I think I have an obsession with stats, and I’m not sure if it is a good thing or a sickness. Every time I look at the numbers, I see more numbers. I’m currently in the early stages of beginning to learn about regression analysis. And by early stages, I mean that it’s a topic I’d really like to learn more about. I really should have paid attention in college instead of whatever it was I was doing the few times I actually showed up to class. Back to Fantasy Football. In the preseason, I talked about the upgrades to The Stats Machine (TSM) for this season. One of the biggest changes was the fact that opposing defenses will now be factored into offensive performances. This is still true, but will not go into effect until after Week 3. TSM needs at least three weeks of defensive statistics in order to generate defensive rankings. With that disclaimer out of the way, let’s get to our Week 1 results…

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And we are back for another week of the fantasy season.  How badly did you overreact this week?  If you have Dez Bryant, here’s a shot of your favorite whiskey on me this week.  I hate seeing injuries to anyone, let alone a stud.  I’m feeling the Brant pain, too, as I lost him in our Razzball Writer’s League.  Like you, I’m looking for a fill-in (replacement makes it sound like someone CAN actually replace him) ,for the short term. But what about the Peyton Manning owner?  Should you be terrified?  I wouldn’t say Exorcism terrified, but maybe The Shining.  Look, if the Broncos can’t get anything done in Week 3, I’m out.  See ya.  I would have already grabbed a back-up quarterback as waivers processed this week (this went to print before the Broncos-Chiefs game) because I don’t want to trust Manning as my only guy, despite the high ceiling.

If you have another quarterback with a tough match-up this week such as Tom Brady or Matthew Stafford, here are a couple of guys I’m looking at as potential streamers…

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Smith lol
If you had judged this game by the first three quarters and half of the fourth, you might have thought that Monday Night Football had given way to Thursday’s Prime Time to tenaciously make us feel like a nap is a better use of the time. True, it could have been a combination of Peyton Manning’s multiple incompletions where the ball traveled roughly an inch a second, Alex Smith’s continued ability to only throw five-yard slants, Andy Reid’s ability to literally eat all of this timeouts, and Phil Simms just stringing together random nouns. OR maybe it was that every other play there was a penalty flag. There hadn’t been that much yellow flying around since that incident at R. Kelly’s house years back. But just like last week, Denver’s defense found a way to lock in another win, forcing a fumble on Jamaal Charles with 30 seconds to play, allowing as much Monday morning quarterbacking as possible on Reid’s decision to not take a knee into overtime. I’m personally neutral on the decision, I think most coaches consider a draw there to be a low-risk “let’s see if we can get any yardage” type of play, but, I would admit that the correct move at the point would have been just to take the knee. It wouldn’t have mattered because Andy Reid would have been blamed for any decision he made, but since he could probably eat me plus a Sizzler, I’ll end on that note.

New to Daily Fantasy Football? Try out this new free FanDuel’s contest, where half the league is guaranteed to win. (Played on FanDuel before? You can build a team for $5 for a chance of $100,000, part of a one million dollar prize pool!)

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When given the opportunity, I will never not use this. You have my word.

When given the opportunity, I will never not use this. You have my word.

We’ve now moved on from the first week of football, with all the time in between being spent exhausting profound energy on armchair analysis of who looked good and who looked bad, who’s done and who’s not, all with the knowledge that the entirety of our data set is resting on the laurels on the small sample size of one singular game. Poor Laurel. That being said, Peyton is done. Finished. As a Chargers fan, that is my complete and unbiased analyzation of the matter. You know it’s true because that statement had the word “anal” in it. To be fair, there’s a lot of worry out there for what probably the greatest quarterback to play the game. Simply put, against the Ravens, he did not look good. Baltimore’s defense was content defending the mid-range and short game of Manning, daring him to throw the ball long, something he just couldn’t do. In return, we watched a game that was played in-between the 30-yard lines, something that probably hadn’t been done since the infamous Steelers smackdown of the Dolphins, 3-0 back in 2007. Granted, the Ravens and Broncos exit strategy for thier game provided some zeal and zest, and that’s not sarcasm. I brought out my “z” words, afterall. But to circle back to beginning, this is one-week armchair analysis (back to anal too I suppose, hey now), so I’m still expecting Peyton Manning to not look so terrible. It would go a long way tonight against the Chiefs if Manning continued his personal domination over them and would certainly quiet the doubters. He is 13-1 against them all time, and the one loss came in 2004 where he threw 472 yards with 5 touchdowns. So we’ll just have to see if Forehead can figure it out…

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Some players are just known for certain things.  Dez Bryant’s “thing” is being passionate.  Whether it’s yelling at a teammate or celebrating a victory, he really gets into it, putting his feelings out there for everyone to see.  He’s been flagged for on field temper tantrums, often putting his foot in his mouth.  This time it was an exuberant celebration… on a broken foot (NSFW: language).  The NFL fantasy football season is brutal when it comes to injuries and as usual we’re off to a bad start.  Here’s the lowdown on Dez Bryant and the rest of your Week 2 Injury Report.

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I’ve never seen a more competitive and well balanced group of teams in the NFL than this year. 2015 is going to be the year every team goes 8-8 and all the playoff tiebreakers are tied. You heard it here first. The only teams that may want to be one of Jigsaw’s subjects are the Raiders, Bucs, Jaguars and Browns. It makes each game that much more important and fun to watch. Also, because I’m narcissistic and like talking about my own teams, I have Julian Edelman and Jarvis Landry on all my PPR leagues and I know I’m going to grow a semi-chub every time I look at their weekly targets. Lastly, I’m going to be taking a quick look at the past episode of The Max Factor then move on to more current and pressing news.

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Period Rank Overall High Low Percentile
Week 1 62.7% 8 out of 20 72.6% 42.7% Top 40%
2014 57.0% 3 out of 20 58.4% 48.1% Top 15%

After a weird and injury-filled Week 1, there are arguably more questions than answers. Will Kam Chancellor keep holding out? Will Luke Kuechly play this week? Will J.J. Watt kill Kevin for ranking him as the #7 overall IDP heading into Week 1? Sorry J.J.! The most difficult balance to strike after just one game per team is reacting to what we saw last week, without overreacting. The worst way to do this is to look at stats. I may have gotten a C- in statistics in college, but even I can tell you that one game is not a large enough sample size to make any assumptions moving forward. Luckily, we have snap counts. These are by no means a perfect measure either, but they at least can help answer some of the questions we had going into 2015. I’ll lean heavily on this information as we move into Week 2.

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Period Rank Overall High Low Percentile
Week 1 56.80% 54 out of 137 62.80% 46.30% Top 40%
2014 58.10% 31 out of 125 60.70% 50.60% Top 25%

But seriously, don’t. Mountain Dew is probably the most disgusting thing out there unless you’re in high school or play World of Warcraft. Anyways, it’s now time for Week 2 Rankings folks! Why? You know why! Like I stated in our Week 1 Rankings, it’s because the world needs rankings. Nay, the world demands it. To be really honest, what’s the point of writing about fantasy football if not to start arguments over subjective numerical values? If you answered “there is no point!” (exclamation point inflection required, which I guess is an obtuse way of saying: YELL IT!), well then, you win this cookie. This cookie right here. Oh, you don’t see the cookie? That’s probably because I just ate it. So you get no cookie. Just the teasing of said cookie. Great, now I’m hungry for more cookies. Thanks ya jerk!

New to Daily Fantasy Football? Try out this new free FanDuel’s contest, where half the league is guaranteed to win. (Played on FanDuel before? You can build a team for $5 for a chance of $100,000, part of a one million dollar prize pool!)

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ROAD-HOUSE

In 1989, James Dalton gave us three simple rules. One, never underestimate your opponent. Expect the unexpected. Two, take it outside. Never start anything inside the bar unless it’s absolutely necessary. And three, be nice. I bet most of you had no idea that Dalton’s first name was actually James. And for those of you that have no idea who Dalton is, shame on you! Close your browser, get yourself a six pack of brewskis and a bottle of Jack and watch Road House. Dalton, portrayed by the late Patrick Swayze, was one of the toughest, ass kicking dudes in movie history. Recruited by the owner of The Double Deuce, a rowdy dive bar in Missouri, Dalton moves from NYC to take over security and help clean up the violence that is destroying the bar. Dalton is a professional “cooler”, or bouncer for those of you less informed readers. Despite being able to handout a beatdown like it’s his job (which it is), Dalton doesn’t actually like violence. He has a degree in philosophy and practices thai chi. This, however, does not keep him from literally ripping Jimmy’s throat out with his bare hands. Bottom line, Road House is one bad ass film. From Jasper, Missouri we travel nearly 650 miles east to Cincinnati. From one Dalton to another. My lineup of waiver wire fodder is led at quarterback by The Red Rifle, aka Andy Dalton. No relation to James.

Here’s the complete lineup…

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Everyone likes running back depth, Jay likes it [Jay’s Note: Can confirm, I do like it.], Tehol loves it smothered in onions and soy sauce.  You get the point, everyone needs it, wants it, covets it.  How about owning someone who is getting glanced over this week because in some situations there is a better waiver wire add on the same team.  Crazy to think about, even better to rationalize. So when all the stat heads and waiver jockeys scour the waiver wire and grab the Titans RB1 in Bishop Sankey (if he isn’t owned, of course), turn your gaze to Terrance West.  The Brown outcast, who, guess what?  Gets the Browns this week.  It’s like a made-for-TV movie on the Hallmark channel starring Jaleel White as Terrance West and Malcolm Jamal Warner as Sankey.  It’s called Running Titans and it’s playing this week on Sunday only in select fields… okay, okay, it’s on one field, and it’s in Cleveland.  So who wants to buy in on some revenge game lovin’? That was rhetorical…

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I like writing about Daily Fantasy Football, which is how I got the position of writing about Daily Fantasy Football for Razzball. It all started with an email. I emailed some guy named Jason Long, or Longfellow, or Jason, or Jay, or Jay Long, Jay Wrong etc. about covering Fanduel for Razz. I got a very interesting response. Anything strike you as odd or interesting here? Anything at all? I before E, Jay. I before E! [Jay’s Note: I’m totally human sometimes! It sucks.]

New to Daily Fantasy Football? Try out this new free FanDuel’s contest, where half the league is guaranteed to win. (Played on FanDuel before? You can build a team for $5 for a chance of $100,000, part of a one million dollar prize pool!)

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Greetings! Talk about a fun Week 1, eh! Well, that is unless you were drilled like a Kardashian sister at an after party during NBA All-Star weekend. Let me share something with you, something that comes from the bottom of my heart… the worst, and frankly ONLY negative that comes with this job is doling out what turns in to being horrid advice. My eyes bleed rain like the Niagara Falls when I go back through the comment section and see even ONE awful call. Knowing that I may have lost one reader, one Beddict supporter, is almost too much to bear. Say one thing for Tehol Beddict, he’s an emotional man-god. With that being said, there’s no job I could possibly enjoy more in the world than talking fantasy football and mildly entertaining the four of you who actually read my posts. It brings more joy to my life than licking it’s own butt hole does to a Doberman. Maybe I’m just extra emo this week, due to that excruciatingly disgusting Seahawks road loss, but I just wish everyone could win, because losing blows Mastodon you know what.

Anyways, now that week one is in the books and we have a better idea of how some of these players are going to be utilized, let’s bang out in Week 2, y’all!! My rankings are below and will be updated throughout the week as injury statuses are updated. I am Tehol Beddict, and this Disgrace/Delight! Take heed!

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