Super Chargers take on the Jets and their Meh pass defense. He’s just cheap enough that he’s a bit of a steal, as long as he can build off of last week’s breakout.

Jeremy Maclin, WR: $5,600 – Maclin has seen an absurd 47 targets through 4 weeks and gets a cushy matchup against the lowly Rams and their bottom 3 pass defense. The Rams have the third highest YPA by opponents in the league at 8.1 and the second highest yards per play average at 6.4. I’d expect Maclin to mirror his big numbers from week 1 and week 3. His price tag is also absurdly low based on his production and place as the number one option in Chip Kelly’s passing offense.

Kelvin Benjamin, WR: $4,800 – I have no idea why Benjamin is sooooo cheap. Sure the offense isn’t great and Cam Newton is the biggest mess this side of Tom Brady, but the rookie has been doing his thing. With 29 catches, 329 yards, and 3 TD’s, Kelvin is a top 10 receiver at the moment, and is being targeted like one on a week in and week out basis. Benjamin will be in all of my lineups this week regardless of format.

Andrew Hawkins, WR: $3,500 – On DraftKings PPR stalwarts like Hawkins have a ton of value. So far his floor has been incredibly high, as he snatched no less than six catches in each of the Browns first three games. He’s also leading the receiving corps with 32 targets. Believeland faces a decent Titans defense in Tennessee this week but with Hawkins value dependent upon volume and not big play ability he should continue to be a high upside, under the radar player.

Travis Kelce, TE: $3,000 – Truthfully up until Monday night I had not seen much of Kelce, but I loved what I saw. He’s big, fast, athletic, and able to make plays with the ball in the open field. He’s not tied to a high volume passing game but should see just enough targets to come away with a useful line. Kelce is a future star in the making.

Owen Daniels, TE: $3,300 – With Dennis Pitta going down two weeks ago, Daniels slid into the starting role this past Sunday on his way to 7 targets. Besides Steve Smith Sr., Daniels saw the most looks on the team, which isn’t much different from how Pitta was utilized the first 3 weeks of the season. Even with Pitta healthy, Daniels was vulturing some redzone targets, so expect some big games to come.

Kansas City, Defense: $2,300 – There are a few things I like in this life a cold beer and a cheap defense. Yes that’s it just those two things. The Chiefs looked good against the Patriots on Monday night but then again even the Raiders looked good against them, sooooo maybe I should take that with a grain of salt. Either way, I’m not a huge fan of Colin Kaepernick, and my focus here is he’s still prone to mistakes and bad turnovers. I wouldn’t be shocked if he puts up a stinker this week against an underrated KC defense.

Cincinnati, Defense: $3,800 – They’re currently the best pass defense in the league based off of yards per attempt and it’s by a pretty sizable margin. The Bengals are tops in the league with an opponent YPA of 5.1, the Dolphins have the second best in the league at 5.7, and it drops off from there. In other words it gets no better for Tom Brady and the Patriots this week.

 

Follow me on Twitter @ralphlifshitzbb or challenge me on DraftKings as Puigroast.

  1. The don says:
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    Which 2 te would you keep between cameron, delanie walker or jordan reed?

  2. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    Cameron and Walker.

  3. John Rambo Jr says:
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    How do you see MN using Patterson moving forward? Are they going to get him the ball? Time to dump for the Quick/Hurns/Tate types?

    Thanks in advance,

    JRJ

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @John Rambo Jr: You know Bridgewater looked good and I think he had control of the offense. Which is more than we can say about any Vikes playcaller since Farve’s good season. Give it another week or two to see if he can get Patterson the ball.

      With that said Quick is great pickup, do you have anything else to drop for him?

      • John Rambo Jr says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz:

        Not really. Bench only allows (3) and I drafted pretty well in this league. Guess I could drop Kelce, but I’m hoping to trade him.

        Thanks for talking me off the Patterson ledge

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @John Rambo Jr: No problem. Keep Kelce or seek the trade.

        • John Rambo Jr says:
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          @John Rambo Jr:

          Streaming D/ST this season, I’ve got some choices on the waiver…

          49s home vs Chiefs. Just hit waivers. Chiefs made NE look silly
          GB home vs MN. Bridgewater may miss b/c ankle on a short week
          Eagles home vs STL. New kid gets start over Hill n Eagles collapse last week
          Cleveland @ Ten. Ten offense sux and may start Whithurst

          Thoughts?

          Thanks in advance,
          JRJ

  4. The don says:
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    Ok with cam newton as my only qb would you go blake bortles or jordan reed with the above listed (walker, cameron)

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The don: Grab Bortles, don’t get me wrong if healthy Reed can be a monster, but that’s a big if.

  5. CL says:
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    I too like cheap DEF. Thoughts on Cowboys DEF for $2500 this week?

  6. The don says:
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    Ok bortles or glennon

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @The don: This week Glennon. It’s totally dependent on the matchup from week to week.

  7. Ralph Lifshitz

    Ralph Lifshitz says:
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    They are worth a shot. Houston certainly isn’t good on offense so it could pay off.

  8. cubjet says:
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    Would you drop justin hunter for andre holmes?

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @cubjet: Not while the Raiders are on bye, and who’s throwing him the ball with Carr out for a bit. If it’s Schaub I’d think about it, if it’s Matt McGloin no. I’d still stick with Hunter.

  9. New leaf says:
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    E. Sanders also great value at $5100. Would you start Bortles in DK $5200? My thought is he’ll have to throw a ton, since I think coming off a loss the Steelers will go up big in this one….similar to glennon this week.

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @New leaf: I was close to featuring both Bortles and Sanders. I like Glennon’s matchup better but Bortles isn’t far behind.

      As for Sanders a big week wouldn’t shock me but I feel like at the end of the day there are better plays.

  10. Joe Shmoe says:
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    Hi there,
    I ‘m trying to decide if I should pick up McKinnon or one of the three headed RB beast that is Ravens. Any thoughts on who is the long term (this year) keeper?

    Thanks in advance

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Joe Shmoe: Sure pick up McKinnon, I like how he looks. More on him in Friday’s Handcuff Report. He’s the keeper IMO. Lorenzo Taliaferro is next in line, I wouldn’t touch Forsett or Pierce long term.

  11. JeF With 1 F says:
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    This is how im rollin with DK this week:
    Big Ben
    D.Murray
    R.Jennings
    A.Brown
    J.Maclin
    K.Allen
    T.Kelce
    K.Benjamin
    Chiefs

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @JeF With 1 F: Nice I like it, looks very similar to one of mine.

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: Funny i actually built this roster prior to reading this…your write up made me feel pretty good about my choices…i was on the fence with Kelvin

        • Ralph Lifshitz

          Ralph Lifshitz says:
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          @JeF With 1 F: Great Minds! Funny enough Jay actually has him ranked 4th this week in his rankings, and that made me feel pretty good.

          Draftkings football prices are all over the place this week.

          • JeF With 1 F says:
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            @Ralph Lifshitz: Yea feel like there were a lot of good prices on guys…I did a fan duel also and cant put together the same line up…their prices are generally higher because of a 60k cap instead of 50k but this week there was a big difference.

            • Ralph Lifshitz

              Ralph Lifshitz says:
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              @JeF With 1 F: Yeah I play Fan Duel from time to time but I prefer DK or Fantasy Aces.

              • JeF With 1 F says:
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                @Ralph Lifshitz: @Ralph Lifshitz: Same here i only played this week because they added some cash to my account…hate the kicker and the fact that their cheapest player/Defense is still $4500

                • Ralph Lifshitz

                  Ralph Lifshitz says:
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                  @JeF With 1 F: Yeah I don’t like Fan Duel for baseball either.

      • JeF With 1 F says:
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        @Ralph Lifshitz: When i lose on Sunday though you will be receiving full blame.

  12. Khen says:
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    My DK lineup this week, I’m feeling good about it what do you think?
    Rivers
    Murray
    Bell
    Brown
    Benjamin
    Hawkins
    Kelce
    Jennings
    Browns

    • Ralph Lifshitz

      Ralph Lifshitz says:
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      @Khen: Looks good and I think that the Browns D is a nice risk/reward play.

    • JeF With 1 F says:
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      @Khen: The only thing i don’t like is taking the RB and Receiver from the same team…chances are they both don’t have a big game.

      • Ralph Lifshitz

        Ralph Lifshitz says:
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        @JeF With 1 F: Hmmmm I don’t know there’s going to be plenty of points to go around in that game, and it’s Bell and Brown. Few better options thus far this season at each if their positions.

        • JeF With 1 F says:
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          @Ralph Lifshitz: If theres a game where it works it could be this one but i still try to avoid it.

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