NFL Week 10 Takeaways

It was an exciting Week 10 for the fantasy football community as there were several games with plenty of offense and points. With the last international game over, we will be back to our usual Sunday mornings for football. Let’s take a closer look at some of the key takeaways from Week 10 and look ahead to Week 11 and beyond.

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49ers at Jaguars

In one of the most anticipated games of the week, we got a dud. The Jaguars turned the ball over four times, limiting their real-life and fantasy prospects. We saw the good version of Brock Purdy, who completed 19/26 for 296 yards with three touchdowns. Christian McCaffrey ended his touchdown streak at 17 games but had over 100 all-purpose yards with 95 rushing yards on 16 carries and six catches for 47 receiving yards on a team-high 10 targets. George Kittle scored a 66-yard TD and finished with a team-high 116 yards on three grabs. Brandon Aiyuk posted three receptions for 55 yards and a TD. Deebo Samuel returned from injury, scoring a rushing TD and added four catches for 30 yards.

Trevor Lawrence wasn’t good or terrible, going 17/29 for 185 passing yards, but was responsible for three turnovers (two interceptions and a fumble). Christian Kirk led all Jaguars offensive players with six grabs for 104 yards on a team-high 11 targets but also lost a fumble in the red zone.

Takeaway:

The 49ers return home to host the Buccaneers, who are allowing the second-most points to QBs and WRs. Tampa Bay is middle of the pack against TEs. Purdy and his pass catchers will look to continue their dominant ways in facing a vulnerable secondary. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay gives up the second-fewest points to RBs and is one of two teams to not allow an RB rushing TD. McCaffrey is an automatic starter, but he could be in line for a rough day.
Jacksonville will host the Titans in Week 11, who allow eight-most points to WRs but allow the fifth-fewest to TEs while being middle of the pack against QBs and RBs. The Jaguars need to be better and have an opportunity to get right at home. At this point in the season, Lawrence is a better real-life QB than a fantasy one. Kirk has a much safer floor than Calvin Ridley, who is very much boom or bust despite a solid target share. Travis Etienne is the engine that runs this offense and will need to bounce back.

Texans at Bengals

C.J. Stroud was electric yet again, completing 23/39 for 356 passing yards with one passing TD, one interception, and a rushing score. He guided the Texans to another game-winning drive in the fourth. Devin Singletary handled the backfield duties rushing 30 times for 150 yards and a TD. For a second consecutive week, Noah Brown led all Texans pass catchers with seven receptions for 172 yards. Tank Dell saw a Week 10-high 14 targets, tallying six grabs for 56 yards and the lone receiving TD. Both players should be on all rosters, and every week starters with Nico Collins out.

The Bengals are definitely back in the circle of trust for fantasy, as Joe Burrow was equally impressive, going 27/40 for 347 passing yards with two TDs and two picks. For the second week in a row, eight different players tallied a reception. Burrow has thrown over 300 yards in three of his last five games. Ja’Marr Chase posted five catches for a team-high 124 yards and one TD. Tyler Boyd filled in for Tee Higgins, drawing a team-high 12 targets and finishing with eight grabs for 117 yards. Joe Mixon added 11 carries for 46 yards and one rushing TD. Chase and Boyd were the fifth WR duo to go over 100 yards in a game this season.

Takeaway:

The Texans return home to H-Town in a very fantasy-friendly matchup against the Cardinals. Arizona allows the third-most to RBs and the ninth-most to QBs and WRs. Get all the Texans in your lineups and reap the rewards.
We got ourselves an AFC North divisional matchup on Thursday Night Football as the Bengals hit the road to M&T Bank Stadium. Baltimore has the best-ranked fantasy defense against opposing QBs while allowing the second-fewest points to WRs and fourth-fewest to TEs. On the ground, Baltimore allows the 10th-fewest to RBs. This is not an ideal matchup for the Bengals on paper, but the Browns were able to move the ball around the Ravens. You probably don’t have better options, so you’re starting your Bengals, but temper expectations on a short week.

Saints at Vikings

In his Vikings home opener, Joshua Dobbs completed 23/34 for 268 yards with one passing TD and rushed for 44 yards and a rushing score. Dobbs has a rushing touchdown in four consecutive games and is the only QB with passing and rushing TD over the last three games. T.J. Hockenson was TE1 for Week 10 as he garnered a team-high 15 targets, catching 11 balls for 134 yards and a TD. Hockenson leads all TEs with 48 targets, 35 catches, and 377 yards over the last four weeks. These numbers will surely dip with the return of Justin Jefferson but is a reminder of how dominant Hock can be in the Vikings’ offense. Ty Chandler led all Minnesota RBs with 15 carries for 45 yards and one TD after Alexander Mattison exited the game following a concussion in the third quarter. Chandler should be one of the top waiver adds as I expect Mattison to miss next week. I am excited to see how Dobbs will look with Jefferson back, who has the makings of a top 10 QB moving forward.

Derek Carr exited the game after a right shoulder injury and was evaluated for a concussion, which led to a Jameis Winston appearance. Winston finished with 122 passing yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Chirs Olave paced the Saints’ pass catchers with six catches for 94 yards. Taysom Hill was non-existent in this one. Alvin Kamara rushed nine times for 26 yards but was busy out of the backfield catching seven passes for 33 yards and two 2-point scores on seven targets. For the second consecutive week, Kamara was under double digits in rushing attempts. This is a trend to monitor following the Saints Week 11 bye.

Takeaway:

Minnesota will travel to the Mile High in Week 11, which favors the rushing attack for the Vikings. The Broncos play tonight on Monday Night Football, so I am curious to see how the Bills’ game plan as Denver allows 130 yards per game to RBs and the third-most points to RBs. Chandler has a dream matchup as the top waiver wire heading into Week 11. Denver allows the eight most points to QBs but has not allowed a QB rushing TD this season. The Broncos allow the third-most points to TE and have allowed the fifth-most TDs to WRs. Dobbs should have another solid game, along with his pass-catching group. Get the Viks into your lineups.
New Orleans has a bye next week and will face the Falcons in Week 12.

Lions at Chargers

This was the fantasy matchup game of the week, and it did not disappoint with a combined 79 points and 954 yards of total offense as the Lions outlasted the Chargers at SoFi Stadium. Detroit rushed for 200 yards behind David Montgomery’s 12 rushes for 116 yards and one score and Jahmyr Gibbs’ 14 carries for 77 yards and two TDs. Gibbs was RB1 for Week 10. Jared Goff returned to his former stadium, completing 23/33 for 333 yards and two TDs. Amon-Ra St. Brown had his best game of the season, catching eight passes for 156 yards and one TD on nine targets. St. Brown has gone over the century mark in receiving yards in four consecutive games, which is tied with CeeDee Lamb for the longest active streak.

Justin Herbert was one of two QBs to throw four TDs in Week 10, finishing as QB2 this week after completing 27/40 for 323 yards. Keenen Allen was the WR1 this in Week 10 after a monster performance of 11 catches for 175 yards and two TDs on a Week 10-high 14 targets. Allen and Tyreek Hill are the only WRs to have at least 175 receiving yards in two games this season. Austin Ekeler rushed 19 times for 67 yards with one touchdown and caught four passes for 48 yards. Ekeler has finished as a top-six RB in his last three games and is poised to have a strong second half.

Takeaway:

Dan Campbell’s Lions have another fantasy-friendly matchup against the Bears at Ford Field. Chicago allows the fourth-most points to QBs, 12th-most to RBs, and 15th-most to WRs. Lions are at home, which means more yards and points for Lions’ skill players. Start your Lions with confidence.
The Chargers will travel to Lambeau Field facing an above-average fantasy defense that allows the fourth-fewest points to QBs, eighth-fewest to WRs, and 10th-fewest to TEs. The Pack are vulnerable to RBs as they allow the eighth-most points, which bodes well for Ekeler, who should be getting a ton of touches.

Giants at Cowboys

Dak Prescott finished as the QB1 after compiling a season-high five TDs in only three quarters. Prescott threw for a new season-high 404 passing yards with four passing touchdowns and added a rushing score. Prescott joins Josh Allen as the only QB to throw four TDs and rush for a TD in a single game this season. Over the last four weeks, Prescott has been the best QB and highest-scoring fantasy player with 14 total touchdowns.

Lamb drew a Week 10-high 14 targets, posting 11 receptions for 151 receiving yards and one TD. Brandin Cooks had his best game as a Cowboy, finishing with nine receptions for 173 yards and one TD. Cooks and Lamb are the third WR duo to have at least 100 receiving yards and each score a TD in a game this season. Lamb has drawn double-digit targets in three consecutive weeks averaging 14 targets while securing 11 catches per game. Tony Pollard was the odd man out of the offense again, with 15 carries for 55 yards. Rico Dowdle had a team-high 79 rushing yards on 12 carries with a rushing score.

Saquan Barkley mustered 66 rushing yards on 13 carries, while Tommy DeVito threw for 86 yards and two TDs. Outside of Barkley, the Giants offense must be avoided.

Takeaway:

Dallas will travel to Carolina to face a solid defense that allows the fourth-fewest yards per game to QBs, the fifth-fewest fantasy points to WRs, and the third-fewest yards per game to TEs. Carolina does allow the second most fantasy points to RBs. If Pollard fails to impress, Dowdle might start seeing more touch, thus hurting his fantasy value moving forward. Despite facing a good passing defense, the Cowboys will need to rely on Prescott and Lamb and should be able to.
In an NFC East showdown, New York travels to Washington DC, who allow the most points to QBs. I am not sure if it matters with DeVito under center. Barkley will face a beatable Commanders front who allowed 107 rushing yards and 82 receiving yards Seahawks backfield. Barkley may see 30 touches in this game.

Notables:

Jonathan Taylor is the alpha RB for Indianapolis, with 23 carries for 69 yards and a TD. Zack Moss had just one attempt for two yards.
Jaylen Warren led the Steelers rushing attack with 15 carries for 101 yards and one score. Najee Harris contributed 16 carries for 82 yards and a score. The timeshare remains in Pittsburgh, but I would fade both next week against the Browns.
Jerome Ford found success against the stout Ravens defense, totaling 107 yards on 17 carries. This was his second 100-yard rushing game of the season, and is averaging 16 touches per game this season. He’s firmly in the RB2 discussion.
Bijan Robinson was finally freed from Arthur Smith with 20+ carries in a game for the first time this season, finishing with 95 rushing yards and a rushing TD on 22 carries. Hopefully, this is a sign of things to come.
Kyler Murray returned from his ACL injury leading the Cards to victory following his performance of 249 passing yards with one interception, adding 33 rushing yards and a rushing TD.
Trey McBride quickly became Murry’s favorite target, finishing with eight grabs for 131 yards on nine targets. The Cardinals target the TE at the fourth-highest rate in the league.
Geno Smith threw a season-high 369 yards and two touchdowns. He’ll face the LA Rams next week, who held him to just 112 passing yards in Week 1.
Sam Howell was the third-highest-scoring QB in Week 10 with 312 yards and three TDs. He’s quietly been the second-best fantasy QB over the past month. He’ll face the NY Giants, who just allowed four passing touchdowns to Prescott and will be a top 10 play next week.
Kenneth Walker II (63 rushing yards and 64 receiving yards) and Brian Robinson (38 rushing yards and 119 receiving yards) were the only RBs in Week 10 to account for at least 60 yards receiving and a receiving TD. They played against each other in Week 10.
Garrett Wilson was one of four WRs to see a Week 10-high 14 targets, securing nine passes for 93 yards as the main offensive player for the Jets.
Josh Jacobs carried the ball 27 times for 116 yards. Jacobs has now carried the ball 53 times in two games under Interim Head Coach Antonio Pierce. Expect more of the same next week against Miami, as the Raiders will try to keep the ball out of Tua’s hands.

Bye Week Update

Week 11 Byes include the Falcons, Saints, Patriots, and Colts. Adjust your lineups accordingly!
Week 10 Bye Week team schedule includes Seahawks at Rams, Raiders at Dolphins, and Eagles at Chiefs on Monday Night Football.

🚨 Red Zone TD Scoring Percentage Update 🚨

Miami leads the NFL with 75%. Rounding out the top 10 are LA Chargers (72%), Buffalo (69%), Baltimore (64%), Chicago (62%), San Franciso (61%), Indianapolis (60%), Cleveland (59%), LA Rams (59%) and Cincinnati (58%).
The bottom five teams in Red Zone TD Scoring Percentages are the NY Jets (23%), Tennessee (32%) NY Giants (38%), Jacksonville (43%), and Tampa Bay (46%).

Thanks for your time checking out Week 10 takeaways. While you are here, check out more fantasy goodness at Razzball. Follow me on Twitter/X @Jefferson__21.

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