The fantasy playoffs are so close you can smell them. Wait, no that’s just me. Haven’t taken my weekly shower yet. Anywho, you’re hopefully preparing to lock up a seat at the fantasy league championship table. Get your lucky jersey out. Stop shaving that beard. Find a rabbit to depaw. Whatever you need to do to win. You could also peek under the hood with these blurbs. 

  • We’re picking up right where we left off with Nick Chubb and the Browns backfield split. He got roughly half of the snaps and half of the carries. He was hyper-efficient with 126 yards, one actual TD and one almost TD after stopping shirt of the goalline to ice the game. It looks like his path to fantasy success will remain doing extraordinary things with ordinary opportunity. 
  • Justin Jefferson is quickly making a case for consideration as a top WR in the league, not just a top rookie. Fueling his breakout is a ridiculous 6.9 average yards after the catch. That’s second to Terry McLaurin’s 7.2 for WRs with 50 targets. Dude is ridiculous with in space. That’s a perfect fit for the Vikings and could hold up. 
  • Please, blog, may I have some more?

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Shadow Coverage Tracker
WR Finish Total
1 13
2 7
3 7
4+ 25
Grand Total 52

 

Team: Houston Texans

Opponent: New England Patriots

WR1: Will Fuller

Shadow Coverage Matchup:  Stephon Gilmore

 

Will Fuller vs. Shadow Coverage
Opponent Games Rec Yards TDs PPG
All Other Opponents 23 4.8 70.5 0.5 12.6
Vs. Shadow Coverage 4 3 45 0.3 7.5

Historical Production vs. Shadow Coverage

As we discussed in prior articles Will Fuller hasn’t seen much shadow coverage in his career due to DeAndre Hopkins. However, when he has seen it over the past two and a half seasons there is a notable dip. This includes a 1-8 performance vs. the Patriots just last season. In 2020 Will Fuller has shined in his new role, and was able to find the end zone in his lone shadow coverage matchup securing 3-35-1 vs. Jaire Alexander in week 7

Week 11 Recommendation – WR3/Flex

With Stephon Gilmore nursing a bump knee it is fair to question of effective he will be slowing down Will Fuller. This season Gilmore has only shadowed one elite WR all season which was D.K. Metcalf in week 2. Metcalf did get loose for a long TD finishing with 4-92-1 on the day. I do believe Gilmore will be able to slow down Fuller, but playing at home with no David Johnson, Watson will be expect to throw a lot in week 11.

DFS Recommendation – Price FD $7,100 / DK $6,900

On both sites Will Fuller is priced as a WR1 and will cost you well over 10% of your budget. This makes him a DFS fade as his best performance to date in shadow coverage was 11 points which won’t get it done in DFS. Players I would pivot to include Kenny Golladay vs. CAR and Diontae Johnson vs. JAX

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The Joey Wright was a king without a prince, even though the song 1999 pulsed in the background of the VIP section at Sticks, the only football-themed nightclub on the West Coast. The Battle of Lake Tahoe was won, but the War of the Razzbowl had taken its toll. 

“Another New Coke?” the bottle girl asked Joey, her referee-striped uniform reminding him of the Super Bowl Shuffle. 

“IT DOES NOTHING FOR ME!” Joey shouted, tossing a red flag on the floor to indicate he was done with his VIP session. The tech bros at the booth across the aisle poked their eyes up from their Nachos Grande and noticed Joey cradling a picture, whispering to it. One of them came over. 

“You OK, man?” the tech bro asked Joey. 

“Not since I lost The Mick,”

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Remember Jason Pierre-Paul’s infamous firework accident that resulted in a mangled hand, and eventually a club hand which he’d use to beat offensive linemen over the head? We came into Thursday night’s Cardinals at Seahawks game expecting all kinds of beautiful fantasy fireworks, but instead we were left with a limp disfigured hand. Hopefully we can transform this disappointment into our own club hand. It wasn’t all bad news though, as Carlos Hyde played it safe with bottle rockets and sparklers in his return from his hamstring injury. Hyde took 14 carries for 79 yards and 2 catches for 16 yards, adding in his 3rd touchdown. But don’t get too excited about playing Hyde the sausage with Carlos, odds are Chris Carson (foot) makes his return in week 12. Anyway, here’s what else I saw yesterday for fantasy football:

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Another week, another grind! We’re really getting to the important weeks of the season. We have three more W’s to get to either make the playoffs or get the best seeding we can. ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE.gif. I know making decisions on who to start and sit isn’t as tough as it usually is this year because of the injury cesspool, but I’m here to help. Let’s get to the players that I really like for week 11. 

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I always have to choose what information that makes the article because only so many columns will fit on the page. Well, it’s an important time of year, so, if you want to see the full sheet, including more last 3 and 5 week stats and more schedule information, click here. New column this week, DEF vs TE/game ROS, basically, what is the average standing of the defenses vs TE on a fantasy points allowed basis. Not a perfect stat by any means, but it’s a start. 

THE MAN.

Ranks Players Targets Last 3 Wks Last 5 Wks Season Stats Snaps Sched
Prev Rk Rk Name Total Tgts Avg Tgts Pts/G Pts/G Pts Pts/G Team Snap % DEF vs TE /game ROS
1 1 Travis Kelce 80 8.9 25.40 19.60 168.9 18.77 86 18.2
  • Travis Kelce is a man among boys at TE. He can build a house, fix your car, hunt down dinner, and throw that ball over them mountains. Among non-QBs, he has the 9th most points per game (1 of those 9 is CMC who only has 3 games). KC has bottom 5 match ups left and they finish with strong TE games against the Saints (26th worst vs TE) and Falcons (worst vs TE).
  • Please, blog, may I have some more?

We are now in the Fantasy Football home stretch, week 11! Hopefully you’re reading this because you’re making your playoff push or fighting for a high seed and want to keep winning. Most league’s regular season ends week 13 or 14, so we are in the crucial weeks of the season that can shape the playoff landscape in your league. If you’re not mathematically eliminated, don’t give up, it’s a crazy year! It is make or break time and it is extremely important to find productive players to put in your flex spots. That is exactly why I write this column, to help you make these tough decisions and win your weeks!

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Welcome to Razzball’s dedicated gambling column-Teasers and Pleasers! Each Thursday during the NFL season, at 11:00 am EST, TnP will post our top bets for the upcoming week. Just sit back and win some money with us in 2020.

We received some great feedback in the comments section last week regarding updating the picks on Saturday or Sunday when injuries are clearer. I will be doing that via Twitter and commenting below this article with any injury-related adjustments to the Best Bets. Thank you all for following along all season, you are one of the MANY resources used to make these selections, but mOST of the key ones can be found right here at Razzball.

Whether you play fantasy football or are in the business of making player prop bets, Rudy Gamble’s Razzball Membership Tools are a must-have. He is giving away a FREE 7-day trial of all the tools you need to cash this week!

Now let’s get to it! Week 11 picks for your betting pleasure.

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I just snuck out of a court ordered gambling rehab facility to write this post, so I’ll have to be brief. After I was arrested for stealing old ladies’ purses from the retirement home down the block to fund my string of Arizona Cardinals’ Super Bowl wagers (a 50:1 lock!), the judge sentenced me to 6 month’s of in-patient rehab. Since I’ll be releasing my weekly fantasy football rankings each Thursday morning for the duration of the season, I’ve decided to throw in some bonus bold Thursday Night Football predictions along with my expertly handicapped pick for the contest:

Arizona Cardinals (+3) at Seattle Seahawks 

Forecast: Kyler Murray. That’s it, that’s the forecast. What, you want more? Sorry, I’m a little distracted; I spent all day trying to figure out how to inject Kyler Murray highlights into my veins. Actually, I spent the first hour of the day trying to figure that out and then the next 10 hours in the emergency room. Turns out it’s “not safe” to insert an HDMI cable into your forearm. Psssh. The medical professionals recommend I continue to ingest my Kyler highlights thru the eye holes only. What do doctors know? I have big plans for rectal consumption of Thursday night’s game where Kyler will show off his culinary skills making Russell Wilson look like my Aunt Mildred who can’t even cook a frozen pizza. The Cardinals will come out of Thursday alone in first place in the NFC West, just another step toward that Lombardi Trophy I predicted Kyler would hoist back in the preseason. Cardinals 31, Seahawks 21 

Wager:  Cardinals ML +140 (1 Unit)

2020 Season: 2-8 (-3.65 Units) 

Anyway, here’s my fantasy football rankings for week 11 which will be frequently updated until Sunday kickoff:

*If you’d like more robotic weekly rankings with projections, check out Rudy’s Pigskinonator which is available on a free trial and then only $17.95 for the full season.

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Your WR top 80 12.0 is here! Despite DeAndre Hopkins’ heroics, Davante Adams remains in a tier all his own. Don’t worry, there are still plenty of fantastic options to choose from in tier 2. As a rule, injuries will always bump guys down. I am generally pessimistic that players will return on time at full strength without a setback. 

This list is not league or format specific, but it is based on 2020 rest-of-season projection only. When thinking through tiers and rankings I asked myself simply – “all things considered who would I rather have on my roster?”

Read all of the QB, RB and TE Razzball Rest of Season Positional Rankings now!

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When Covid isn’t flattening QBs and teams left and right, massive windstorms have completely shut down QBs several times this year. In Week 10, another Vortex Giant (CR25 for you nerds) stomped into many stadiums, leaving giant killers like Nick Chubb and [checks notes] Ben Roethisberger (hmmm) to save the villagers. I’ve asked fantasy managers to be proactive about rostering useful streaming QBs, if not to provide options in case of Covid or weather, but at the very least to deprive your opponents of a starting QB. This last week, your opponents would have gotten useful streaming games from bottom-tier QBs like Alex Smith, Kirk Cousins, and Philip Rivers. Now, I’m not applauding their games. But when other QBs are facing off against sustained 25MPH winds, gusts to 50MPH, and rain/sleet, those fair weather QB streamers look awfully nice. 

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It’s Jameis Winston week! I’ve been waiting all season for this. I had a dream last night. It was Mr. 30/30 himself driving down the field. He threw a pick six on the first series to get it out of his way. Normal stuff. The Saints are driving down the field and the Falcons don’t have an answer for this drive. It’s 2nd and 2 at the Falcons’ 11 yard line and wouldn’t you know it, frickin’ Taysom Hill comes in. Taysom jukes, breaks a tackle, touchdown. Taysom Hill ruins everything, including my Jameis dreams. It was only a dream! I have Jameis as my QB6 in a game that the Saints should dominate. You can find the rest of my rankings below. 

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