The pronounced offseason ‘champs’ lose 43-13, the quarterback that ‘can’t pass’ tosses 5 touchdowns for over 300yds passing, the defending NFC champs win 30-27 without a starting skill player scoring a touchdown, and former 1st round ‘bust’ WR goes for 158 yds and 2 TDs. Can we get an Allelujah? The NFL is back. 

Unfortunately, along with all of the excitement that was brought in week 1, plenty of angst was brought upon starting fantasy rosters. Each week, the handcuff report will highlight key running back waiver acquisitions or necessary watch list candidates. Bench spots are fluid and managing who to add each week is critical in any quest to fantasy football glory. Let’s get started with the bad boyz of week 1….

Week 1 Offenders

Raheem Mostert  

San Francisco 49ers

Tevin Coleman was sidelined with an ankle injury and left the stadium in a walking boot. A MRI on Monday will confirm the severity of his injury, but the 49ers Head Coach is “concerned.” Raheem Mostert will be one of the hottest adds this week, if you need running back help make sure to submit a waiver request/bid. Matt Breida did leave due to hydration issues, but was able to return to the lineup. Breida will be the RB1, until Coleman can return. Shanahan’s offense has history of supporting two backs and Mostert was effective Sunday when called upon. Averaging a healthy 4.4 yards per carry, taking 9 carries for 40 yards. A sneaky name to add to your watch list is Jeff Wilson Jr., if Coleman is sidelined for multiple weeks and the 49ers call Wilson up from the practice squad. Wilson popped in the final preseason game, rushing for over 100yards and breaking a 41-yard touchdown run. In deeper leagues OR deep benches, adding Wilson should be considered if news regarding Coleman is a long term injury. 

Malcolm Brown

Los Angeles Rams

Todd Gurley out-touched Malcolm Brown by only 4 touches (3 carries), and surrendered 2 touchdowns to the former Texas Longhorn. Either Todd Gurley’s knee is a real problem, or this is the new look Rams as they manage Gurley’s workload over the course of the season to keep him fresh for a post-season run. Either way, Malcolm Brown needs to be considered in all leagues after Sundays performance against the Panthers. Brown received 5 rezone touches, Henderson 1, and Gurley 0. Gurley owners, don’t panic, and don’t overact to the Brown performance. Gurley dominated snaps, playing 70% of the offensive snaps to only Malcolms 26%. Don’t be surprised if Brown continues to get 10-12 touches a game. Over-priced fantasy rookie Darrell Henderson only received 1 carry for 0 yards, recorded 0 passing targets, and only 3% of the offensive snaps. Avoid a knee-jerk reaction and don’t rage-drop Henderson after week 1, but he might become waiver wire material if his snap share remains the same over the next couple of weeks. 

Giovani Bernard

Cincinnatti Bengals

Joe Mixon is reported to have suffered a mild ankle sprain against the Seahawks, but it is not expected to be a long term threat. He has minimal swelling in his ankle, which might cause him to be limited in week 2 but it does not look like he will miss times. The coaching staff hinted at involving Bernard more in the offense this pre-season and doubled down on this by signing him to an extension before the start of the season. Giovani Bernard should be considered on your waiver priority list. The Bengals offensive line did not look great against the Seahawks, which can funnel more opportunities for Bernard if the Bengals find themselves in “catch up” mode. 

Jamaal Williams 

Green Bay Packers

An ugly home opener in Chicago, nothing got rolling for the Packers on the ground. Facing arguably the best defense in the league, don’t panic yet. The Packers have rough sledding the next 4 weeks, facing the Vikings-Broncos-Eagles-Cowboys, and might present a nice buy-low window for Aaron Jones. The interesting development last Thursday night was the development of Jones’ running-mate, Jamaal Williams. Williams handle 41% of the offensive snaps, to Jones’ 59% and looks to be the preferred passing down back in GB. If you own Jones, you will want to secure your insurance policy by grabbing Williams. If you don’t, add Williams to your watch list as he is not worth owning unless you own Jones.

Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

As predicted in, Shootout Vs. Blowout, the -9.5 spread in favor of the Eagles did not lean towards a positive game script for Derrius Guice. Even though the Redskins found themselves up 17-0 early while the Eagles starters were knocking off the rust, the script flipped after halftime. The Redskins quickly found themselves playing from behind and passing the ball more than running. Thompson racked up 7 catches on 10 targets, and recorded 14.80 PPR fantasy points. As the Redskins continue to be underdogs, Chris Thompson will continue to have value in PPR leagues. 

Quick Hits:

Tony Pollard needs to remain rostered, and Ezekiel Elliott owners need to grab him immediately if dropped by your league mates. The Cowboys leaned on Pollard to close out the game, but this is most likely due to Zeke getting eased back in after spending preseason in Cabo. But if anything happens to Zeke, the Cowboys are comfortable leaning on Pollard to tote the rock.

Keep an eye on Ito Smith in Atlanta. Game script heavily influenced the poor performance on the ground, but Ito Smith out rushed and out snapped Devonta Freeman. Smith averaged 5.2 yards per carry (6 carries for 31 yards) on 51% of the snaps to Freemans 2.4 yards per carry (8 carries for 19 yards) and 49% snaps. If we continue to see an almost even split in carries, then Smith will be a name to be rostered. Get ahead of it if you have the bench depth to do so.

Don’t overact to Gus Edwards receiving more carries than Mark Ingram on Sunday. As expected, this game got out of hand quickly, paving the way for Gus Edwards to receive “garbage time” carries. Mark Ingram is the unquestioned lead back in this offense. What we can learn though, Gus Edwards is the clear “handcuff” for Ingram owners. It could have been the game flow, after the lead got out of hand, that prevented pre-season hype guy Justice Hill to produce on Sunday. Hill was non-existent in the passing game, but was also not needed while BAL manhandled MIA

The New England backfield will continue to be a headache as they continue to deploy an almost even touch RBBC. Rex Burkhead went un-drafted in most fantasy drafts the season and is an interesting add for those looking to bolster their RB dept. He out targeted and out touched James White, and out rushed Michel. Burkhead ran for 44 yards (5.5 ypc), to Whites 26 yards (6.5 ypc), to Michels 14 yards (0.9 npc), but it will be difficult to predict weekly leaders out of this backfield.

Bonus WR Handcuff: With Tyreek Hill sidelined for multiple games, Mecole Hardman will be a hot waiver target this week. 

Keep an eye on my twitter to keep updated on any new developments over the course of the week. 

 

  1. Allan says:
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    Doing 6 leagues this year and started good so far in 5 of them. One of them however I am supremely concerned about. It’s a 12 team ppr and this is my team.
    QB Wentz
    RBs Carson, Coleman
    WRs Julio, OBJ
    TE Howard
    Flex David Montgomery
    DST Ravens
    K Crosby
    Bench: Christian Kirk, Corey Davis, Anthony Miller, Darrell Henderson, Dion Lewis, Mark Andrews, Jameis Winston
    Top available ww players: Beasley, Conley, Ross, Quinn, Dorsett, Amendola, Malcolm Brown, Burkhead, Gallman, Sproles, Mike Davis, Jamaal Williams, Ogunbowale, Ito Smith, Gus Edwards, Mostert and that’s about it.
    I have number 1 priority so I can get any of them but are any worth using that priority? Should I try to make a trade? or just stand pat?

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      not a bad squad, definitely need some RB help/depth now that Coleman is out. Julio and OBJ will see better days. Miller, Henderson, are expendable at the moment. don’t give up on Davis…yet, but sunday scared me with him.

      Ross, Malcolm Brown, Burkhead, Mostert, and Ito are all worthy of a waiver claim.. you just need to decide who’s worthy of the #1 spot or if you think based off your league if they will fall through the cracks. based on your RB situation, i think you need to add Mostert, Burkhead/Brown. Mostert was effective yesterday, 49ers like using two backs and Breida has an injury of his own. since you own Coleman i think Mostert is the call.

      up to you if you don’t want to waste that #1 spot and if you think Mostert will make it through waivers but i think he’ll be a top add this week after the Coleman news and plenty of RB needy teams.

      • Allan says:
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        Thanks

        • Nic Romero

          Nic Romero says:
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          no prob, thanks for the comment Allan.

  2. Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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    12 teamer with return yards worth half of scrimmage (so lockett usually worth more here, albeit he got no returns in week 1). PPR. waivers reset every week to inverse standings. was the 2nd worst week 1 team so i got the 2 to start.
    QB (1) ben (so i need another QB, quickly)
    RB (2): AAron, jacobs, both MIA guys, guice (have one IR slot which he’ll go in shortly, the yahoo kind where if a guy is just out he can go in it), pollard
    WR (2): adams, lockett, sutton, j.brown (well i sure was right about these latter 2, i wanted them for depth, they cost nothing, and both had great games)
    TE (1) kittle
    1 flex
    K: PHI kicker
    DEF: DAL (might go after KC @ OAK but DAL @ WAS pretty good too)

    so i suppose i can wait till guice gets IR’d to get the 2nd QB (keenum, dalton, j.allen, darnold, murray, mariota etc), but i had thought to drop pollard here for MVS (dropped recently for t-will before the GB game). now i’m thinking due to guice injury and MIA sucking that badly and sutton + j.brown both looking so good i’d rather drop pollard for RB depth more. options:

    if RB: RJ2, gio B, j-will (handcuff to AAron), ito, j.jackson, mostert
    if WR: MVS, ross, m.brown, mclaurin, dola, chark, metcalf, quinn

    • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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      for different PPR league, are you holding marv jones over all of those same WR’s as above (minus MVS).

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        Marvin Jones snap share was high (81%), but target share was brutal (9%) in what ended up as a shootout. don’t think you make a knee-jerk reaction just yet based off the draft capital invested in Jones. MVS, Ross and Brown would be the 3 id consider adding but Ross production will be difficult to sustain once AJ returns and his production came on “broken” plays. MVS and possibly MBrown would be the ones too consider, maybe there is someone else on your bench thats more expendable than Jones for you to drop for either of these WR.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      Yea, def need some RB depth. I think you’ll be okay with Big Ben moving forward, PIT always struggles @ NE. I really like Josh Allen this week, and there’s a good chance he’ll still be on your waivers, same with the other QB you mentioned so dont waste waiver priority there unless you hate the headache with Ben.

      You look good on WR, i love Twill moving forward and MVS has a chance to be a WR2/3 the rest of the way but i dont think you need to waste waiver priority on WR with who you currently have..but if you really want him then thats up to you.

      i’m good with dropping Pollard since you dont own Zeke. Ballage might be a drop candidate here soon, so keep an eye on that. I love RoJo’s usage this past weekend, and def looked like the best back in TB..Barber is just a guy. J-Will will remain on your waivers, doubtful anyone places a claim on him unless you have some very desperate RB owners, so dont need to waste a claim on him.

      My priority based off who you put would be RJ2 first, then a toss up between Gio-Mostert. i’ll give you my thought on the two and let you decide. Mixon injury is not considered long term, might even suit up this week but looks like he is at risk of only missing 1-week if he does miss time. CIN said they’d like to get Gio involved more in the offense even with Mixon in, so Gio has more long term value but limited upside with Mixon starting. Coleman is expected to miss a couple of weeks with his ankle sprain, SF offense is RB friendly, he will run behind Breida until Coleman returns but Breida has his own injury risk and Shanahan likes utilizing two BAcks. Moster looked good last year when called upon and last week. Mostert has more immediate upside versus the long term value with Gio, unless Coleman and Breida get injure again. don’t think you need to waste a waiver claim on the other RBs you mentioned. Im probably leaning Rojo, Moster, Gio in the order.

      thanks for the comment and good luck.

      • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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        good analysis here.

        • Nic Romero

          Nic Romero says:
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          thanks boss.

          • Eli Man Penguin Boy says:
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            mostert was quite good last year, had obtained him in super deep leagues and was useful.

            • Nic Romero

              Nic Romero says:
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              yea, i agree. just need to decide if you want the possible longer term play with gio or short term with Mostert given current situation. obviously things are always fluid week-2-week. good luck.

  3. Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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    14 team PPR. keep 2. i had a.brown in the 4th and OJ howard in the 21st (last). last year i also had to attack RB in the 1st 2 rounds.
    QB (1): newton, jimmer G
    RB (2): (drafted ONE day before l.miller’s injury, last year drafted about 12 hours before mckinnon’s injury, drafted both in the 2nd round ), carson, d-will (KC), gio B, singletary, c.thompson, m.davis, ty mont (easy drop here)
    WR (3): AB, a.wilson, JJSS, j.brown, sutton (oh man of all the stuff i had go wrong in week 1 i’m SOOOOO happy i drafted j.brown and sutton pretty much everywhere on the cheap, a.wilson too)
    TE (1) oj howard
    1 flex

    i guess hold a.wilson (have 2 IR slots in case he misses time, yahoo so he just has to miss to fit into it for a day or 2), meanwhile, what’s best order of dropping ty mont:
    mclaurin, AP, mostert, chark, quinn, parker, dola, conley, k.johnson, boykin,

    also, how much FAAB here, i’m thinking 5 on the top end going gradually downward.

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      unless you can put Wilson in an IR pretty quick, he is drop material. he had value heading into the season before MIA went on a fire sale and look horrible. he’s a drop candidate in the leagues i own him. same with ty mont, im good with dropping too.

      i think your order is pretty spot on. i go back and forth on Mostert over AP. I love Chris Thompson more in full point PPR leagues, especially since Redskins will be playing from behind a lot. but at the same time AP as a clear path to #1 early down/goal line role as long as Guice is sidelined. Mostert is in the 49ers offense and its always smart to have a RB in the system even its the rb2..and i believe coleman is sidelined for a minimum of 4-6 if not longer. ill let you make the decision but those are my thoughts on the two.

      yes 0-5 for everyone starting from chark and on. wouldn’t put a bid larger for them.

      Mclaurin, AP, and Mostert…you are going to need to spend more than 5 to secure them. probably more between 5-15, depending on how agressive your league is and how much you feel you need the position depth. i would spend the most on McLaurin, our FAAB guy says as high as $26 but the seems steep to me. im thinking more 11-13, and then 7-8 for Moster and AP. im not a FAAB expert but based off the research I’ve done today thats kinda the range ive seen suggested.

      thanks for the comment and good luck.

      • Nic Romero

        Nic Romero says:
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        pretty solid starting roster btw. love the singletary pick.

        • Let Us Now Praise Famous Death Dwarves says:
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          ty mont and m.davis (and for about a week till i needed kicker ajayi in case he went to HOU) were added post draft after miller got hurt. if nobody else gets hurt my RB depth is better than my WR depth (if we assume mccoy going to KC helped singletary more than it hurt d-will for sure this is true). the singletary pick was made before that so it cost very very little, also c.thompson cost almost nothing in the draft. 26 seems like overkill to me too (i just read that post too) on mclaurin, ross was added from FA just before sunday’s games too. unless a.wilson stays hurt i actually still think he’ll do pretty well this year (when last spotted playing he was completely awesome, and it’s not like tannehill is better (if much anyway) than fitz, albeit the line got worse, BUT he’s moved to the slot anyway, he could when healthy post a ton of 8+ catch type games and MIA should be losing pretty much every game. i know rudy’s bot loved a.wilson literally as of last saturday for the season, before he was ruled out. also the top FP rankers had him no small amount higher for PPR than his ADP). i’ll shoot for the more reasonable range for mclaurin here, my guess is there are more RB needy teams than me that’ll pay up for AP and mostert.

  4. Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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    .2 PPR (so pretty much standard, yeah i know it’s odd). rosters are large but max 6 RB and 6 WR. keep 6 and i didn’t keep j.howard/mccoy/drake this is why my RB are so weak for a 12’er. also we did non snake, next year back to snake. i had the 12th in all rounds and started with only michel as keeper. waivers in this league are weekly indexed to standings and i lost so i’m 5th to start this week.
    QB: (1) wentz, murray, dalton
    RB (2) michel, breida, singletary, ballage, henderson (clearly a drop), coleman
    WR (2) JJSS, julio, sutton, metcalf, c.davis (wow that was ugly, too early to drop maybe), j.brown
    TE (1): ertz, hooper
    3 flexes (R/W/T)
    K: JAX
    DEF: LAC, CAR
    1. assuming i should keep ballage (not a guaranteed non-drop but he is one step from a starter, and could be starter anyway, the way the last 3 MIA regimes have jerked around their best RB for years with drake/l.miller), what’s best order for dropping henderson: RJ2, c.thompson, mostert, ogun?

    2. is it too early to drop c.davis (i’m assuming my other guys are clear no drops for WR’s)for this group: mclaurin, ross, chark, quinn, crowder, aj brown, parker?

    • Nic Romero

      Nic Romero says:
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      solids at QB. not bad honestly at RB, your top three are solid. ballage and henderson are def top drop candidates. ballage is on the Dolphins and they are going to be playing catch up all season and the o-line is horrible. i dont trust them the rest of the season, even if he has a ‘decent’ game here or there. i just dont see when you would comfortably start him over michel, breida, or singletary, or even coleman when he returns. im dumping ballage where i have him and even considering dropping drake.

      man, oh man, was that ugly with Corey Davis. im with you brother. i have him in two leagues and was like WTFFF.. but we can’t bail on him yet. he still led the team in snap % at WR, he should bounce back….should…please..im praying with you bro lolllll.

      as far as who to add. again, i would considered dropping ballage and henderson.

      you need RB depth the most, I love adding Chris Thompson here even in .2 ppr.. Since you have coleman and breida, i would put a claim in for mostert too. locking up the SF backfield, mostert looked decent/productive last season and on Sunday.maybe slightly more value than Chris T in a more standard type league since AP is a threat for goaline work. RJ2 is an interesting add but that backfield might be volatile week2week with Arians doubling down on Barber still being the “starter” but Rojo surprisingly looked good sunday. maybe would even consider Rojo over Thomspon for sure in an “almost standard” league and maybe mostert, since Rojo is getting regular carries versus passing work. Ogunbowale would be at the bottom of the list but would consider him over Henderson, not ballage.

      you have to hang tight on Davis, but i would put bids in for crowder, McLaurin, ross, and brown in that order. but ballage and henderson are the only drop candidates at the moment.

      maybe the move is to consider making a trade with a TE needy team for an upgrade at RB, if you feel comfortable with letting go of either Hooper or Ertz, but understand if you decide to hold them.

      good luck and thank you for the comment.

      • Aubrey Plaza's Pillow says:
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        thanks, yeah even with a possible ballage drop he’d have to be for a RB, can’t own more than 6 WR or more than 6 RB. this leads to better WR being in FA pretty much all year than RB and certainly better than QB or TE usually. you also pretty much have to exit the draft with 2 DEF since the only ones left are the bottom 4-6 max. kicker is probably the only spot you can drop for bye weeks and not lose a ton. this is a 2 DL/LB/DB each IDP league too (now with an IDP flex too) so i own 7 starter IDP’s plus a backup each for DL/DB/LB (if any of these get PUP’d i could add another at same position too)

        • Nic Romero

          Nic Romero says:
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          sounds like a fun league. good luck.

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